GBPUSDWe are trending UP but the price now show as weaknes for buyers and we think that gone to the level 61.8
LR
GBPUSD
Bullish bounce off pullback support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2526
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2463
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2660
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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GBPUSD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.25600 zone, GBPUSD is trading an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.25600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBP_USD LOCAL SHORT|
✅GBP_USD has retested a key resistance level of 1.2640
And as the pair is already making a bearish pullback
A move down to retest the demand level below at 1.2557 is likely
SHORT🔥
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EURUSD BUY LONG Position Technical vs FundamentalTechnical vs Fundamental analysis for EURUSD buy long up to 1.09.This will hit different.Just React
XAU/USD : Time for BUY? Let's see! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 1-hour gold chart, we can see that, as expected, gold broke above the $2,902.5 resistance yesterday and continued its bullish movement, successfully hitting the next targets at $2,914 and $2,919!
I hope you made the most of this analysis! 🚀
The next potential move depends on whether gold stabilizes above $2,914. If it does, we could see further growth toward $2,922 and $2,928 as the next upside targets.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSD consolidates before breakup1.2578-1.2631 is the range for consolidation
I assume it will break to the upside
bullish trigger 1.2631
target 1.2812
stop below 1.2550
Wednesday 19th Feb '25 The Day Ahead Wednesday February 19
Data: US January building permits, housing starts, February New York Fed services business activity, China January new and used home prices, UK January CPI, RPI, PPI, December house price index, Italy December current account balance, ECB December current account
Central banks: Fed's FOMC minutes, Jefferson speaks, RBNZ decision, BoJ's Takata speaks
Earnings: HSBC, Analog Devices, Rio Tinto, Glencore, Carvana, BAE Systems, Vale, Carrefour, Etsy
Auctions : US 20-year Bonds ($16bn)
Cable H4 | Falling to pullback supportCable (GBP/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.2562 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.2490 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 1.2660 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
xauusd video analysis for the weekXAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) Analysis: February 17 – Febrauary 25, 2025
This analysis provides an in-depth evaluation of gold’s potential trajectory over the specified period, integrating fundamental drivers, technical indicators, and expert forecasts. Key factors influencing gold include geopolitical risks, monetary policy shifts, inflation trends, and technical patterns.
1. Fundamental Drivers
A. Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty
Trade Tensions: The U.S. administration’s recent tariffs (e.g., 25% on Mexican and Canadian imports, 10% on Chinese goods) have amplified global trade risks, increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Middle East and China Risks: Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a slowdown in China’s economy (evidenced by a decline in the Caixin PMI) are further driving investors toward gold.
B. Monetary Policy and Inflation
Fed Rate Cuts: Expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 and dovish stances from the ECB and BoE are weakening fiat currencies, boosting gold prices.
Inflation Hedge: Persistent inflation, driven by tariffs and supply-chain disruptions, enhances gold’s appeal. Analysts caution that U.S. inflation could exceed targets, forcing the Fed to reverse rate cuts, which may temporarily support the USD but ultimately favor gold.
C. Central Bank Demand
Central banks, notably China’s PBOC, are accumulating gold reserves to diversify away from the USD, creating structural demand.
2. Technical Analysis
A. Short-Term Signals (February–March)
Momentum Indicators: The RSI (26.05) and Stochastic Oscillator (14.5) signal oversold conditions, suggesting a potential rebound.
Key Levels:
Support: $2,830 (February 10 analysis) and $2,720 (ascending channel lower boundary).
Resistance: $2,887 (immediate target) and $2,900 (psychological barrier).
2. Key Technical Levels
Support Levels:
Immediate Support: $2,880 – This level aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the recent rally.
Critical Support: $2,850 – Represents the lower boundary of the ascending channel formed since late 2024.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $2,920 – A breach could trigger bullish momentum toward higher targets.
Key Resistance: $2,959 – The upper boundary of the channel and a major psychological level.
3. Momentum Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 62, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory.
Moving Averages (MA):
50-Day MA: Positioned at $2,910, offering dynamic support.
200-Day MA: Located at $2,780, signaling long-term strength.
Stochastic Oscillator: Signals potential upside as it exits oversold conditions on the 4-hour chart.
