Daily Analysis of GBP to USD – Issue 172The analyst believes that the price of { GBPUSD } will increase in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
GBPUSD
Bearish drop for the Cable?The price has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 1.2732
1st Support: 1.2613
1st Resistance: 1.2798
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NZDUSD H1 Short At Market TP +100 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the H1 chart for NZDUSD today. Price
contained withing sliding bear channel previously rejected multiple
times from overhead resistance.
🔸Currently expecting price to clear S/R and complete the
break of structure pattern near 5820 then dump to 5750 / 5700.
🔸Previously rejected from overhead resistance, sequence of lower
highs in progress and expecting yet another rejection into double top
and also re-action with the bear channel.
🔸Recommended strategy for NZDUSD traders: short at market now, SL 40 pips TP1 +60 pips TP2 +100 pips final exit at 5750. good luck traders!
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GBPUSD: Breaking the trend line!GBPUSD is currently trading around 1.2705 and has not changed much since the start of the trading session.
Early Tuesday morning, data released by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that the ILO Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 4.3% in the three months to October, as expected. During the period, Employment Change increased by 173,000, while annual wage inflation, measured by Average Earnings excluding bonuses, increased to 5.2% from 4.9%.
Although the negative shift in risk sentiment has helped the US dollar gain ground in the European session, the GBP/USD pair remains flat but could fall as the bullish trendline and technical factors are broken.
GBPUSD M15 I Bearish DropBased on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.27055, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.2684, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be at 1.2728, a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?GBP/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2733
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2794
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.2609
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Apple Earnings Boost Stock to 182 ? Reasons Why
Apple’s Fiscal 2024 First Quarter Results:
Apple reported its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2024, which ended on December 30, 2023. Here are the key highlights:
Revenue: The company posted quarterly revenue of $119.6 billion, representing a 2 percent year-over-year increase.
Earnings Per Share (EPS): Quarterly earnings per diluted share reached $2.18, marking a 16 percent year-over-year growth.
Services Revenue: Apple achieved an all-time record in services revenue during this quarter.
Active Devices: The installed base of active Apple devices surpassed 2.2 billion, reaching an all-time high across all products and geographic segments.
Cash Flow and Dividends: Apple generated nearly $40 billion of operating cash flow and returned almost $27 billion to shareholders. The company’s board of directors declared a cash dividend of $0.24 per share of common stock, payable on February 15, 2024.
Long Idea and Earnings Impact:
While the earnings report reflects strong performance, it’s essential to consider the broader market context and analysts’ expectations.
Analysts estimate an average EPS of $1.41 for Apple’s second quarter of 2024, with a range between $1.32 and $1.45.
As an investor, you might want to assess factors such as:
iPhone Sales: The growth in iPhone sales significantly contributed to Apple’s revenue. Monitor iPhone demand trends and product launches.
Services Segment: Services revenue hit a record high. Evaluate the sustainability of this growth.
Margin Expansion: The all-time record EPS resulted from margin expansion. Understand the drivers behind this improvement.
Dividends: Apple’s consistent dividend payments provide income for long-term investors.
$ORCL 126 AFTER EARNINGS NYSE:ORCL 126 AFTER EARNINGS
Strong Quarterly Earnings: Oracle has shown strong financial performance in the recent past, with its stock price soaring after reporting results that beat analysts' expectations and highlighted its position amid the AI boom. This indicates a positive market response to its financial performance, which could lead to a higher stock price in the future.
Increased Price Targets by Analysts: Analysts have increased their price targets for Oracle, with some predicting a potential rise to $126.
These optimistic forecasts suggest that the market and analysts have confidence in the company's future growth and performance.
Positive Market Sentiment: The market's response to Oracle's earnings reports has generally been positive, with the stock price rising after strong earnings reports. This suggests that if Oracle continues to report strong earnings, the market could respond positively, potentially pushing the stock price towards $126.
High Growth Potential: Analysts predict that Oracle's earnings and revenue will grow significantly over the next 3 years. This high growth potential could attract investors and drive up the stock price.
Market Leadership: Oracle is a market leader in cloud computing and database software. Its strong market position and broad scope of offerings could contribute to its continued growth and success, potentially leading to a higher stock price.
Positive Industry Outlook: The cloud computing and database software industries are expected to continue growing, driven by the increasing need for digital solutions and data management. As a leader in these spaces,
Oracle is well-positioned to benefit from this industry growth.
AI-Related Gains: Oracle has been highlighted for its position amid the AI boom, indicating its potential to benefit from the growing demand for AI-related services and solutions.
AMAZON 210 NEXT NASDAQ:AMZN
AMAZING AMAZON 210 NEXT
Recent Analyst Consensus: According to recent analyst predictions, the consensus target price for Amazon in the next 12 months is around $221.55. This would imply an increase of approximately 14.62% from the current price1. Keep in mind that this target price can vary among different analysts.
Historical Performance: Amazon has been a remarkable success story, with its stock price consistently rising over the years. It started as an online bookstore and expanded into various other sectors, including cloud computing (Amazon Web Services), entertainment (Amazon Prime Video), and smart devices (Amazon Echo).
Factors Influencing Stock Price: Several factors impact Amazon’s stock price:
Earnings Reports: Investors closely monitor Amazon’s quarterly earnings reports. Strong revenue growth and profitability tend to boost the stock.
Market Sentiment: Overall market conditions, investor sentiment, and economic trends play a role.
Pound steady after hot UK wage growth, CPI nextThe Canadian dollar continues to lose ground. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4315, up 0.48% at the time of writing. The Canadian dollar has declined 2.2% in December and is trading at its lowest level since mid-March.
