GBPUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce offBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 1.2479, which is an overlap support close to a 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.2543, which is an overlap resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.2414, which is an overlap support level.
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GBPUSD
GBPUSD Scenario 1.1.2025This market is very difficult to predict at the moment, the point is that we have very close resistance around the price level 1.2520, if we hold this level, we can consider the previous low as an sfp from which the price can start to rise, or if we do not hold this level, we will fall below it and the market will try to hold the second sfp or send the price even lower.
GBP/USD RecoversGBP/USD Recovers
GBP/USD is attempting a recovery wave above the 1.2500 resistance.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.2420.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.2455 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair declined after it failed to clear the 1.2600 resistance. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the British Pound even traded below the 1.2500 support against the US Dollar.
Finally, the pair tested the 1.2350 zone and is currently attempting a fresh increase. The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.2450. The pair even climbed above the 1.2500 level.
There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.2455. The pair climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2607 swing high to the 1.2352 low.
On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.2545 or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2607 swing high to the 1.2352 low. The next major resistance is near 1.2605.
A close above the 1.2605 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward 1.2650. Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.2750.
On the downside, there is decent support forming at 1.2480. If there is a downside break below 1.2480, the pair could accelerate lower. The first major support is near the 1.2455 level. The next key support is seen near 1.2410, below which the pair could test 1.2350. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.2220 support.
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GBPUSD Analysis: Bullish Breakout from Falling WedgEThe forex pair GBPUSD is currently trading at 1.25600, with a target price set at 1.28000, indicating a potential gain of over 200 pips. The price action showcases a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation, which has already broken out to the upside. This breakout confirms a shift in momentum, aligning with the bullish prediction made in prior analysis. Falling wedges typically suggest decreasing bearish pressure, paving the way for buyers to dominate. The breakout signifies a strong upward move, reinforcing confidence in the target price. Traders may see this as an opportunity to capitalize on the bullish trend. However, market conditions, such as economic data or geopolitical events, should still be monitored. Proper risk management remains essential to mitigate potential losses. This setup highlights the importance of technical analysis in identifying profitable trading opportunities.
gold (xauusd) according to lower time frame,
Based on the chart provided:
1. **Descending Channel**:
- Gold appears to be trading within a descending channel, indicating a bearish trend in play.
2. **Resistance Zone**:
- A resistance area is marked near the upper trendline of the channel, suggesting that sellers might enter around this level.
- Price is currently near this resistance zone.
3. **Bearish Confirmation**:
- The text notes to wait for bearish confirmation before executing a sell trade. This could involve a rejection from the resistance zone (e.g., a bearish candlestick pattern like a pin bar, engulfing candle, or increased selling volume).
4. **Trade Plan**:
- If bearish confirmation occurs at the resistance zone, price is expected to drop back toward the lower boundary of the descending channel.
- Potential targets:
- Mid-level support (likely around 2630).
- Lower channel line (near 2610 or lower).
5. **No Confirmation, No Trade**:
- If price fails to confirm bearish rejection and instead breaks out above the resistance zone, no trade should be executed as the bearish structure would be invalidated.
Conquered 250 Pips, What's Next in the Wave? Swingers!Let's keep it simple, As Always!
As of today, GBP/USD has delivered a solid 250-pip move following our analysis shared on October 9th, 2024. Our forecasted move materialized as expected, with the pair continuing its upward momentum after a brief consolidation phase. For those who took the trade, congratulations on securing some solid profits!
Now, the question on everyone's mind is, what's next for GBP/USD? Let’s break down the structure and identify the potential move within the wave.
Keep an eye on price action around these levels for the next wave. A pullback to 1.2300 could offer an entry for the next rally. Stay cautious and wait for confirmation before jumping in.
Let's see how the market unfolds over the coming sessions.
