CABLE May Likely Struggle to Rally Above ResistanceGBPUSD previously been rejected and likely to be rejected again to drag pair to its mean before another impulsive movt above the resistance...
N.B!
- GBPUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#gbpusd
GBPUSD
GBPUSD Sell and Buy Trading PlanH4 - We have a clean bullish trend with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure
This strong bullish move ended with a bearish divergence
While measuring this strong bullish move using the Fibonacci retracement tool we have two key support zones that has formed (marked in green)
So based on this I expect short term bearish moves now towards the Fibonacci support zones and then continuation higher.
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CADCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISCADCHF is currently trading around 0.59 and is showing a strong bullish wave setup on the 8H chart. Price has bounced cleanly from a key demand zone, with a visible bullish engulfing structure, suggesting buyers are stepping in aggressively. My target for this setup is 0.61, aligning with a previous major resistance level seen on the chart.
Fundamentally, CAD is supported by firm oil prices and hawkish sentiment from the Bank of Canada, while CHF has been under mild pressure due to reduced demand for safe-haven assets amid improving global sentiment. This macro backdrop favors CAD strength in the near term, adding fuel to the bullish technicals.
If the current momentum sustains, we could see a smooth continuation toward 0.61, with a favorable risk-reward ratio. As always, trade management and patience are key, especially as the pair approaches resistance. I remain bullish on CADCHF in the short term, based on both structure and fundamentals.
Pound Pressured by BOE Cut ExpectationsGBP/USD dipped to approximately 1.3425 during early Asian trading on Tuesday, as a slight rebound in the U.S. dollar put pressure on the pair. The dollar was supported by easing U.S.-China trade tensions, following China’s decision to exempt certain U.S. imports from tariffs, despite its denial of ongoing negotiations.
Meanwhile, expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Bank of England in May continue to weigh on the pound. Markets are now focused on an upcoming speech by BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, with any dovish remarks likely to add further downside pressure on the GBP.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels are at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support is at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
GBPUSD(20250429)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The U.S. Treasury Department raised its second quarter debt forecast to $514 billion. U.S. Treasury Secretary: The "X Day" for the debt ceiling issue will be announced soon.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3387
Support and resistance levels:
1.3549
1.3488
1.3449
1.3325
1.3286
1.3225
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3449, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3488
If the price breaks through 1.3387, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3325
GU-Tue-29/04/25 TDA-Interesting GBP strength yesterday!Analysis done directly on the chart
Interesting GBP strength yesterday compared to its peers
USD, EUR. What could possibly fueled this move up?
Amid of US-China trade war potential negotiation and ahead
of next important week of interest rate decisions.
Comment down below your thoughts!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBP/USD - Watch out for a possible rejection!The British pound is currently moving towards the upside, showing a gradual but steady climb. However, it is approaching a significant resistance area that could pose a challenge to further gains.
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Double top
This resistance zone was previously a strong support level before the market formed a double top pattern and subsequently broke below it. As is often the case in technical analysis, this former support has now flipped into resistance, making it a key area where price could face strong selling pressure and potential rejection.
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1h FVG
Adding to the confluence, this resistance zone aligns closely with a 1h Fair Value Gap (FVG). FVGs often attract price back into them before a reaction occurs, making this area even more significant for a potential reversal.
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Golden Pocket
Just below the FVG lies the "Golden Pocket", the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the most recent drawdown. The Golden Pocket is one of the most closely watched Fibonacci levels by traders and is known for its strong influence on price action. Its proximity to the current structure increases the likelihood of a notable reaction, as many market participants will be watching this area closely for signs of rejection.
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Conclusion
Overall, the combination of previous support-turned-resistance, the 1-hour FVG, and the Golden Pocket retracement forms a high-probability zone where the British pound could encounter heavy resistance and a potential downside move.
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GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 1.3431 which is a swing high resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.3294 an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.3558, above the 161.8% Fibo extension.
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GBPUSD: Eyeing a Bullish Structure Shift - A Wyckoffian ApproachGBPUSD 🚦 Technical Analysis & Trade Plan
📊 Current Market Structure
The GBPUSD 4-hour chart is currently consolidating just below a set of equal highs, indicating a potential liquidity pool above. Price action has shown a series of higher lows, suggesting underlying bullish pressure. The market is in a range, with buyers and sellers in equilibrium, but the clustering of highs signals a likely stop-hunt or breakout scenario.
🧠 Wyckoff Perspective
From a Wyckoff standpoint, the market appears to be in the late stages of accumulation. The equal highs represent a classic “creek” or resistance, where smart money may engineer a breakout to trigger stops and induce breakout traders. A successful breakout, followed by a retrace to retest the broken highs (now support), and a subsequent bullish structure break, would confirm the presence of strong demand and the start of a mark-up phase.
