BTC/USD more sells incoming? 66k?!Good morning traders, I’m back again with another beauty guys!! I’m sure everyone is asking what’s happening in the markets recently, well Trump(era) is happening.
Back to the charts, here I have a 1 hour TF, yesterday we saw very big moves in price following the news that the tariffs are on hold, but that doesn’t or shouldn’t take always our market sentiments and our biases we had coming into this new week.
This setup is basically a continuation set up but for now I’m only focusing on the relative equal lows because we understand that’s there is sell stops resting below those lows. For the rest of the day we can expect price to deliver lower price for the rest of the week but my question is this…can price drop to the 66k level?
Good luck traders and remember we study price and time not technical analysis!
GBPUSD
Will 3 Times Be The Charm For GBPUSD??We can see FX:GBPUSD retrace a tad further up to the Volume Imbalance that was created over the weekend of April 4th - 7th. After Price made its High @ 1.3207, it was immediately rejected back down below the Past Level of Support that is now showing signs of Resistance!
- Following that Higher High not only resulted in a Lower Low but also sent the RSI under 50 into Bearish Territory!
Now in the ICT Methodology of Volume Imbalances, Price is likely to Test or Fill the Imbalance, then once satisfied, has a high potential to turn the opposite direction. Now a Pullback to Fill the Imbalance would land Price right at the 38.2% Fibonacci Level @ 1.28984 where if Bulls are unable to push Price back above, would be an excellent Shorting Opportunity for Bears to overcome.
- RSI is now below the 50 suggesting Bulls have lost steam and strengthens the potential for more downside to occur but that would call for a Break and Retest Scenario on the Rising Support.
Fundamentally, the Federal Reserve will be releasing the CPI y/y and m/m results where analysts believe there to be a .3% decrease in inflation forecasting a 2.5% CPI for March from the previous 2.8% for February. Given this, the FOMC " do not plan to come to rescue Trump with rate cuts" and insist that all the Tariff pressure will actually be a reasoning for Inflation to Rise! So if CPI ends up printing Hotter than Expected (Higher), we could see a renewed strength in the USD.
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.2885, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.2721, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3009, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
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GBPUSD Long?... not for long! Technical Analysis Summary (Multi-Timeframe View)
Price Structure & Patterns
Higher lows since April 8th = bullish market structure
Several bullish candles (belt-hold, closing marubozu, doji on higher TF) suggest momentum shift upward
The bearish harami on the 30-min adds caution — likely short-term consolidation, not reversal
Support & Resistance Zones
Support: 1.2785–1.2800 (prior rejection zone + buyer defense)
Current minor resistance: 1.2845–1.2855 (hit twice recently — strong short-term cap)
Next real resistance: 1.2890–1.2915 (April 7–8 highs)
Major resistance: 1.2935–1.2950 (where sellers aggressively capped rallies on April 7)
Indicators of Note
RSI on 1H = 72.56 → approaching overbought, which aligns with current resistance
MACD on 4H is positive = bullish momentum, though 1H MACD is nearly flat → move is maturing
ADX 1H = 44 → Strong trend
ATR 1H = 0.00358 (≈ 36 pips) → Expect that kind of volatility range
Fundamentals
April 9 FOMC Minutes: Hawkish
USD strength likely to return soon, but it hasn't crushed GBP yet.
April 10 CPI (coming up soon):
Expectations are slightly soft: CPI 2.6% vs previous 2.8%, Core CPI flat
If CPI misses → dollar weakens, GBP/USD rallies to next resistance
If CPI beats → USD strengthens, GBP/USD pullback likely
April 11 UK GDP and Trade
GDP expected positive (from -0.17% to +0.1%) → could support GBP
Option 1: Conservative TP (Safe Profit Lock-In)
TP1: 1.2860 = Just under current resistance
It's been tested a few times and could act as a double top if CPI hits strong.
Option 2: Moderate-Aggressive TP (Event Risk Carry)
TP2: 1.2870–1.2915 = Next resistance zone, April 7–8 top
Bullish structure + current momentum could extend if CPI is dollar-negative (inflation soft).
