GBP/USD Breakout (28.05.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3424
2nd Support – 1.3380
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GBPUSD
Gold at Key Rejection Zone: Will the Drop Resume from $3310?By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after some consolidation between $3294 and $3302, the price finally began a sharp drop, correcting down to $3245. This area was a key demand zone on lower timeframes, which triggered a rebound, and gold is now trading around $3310. If the price gets rejected from the $3310–$3313 zone, we can expect another potential decline.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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GBPUSD Decision Point | Will the Order Block Hold or Fold?GBPUSD | Smart Money Liquidity Trap or Bullish Breakout?
Here’s a high-probability play based on Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, and channel structure—one of the cleanest SMC setups on cable this week.
📊 1. Market Overview
GBPUSD is currently pulling back after a sharp drop, retesting the premium zone Order Block on the H1 timeframe.
Structure remains bullish inside the ascending channel, but there’s major indecision here—will it break above the OB, or retrace deeper into the Fair Value Gap zone?
🧠 2. Dual Bias Logic
You’ve mapped out two valid SMC scenarios (marked in red & blue arrows):
🔻 Scenario 1: Bearish Trap + Deep Liquidity Grab
Price reacts from the Order Block (purple zone)
Rejects and breaks down into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 1.33300
Targets liquidity resting below prior structure
🔺 Scenario 2: Order Block Respect + Long Continuation
OB holds, price flips bullish
Pushes above 1.35260 for bullish continuation
Final target near channel top @ 1.35920–1.36000 zone
Both scenarios are textbook Smart Money setups — based on how price reacts at this OB, we’ll get the direction.
🧱 3. Key Zones
🔵 Order Block: 1.3445 – 1.3526
🔴 Fair Value Gap (FVG): 1.3330 – 1.3283
🟢 Target (Bullish): 1.3600
🔻 Target (Bearish): 1.3280
⚖️ 4. Risk-Reward Potential
Whether you go long from the FVG or short from the OB, both have:
✅ Clean entries
✅ Clear invalidation zones
✅ Strong RRR potential (1:3 to 1:4+)
📌 5. Watchlist Note
💡 If price taps into the OB and shows weak momentum, prepare for shorts targeting the FVG
💡 If it holds the OB cleanly with bullish engulfing or BOS (break of structure), ride the long back to channel highs
💬 Call to Action:
📈 Add GBPUSD to your SMC sniper list this week
💬 Comment “OB or FVG? 🤔” if you're waiting to catch the bounce
📌 Save this post for Smart Money reference setups
USD/JPY Poised for Upside: Momentum Building Toward Key TargetsBy examining the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 144. Given the momentum, I expect this pair to rise soon. The potential bullish targets are 145.5, 147.35, and 148.65 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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GBP/USD – Correction in Progress - Where to buy?A few days ago, I pointed out that GBP/USD broke above key resistance from above 1.34, and even cleared the psychological barrier at 1.35.
That breakout opened the door for a potential move toward 1.4000, and I suggested that traders should look for buying opportunities on pullbacks.
Well — we’re in that pullback now.
So, where do we buy?
📍 The most obvious area is the old resistance around 1.3430. But here’s the catch:
GBP/USD is notorious for fakeouts and spikes.
If price tests that level, it could easily dip under 1.34, take out stops, and only then reverse to the upside.
🛡️ Bottom line: If you’re buying the dip, set your stop-loss wisely
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBP-USD Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A retest of the horizontal
Support of 1.3419 from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish rebound so we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
The GBP is aiming for the previous high of 1.3592.The GBP/USD exchange rate rebounded strongly during the North American trading session, reclaiming the 1.3500 level. Earlier, the British pound had come under pressure and trended lower, but a retreat in the U.S. dollar's intraday gains fueled a rapid rally in the pound. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) briefly hit a high of 100.50 earlier before pulling back to 99.70. The core trigger for this volatility was a U.S. court ruling that deemed Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs illegal, prompting markets to reassess policy uncertainties in the United States. Overall, the technical outlook remains bullish. If the 1.3400 support zone holds, the pair still has the potential to challenge 1.3600 and higher target levels in the short term.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@1.3400-1.3450
TP:1.1350-1.1400
GBP/USD Analysis: Price Searching for SupportGBP/USD Analysis: Price Searching for Support
In the second half of May, the British pound showed notable strength: from its 12 May low, GBP/USD climbed to a peak on 26 May — marking its highest level in over three years.
Demand for the pound has been driven by several factors:
→ A surge in inflation. CPI data released last Wednesday came in above expectations. As a result, market participants interpreted this as a reason for the Bank of England to remain cautious about cutting interest rates. Holding rates at elevated levels is generally considered bullish for the pound.
→ The pound’s relative resilience amid trade tensions, particularly following a newly signed agreement with the US, as well as strengthening trade ties between the UK and the EU.
Can the pound continue to rise? The GBP/USD chart offers reasons for doubt.
Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart
Recent price movements have formed an ascending channel (outlined in blue), and earlier this week, demand was so strong that the pair briefly moved above the upper boundary. But what happened next?
