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GBPUSD

GBP/USD: Path to 1.3200 on Policy DivergenceThis trade idea outlines a high-conviction bearish thesis for GBP/USD. The core of this analysis is a significant and growing divergence between the fundamental outlooks of the UK and US economies, which is now being confirmed by a bearish technical structure. We anticipate the upcoming UK economic data releases during the week of July 14-18 to act as a catalyst for the next leg down. The Fundamental Why 📰 The primary driver for this trade is the widening policy and economic divergence. The UK is facing a triad of headwinds while the US economy exhibits greater resilience. This fundamental imbalance favors the US Dollar and is expected to intensify. Dovish Bank of England: The BoE is clearly signaling a dovish pivot towards monetary easing in response to a weakening labor market and sluggish growth prospects. This contrasts with the Federal Reserve's more patient, data-dependent stance. Widening Rate Differentials: The divergence in central bank policy is leading to a widening interest rate differential that favors the US Dollar. Geopolitical Headwinds: Fiscal policy from the new UK government and ongoing trade tensions are creating additional headwinds for the Pound. The Technical Picture 📊 Price action provides strong confirmation of the bearish fundamental thesis, showing a clear loss of upward momentum and the formation of a new downtrend. 📉 Death Cross: The 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average, forming a "death cross," which is a strong bearish indicator. 📉 Key Level Lost: The price has recently broken and is holding below the critical 200-day moving average, a classic bearish signal. 📉 Bearish Momentum: Both the RSI (below 50) and the MACD (below its signal line and zero) indicate that bearish momentum is in control. The Trade Setup 📉 👉 Entry: 1.3540 - 1.3610 🎯 Take Profit: 1.3200 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.3665
Short
by MaxellAguiran
Bullish reversal?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 1.3529 1st Support: 1.3457 1st Resistance: 1.3633 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
GBPUSD: Two Strong Bullish Area To Buy From ?GU is currently in a bullish trend when examined on a daily time frame. There are two potential areas for purchase. The first area is currently active, as we anticipate a price reversal from this point. There is a significant possibility that price could decline to the second area and subsequently reverse from there directly. The sole reason we believe price could drop to the second area is if the US Dollar experiences corrections, which could cause GU to drop to our second area and subsequently rebound. If you appreciate our analysis, we kindly request that you consider the following actions: -Liking the Ideas -Commenting on the Ideas -Sharing the Ideas We extend our sincere gratitude for your continuous support. We trust that our insights have provided even a modicum of assistance. Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
8
GBPUSD Short idea! Yes, we're bullish on the Daily timeframe. This is a continuation of the 4H bearish pullback. For me, we're not far enough into the discount leg of the daily swing. I'd like to see some of those hefty imbalances get filled first. Risky, given that we've only wicked that recent 4H swing low, so waiting for 15m confirmation within that 1H extreme OB. Targeting the 4H swing low for a 2.5RR. We could switch up, and rally up now, but the DXY is showing some more potential upside strength in the short term. So, this aligns well with my notion of more GBP downside, ahead of the next rally up!
Short
by jakrmo
GBPUSD July Playbook: Bearish Setup at Channel High GBPUSD just printed a CC SELL signal right at the top of its rising channel — setting the stage for a potential July pullback. 📌 Breakdown using Vinnie’s Trading Cheat Code System: ✅ RSI Overbought zone triggered ✅ CC Sell + Confirm Sell combo at channel resistance (~1.38) ✅ Price stretched far above the mean with no higher timeframe support nearby ✅ MACD histogram rolling over — momentum shift in play 🎯 Targets: 1.3500 (channel median / recent base) 1.3280 (deeper support / previous Confirm Buy area) This looks like a textbook trap-the-buyers setup. Patience on the entry — I’ll be stalking rallies to sell into. 🧠 Tools Used: Vinnie’s Confirm Alerts CC Trend Indicator RSI OB/OS Scanner MACD HPS Screener Following this closely — could be one of the cleanest short opportunities of the month.