Good night everyone!
Gold Faces Key Resistance – Will the Uptrend Continue?📊 XAU/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 10, 2025
Gold has recently seen a strong rally, reaching an all-time high of $3167 per ounce. However, it encountered significant resistance at the upper boundary of its ascending channel, leading to a sharp pullback after the release of strong U.S. employment data, which boosted the dollar and exerted selling pressure on gold.
Currently, gold is trading around $3050, with key support levels at $2956, $2860, and $2790, which could act as potential bounce points if the decline continues.
📈 Current Market Structure:
After reaching the all-time high, the price has corrected lower. As it approaches the support levels mentioned above, the market may see fresh buying opportunities if these levels hold strong.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
$3100: Immediate resistance. A break above this level could signal a resumption of the uptrend.
$3167: All-time high. A breakout above this level would open the door for further gains.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
$2956: First support. The price may bounce at this level if it holds.
$2860: Major support. A failure to hold above this level could lead to further declines.
$2790: Strong support. A drop below this level would signal a shift in the market's direction.
📐 Price Action Patterns:
As the price approaches key support levels, there could be reversal patterns forming, indicating a potential price bounce. It’s crucial to monitor the price action at these levels to spot potential entry opportunities.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If gold manages to hold above $2956 and bounce, the uptrend may resume toward the resistance levels mentioned above.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If gold fails to maintain the key support levels, the correction could continue, with further declines toward lower support levels.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is currently testing crucial support levels. Monitoring how price behaves at these levels will be key to determining the next direction. Traders should keep an eye on any economic developments that may affect market sentiment.
💬 What’s your outlook for Gold? Will it continue its uptrend or experience further corrections? Share your thoughts below.
EUR/USD Nears Key Resistance – Will the Uptrend Continue?📊 EUR/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 10, 2025
EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.0964, following a strong upward move from 1.0800 to 1.1000. This rally has been driven by strong momentum and a clear break of structural resistance levels. However, the pair is now approaching a critical resistance zone between 1.1150 and 1.1200, which could lead to a potential pullback or reversal.
📈 Current Market Structure:
The pair has seen a solid rise from 1.0800, breaking through multiple resistance levels along the way. However, as it approaches the strong resistance area between 1.1150 and 1.1200, there may be some profit-taking or correction. The key question is whether the bulls can push through this resistance to continue the uptrend.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
1.1150 – 1.1200: This is the critical resistance zone. If price fails to break above this, we could see a pullback or consolidation.
1.1215: A further key resistance. If price reaches this level and struggles to move higher, it may signal a potential reversal.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
1.0960: Immediate support level. A pullback toward this area could offer another opportunity for buying if the bulls continue to dominate.
1.0800: Major support. A failure to hold this level could lead to further downside and shift the market sentiment to bearish.
📐 Price Action Patterns:
As the price approaches the strong resistance zone, we might see profit-taking or corrective moves. It's crucial to monitor how price reacts at these levels to determine the next potential move. A break above 1.1200 could signal continued bullish momentum, while failure could lead to a retracement.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If EUR/USD manages to break through the 1.1150 – 1.1200 resistance zone, it could continue its uptrend toward higher levels. A close above 1.1200 would strengthen the bullish outlook.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to break through resistance and pulls back below 1.0960, a deeper correction toward 1.0800 could be on the cards. A break below 1.0800 would suggest a more bearish outlook.
📌 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is at a critical resistance point. Watching how the pair reacts near 1.1150 – 1.1200 will be key in determining if the bullish trend can continue or if a correction is likely. These levels will act as the defining points for the next move.
💬 What’s your outlook for EUR/USD? Will the pair break above 1.1200, or is a bearish reversal imminent? Share your thoughts below 👇
GBP/USD Faces Crucial Resistance – Will the Uptrend Continue?📊 GBP/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 10, 2025
GBP/USD is currently trading around 1.2696, facing significant resistance near the 1.2800 level. After a recent decline from the 1.3434 peak, the pair has been consolidating, forming a range between 1.2740 and 1.2860. The market's reaction to these levels will be crucial in determining the next directional move.