Canada's inflation eased to 1.9% in November, down from 2% in October and shy of the market expectations of 2%. However, the trimmed-mean core rate remained unchanged at 2.7%, higher than the market estimate of 2.5%. This is above the Bank of Canada's target of 2% and will complicate plans to continue to lower interest rates.
The BoC has been the leader among major central banks in lowering rates, with five rate cuts since June for a total of 175 basis points. The central bank chopped the benchmark rate by 50 basis points to 3.25% last week but indicated in the rate statement that it expected a "more gradual approach to monetary policy", which means we can expect 25-bp increments in rate cuts if there are no surprises in inflation or employment data.
US retail sales sparkled, another sign that the US economy remains robust. Retail sales jumped 3.8% y/y in November, following an upwardly revised 2.9% in October. This was the highest annual gain since last December. Monthly, retail sales rose 0.7%, above the upwardly revised 0.5% gain in October and the market estimate of 0.5%.
US consumers have opened their wallets for the holiday season and motor vehicles and online sales helped drive the gain. The strong retail sales report didn't change expectations for a rate cut on Wednesday, which stand at 99%, according to the CME's FedWatch.
US PMIs on Monday pointed to a mixed bag. The Services PMI rose in December to 58.5 from 56.1 in November and above the forecast of 55.7. This was the highest level in over three years as the services economy is showing impressive expansion. The manufacturing sector is in dreadful shape and weakened to 48.3, down from 49.7 in November and below the market estimate of 49.8. Output and new orders are down as the demand for exports remains weak.
USD/CAD is testing resistance at 1.4289. Above, there is resistance at 1.4343
1.4191 and 1.4137 are the next support levels
GBP/USD rebounds to test THIS key resistance
The pound has been among the strongest currencies in the G10 space so far this week, owing to strength in UK data and diminishing hopes that the Bank of England will deliver a rate cut at this week’s policy meeting. However, against the US dollar, it is likely to resume lower given how strong the greenback has been as expectations about a hawkish rate cut from the FOMC builds. Meanwhile, a bit of selling in the stock market is also boosting the appeal of the US dollar, and this could provide pressure on the GBP/USD as it tests THIS key resistance area around 1.2715 to 1.2720 – a prior support area and where we have the 61.8% confluence.
This morning’s release of UK wages data surprised to the upside, and with it killed any hopes for a BoE rate cut this week. The Average Earnings Index rose to 5.2% on a 3m/y basis, beating the 4.6% reading expected. Strong wage growth and sticky inflation in the services sector are factors discouraging the BoE to cut rates further.
The latest UK wages data come hot on the heels of global PMI figures released yesterday. The key theme was faster-than-expected manufacturing contraction but stronger services expansion. The standout was the US services PMI, hitting a 38-month high of 58.5, driven by firm optimism about output under a new Trump administration. Coming just ahead of the year’s final FOMC meeting, it highlights the US economy’s resilience and potential for strength—factors that could fuel inflation and a less dovish Fed.
Today’s US retail sales data was mixed, and in any case unlikely to influence the Fed’s decision tomorrow.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
XAUUSD Analysis And Next Market MovePair Name = XAUUSD
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
XAUUSD is exactly on the way as predicted. Already In good gain after our prediction. Here it has completed the retesting Period. We can see price here around 2750. Gold is growing gradually day after day. In this Christmas Gold Will bullish
Bullish Targets :-
2800
3000
XAU/USD : LONG, SHORT, LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that the price failed to maintain its bullish momentum yesterday. With news favoring the dollar index, gold experienced further declines, reaching $2664 so far. Now, we can expect an upward correction, likely followed by another drop before gold resumes its rally towards levels above $2700. This analysis will be updated further, so stay tuned and follow step by step!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSD | 16.12.2024BUY 1.26450 | STOP 1.25900 | TAKE 1.27000 | The GBPUSD pair is trading higher, correcting after a sharp decline in the instrument at the end of the last trading week, as a result of which the “bears” were able to update the local lows of November 27: weak macroeconomic statistics from the UK put pressure on the pound’s position last Friday.
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 17, 2024 GBPUSDGBP/USD broke a three-day losing streak that took the pair to 1.2600 last week, recovering just over half a percent on Monday to return to the 1.2700 range.
UK services PMI results for December hit an 11-month low. On Tuesday, UK traders will focus on wage and labor data. Quarterly average wages are expected to rise to 5% year-on-year.
Markets await the Federal Reserve's rate decision on Wednesday. Traders will be closely watching the Fed's updated summary of economic projections (SEP) and interest rate forecasts from policymakers.
U.S. PMI data for December was mixed, with the services PMI hitting multi-year highs and the manufacturing PMI falling below 50.0, indicating contraction. Retail sales data will be released on Tuesday, but may attract limited market attention ahead of the Fed's final rate decision this year.
On Wednesday, traders will keep an eye on fresh UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, while the rest of the market will await the Bank of England's (BoE) latest rate decision scheduled for Thursday. The Bank of England is expected to leave the interest rate unchanged.
Trading recommendation: Watching the level of 1.2700, trading mainly with Buy orders
GBPUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off?Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.2664, which is a pullback support close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.2717, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.2610, which is an overlap support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/USD Sell Setup Incoming!!we can clearly see a nice formation of a bearish structure on the monthly timeframe which is consistent with the weekly structure
we also a key monumental shift on the EMA crossover and the price is now below the trendline
So as the DXY (Dollar index) continue to rise we shall see GBPUSD continue lower and currently we have multiple confirmation in higher structure confirming the probability setup
Use proper risk management!!
stop loss anywhere at 1.29000 level seem okey!!
target 1.21500
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