-Zak
Happy Trading! 🔥
Levels discussed on livestream 6th Jan 20256th January 2025
DXY: Consolidating along 108.90, could test 108.50 (61.8%) before trading higher again to 109 round number (below 108.50 could test bottom of channel)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 30 TP 60
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6265 SL 30 TP 60
GBPUSD: Wait for reaction at 1.25 round number resistance level
EURUSD: Look for rejection of 1.04, Sell 1.0315 SL 30 TP 90
USDJPY: Sell 157.65 SL 50 TP 150
EURJPY: Buy 163.55 SL 40 TP 120
GBPJPY: Sell 196.40 SL 50 TP 150
USDCHF: Look for reaction at bottom of channel 0.9060 or support level 0.9020
USDCAD: Ranging between 1.4335 and 1.4465
XAUUSD: Break 2624 to trade down to 2610 (bullish trendline)
GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.25600 zone, GBPUSD is trading in an downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.25600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Analyzing XAUUSD: Support and Resistance Dynamics Driving a BullXAUUSD, representing the price of gold against the US dollar, is currently trading at 2635 with an anticipated target price of 2800. The price movement is based on the support and resistance pattern, where the current price is bouncing off a strong support level. This suggests that buyers are stepping in at this level, preventing further declines and creating upward momentum. The support level at 2635 is critical, indicating strong buying interest, while the target price of 2800 reflects bullish sentiment. This pattern demonstrates the interplay of technical levels, with the price expected to rise as it moves toward resistance zones. Traders anticipate a potential breakout above intermediate resistance levels as the price progresses toward the target. The market sentiment is supported by gold's status as a safe-haven asset, attracting investors during uncertain economic conditions. To confirm the upward move, traders may use additional technical indicators like RSI or MACD. However, risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders below the support level, are essential to mitigate potential losses. Overall, XAUUSD is poised for an upward trajectory, highlighting the importance of support and resistance dynamics in forex trading.
GBPUSD, swing of the year. FOREXCOM:GBPUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
FOREXCOM:GBPUSD is showing strong bearish momentum after the dollar index TVC:DXY
broke above the 2 years range. However, the price is oversold for now. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and sell off confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Second resistance: Yearly lows.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
GBPUSD Week 2 Swing Zone & LevelHappy new year pip hunters.
Welcome back to Pinchpips Swing zone and level, SZL.
We start off the new year with SZ has indicated around 933-990, and Levels as marked.
Price action determines trades, so either of a or b could playout.
Entry is based on the 5 min candlesticks pattern with SL @ 10-15 pips from entry.
TP is as price action and momentum determines. However SL is usually moved to Breakeven, BE once entry pinches +20pips.
GBP USD Complete Analysis - Top Down - Structure wiseHi guys,
Below im going to go through a detailed breakdown of GBP USD for longer term swing trades and what i am looking for to confirm any trade direction.
Firstly i want to start of at the monthly time frame:
Below is a photo of the monthly timeframe clearly showing bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows:
So our monthly bias is bearish, and the last rally could just be a pull back to continue lower, However, considering that the low that was created in September of 2022 created a new all time low for the pair, i am skeptical that this pair will go any lower. Furthermore, looking at the price action from the low of 2016 till date we can see that price has been pretty much range bound, which also looks to be a Wyckoff accumulation schematic. However this will only be confirmed once price breaks above the last high marked up in the above drawing, as this will confirm bullish strength and a break of long term structure to the upside.
Conclusion of monthly time frame analysis: Trend is bearish but it seems to be at it's turning point. So we need to see confirmations of lower timeframe to determine weather price will continue to drop or go higher.
Now lets look at the daily time frame:
Looking on the daily time frame we clearly see bullish structure, with higher lows and higher highs, however remember this entire structure could just be a pull back of the monthly time frame's bearish structure.
So when will this move be considered a pull back of the bearish monthly structure? if price manages to break the recent low marked up in the above drawing at around 1.204. this will indicate a break of the bullish structure on the daily timeframe and a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
As long as price is above this low, 1.204 then the structure will remain to be bullish.
So to recap, on the monthly we are overall bearish but we are expecting that we are at the end of the bearish move, but we need to see the lower timeframes confirm if price wants to go higher. As of now, the daily structure is bullish and the structure is holding. So we can look for buys at this point.
Lets go down to the 4 hr time frame:
On the 4 hr timeframe we can see the clear bearish structure. but remember that as long as price is above the 1.204 mark then we are bullish on the daily, so this bearish structure gives us opportunities to enter long positions at lower prices. But in order to confirm that this bearish structure will not just continue to drop and shatter the 1.204 mark, then we need to see a shift in structure from bearish to bullish, which will occur when price breaks above the high in the above photo at around 1.28. This will indicate the end of this bearish pull back and a change in structure from bearish to bullish, so then we will have bullish structure on the 4 hr and the daily time frames. Entries however will be taken on the 15 or 5 min timeframes, when the time comes. For now i need to wait and see if the 4 hr structure will turn bullish or not.