📈 Current Market Structure:
The recent price action indicates a neutral to bearish trend for GBP/USD. The pair has formed lower highs and higher lows, creating a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting indecision in the market. A breakout from this pattern, either above 1.2860 or below 1.2740, will likely set the tone for the next significant move.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
1.2800: Immediate resistance. A break above this level could signal a potential bullish move.
1.2860: Upper boundary of the current range. A decisive break above this level would confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
1.2933: Significant resistance zone. If the price manages to break above this level, it could lead to further gains.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
1.2740: Lower boundary of the current range. A break below this level could indicate a bearish reversal.
1.2720: Short-term support. Failure to hold above this level might lead to a deeper correction.
1.2580: Major support zone. A drop below this level would confirm a bearish trend.
📐 Price Action Patterns:
The formation of a symmetrical triangle suggests that the market is awaiting a catalyst for the next move. Traders should watch for a breakout from this pattern, as it will likely lead to increased volatility and a clear directional bias.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 1.2860, especially with strong volume, could lead to a rally toward 1.2933 and potentially higher levels.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
A break below 1.2740 could trigger a decline toward 1.2720, with further downside potential if the support at 1.2580 is breached.
📌 Conclusion:
GBP/USD is currently consolidating within a defined range, with key levels at 1.2740 and 1.2860. The next significant move will depend on a breakout from this range, providing clarity on the market's direction. Traders should monitor these levels closely and prepare for increased volatility as the pair approaches these boundaries.
💬 What’s your outlook for GBP/USD? Will the pair break above 1.2860, or is a bearish reversal imminent? Share your thoughts below 👇
GBP/USD Maintains a Consistent Upward ChannelThe bearish bias seen in previous sessions appears to have paused temporarily, giving way to a notable bullish momentum, which has driven gains of over 1% in the short term in favor of the British pound. Today’s White House announcement to temporarily pause tariffs on several previously threatened countries—excluding China, which could face tariffs of up to 125%—has weakened the U.S. dollar in the short term. This shift has allowed the British pound to regain ground, supporting a steady bullish bias in the GBP/USD pair.
Upward Channel
Since January 14 of this year, bullish strength has been dominant, forming a clear ascending channel that has repeatedly pushed the price above the 200-period moving average. Recent bearish swings have failed to break through the ascending trendline, which remains intact, making this bullish channel the most important formation to monitor for now.
TRIX
Despite recent declines in the TRIX line, the indicator continues to oscillate above the zero level. This suggests that buying momentum remains intact when averaging recent moving periods. As long as the TRIX line continues to hold above the neutral level, bullish strength may become increasingly consistent in the short term.
RSI
The RSI line is approaching the 50 level, which marks the neutral zone on the indicator. However, if a significant breakout above this level occurs, bullish impulses could become dominant in the market—potentially strengthening upward pressure on GBP/USD.
Key Levels:
1.29275 – Near Resistance: This level represents the recent weekly high. Bullish moves above this level could reinforce the short-term buying bias and lead to more sustained upward momentum.
1.27772 – Near Barrier: This level aligns with the 200-period moving average. Continued price action around this zone may lead to neutral consolidation and the formation of a short-term sideways range.
1.26183 – Final Support: This level corresponds to late February lows. A confirmed break below this support could signal the end of the current bullish channel.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
GBPUSD Slight change in TP. 4/9 4:10pm Given the data and technical indicators for GBP/USD, here's a breakdown of potential trading options:
Key Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI for multiple timeframes is somewhat low (19.44 on the 1-minute chart, 40.47 on the 5-minute chart, 59.50 on the 15-minute chart, and so on). A low RSI value often indicates that the asset is oversold, which can suggest a potential buying opportunity.