4. Chart Patterns and Trends
Ascending Channel: Gold continues to trade within an ascending channel, maintaining a bullish structure.
Bullish Flag Formation: On the daily chart, a bullish flag suggests a potential breakout if prices sustain above $2,920.
Candlestick Signals: Last Friday’s bullish engulfing pattern highlights strong buying interest.
5. Scenarios for the Week
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $2,920 could target $2,965 and $3,000.
Momentum indicators support further upside if geopolitical tensions persist.
Bearish Scenario:
A failure to hold $2,880 may lead to a decline toward $2,850.
Profit-taking or USD strength could pressure gold, particularly if U.S. economic data surprises positively.
Bullish Targets/ Resistance
2890
2906
2928
2934
2959
2972
2987
3023
Bearish/Support
2872
2857
2841
2807
2781
GBP/USD Analysis & Key Trading Zones🚀 GBP/USD is at a crucial point, showing signs of potential movement. Here’s what to watch:
🔹 Daily Structure:
GBP/USD remains in a choppy range, showing indecision at key price levels.
Major liquidity zones remain below recent lows, making downside sweeps possible before any bullish continuation.
50% retracement level aligns with the next area of interest, suggesting a potential reaction point.
🔹 4H Structure & Liquidity Grabs:
The pair has tapped into a fresh 4H demand zone, which could fuel the next upside move.
Internal liquidity sweeps suggest GBP/USD may be gathering momentum for a push higher.
If price breaks a key 1H fractal high, it could confirm a shift in structure.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support Zones:
1.2600 - 1.2580: Potential liquidity grab & bounce zone.
1.2550: Deeper support for high-probability longs.
❌ Resistance Zones:
1.2680 - 1.2700: A key supply area.
1.2750: Break above = bullish confirmation.
🔹 Trading Plan:
📊 If GBP/USD retests demand & holds, long positions targeting 1.2680+ are valid.
📊 If the dollar index weakens further, GBP/USD may see additional bullish momentum.
📊 If support fails, look for a break-and-retest of 1.2550 before considering longs again.
⚡ What’s your bias on GBP/USD? Bullish or Bearish? Drop your thoughts below! 👇📉📈
#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoney #Liquidity #TradingView
Bearish drop?GBP?USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2614
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.2719
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 1.2524
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD - Long from trendline !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is rejection from trendline + LZ around level 1.25000.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
GBP/USD: Bank of England's Cautious Tone Sparks DeclineThe British pound has retreated from its recent gains, succumbing to downward pressure as Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey voiced his apprehensions regarding the economic outlook. This cautious stance from the BoE's leadership has cast a shadow over the currency, prompting investors to reassess their positions.
From a technical analysis perspective, the GBP/USD pair is currently navigating a critical zone, characterized by a supply area that has historically acted as a barrier to upward movement. Notably, the latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report reveals that retail traders are predominantly positioned on the bullish side of the market, suggesting a potential mismatch between market sentiment and the underlying fundamentals.
Furthermore, seasonal patterns indicate that the pound may be on the cusp of a bearish momentum shift. This confluence of technical and seasonal factors has created a high-probability setup for a potential reversal, with the price action poised to challenge the recent uptrend.
In light of these developments, we are actively seeking a short setup, anticipating that the pound's decline may gain momentum in the near term. The alignment of technical, fundamental, and seasonal forces suggests that the GBP/USD pair may be vulnerable to a corrective move, presenting an opportunity for traders to capitalize on the potential downturn. As the market continues to evolve, careful monitoring of the price action and trading sentiment will be crucial in determining the optimal entry and exit points for this potential short trade.
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GBPUSD: Important Bullish Breakout 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD looks strongly bullish on a daily after
a confirmed breakout of a key daily resistance.
It opens a potential for a rise to 1.271 level.
Be ready for more growth the comming days.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
AUDNZD Ascending Triangle Bullish Breakout Targeting 1.1340The AUDNZD currency pair is currently trading at 1.1140, with a target price of 1.1340, suggesting a potential upward move of 100+ pips. The pair is forming an ascending triangle pattern, a classic bullish continuation pattern. This pattern typically forms when the price consistently makes higher lows while encountering a horizontal resistance level, signaling a potential breakout above the resistance. Traders are looking for a confirmation of the breakout above the resistance level to target 1.1340.