Also another note on the 4 hr timeframe, structure aside, we can see some signs of accumulation where we have just done a quick sweep and stop hunt of the lows which also indicate that bullish strength may enter soon. As shown in the below photo:
So overall i am bullish on GBP USD but i need the 4 hr time frame to confirm my bias by breaking structure upwards and clearing the 1.28 mark. At that point we will scope in on the 15 min for entries on pull backs.
The other scenario is if price continues to be bearish, and breaks the low on the daily time frame at around 1.204, this will completely shift our bias from bullish to bearish, and will look for sell positions on pull backs.
So for now, we wait. Wait for price to show you what it wants to do, does it want to respect the bullish structure on the daily time frame? or does it want to shift the structure from bullish to bearish? this will be the deciding factor here. And based on that we can analyze further and look to take some good swing trades.
If you made it this far, i thank you for your time and patience, and i hope this helped you in some way.
Thank you, and happy new year to everyone!!
EURUSD and GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD Analysis: Falling Wedge Pattern and Potential 500+ Pips The forex pair GBPUSD is currently trading at 1.247, with a target price set at 1.290, presenting a potential gain of 500+ pips. The market is forming a falling wedge pattern, a bullish technical setup that often signals a potential breakout to the upside. This pattern indicates a gradual narrowing of price movement, with sellers losing momentum and buyers preparing for a reversal. Traders are closely watching for a breakout above the wedge, which would confirm the bullish bias. A breakout could trigger significant upward movement, aligning with the target price. This setup provides an attractive risk-to-reward opportunity for buyers. However, confirmation through price action and volume is essential before entering a trade. Risk management is critical due to forex market volatility. Monitoring momentum indicators can help validate the expected breakout. The next move depends on how the pair reacts at key resistance levels.
Analysis for GBP/USD (4-Hour Chart)The GBP/USD pair is showing significant price movements on the 4-hour chart, providing potential opportunities for both buyers and sellers. Here’s a breakdown of the key levels and insights:
Key Observations:
Support Zone:
The price has recently bounced from a critical support level at 1.2400, indicating strong buying pressure at this zone.
This level may act as a base for a potential bullish recovery.
Resistance Levels:
The first major resistance is observed around 1.2541.
A stronger resistance zone lies at 1.2605, which could act as a barrier for further upward momentum.
Trend Analysis:
The pair is currently in a short-term bearish trend, as seen by the recent downward movement.
However, the bounce from the support level and the green indicator showing potential long positions may suggest a possible reversal or retracement.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case: If the price breaks above 1.2541, we might see further upside toward the next resistance at 1.2605.
Bearish Case: Failure to sustain above the support level at 1.2400 could lead to another leg downward, potentially targeting 1.2350.
Trading Strategy:
Long Positions:
Consider entering around the support level (1.2400) with a target of 1.2541 and a stop-loss below 1.2370.
Short Positions:
Look for opportunities near 1.2541 or 1.2605 if rejection signals appear, with a target back to the support zone.
💬 What’s your take on GBP/USD? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
Fundamental Market Analysis for Januaryr 6, 2024 GBPUSDGBP/USD is unable to capitalize on the modest gains of Friday's recovery and is fluctuating in a range above the 1.2400 mark at the start of the new week. Spot prices, meanwhile, remain near the lowest level since April 2024 reached last week and appear vulnerable to an extension of the three-month downtrend amid a bullish US Dollar (USD).
In fact, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the USD against a basket of currencies, is holding near a two-year high amid optimism over US President-elect Donald Trump's expansionary policies and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish outlook. Furthermore, concerns over Trump's sweeping tariffs, as well as geopolitical risks related to the war between Russia and Ukraine and rising tensions in the Middle East, are supporting the safe-haven Dollar and acting as a headwind for GBP/USD.
Meanwhile, sentiment around the British Pound (GBP) remains weak amid a series of weak UK data recently and doubts over the newly elected Labor government's fiscal strategy. In addition, the relatively soft stance of the Bank of England (BoE) and the decision to leave interest rates unchanged in December by a split vote may continue to weigh on GBP. This confirms a negative outlook on GBP/USD as traders await the final UK Services PMI to gain fresh momentum.
Trading Recommendation: Watch the level of 1.2400, if consolidated below consider Sell positions, if rebounded consider Buy positions.