MACD: The MACD shows mixed signals across different timeframes (slightly negative on some timeframes, but with positive momentum on the longer ones). This suggests a neutral to slightly bullish trend in the near future.
Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic Oscillator is at 15.52 on the 1-minute chart and increases to 61.12 on the 5-minute chart. A value of 15.52 suggests that the market might be oversold on the 1-minute chart, and a potential reversal could be coming.
Aroon Oscillator: The Aroon Oscillator is mostly negative on shorter timeframes, indicating a downtrend, but positive on longer timeframes, suggesting some bullish pressure.
Average Directional Index (ADX): The ADX for the 1-minute chart is at 29.74, which is relatively low, meaning there isn't a strong directional trend. On longer timeframes (1 hour and 4 hours), the ADX is higher, suggesting some trending potential.
Balance of Power (BOP): The BOP is positive on the 1-minute timeframe (0.52), but turns negative as timeframes increase, indicating a loss of buying momentum.
Support & Resistance Levels: The recent price data shows a price range between 1.27436 (low) and 1.28641 (high), indicating recent support at the lower bound (1.27436) and resistance at the upper bound (1.28641).
Possible Trading Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario (Buy):
RSI: The RSI on the shorter timeframes (like 1-minute and 5-minute) is on the low side, suggesting the market is oversold and could be due for a reversal.
Stochastic: The 1-minute Stochastic is low, signaling a potential short-term rebound.
Price Action: If the current price is around 1.27946 and you believe in a potential reversal from oversold conditions, you could consider buying with a target near 1.28641 (recent high).
Bearish Scenario (Sell):
Aroon Oscillator: On the shorter timeframes, the Aroon Oscillator is negative, suggesting some bearish momentum.
Resistance Level: The current price (1.27946) is closer to the lower bound of the recent price range, and the resistance is just above at 1.28641. If the price struggles to break above this, a bearish trade could be considered.
MACD: With the MACD showing some negative readings, a potential sell order can be placed if the market fails to break above resistance.
Neutral Scenario (Wait & See):
ADX: The ADX on the shorter timeframes suggests a lack of strong momentum, so it might be best to wait for a clearer trend to emerge.
BOP: The negative BOP on higher timeframes suggests that there is more selling pressure.
Conclusion:
Best Trade (Short-term): Given the oversold RSI, a buy trade could be a good option with a target near the recent resistance level at 1.28641, assuming the price shows signs of reversing upward.
Stop Loss: Consider placing a stop loss near the recent low (1.27436) to protect against a larger downtrend.
GBPUSD update 4/9/2025 at 2:29pm Summary of Key Indicators for GBP/USD
Trend & Direction:
Directional Strength:
ADI is high (61.07) with PLUS_DI (26.11) far exceeding MINUS_DI (6.65) and a DX of 59.41—confirming a robust short-term bullish trend.
HT_TRENDMODE:
At 1.0, indicating an active trend.
Moving Averages & Price Forecast:
Core Levels:
EMA (1.31065), DEMA (1.31396), TEMA (1.31417), and TSF (1.31339) cluster between 1.310–1.314, suggesting the price is consolidating.
Resistance:
KAMA (1.31672) lies above the current range, hinting at a broader bearish bias.
Momentum & Oscillators:
RSI ~61: Indicates a moderately bullish stance.
MACD (0.0057) & CMO (21.96): Support upward momentum.
Stochastic (~59) & StochRSI (34): Signal energy without extreme overbought conditions.
CCI (195.50): Warns the market could be nearing overbought territory.
Price Range & Statistical Measures:
Central Price Range:
Prices mostly span from ~1.277 to 1.315.
Support & Resistance:
Short-term averages (EMA, DEMA, HT_TRENDLINE) near 1.277–1.282 suggest support, while longer-term filters (KAMA, TEMA) at 1.314–1.317 denote resistance.
Volatility:
ATR is very low in the short term (0.00037–0.0029) but climbs to ~0.0605 on longer timeframes—indicating time-dependent volatility.
