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GBPUSD

GBP Rebounds on Retail Sales – But USD Still in Control📌 GBP Bounces on Strong Retail Sales, But USD Strength Keeps Pressure On 💷📉 The British Pound (GBP) rebounded on Friday after UK Retail Sales data surprised to the upside. According to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), retail sales rose by 0.4% in March, beating expectations of a -0.4% decline. On a yearly basis, growth accelerated to 2.6%, outpacing the forecast of 1.8%. However, despite the positive data, traders remain confident the Bank of England (BoE) may still cut interest rates by 25 bps to 4.25% in the May meeting, due to persistent global uncertainties and softer inflation expectations. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) gained ground across the board as trade tensions between the US and China appeared to ease. Durable Goods Orders in the US jumped by 9.2% in March — a clear sign of business confidence and policy impact. 📊 Technical Outlook – GBP/USD GBP/USD briefly recovered from an intraday low of 1.3280 but remains under pressure near key resistance. On the upside, the psychological barrier at 1.3500 remains a major hurdle. To the downside, the April 3rd high around 1.3200 now acts as strong support. 💼 Trading Plan 🟢 BUY ZONE: Entry: 1.32500 SL: 1.32000 TP: 1.33300 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 1.34180 SL: 1.34700 TP: 1.33500 📌 Stay alert ahead of key BoE guidance and further US-China headlines — volatility may increase as we head into May.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
GBPUSD Will Fall! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 1.330. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.319 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
2
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D25 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D25 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅15’ order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Sterling Keeps Flat Amid Trade WatchThe British pound held steady near 1.3290 on Friday morning, maintaining levels seen in the previous session. The currency remained flat in recent days, supported by optimistic comments from Donald Trump and largely neutral PMI data. Upcoming economic releases and developments in the US-China trade dispute are expected to play a key role in shaping the pair’s direction next week. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels are at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support is at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
by ChartMage
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 25, 2025 GBPUSDAn event to watch out for today: 11:00 EET. CHF - The head of the SNB Martin Schlegel will deliver a speech GBPUSD: The GBP/USD pair is pulling back from its recent gains, hovering around 1.3290 during the Asian session on Friday. The pullback comes amid a strengthening US Dollar (USD), helped by a Bloomberg report that China may suspend a 125% tariff on some US imports, including medical equipment, ethane and aircraft leasing. Sources familiar with the matter said officials are particularly scrutinising the possibility of removing tariffs on aircraft leasing. China's Ministry of Finance and General Administration of Customs have not yet commented. Further support for the dollar comes from optimism around trade talks with the US. Reuters reports progress in preliminary talks with key Asian allies, including South Korea and Japan. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against six major currencies, is recovering previous losses and is trading near 99.80. However, the dollar faced headwinds after mixed labour market data. The US Department of Labour reported that initial jobless claims rose to 222,000 for the week ended April 19, slightly above expectations, while jobless claims fell 37,000 to 1.841 million for the week ended April 12. In the United Kingdom (UK), the GfK consumer confidence index fell to -23 in April - its lowest level since November 2023 - amid rising living costs and growing concerns about global trade, missing forecasts of -22. Traders now await UK retail sales data and a final reading of the US consumer sentiment index from Michigan later in the North American session. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3270, SL 1.3300, TP 1.3170
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD | Short-Term Resistance Forming – Stay Sharp for ReactionGBPUSD has been showing strength lately due to the UK’s early acknowledgment of recession risks and a more transparent economic approach. However, in the short term, we are now approaching a resistance zone that traders should pay close attention to. 🟥 Resistance Zone (Short-Term) The current red zone overhead has historically acted as a supply area — we’ve seen hesitation and sell pressure emerge here before. If price approaches this area again, it’s important not to chase longs blindly. This level could lead to profit-taking or even a temporary reversal. 📌 What You Can Do: If you're short-biased, look for lower timeframe weakness in this zone (e.g., rejection candles, market structure shifts) before jumping in. If you're long-biased, wait to see if this resistance gets reclaimed with strength. Only then consider it a continuation signal — otherwise, it’s best to stay patient. Always pair your setups with proper confirmation. You already know I never insist on an idea when price action tells another story. Confirmation is key. Adaptability is your edge. Don’t fight the market — flow with it, and let the chart reveal your edge. 📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. 📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. 📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. 🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely 📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box! 📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction! I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Short
by UmutTrades
GBPUSD Trade SetupA buy position has been placed on the GBP/USD pair at 1.30369, targeting an ambitious level of 1.39096. This setup reflects a bullish sentiment, anticipating a strong recovery in the British Pound against the US Dollar. Recent macroeconomic indicators suggest improving conditions in the UK economy, which could support further upward movement. Technical analysis shows that the pair is holding above key support levels, indicating sustained buying interest. If momentum continues, the price may gradually ascend toward the 1.39096 target in the coming weeks. A potential breakout above intermediate resistance zones could further confirm the bullish trend. Market sentiment also favors the Pound, especially amid speculation about a more cautious approach by the Federal Reserve. Volatility remains a factor, so proper risk management and stop-loss placement are essential. Traders should closely monitor upcoming data releases, such as GDP figures and central bank announcements. Overall, this trade setup offers a promising risk-to-reward ratio, backed by both technical strength and a supportive macroeconomic backdrop.
