GBPUSD: Wow, some move on Friday, needs to close FVG?That fundamentals last week had a serious impact on this pair.
The FED held rates with a dovish tone, and then the cooling labour market data slammed the USD.
The BoE also held rates, but with a hawkish tone.
UK data is not great, USD real yields are stronger, and there are still global tensions which are normally strong for the dollar, that said, this pair has broken out of weekly descending path with some umph, so this could well be the start of a reversal.
Normally in these cases we get a retracement first to fill the fair value gap, we're also at strong resistance so will I believe we have to fall back to attract more buyers.
Overall I think we could be looking at a reversal so will be keenly watching the move down with tight SL but with an expected target around 1.221.
Gbppusd
GBPUSD 4H (STILL BEARISH)Trading in the pound sterling pair against the dollar stabilizes below the level of 1.2229 , so that the bearish trend scenario remains valid and effective for today, remembering that our expected targets start at 1.2175 and extend to 1.2137 .
The Stochastic indicator presents negative signals that we expect will contribute to pushing the price to achieve the proposed targets, which will remain in place provided it remains below the 1.2229level.
Pivot Price: 1.2229
Resistance prices: 1.2282 & 1.2335 & 1.2377
Support prices: 1.2175 & 1.2137 & 1.21117
The general trend expected for today: bearish
timeframe:4H
Short GBPUSD for week of 17 Jan, 2022I can see many reasons to go short on GBPUSD next week.
1) The USD decline during the holidays may have ended. Note on the DXY chart, the solidly bullish (engulfing) candle formed on Fri.
2) Price is stuck at 1.370 region and failed to close convincingly above it during the last 3 trading days.
3) The 200dma is acting as resistance too.
4) The current move seems to have halted at 78.60% retracement.
Taking a trade at current levels presents a good R/R with target located just above 1.336, with the possibility to achieve a lower target. A small retracement perhaps to 1.370 would make it even better.
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