Additional Forecast Tools & Volume:
Price regression tools (Linear Regression, TSF, TRIMA, T3, TEMA) consistently position prices within the 1.277–1.315 zone.
OBV and balance indicators reflect a near-balanced market on short terms, with some higher timeframe accumulation.
Price Action Overview:
GBP/USD is trading in a tight consolidation around the lower end of its recent range—approximately 1.275–1.278. Recent candles indicate modest upward momentum with repeated tests of support, suggesting buyers are starting to step in near this level. However, the price remains near a key inflection point, and with pending high-impact news, a decisive breakout (or reversal) could occur once the market digests the upcoming data.
Current Setup & Trading Consideration:
The current price at 1.27584 is at the lower end of a crucial consolidation zone (1.275–1.278), favoring a potential bounce.
Waiting for confirmation on the daily chart (or a clear intraday reversal if you’re aggressive) can help reduce risk, particularly with upcoming news events.
As a daily chart trader, i'm less focused on shorter-term noise and more on the reversal or breakout confirmed by the daily candle. For me, It’s often best to let the daily close help confirm whether this near‐support level holds.
GBP_USD SUPPORT CLUSTER|LONG|
✅GBP_USD is going down
To retest a strong support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support levels
So a local rebound is to be
Expected but its a risky
Setup given the general
Volatility on the market
So use small lot size
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
My take on GBPUSD as of 11:23am 4/9/2025Market Insights from Indicators
Trend and Movement
Directional Indicators:
PLUS_DI (25.39) significantly outweighs MINUS_DI (5.54), indicating strong bullish momentum.
Directional Movement Index (DX: 64.15) confirms significant trend strength.
Aroon Oscillator (71.43) shows a healthy trend with potential upward movement.
Moving Averages:
EMA (1.3126), KAMA (1.31498), and TEMA (1.31703) remain above the current price, reinforcing a longer-term bearish bias.
However, shorter-term indicators like PLUS_DI and ROC suggest consolidation or temporary bullish moves.
Momentum and Oscillators:
RSI (68.12) reflects a mildly overbought condition, signaling possible resistance to bullish moves.
MACD (0.0052) and CMO (36.24) support short-term bullish momentum.
Williams %R (-29.19) and CCI (87.28) indicate price nearing resistance levels.
Volatility and Price Action
ATR (0.00356) suggests low volatility, allowing tighter stop-loss and target levels.
Price action is currently testing the support zone at 1.2780–1.2790 and resistance near 1.2830–1.2850.
Trend Analysis
Short-term momentum shows rising highs and closes, with support from bullish indicators like DX (~64).
Long-term bearish bias persists due to EMA, DEMA, and TEMA above the current price.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.2780–1.2790 (previous hourly lows).
Resistance: 1.2830–1.2850 (aligned with recent highs and trend indicators).
Directional Indicators and Oscillators:
Bullish dominance with PLUS_DI (29.18) outweighing MINUS_DI (12.42).
Momentum (MOM ~0.00877) supports short-term bullish opportunities.
Stochastic (45.48) and Stochastic RSI (26.07) indicate moderate upward momentum, but not extreme levels yet.
Volatility and Risk Indicators
True Range (TRANGE ~0.00354) indicates limited hourly price variability.
Moving averages like TEMA (1.31703), T3 (1.31303), and WMA (1.31403) reinforce long-term bearish resistance above 1.3140.
TSF (1.31757) points to strong resistance near 1.3170.
Key Events to Watch
April 9, 2025 (Today):
USD FOMC Minutes (High Impact): A hawkish tone could strengthen the USD, pushing GBP/USD lower, while a dovish approach may support GBP/USD gains.
April 10, 2025 (Tomorrow):
USD Inflation Data: Lower CPI or core inflation figures may weaken the USD and favor GBP/USD bullish moves.
Jobless Claims: Rising claims could signal labor market weakness, further pressuring the USD.
April 11, 2025 (Friday):
GBP GDP & Trade Balance: Positive data could strengthen the GBP, aligning with bullish chart patterns.