🌍 Fundamental Backdrop
Fundamentally, GBP has been supported by resilient UK economic data and a slightly hawkish tone from the Bank of England, while the USD faces headwinds from softer inflation prints and dovish Fed rhetoric. However, geopolitical risks and global risk sentiment remain key drivers, so any sudden shifts could impact the pair.
📰 Current Sentiment
Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic for GBPUSD. CFTC positioning shows a reduction in net GBP shorts, and recent price action reflects a willingness to buy dips. However, the presence of equal highs suggests that many traders are watching for a breakout, increasing the likelihood of a stop-run before a genuine move higher.
🏦 Trade Idea
Entry: Buy on a confirmed break above the current equal highs (around 1.3340), wait for a retrace to retest the broken highs, and enter long on a bullish structure break (e.g., a higher low and bullish engulfing candle).
Stop Loss: Place stops below the retracement low (e.g., below 1.3300).
Take Profit: Target the next significant resistance zone (e.g., 1.3400–1.3450), scaling out as price approaches these levels.
Risk Management: Risk no more than 1–2% of your trading capital on this setup.
⚠️ Disclaimer
Trading forex involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The analysis and trade idea provided are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
GBPUSD trade setup.This chart shows a GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar) trading setup on the 1-hour timeframe, with a bearish outlook.
📊 Chart Analysis
Trend: Recently bearish after a previous uptrend.
Entry Zone: Area between approximately 1.33233 and 1.33317.
Setup Type: Sell/Short Trade Setup
🔍 Key Zones
Entry Zone (Supply/Resistance Area):
Marked as "entry zone".
This is the expected area where price might retrace to before dropping again.
Target Zone:
Arrow points down towards 1.32377, suggesting this is the Take Profit (TP) level.
Stop Loss (SL):
Slightly above the entry zone, near 1.33476, indicating risk management in case price continues upward.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary
Type: Short/Sell
Entry: Wait for price to re-enter the marked "entry zone" (~1.33233 - 1.33317).
Stop Loss: Above 1.33476.
Take Profit: Around 1.32377.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the potential profit zone (green area) is larger than the risk (red area).
GU Liquidity Game—Institutional Absorption vs. Breakout MomentumGBP/USD Hourly Analysis & Trade Execution
I’ve been closely tracking GBP/USD, and now price is sitting at 1.34208, testing the critical resistance zone at 1.34250. Bulls have maintained control, but I’m watching closely for institutional absorption or signs of exhaustion.
Market Structure & Key Zones
Major Resistance: 1.34250-1.34500 → If buyers hold, price could extend toward 1.34500.
Support at 1.33800-1.33950 → A possible demand zone if price pulls back before pushing higher.
Liquidity Trap Below 1.33650 → A quick dip below 1.33800, followed by aggressive buying, would indicate institutional positioning.
Momentum & Trend Confirmation
RSI (1-hour): 66.38 → Bullish, but nearing exhaustion territory.
Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 61.27 → Buyers are in control but watching for signs of slowing momentum.
Stochastic Fast (1-hour): 60.54 → Trend is intact, but reversal signals could emerge near resistance.
Trade Management Strategy
Setup: Bullish Breakout Continuation
Since price is testing 1.34250, I’ll hold my long position if buyers show sustained strength.
Entry: Holding long if price stabilizes above 1.34250.
Stop Loss: Adjusted to 1.33950 to lock in gains.
Target 1: 1.34500, strong resistance level.
Target 2: 1.34650, extended play if volume supports the breakout.
Setup: Liquidity Sweep & Reversal
If price rejects 1.34250, I’ll look for a pullback setup before re-entering long.
Entry: If price dips below 1.33800 but aggressively reclaims 1.34000, re-enter long.
Stop Loss: Below 1.33650, ensuring tight risk control.
Target 1: 1.34150, reclaiming previous resistance.
Target 2: 1.34350, profit zone if buyers remain strong.
Institutional Activity & Order Flow Considerations
Liquidity Sweeps Below 1.33850 → If price dips but quickly recovers, it could be a stop-hunt before continuation.
Absorption Near 1.34250 → If price holds steady here without sharp rejection, buyers may be absorbing sell-side liquidity.
Volume Confirmation at 1.34150 → If volume remains strong, further upside toward 1.34500 is likely.
Final Execution Adjustments
Monitoring order flow to assess whether institutions are accumulating or distributing positions near resistance.
Watching volume absorption and candle behavior near 1.34250.
Right now, GBP/USD is at a pivotal level—if buyers sustain above 1.34250, the trend continuation toward 1.34500-1.34650 is in play. However, failure to hold may signal institutional selling, triggering a pullback before another bullish attempt.
GBPUSD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the GBPUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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GBPUSD Analysis 10:37am 4/28. Happy Monday! GBP/USD Hourly Analysis & Day Trading Perspective
I’m looking at GBP/USD on the hourly timeframe, where price is now sitting at 1.339, confirming strong bullish momentum after breaking past key resistance. Here's how I'm approaching today's trading plan:
Market Structure & Key Levels
Resistance at 1.33850-1.34000 – Price is testing this level, and volume confirmation will determine whether we continue upward.