Long
by XAUUSD-Trade-ideas
2
GBP/USD Hourly Analysis & Scalping Perspective 4/24 10:37pmI’m looking at GBP/USD on the hourly timeframe, where price is currently hovering around 1.33074, showing mild volatility but respecting key levels. Here’s what I see: Market Structure & Key Zones: Resistance at 1.33350-1.33490 has been holding firm, with multiple failed breakout attempts. If buyers can finally push through, we might see momentum extend toward 1.33700. Support at 1.32850-1.32900 has been a demand zone, where price has reacted in the past—this could be an area of institutional absorption before a reversal. Price is consolidating between 1.33050-1.33350, suggesting indecision and potential liquidity traps. Momentum Indicators: RSI (1-hour): 21.69 → Deep in oversold territory, which suggests price could be setting up for a reversal. CCI (1-hour): -184.71 → Extreme bearish pressure—sellers are in control, but exhaustion may come soon. Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 0.0 → Completely oversold, signaling a possible bottom formation. Directional Strength: ADX (1-hour): 26.10 → Moderate trend strength, meaning price isn’t ranging but also isn’t aggressively trending. DX (1-hour): 69.10 → Strong directional push, supporting the current bearish move. Scalping Plan: Bullish Breakout: If price successfully breaks 1.33490, the next upside target is 1.33700, potentially 1.34000 if buyers hold control. Bearish Play: If price fails 1.33050, sellers could take control and push it toward 1.32850-1.32900. Liquidity Trap Setup: A sweep below 1.32850, followed by a sharp reclaim, could signal a fakeout before a reversal. Right now, I’m closely watching how price reacts around 1.33050—if buyers step in aggressively, a scalp toward 1.33350 could be viable. However, if momentum stays weak and price fails to hold above 1.33050, it’s likely we’re heading into deeper support zones near 1.32850 before institutions re-enter the market. I’d like to check order flow and volume profile next to see if liquidity is building up at these key zones. That would help confirm whether buyers are genuinely absorbing sell pressure or if we’re in for another wave down before a reversal.
by Sel_Ali
GBP/USD: The Pound Rebounds Back Above 1.33000During the last trading session, the GBP/USD pair posted a gain of more than 0.5% in favor of the pound, as U.S. dollar weakness continues, even after some positive remarks regarding the U.S.–China trade war. For now, it seems that investors are viewing European currencies as a potential safe haven amid the current wave of economic uncertainty across markets. This shift in sentiment has helped to sustain consistent bullish pressure on the pound in the short term. Broad Ascending Channel Since mid-January, the pair has been forming a strong ascending channel, with price now trading above the 200-period simple moving average, reinforcing long-term bullish momentum. So far, no bearish correction has been strong enough to break the channel, which remains the most relevant technical formation to monitor for upcoming GBP/USD moves. RSI Despite strong bullish momentum, a notable divergence has begun to form on the RSI, as the pair continues to post higher highs in price, while the RSI shows flat peaks in the short term. In addition, the RSI line is hovering near the 70 level, which marks the overbought zone. Both signals suggest a potential imbalance in market forces, possibly opening the door to short-term bearish corrections. Key Levels: 1.33763 – Key Resistance: This level represents the most recent highs reached by GBP/USD. A sustained move above this area could confirm strong bullish momentum and lead to an acceleration within the current channel. 1.30448 – Near Support: This area corresponds to a consolidation zone seen over the past few months. It may serve as a tentative barrier where short-term pullbacks could occur. 1.28248 – Major Support: This is a critical level, aligned with the 200-period simple moving average. A decisive move below this support could invalidate the current bullish formation and potentially trigger a long-term bearish shift. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
1
Analysis of GBPUSD 4 - hour ChartAnalysis of GBPUSD 4H Chart Trend Analysis From the 4 - hour chart, GBPUSD is generally in an uptrend. The price fluctuations have formed a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that the bulls are in control 🐂. Key Levels Support Area: The range of 1.3200 - 1.3240 is clearly marked as an important support area in the chart. Previously, the price has rebounded near this area multiple times, suggesting that there is strong buying pressure in this area. If the price retraces to this area again, it may present a potential opportunity to go long 💰. Target Area: 1.3420 is marked as the target area. If the price breaks through the current consolidation range and continues its upward trend, it is expected to move towards this target price level 🎯. Trading Strategy Long - position Strategy: When the price retraces to the 1.3200 - 1.3240 support area and a bullish candlestick pattern appears, one may consider entering a long position. Set the stop - loss just below the support area, and target the 1.3420 target area 📈. ⚡⚡⚡ GBPUSD ⚡⚡⚡ 🚀 Buy@1.32000 - 1.32400 🚀 TP 1.33500 - 1.34000 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Long