USD PPI & Consumer Sentiment: Higher producer prices or sentiment could support USD recovery.
Trading Considerations
FOMC Impact: Hawkish minutes may trigger bearish GBP/USD moves, while a dovish tone supports a bullish outlook.
Key Levels: Watch 1.2780–1.2790 (support) and 1.2830–1.2850 (resistance) for trading decisions.
Volatility Management: ATR (~0.00356) suggests tight stop-losses during high-impact news.
My Take
Given the bullish technical setup but acknowledging the risk from upcoming high-impact news, I lean toward caution. At this point of my trading career i'm not comfortable with aggressive trading. A well-defined long trade near 1.279–1.280 could be rewarding—but i'm prepared for rapid moves on news releases.
Aggressive Option: Enter long around support now with tight stops and target 1.283–1.285, but be very nimble in managing your position amid the news.
Conservative Option: Wait for the market to digest the FOMC minutes and inflation data, then look for a confirmed breakout or reversal that aligns with the bullish technical signals.
I think ill wait for the news... it's in about 2 hours. see ya then!
Gold(XAU/USD) at All-Time Highs – Breakout or Blow-Off Top?📊 XAU/USD Daily Technical Analysis – April 2025
Gold has surged to fresh all-time highs, with price currently trading above $2,320 after an explosive rally in recent weeks. The momentum has been relentless, but price action is now approaching a potential inflection zone, where either a continuation or a sharp correction could emerge.
📈 Trend Overview:
The trend on the daily chart is strongly bullish. Since the breakout above the previous all-time high near $2,075 in early March, gold has been in a near-vertical climb, forming successive higher highs with shallow pullbacks.
However, with price now significantly extended from recent bases, and psychological levels being tested, bulls may face their first real challenge in weeks.
🔹 Key Resistance Zones:
$2,325 – $2,345: Immediate resistance zone based on recent price clustering. A decisive break above this could fuel further upside toward…
$2,400: Psychological milestone and potential magnet for bullish momentum if the rally continues.
🔸 Key Support Zones:
$2,280: Minor support from the most recent consolidation zone — the first level to watch if gold pulls back.
$2,240: A more solid support based on previous breakout structure.
$2,180 – $2,200: Major structural demand zone — this is where buyers are most likely to step back in if a deeper correction occurs.
📐 Technical Structures to Watch:
Gold is forming what appears to be a rising wedge on the daily chart — a pattern that often emerges during strong trends but can signal momentum loss or potential reversal when the wedge narrows.
Additionally, recent price action shows signs of stalling candles (small-bodied candles with long wicks), suggesting hesitation or possible profit-taking at current levels.
While there’s no confirmation yet of a reversal, these are early warning signs traders should monitor closely.
🧭 Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Continuation:
If gold breaks and holds above $2,345, the next logical upside target would be $2,400, followed by potential extensions toward $2,450 on high momentum or geopolitical catalysts.
❌ Bearish Pullback:
Failure to break higher — especially with reversal candles — could trigger a retracement toward $2,280 or deeper to $2,240. A breakdown below $2,200 would indicate a more serious correction and likely shift sentiment short-term.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is in a powerful uptrend, trading at never-before-seen levels. But price is now testing a key zone where momentum could either continue explosively or stall into a correction. Watch for breakout confirmation above $2,345 — or signs of exhaustion below $2,280. Either way, a major move is coming.
💬 Is this the start of Gold 2.0? Or is a correction brewing? Let’s talk below 👇
EUR/USD Approaching a Key Decision Point – Breakout or Pullback📊 Daily Technical Analysis – EUR/USD (April 2025)
The EUR/USD pair is approaching a critical resistance zone on the daily chart, with price action showing signs of both trend continuation and potential exhaustion. Traders should brace for volatility as the pair hovers near a multi-month high.
📈 Trend Overview:
Since rebounding from the 1.0700 support area in early March, EUR/USD has maintained a steady bullish trend, forming a clean structure of higher highs and higher lows.