Support at 1.33650-1.33700 – If we see a pullback, this zone could act as a strong bounce area.
Institutional Interest at 1.33250-1.33300 – A liquidity zone where major players may absorb sell-side pressure.
Momentum & Trend Strength
RSI (1-hour): 88.88 → Overbought, meaning we might see consolidation or a retrace before another leg up.
CCI (1-hour): 81.81 → Still bullish, but exhaustion signs are creeping in.
Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 83.32 → Buyers are still in control, but reversals become more likely at extreme readings.
Directional Strength & Trend Confirmation
ADX (1-hour): 13.38 → Weak trend strength, suggesting that price could start ranging.
DX (1-hour): 79.92 → A strong push confirms market participation.
Day Trading Plan
Setup: Bullish Breakout Continuation
Since price has cleared 1.33650, the breakout play is already in motion. Here’s how I’m managing the setup:
Entry: Holding long as price remains above 1.33850, with strong buying pressure.
Target 1: 1.34000, a psychological barrier where liquidity may sit.
Target 2: 1.34250, next significant resistance.
Setup: Liquidity Sweep & Reversal
If price retraces, I’ll look for signs of institutional absorption before considering re-entry.
Entry: If price dips below 1.33650 but quickly reclaims 1.33800, I’ll look for confirmation of a reversal.
Target 1: 1.33950, previous high.
Target 2: 1.34200, extended move.
Order Flow & Volume Profile Considerations
Institutional Absorption: If price briefly drops below 1.33800 but quickly reclaims it, institutions could be absorbing liquidity.
Liquidity Trap: A sharp sell-off into 1.33650 could trigger stop losses before a potential bounce.
Volume Confirmation: If buyers remain strong at 1.33850, the move toward 1.34000-1.34250 is more likely.
Risk Management & Execution Strategy
I’ll monitor candle closures above 1.33850 before committing to further upside targets.
If volume increases, I’ll hold for 1.34000; if it slows down, I’ll consider partial profit-taking.
Watching institutional behavior near 1.33650 will be key for catching potential liquidity grabs.
Right now, GBP/USD is at a critical decision point—either continuation toward 1.34000, or a pullback to absorb liquidity before the next push. The key is watching volume flow and price absorption for confirmation before executing further moves.
GBP/USD - H1 - Bearish Flag (28.04.2025)FX:GBPUSD The GBP/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3209
2nd Support – 1.3151
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Fundamental Update :
on Monday as the trade tensions between the U.S. and China provided some relief to investors, while a stronger dollar further weighed on prices.
The U.S. dollar TVC:DXY rose 0.2% against a basket of currencies, making bullion more expensive for overseas buyers. TVC:DJI SP:SPX NASDAQ:IXIC also rising .
GBPUSD(20250428)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The Fed's subsequent policy path considers two scenarios: First, there is no substantial progress in the negotiations between the United States and its trading partners. After 90 days, the US tariffs are still high. Weakened economic demand may prompt the Fed to cut interest rates starting in July, and the annual rate cut may reach 100 basis points; second, the negotiations are fruitful, tariffs are reduced, and the demand shock is small, but inflationary pressure continues. The Fed may postpone easing and only cut interest rates slightly in December. For the market, although the easing comes early in the first scenario, the "recession-style" rate cut may suppress risky assets.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3309
Support and resistance levels:
1.3379
1.3353
1.3336
1.3282
1.3265
1.3239
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3309, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3336
If the price breaks through 1.3282, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3265
#GBPUSD: Major Swing Sell Coming On GU, What's your views? OANDA:GBPUSD , as discussed in our previous analysis, where we predicted price would reach our target area and then reject it. The price has almost reached this area, and we are now waiting for it to fully complete the move so that we can take a swing sell on the GBP. Currently, the British pound is stronger and bullish due to the UK’s strong economic growth. However, this is not the case for the US dollar. The dollar is struggling to keep up with other currencies and is currently the worst-performing currency of the month of April.
While focusing on GBPUSD as a pair, it has been extremely bullish since the start of April. However, we are now at a point where there are no strong reasons for the pair to remain bullish and continue its uptrend. There are fundamental signs that will eventually reverse the bearish trend.
Our advice to all is to wait for the price to do its thing. Once it reaches our target area, it may show strong bearish dominance. However, this is not a guarantee that it will behave as we expect. There are two targets that you can focus on once you trade is activated.
Good luck and trade safely!
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GBPUSD SELL NOW BUY LATER!Our previous idea played out perfectly once again! Currently, GBPUSD is showing signs of a pullback within a mini bearish trend. However, I still believe the overall structure remains bullish. I'll be watching for buying opportunities once this pullback completes. Stay patient and wait for confirmation!
GBP/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so GBP-USD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 1.301.
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