That strong buying momentum appears to have faded — resulting in a sequence of lower highs (A→B→C→D), suggesting that the market may be searching for a foothold. Today’s bounce (highlighted by the arrow) hints that such a foothold may have been found. But how reliable is it? And can the uptrend be resumed?
→ From a bullish perspective: Support may be provided by the lower boundary of the channel, reinforced by the 1.345 level.
→ From a bearish perspective: The 1.352 level is acting as resistance, further strengthened by the median line.
It is possible that the area marked by lower highs (A→B→C→D) could ultimately prove to be an insurmountable barrier for the developing uptrend on the GBP/USD chart.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBP/USD Correction Potentially Complete – Key Breakout LevelsHi everyone,
GBP/USD has been undergoing a short-term correction since the start of the week. Our view is that this correction may now be complete, with the bullish trend potentially resuming.
For confirmation, we’re watching for a break above the 1.35195 level, followed by a move through 1.35934.
If these levels are cleared, we anticipate further upside. We’ll continue to share updates on the projected path for GBP/USD should price action reach our key zone.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to extend further from the 1.20991 January low.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
XAU/USD: Ready for another Decline? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.132. If it manages to hold below 1.14, I expect further downside. The bearish targets are 1.12790, 1.11800, 1.10700, and 1.096 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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GBPUSD H1 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H1 chart, the price is trading near our sell entry level at 1.3445, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.3360, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3550, a pullback resistance.
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GBPUSD(20250529)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting: The risks of rising unemployment and inflation have increased, and the benefits of flexible average inflation targeting in a high-risk environment have weakened; "Federal Reserve mouthpiece": Stagflation forecasts may become the tone of the Federal Reserve's June economic forecast summary.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3479
Support and resistance levels:
1.3551
1.3524
1.3506
1.3451
1.3433
1.3406
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3451, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3479
If the price breaks through 1.3433, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3406
CONFLUENCE KEY GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25
🔥👀QUICK SCOPE TECHNICAL REVERSAL HOT PICK
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅1 hour order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD Pulls Back from July 2023 - Sep 2024 TrendlineThe GBP/USD pair is currently pulling back from a key resistance zone and trendline stretching from the peaks of July 2023 to September 2024. These levels coincide with previously oversold RSI readings seen during the same periods, raising the likelihood of a pullback.
This resistance aligns with the 1.3590 level, which also corresponds to the 1.272 Fibonacci extension of the long-term downtrend from the 2008 highs to the 2022 lows.
A clean break and sustained move above this level could open the way for further gains, targeting the 0.382 retracement zone and the previous highs from 2021 and 2016, between 1.42 and 1.47.
On the downside, if a pullback emerges—driven by overbought conditions or renewed dollar strength—a clear break below 1.3460 could extend selling pressure toward 1.33, 1.3240, and 1.3140.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Smart Money waits for the retracement, not the breakout.” TradingView chart for EUR/USD (30-minute )
🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Breakdown:
🟨 Bullish Zone (Demand)
Marked in yellow, this is the strong demand zone where price recently reversed.
This zone aligns with a potential order block or a liquidity grab.
🟩 Green Box (Potential Re-entry Zone)
This is your optimal trade entry (OTE) zone.
Price is expected to retrace to this zone after facing resistance at the red supply zone.
It aligns with the discount level (below 50% of recent move).
🟥 Red Box (Supply Zone / POI)
Price is currently reacting to this zone.
This may be a short-term rejection point leading to the expected retracement.
🟦 Blue Box (Higher-Timeframe POI / Supply)
A major target zone likely acting as liquidity above swing highs.
If price breaks and holds above red zone, this is the next target for longs.
🟩 Light Green Box (Final Target / Weekly Level)
Likely a weekly supply level or final target for a full bullish expansion.
---
📈 Projection (Dashed Arrows):
1. Short-Term Bearish Move: Price dips into green demand zone.
2. Long Entry from Demand: Potential bullish continuation from green zone to break above red.
3. Target Blue Supply: If red is broken, price will head to the blue zone next.
---
Highlight entry point near green box for 1:3+ RR.
Show retracement plan instead of immediate breakout.
Emphasize liquidity hunt at red zone before continuation.
“
---
Would you like me to do analysis of. Other pair , mention in comments,🖇️
Sterling Holds Ahead of U.S. GDPGBP/USD trades near 1.3435 on Thursday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar after a court blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, ruling he lacked authority to impose them. Markets now await preliminary US Q1 GDP data. Fed minutes showed rising uncertainty, with policymakers favoring a cautious, steady rate path. In the UK, food inflation rose for a fourth month, prompting Barclays to delay its rate cut forecast to February 2026, which may support the Pound.
The first critical support for gold is seen at 1.3425 and the first resistance is located at 1.3600.
NZDCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??NZDCAD is currently coiling within a textbook bullish flag formation after an aggressive impulsive leg to the upside. Price action remains tight inside this consolidation structure, respecting both trendline resistance and support. As we approach the apex of this flag, I’m closely watching for a breakout confirmation to trigger the next bullish continuation leg toward the 0.8600 target.