The overall sentiment remains bullish in the medium term, but the pair is now pressing into a strong resistance zone near 1.0980 – 1.1050, where price previously stalled multiple times in late 2023.
🧱 Key Resistance Levels:
1.0980 – 1.1050: A major resistance block; a clean daily breakout above this zone could trigger renewed buying pressure and open the door for a move toward 1.1200.
1.1270: A key swing high from July 2023, and a likely target if bulls maintain control.
🛡️ Key Support Levels:
1.0870: A short-term support level and previous consolidation zone.
1.0740: A key higher low and critical structure — losing this level could suggest a shift toward a broader range-bound market.
1.0700: March’s reaction low and a major psychological level for euro bulls.
📐 Technical Structures:
Price action is showing signs of forming a rising wedge pattern — typically a sign of weakening bullish momentum, especially when it appears near strong resistance.
That said, if buyers manage to break through the upper boundary with strong conviction, this setup could transform into a bullish continuation — invalidating the wedge as a reversal pattern.
Also, the pair remains inside a bullish price channel, which has guided the trend since mid-March.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
A strong daily close above 1.1050 would likely confirm the breakout, targeting 1.1200 and possibly 1.1270 as bullish extensions. This could align with further dollar weakness or positive eurozone data.
❌ Bearish Rejection:
If the pair fails to break the resistance zone and forms reversal candlesticks, a pullback toward 1.0870 or even 1.0740 becomes likely. A break below 1.0700 would be a strong bearish signal, opening the path toward deeper retracement.
📌 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is pressing into a decisive resistance zone after a sustained bullish rally. Price action is king here — a breakout above 1.1050 may confirm bullish continuation, while rejection could trigger a healthy correction. Keep a close eye on daily closes and candle structure in the coming sessions.
💬 How do you see EUR/USD playing out from here? Are we in for a breakout or a top? Share your thoughts 👇
GBP/USD Is About to Explode – Here’s Why This Level Matters🚨 GBP/USD at a Critical Zone – Breakout or Reversal?
Let’s break down the price action from a technical perspective 👇
📊 Daily Technical Analysis – GBP/USD (April 2025)
The GBP/USD pair is trading near a key inflection point, with price action hinting at a potential breakout — or a deeper correction.
📈 Trend Overview:
The broader trend remains bullish, following a steady rally from the 1.2300 area back in February. The pair has been forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong underlying demand.
However, we’re now seeing signs of bullish exhaustion as the price struggles near the 1.2850 – 1.2900 resistance zone — an area that previously acted as a strong supply level.
🧱 Key Resistance Levels:
1.2850 – 1.2900: Major resistance zone; a daily close above this level would likely accelerate bullish momentum.
1.3000: Psychological round number and the next natural target.
1.3140: Historical swing high from mid-2023, could serve as the next upside objective.
🛡️ Key Support Levels:
1.2680: Previous higher low and potential first line of defense.
1.2520: Strong structural support — a break below this zone may shift the medium-term outlook to neutral or even bearish.
1.2300: February’s key low and the base of the current trend.
📐 Technical Structures:
Price appears to be forming an ascending triangle — a classic bullish continuation pattern — with flat resistance at 1.2850 and rising higher lows from below. This supports the idea of an impending breakout if bulls regain control.
Additionally, the pair is moving within a rising price channel, offering clean structure for both trend-following and breakout traders.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
A confirmed close above 1.2900 would likely open the door toward 1.3000, followed by 1.3140. This scenario aligns with the current market structure, assuming continued weakness in the USD or sustained risk appetite.
❌ Bearish Rejection:
Failure to break the resistance zone, especially with bearish reversal candles, could trigger a drop toward 1.2680, and possibly 1.2520. A daily close below 1.2520 would be a strong technical warning for bulls.
📌 Conclusion:
GBP/USD is sitting at a technically significant level. The prevailing trend favors the bulls, but the outcome at 1.2850–1.2900 will be decisive. Watch price action closely for confirmation — breakout or rejection, the next move could be sharp.