From a technical perspective, the ascending triangle is often a sign of market indecision, but it’s typically followed by a breakout to the upside when the price pushes through the resistance at the top of the triangle. In this case, the breakout would likely target the 1.1340 level, where the next significant resistance could come into play.
On the fundamental side, the Australian dollar has been relatively stronger recently due to robust commodity exports, particularly iron ore and coal. In contrast, the New Zealand dollar faces pressure from a more dovish outlook from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which has recently taken a cautious approach to monetary policy. These economic dynamics could support the bullish case for AUDNZD, especially if the breakout occurs in favor of the Aussie dollar.
In summary, the ascending triangle pattern on AUDNZD points toward a bullish breakout above the 1.1160 resistance. If confirmed, the pair could target the 1.1340 level. Keep an eye on any upcoming economic data from both Australia and New Zealand, as these could provide further confirmation or invalidate the breakout.
GBP/USD Analysis – Bullish Momentum or a Pullback?GBP/USD Technical Analysis – Bullish Momentum or a Temporary Pullback?
By Dhanda The Great
The GBP/USD currency pair has been on an interesting journey over the past few months, experiencing a significant downtrend before showing signs of a bullish reversal. The big question now: Is this the beginning of a sustained uptrend, or just a temporary pullback?
Chart Analysis & Key Levels
Breakout from the Downtrend:
The pair was trading within a descending channel for months, indicating a strong bearish structure.
Recently, GBP/USD broke out of this channel, which could signify a trend reversal or at least a short-term bullish correction.
Support & Resistance Zones:
Support: The key demand zone lies between 1.2100 - 1.2200, where previous bounces have occurred.
Resistance: GBP/USD faces a crucial test around 1.2750 - 1.2800. A break above this level could propel the pair towards the psychological 1.3000 mark.
Moving Averages & Bollinger Bands:
The price is currently riding the upper Bollinger Band, which shows strong buying pressure.
Short-term EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) are crossing upwards, signaling potential bullish continuation.
Trade Ideas & Market Outlook
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If GBP/USD holds above 1.2600, it could gain further momentum towards 1.2750 - 1.2800.
A confirmed breakout above 1.2800 would open doors for 1.3000.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to sustain above 1.2600, we could see a pullback to 1.2300 - 1.2200.
A break below 1.2200 would indicate bearish strength, potentially leading to 1.2000 or lower.
Final Thoughts
The GBP/USD is at a critical juncture, and traders should keep an eye on key levels. With fundamental catalysts like economic data and central bank policies, volatility is expected. A sustained breakout above 1.2800 could mark the beginning of a strong bullish trend, while rejection could send prices lower.
🔥 What’s Next?
Keep an eye on GBP/USD and be ready to react!
Let’s make 2025 the year of your financial success! 🚀💰
#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #DhandaTheGreat #Investing #TradingSignals #FinancialFreedom
GBP/USD Rises on Strong UK GDPGBP/USD climbed to 1.2595 in early Asian trading on Sunday, driven by strong UK GDP data and weaker US retail sales. January retail sales dropped 0.9%, the steepest decline in nearly two years, after a revised 0.7% rise in December, far below the expected 0.1% dip. However, year-over-year sales grew by 4.2%. Meanwhile, the UK economy expanded by 0.1% in Q4 2024, beating forecasts and strengthening the Pound.
Key resistance is at 1.2600, with further levels at 1.2650 and 1.2700. Support stands at 1.2340, followed by 1.2265 and 1.2100.
GBPUSD M15 I Bearish Drop Based on the M15 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.2618, aligning with a pullback resistance level and the 50% Fibonacci retracement. This setup suggests a potential bearish reversal.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 1.2596, a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is set at 1.2634, a resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
UK Employment and Inflation Numbers Ahead; GBP/USD Drifting ArouWhile the UK is evading US tariffs for now, its economy continues to face a somewhat undecided future, with taxes on business set to increase in April and a lingering drag from the elevated interest rates.