Short
by bluesignalfx
GBPUSD h4 big downhe resistance at 1.36554 may be weak due to: Multiple taps already Reduced seller interest A breakout above this zone could trigger short covering → sharp rally ✅ 2. Higher Low Structure Recent low at 1.35475 held strong Current consolidation appears like a bullish flag or accumulation range Could indicate continuation, not rejection GBPUSD SELL IDEA Fakeout Reversal Setup If price dips into the support at 1.35475 again, it might: Trap breakout traders Reverse and form a new impulse leg upward Target = 1.3700–1.3750 zone Disruption Path: Bullish Breakout Minor dip or tight range around current price Break and hold above 1.3655 Acceleration toward 1.3700–1.3750 Disruption Invalidation A strong close below 1.3540 with volume
Short
by Zara_FVG
2
GBPUSD Bullish continuation pattern breakout?The GBPUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 1.3544 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 1.3544 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 1.3770 – initial resistance 1.3830 – psychological and structural level 1.3890 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3544 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 1.3500 – minor support 1.3440 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 1.3544. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPUSD Is Going Up! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.360. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.364 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 10, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to watch today: 15:30 EET. USD - Initial Jobless Claims GBPUSD: The British pound remains under pressure amid increased risk-off sentiment linked to new White House statements about additional tariffs from August 1. This is boosting demand for the US dollar as a safe haven and prompts investors to take profits on long GBP positions. Domestic factors in the UK also have a negative impact: revisions to social spending programs and weak manufacturing PMI and retail sales data signal a slowdown in economic activity. The Bank of England is expected to keep the rate at 5.50% until year-end, which limits the pound’s attractiveness for investors. The current GBP/USD rate is 1.35900. In the absence of positive drivers from the UK economy and persistent demand for the dollar, the pair remains vulnerable to further declines toward 1.3520. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.36000, SL 1.36300, TP 1.35200
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
$GU (GBPUSD) 1HPrice has been consolidating after a previous sell-off and is now showing signs of accumulation above a defined demand zone (1.35600–1.35800). The price has respected the ascending internal trendline, forming higher lows — an early sign of bullish intent. Strong bullish rejection from this area confirms interest from smart money. Price tested it and immediately rebounded, signaling absorption of sell-side liquidity. The internal ascending trendline continues to act as dynamic support. As long as price respects this trendline, bullish bias remains intact. Multiple highs around 1.36300 remain untouched — a magnet for price.That area overlaps with an Order Block (OB), making it a high-probability target for institutional interest. The tight consolidation before the expansion (highlighted in blue) suggests price is loading for a sharp move. As long as price remains above the demand zone and trendline A bullish expansion toward the OB zone (1.36300–1.36400) Or A potential liquidity sweep above the highs, aligning with external liquidity targets.
Long
by TopGBanks
Bearish drop for the Cable?The price is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 1.3632 1st Support: 1.3503 1st Resistance: 1.3693 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Skeptic | GBP/USD Update: Triggers Fired Up!Hey everyone, it’s Skeptic! ;) yesterday, the support at 1.35672 saw a fake breakout and snapped back into the 4-hour box we’ve been tracking. But bearish momentum is still strong, so here’s the play: ✔️ If you opened a short already , With the fake breakout signaling potential momentum shift, consider taking profits or closing if price consolidates above 1.36089. Why? The fakeout increases the chance of a momentum change. ✨ For new short positions , the 1.35672 break remains a valid trigger. If it breaks again, it could kickstart a major bearish leg, targeting lower supports at 1.35000 and 1.34227 —both strong reaction zones. 📊 The HWC is uptrend, so shorts need extra caution—reduce risk or take profits early. 📉 For longs , wait for a break and consolidation above 1.36406 . This level saw a strong rejection, signaling it’s a key resistance the market respects. A break here, liquidating short positions (which means buying), could spark a solid uptrend leg with great R/R potential. 🔔 Confirmation : Use RSI entering oversold for shorts or overbought for longs. The HWC uptrend means shorts carry higher risk, so tighten your risk management—stick to 1%–2% risk per trade. 🔼 Key Takeaway: Short at 1.35672 if it breaks again, long at 1.36406 with confirmation. Stay sharp for momentum shifts and keep stops tight. I’ll update if the market structure flips! 💬 Let’s Talk! Which GBP/USD trigger are you locked on? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! :)))
by SkepticWise
1
GBP/USD Rebounds Inside Channel – Long Opportunity in MotionHi traders! Analyzing GBP/USD on the 30-minute timeframe, price is currently respecting a descending channel, showing signs of a bullish bounce after retesting lower support. 🔹 Entry: 1.3586 🔹 Take Profit (TP): 1.3618 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 1.3555 Price is attempting to recover after holding at the bottom of the channel, and is now pushing toward the 20 EMA. If momentum builds, a retest of the upper trendline and the 1.3618 zone is likely. RSI is slightly recovering from neutral levels, adding confluence to this rebound setup. This long trade offers a solid risk-to-reward ratio within a possible short-term counter-trend move. Watch closely as price approaches dynamic resistance. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for their own decisions and risk management.
Short
by FXOnTop
GBP/USD Short Idea Analysis : GBP/USD is approaching a critical resistance zone between 1.37850 and 1.38800 on the daily timeframe, presenting a potential short opportunity based on technical and fundamental factors. Technical Analysis: Price Action: The 1.37850–1.38800 zone aligns with prior highs and a strong resistance area, likely to trigger rejection or a bearish reversal pattern (e.g., double top or bearish engulfing). Support/Target: Initial support at 1.3700, with a deeper target at 1.3600 if bearish momentum builds. Indicators: RSI is approaching overbought territory (near 70), signaling potential exhaustion. MACD shows slowing bullish momentum, supporting a short bias. Fibonacci: The 1.37850–1.38800 zone coincides with the 76.4%–88.6% Fibonacci retracement of the prior downmove, reinforcing resistance. Fundamental Context: UK economic data (e.g., weaker retail sales or PMI) suggests GBP vulnerability. Meanwhile, USD strength is bolstered by hawkish Fed expectations and resilient US economic indicators. Risks: A breakout above 1.3900 could invalidate the setup. Monitor BoE rhetoric and US data releases for sudden shifts. Conclusion: The 1.37850–1.38800 resistance zone offers a high-probability short setup for GBP/USD, supported by technical resistance and USD-favorable fundamentals. Use strict risk management due to potential volatility.
Short
by realtrademaster