💬 What’s your take on this setup? Do you see a breakout or a reversal ahead? Drop your thoughts in the comments 👇
My Fav Res Forced The Price To Go Down Hard , Will Continue ?As we see , the high area forced teh price to go down as i mentioned in my last analysis post on GBP/USD , It`s now +80 Pips , i closed 50% from my contracts and let he rest running , but do you think it will continue or max 100 pips ?
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GBPUSD — Eyes on FOMC | Key Levels & Bearish Continuation SetupGBPUSD 4H Analysis
Technical Outlook — April 9, 2025
Currently trading around 1.2775, GBPUSD is showing signs of bearish momentum after breaking below the 200 EMA on the 4H timeframe.
Key Technical Highlights:
Price is currently stuck between resistance at 1.2800 - 1.2850 and support at 1.2700 - 1.2650.
Fib Cloud and moving averages are turning bearish.
Stochastic indicator is in the neutral zone but could provide momentum confirmation on breakdowns.
Immediate bearish targets are 1.2700 followed by 1.2600 and 1.2450 levels.
Possible Scenarios:
A pullback towards 1.2800 - 1.2850 resistance zone could attract sellers for the next leg down.
Clean break below 1.2700 could open doors for 1.2600 and 1.2450 support levels.
Important Note:
FOMC Rate Decision is scheduled for today — expect heightened volatility across USD pairs. Be cautious with risk management during the news event.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Ok i closed my sell for GBPUSD After my analysis this morning I decided to close my sell trade with very minimal profits. The trade was placed too early and I'd rather go along with the current trend instead of the overall trend. This will give me better positions.
Key Observations
Trend and Directional Indicators:
EMA (1.31338), DEMA (1.31573), and KAMA (1.31361) are positioned above the current price level, suggesting that the broader market remains bearish, or at least indecisive with downward pressure.
Aroon Oscillator (71.43) indicates a strengthening trend, which may confirm the continuation of the current movement.
The Directional Movement Index (DX ~18.31) suggests a relatively weak trend strength, but PLUS_DI (20.91) outweighing MINUS_DI (14.44) hints at potential bullish momentum building.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (53.42) reflects neutral territory, which indicates neither overbought nor oversold conditions. It aligns with the notion of waiting for clearer signals.
MACD (0.00353) shows mild bullish divergence, suggesting potential upward momentum in the near term.
Chande Momentum Oscillator (6.85) supports modest bullish movement, but it’s not extreme.
Volatility and Price Action:
ATR (0.00422) and Standard Deviation (0.00303) suggest low volatility, providing an opportunity for tighter risk management (closer stop-loss and smaller targets).
Commodity Channel Index (CCI -67.63) indicates price trading near the lower end of typical levels, signaling potential support or stabilization.
Oscillators and Reversals:
Williams %R (-69.67) reflects a mildly oversold condition but not yet extreme—suggesting price may consolidate before a decisive move.
Ultimate Oscillator (64.66) aligns with balanced market sentiment, potentially pointing toward continuation rather than a reversal.
GBPUSD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish momentum
No opposite signs
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold
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GBPUSD Made New Higher Highs amid Sell-offFenzoFx—GBP/USD trades bearish but is forming new higher highs with immediate resistance at $1.286. The next bullish target could be $1.2960 if bulls close and stabilize above this level.
Conversely, the bullish outlook should be invalidated if GBP/USD falls below $1.2717. If this scenario unfolds, the pound could fall toward the next support level at $1.2563.
Sterling Remains Firm Despite Inflationary PressuresGBP/USD traded around 1.2830 on Wednesday, holding gains from the previous session. However, ongoing global trade tensions and fears of goods dumping from China and Europe weighed on sentiment. Though U.S. tariffs are relatively lower on the UK, broader economic concerns persist. At the same time, rising inflation risks may lower expectations for rate cuts, providing some support to the pound.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2850, resistance levels are at 1.2900 and 1.2940. Support is at 1.2715, followed by 1.2650 and 1.2600.