However, this week’s focus shifts to a rather busy slate of economic data in the UK. Regarding tier-1 metrics, I will largely focus on Tuesday’s employment figures for December 2024 and the January CPI inflation (Consumer Price Index) report on Wednesday. The data comes on the heels of last week’s better-than-expected GDP (Gross Domestic Product) numbers for December 2024.
BoE: ‘Gradual and Careful’ Approach
You will recall that the Bank of England (BoE) recently cut the Bank Rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.50% – which did not raise too many eyebrows – and the BoE Governor signalled a ‘gradual and careful’ approach to easing policy. However, the 7-2 MPC vote split (Monetary Policy Committee) caused a stir. BoE member Catherine Mann – a known hawk – joined Swati Dhingra (dove) and voted to cut the Bank Rate by 50 bps.
The central bank also released updated quarterly projections revealing an upward revision to inflation and weaker GDP, and it forecasted that the Bank Rate would remain higher for longer. Inflation is expected to rise by 2.8% in Q1 25 (versus 2.4% in the previous forecast) and increase by 3.0% in Q1 26 (versus 2.6% in the previous forecast), followed by inflation cooling back to the BoE’s 2.0% target in 2027. GDP growth is now expected to grow by 0.4% in Q1 25 (down from 1.4% in the prior forecasts), with economic activity predicted to grow by 1.5% in Q1 26. The BoE also estimates that the Bank Rate will remain around 4.5% in Q1 25 but likely fall to 4.2% in Q1 26, against previous forecasts for 3.7%. Markets are currently pricing another 57 bps worth of cuts this year (little more than two rate cuts).
UK Employment and Inflation Data Eyed
UK employment numbers will be released tomorrow at 7:00 am GMT and are expected to show unemployment ticked higher to 4.5% between October to December 2024, up from 4.4% in November. In terms of wages, both regular pay and pay that includes bonuses are forecast to increase by 5.9% on a year-on-year basis (YY), up from 5.6%. However, while market participants will widely watch the jobs report, which can prove market moving, it is essential to remember the validity of the survey’s data remains in question.
Wednesday welcomes the January CPI inflation data at 7:00 am GMT, which is expected to reveal increasing price pressures across key measures. Headline YY CPI inflation is forecast to increase by 2.8% (from December’s reading of 2.5% ), consistent with the BoE’s updated forecasts. The current estimate range is between a high of 2.9% and a low of 2.4%. YY core CPI inflation – excluding volatile food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco items – is estimated to have increased by 3.7%, up from 3.2% in December (estimate range between 3.8% and 3.3%). Regarding services inflation, the YY print is anticipated to rise by nearly a whole percentage point to 5.2%, compared to December’s reading of 4.4%. A rise in price pressures, particularly data that meets or exceeds upper estimates, could prompt investors to pare back rate-cut bets this year. This also places the central bank in a somewhat difficult position, given that it not only reduced the Bank Rate last week, but two MPC members also voted for an outsized 50 bp reduction.
GBP/USD: Monthly Bullish Engulfing Formation?
The monthly chart shows price is on the verge of pencilling in a bullish engulfing pattern from support at US$1.2173 (textbook engulfing patterns focus on the real bodies, not the upper and lower shadows). Monthly resistance demands attention overhead at US$1.2715, with a break of this barrier likely paving the way north for further outperformance towards another layer of monthly resistance coming in at US$1.3111.
Interestingly, buyers and sellers are squaring off at resistance from US$1.2608 on the daily timeframe. The supply area directly to the left of current price (red area) was weak (as noted in a previous piece I posted), with technical buying gathering steam from retesting trendline resistance-turned-support, extended from the high of US$1.3428.
If inflation comes in broadly higher than expected, this will likely underpin a bid in the GBP/USD (British pound versus the US dollar) and perhaps pull the currency pair beyond current daily resistance towards the monthly resistance mentioned above at US$1.2715, closely shadowed by another layer of daily resistance at US$1.2752.
Written by FP Markets Market Analyst Aaron Hill
GBP-USD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD keeps growing
And will soon hit a horizontal
Resistance of 1.2631 and as
We think that the pair is
Locally overbought we
Will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
SELL GBP/USDAnother trade you can take today is on GBP/USD, you can enter after that the market was consolidating for the whole night and gave us an entry that came after the manipulation.
SELL following the same levels as mine!
Follow for more!