From a macro perspective, the New Zealand dollar is gaining strength following the RBNZ’s firm stance on keeping rates elevated due to persistent inflation risks, particularly in housing and services. On the flip side, the Canadian dollar is showing relative weakness as oil prices stall and the Bank of Canada shifts toward a more dovish tone amid weaker economic data and slowing consumer spending. This divergence in central bank policy and economic outlook is building a strong fundamental case for NZDCAD upside.
Technically, the structure remains clean. The market formed a strong bullish engulfing rally earlier in April, and since then has entered a symmetrical correction with higher lows forming under compression. This is a classic continuation setup with strong momentum buildup underneath. A breakout above the 0.8280–0.8300 zone with volume would likely trigger institutional interest and drive price rapidly toward the 0.8600 level, which aligns with the measured move of the flag.
This is a high-probability trade idea supported by both technical and fundamental convergence. With risk well-defined below 0.8135 and momentum favoring the bulls, NZDCAD is one of my top setups going into June. Breakout traders and swing traders alike should keep this pair on the radar as the next bullish expansion looks imminent.
Bullish continuation?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3395
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3304
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3581
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Bullish bounce?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3395
1st Support: 1.3317
1st Resistance: 1.3583
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBP/USD Got the Breakout - Can Bulls Hold the Higher-Low? GBP/USD has broken out to a fresh three-year-high, finally pushing above the Fibonacci level of 1.3414. That pushed directly into a test above the 1.3500 handle, and prices have since pulled back.
Given dynamics in the USD, that bullish trend in Cable remains of attraction if we do see USD-weakness continue. But, if strength remains in DXY and USD, there's greater pullback potential for GBP/USD, with supports at 1.3250 and 1.3000 of interest for longer-term strategies. And if looking for that USD-strength backdrop, EUR/USD can be a more attractive venue given the context of a lower-high there even as GBP/USD has ripped up to a three-year-high.
For short-term pullback scenarios, traders would likely want to see support retained at prior Fibonacci resistance, around 1.3414. - js
GBPUSD Near Key Resistance – Watching for PullbackGBPUSD has surged to test the 1.3538 resistance, forming a strong impulsive rally supported by higher lows and tight bullish consolidation patterns. However, price is now pressing into a major horizontal resistance and rising trendline, setting up for either continuation or correction.
Key Levels:
Major Resistance: 1.35389 (previous high, potential double top)
Trendline Support: ~1.3440 (ascending structure)
Downside Target (if break occurs): 1.3140 (range floor)
Scenarios to Watch:
🔹 Bearish Scenario (Primary Watch)
Price reacts to 1.3538 and forms a rejection candle
Break of the ascending trendline may trigger a retracement
Downside target zones:
1.3440 (initial structure)
1.3140 (major support zone)
🔹 Bullish Breakout (Alternate Scenario)
Clean break and close above 1.3538
Would invalidate short-term correction and open path to new highs
Momentum continuation possible toward 1.3600–1.3700
Pattern Notes:
Bullish structure with minor flags and wedges in the uptrend
But rally is extended and hitting overbought territory near resistance
RSI divergence or reversal patterns around this level would strengthen short case
Conclusion:
📌 GBPUSD is at a major resistance. Watch for rejection or breakout.
📌 If it holds below 1.3538 and breaks trendline, short setup is favored.
📌 If it breaks out above 1.3538 with volume, stay out of shorts and wait for retest.
LONG GBP/USD — Trade IdeaLONG GBP/USD — Three Talking Points
Macro & Central-Bank Divergence
UK growth beats, retail sales jump and service-CPI re-accelerates to 5.4 % y/y. Markets have pushed BoE-cut odds to near-zero for June and just one 25 bp trim by year-end, while the Fed is still priced for two cuts in 2025.
IMF nudges 2025 UK GDP up to 1.2 %. In contrast, the dollar narrative is hampered by ballooning U.S. deficit worries and tariff-policy whiplash. Net policy path favours sterling over the dollar.
Technical Structure Remains Bullish
Price action is riding a January-origin ascending channel; Monday’s spike to 1.3600 set a new three-year high, but the pull-back stalled exactly where the 21-DMA, prior breakout shelf and channel floor cluster (mid-1.34s).
14-day RSI ≥ 60 yet still shy of overbought, signalling bullish momentum with room to run.
Holding the 1.3440/70 zone keeps the next leg toward 1.3600/1.3750 in play; only a daily close below 1.3370 would break the channel and negate the setup.
Event Risk Favouring Upside Skew
BoE speakers (Pill today, Bailey tomorrow) are likely to echo the “cautious & gradual” line—supportive, not dovish.
FOMC minutes may sound hawkish, but the market has largely heard it; any dovish nuance quickly re-ignites dollar selling.
Friday’s PCE vs. Tokyo CPI: a soft U.S. core PCE print alongside sticky Japan inflation would weigh on USDJPY and bleed into broader USD softness, lifting cable toward our T1/T2 objectives.