by Sovereign-
1
The next trade idea for “6B” GBPUSD FX FuturesCME:6B1! This trade idea is built on very simple premises. Simplicity in trading is what we all strive for. Where possible, we should aim to simplify our strategies rather than complicate them with excessive information—unless the additional inputs add clear, actionable value to the trade thesis. While that holds true in this analysis, for the sake of clarity and simplicity, we’ve chosen not to include volume profile study or levels derived from volume profiling. Also, don’t forget to check out how our example trade idea in Crude Oil played out —posted earlier this Tuesday. 6B Weekly Time frame: Key Levels Weekly Resistance: 1.3400 – 1.3425 Daily Double Top: 1.3425 April 21 Mid: 1.3350 April 2025 Developing Mid: 1.3067 Scenario 1: Break and Continuation In this scenario, we anticipate further upside in 6B futures and GBPUSD. A break above the double top at 1.3425 could lead to a push toward 1.3550. Look for confirmation across other FX futures and signs of Dollar weakening to support this thesis. Example Trade Idea 1: Entry: 1.3425 (wait for an hourly candle to close above the double top, then enter on the pullback) Stop: 1.3350 Target: 1.3550 Risk: 75 ticks Reward: 125 ticks Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.7 R Scenario 2: Swing Failure on Weekly Timeframe Zooming out to the weekly timeframe, 1.3425 aligns with a potential swing failure at prior resistance near 1.3423. A pullback from this level could provide a short opportunity. Watch for Dollar strength and pullbacks in 6E and 6J to further support this thesis. Example Trade Idea 2: Entry: 1.3350 (wait for sellers to regain control at Monday’s mid) Stop: 1.3425 Target: 1.3067 Risk: 75 ticks Reward: 283 ticks Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.7 R Important Notes: These are example trade ideas provided strictly for educational purposes and should not be considered trade recommendations. Traders are encouraged to perform their own independent analysis and thorough preparation before entering any positions. Please note: Stop losses are not guaranteed to execute at specified levels. Actual losses may exceed predetermined stop amounts.
CME:6B1!
by EdgeClear
GBPUSD INTRADAY corrective pullback supported at 1.3210GBP/USD maintains a bullish bias, with the broader trend and structure supporting upside continuation. The recent intraday move appears to be an overbought corrective pullback toward a key prior consolidation area. Key Support: 1.3210 – aligns with the previous consolidation zone and potential bullish inflection point. Upside Targets: 1.3435 – initial resistance level 1.3500 and 1.3580 – medium to long-term bullish targets If price finds support at 1.3210 and forms a bullish reversal, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend toward the mentioned resistance levels. However, a break and daily close below 1.3210 would invalidate the bullish scenario, suggesting deeper retracement toward 1.3120, with further support at 1.3015 and 1.2980. Conclusion GBP/USD remains bullish above 1.3210. Look for a bounce from this level to confirm upside continuation. A daily close below 1.3210 would turn the outlook bearish, exposing lower support levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPUSD - Will the dollar go up?!The GBPUSD pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. If the pair corrects down towards the demand zone, it can be bought in the direction of its rise. According to the latest Reuters survey of economists, U.S.-imposed trade tariffs have had a significant negative impact on the business environment in the United Kingdom. The assessment suggests that global trade tensions, combined with America’s protectionist policies, have undermined the confidence of British companies and investors in the country’s economic outlook. Market pricing reflects expectations that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 0.84% over the course of this year. The survey indicates that the UK’s GDP growth for 2025 is expected to average 0.9%, down from the previous estimate of 1%. Growth for 2026 is now projected at 1.2%, also lower than the 1.4% forecast made in March. In terms of monetary policy, there is a strong consensus among economists that the Bank of England is on a gradual path toward easing interest rates. Projections suggest that the base rate will decline by 25 basis points each quarter throughout 2025, reaching 3.75% by year-end. Notably, all 67 economists participating in the poll expect the Bank of England to cut rates by 25 basis points at its May 8 meeting, bringing the rate down to 4.25%. Meanwhile, the U.S.Federal Reserve, in its latest Beige Book release, reported that economic activity across the country has shown “little change.” The report detailed that only five districts experienced “modest growth,” three noted activity was “about flat,” and four reported “slight to moderate declines.” The Fed stated, “The outlook in several districts deteriorated notably due to heightened economic uncertainty, particularly stemming from tariffs.” On employment, most districts experienced “little to slight” increases. One district noted a “modest increase,” four reported “slight gains,” another four observed no change, and three recorded “slight declines” in employment levels. At the same time, prices continued to rise across the country. Six districts described price growth as “modest,” while the other six reported it as “moderate.” The Fed explained that most districts expected input costs to rise further due to tariffs. UBS has issued a warning that Donald Trump’s calls for rate cuts may erode confidence in the Federal Reserve’s independence and fuel greater uncertainty in financial markets. UBS analysts believe that reduced investment and consumption in the U.S. economy are primarily driven by increased economic uncertainty, rather than restrictive monetary policy. They emphasize that markets are highly sensitive to any perceived threats against the Fed’s autonomy, and in the current climate, it is this economic volatility—more than interest rate levels—that is harming the economy.
Long
by Ali_PSND
GBP/USD is Bullish: This Breakout Triggers the UptrendFenzoFx—GBP/USD fell from $1.3435, testing the 50-period simple moving average near $1.3276. The Stochastic Oscillator is nearing the 20 level, suggesting the US dollar is overbought in the short term. Support lies at $1.3202. The outlook remains bullish while above this level, though a close above $1.3295 is needed to confirm upward momentum. A retest of $1.3435 could follow. Bearish Scenario: A drop below $1.3202 would invalidate the bullish view, potentially extending the decline to $1.3144 or even $1.3030 under sustained selling pressure.
Long
by FenzoFxBroker
XauUsd (Gold)Good day traders, I haven’t been feeling well but I thought let me give you Gold will I recover. Gold on the 4h we had a shift in structure lower and for our daily that’s just confirms a reversal I’ve been anticipating for a while now. But here we focusing on what price is currently doing on the 1 hour and 15 minutes, there in that rectangle box that represents my inverse FVG which we saw price close above. Now we wanna see price falling the close below that inverse to enter long.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
GBPUSD(20250424)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The United States hit a 16-month low in April. The total number of new home sales in the United States in March was an annualized to a new high since September 2024. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3274 Support and resistance levels: 1.3379 1.3340 1.3314 1.3234 1.3209 1.3170 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3274, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3314 If the price breaks through 1.3234, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3209
Long
by Toml1314
Weekly FOREX Forecast: Mid-Week UPDATES! In this video, we will update Sunday's forecasts for the following FX markets: USD Index EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD USDCAD USDCHF USDJPY Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or other wise. In this video, we will update the forecasts for the following FX markets:
by RT_Money
British PMIs fall, Trump says won't fire PowellThe British pound dropped as much as 0.7% earlier today and is under pressure. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3265, down 0.45% on the day. The pound has taken advantage of broad US dollar weakness recently, rising 3% in the month of April. On Tuesday, the pound climbed as high as 1.3423, its highest level since September 2024. UK PMIs reports softened in April, another reminder that that the UK economy is struggling. The Services PMI fell to 48.9 from 52.5 in March, below the market estimate of 51.3. There are growing fears that the UK will fall into recession and global economic uncertainty has led to decreased business activity. The Manufacturing PMI eased to 44.0, matching the market estimate but lower than the March reading of 44.9. This was the lowest reading since August 2023 as the deteriorating global market outook has reduced demand for UK exports. The increase in employer tax contributions has hurt employment and lowered confidence. The International Monetary Fund has lowered its 2025 global growth forecast to 2.8, down from 3.3% in January. The downgrade was in response to US tariffs and the IMF warned that an escalation of trade tensions between the US and other countries would create further market volatility and lead to even lower growth. US stock markets are sharply higher on Wednesday after President Trump said that he had no intention to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Trump had intensified his attacks on Powell in recent days, resulting in sharp slides in US equity markets and the US dollar. Trump also said that China tariffs would drop "substantially" and investors hope this signals a de-escalation in the nasty trade war between the US and China.
by OANDA