GBPUSD Week 12 Swing Zone/LevelsA new trading week begins.
The swing zone and projected paths are set.
Trades will be guided by price action.
GBPUSD
Pound Steady Near Four-Month Low Amid BoE Rate Hold ExpectationsThe pound traded at $1.294, near a four-month low, as investors awaited the BoE's Thursday decision. The central bank is expected to hold rates at 4.5%, balancing weak growth and inflation risks. Despite forecasts for 2025 rate cuts, none are expected now. The UK labor market is weakening, with unemployment set to hit 4.5% and wage growth slowing. Markets also await Chancellor Reeves’ Spring Statement on March 26 for economic updates. In trade talks, the UK is taking a softer stance with the US than the EU.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3050, the next resistance levels are 1.3100 and 1.3150. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2800 and 1.2715 if selling pressure increases.
XAU/USD: Another ATH (All Time High) Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has finally made its big move, just as we predicted! After a correction to $2905, demand increased, pushing the price up by over 400 pips to $2949.
Currently, gold is trading around $2940, and there are two key scenarios:
1️⃣ Holding support at $2940, leading to a rise above $2950 as the first target.
2️⃣ Breaking below $2940 and stabilizing under it, which could trigger a further correction to $2923.
This analysis will be more complete with your support, and more details will be added soon!
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Pound Drops to $1.29 After Unexpected ContractionThe British pound fell to $1.29 after UK GDP unexpectedly shrank by 0.1% in January, missing forecasts of 0.1% growth, mainly due to weakness in the production sector.
The Bank of England recently cut its Q1 growth forecast to 0.1% from 0.4%, with rates expected to stay at 4.5% in next week’s policy decision. Markets also await Chancellor Rachel Reeves' fiscal plans and the OBR’s economic outlook on March 26. Meanwhile, US economic concerns and trade tensions have limited the pound’s losses.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2980, the next resistance levels are 1.3050 and 1.3100. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
GBPUSD: UP After the News 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD looks bullish after the release of the US news.
I see a bullish breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern.
The price is going to retest the current high first - 1.2987,
and continue growing to 1.3 level then.
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Gold Short Setup: Double Top Rejection and Key Sell TargetsThe chart indicates a potential double-top formation near the 3005 level, suggesting a possible reversal if bearish confirmation appears. The price is testing a key resistance zone, and a rejection could lead to a decline toward the rising trendline for support. A confirmed break below this trendline might trigger further downside movement. However, a breakout above resistance could invalidate the bearish setup and signal continuation of the uptrend. Waiting for a clear confirmation is crucial before making any trading decisions.
For a short-term sell setup, potential targets:
- First target: 2,979 (initial support)
- Second target: 2,960 (if momentum increases)
If price breaks below these levels with strong bearish confirmation, then 2,940 could be the next short-term target.
GBPUSDCable is getting ready for pullback, it's still showing upwards momentum for short term but above the top it can start the drop this week.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
GBPUSD Trading Strategy for Next WeekIf no major unexpected situations occur, the GBP/USD is most likely to embark on a downward journey. Dominated by bears, it will gradually decline in a volatile manner, testing the key support level below.
GBPUSD Trading Strategy for Next Week:
GBPUSDsell@1.2930-1.2980
tp:1.2900-1.2850
sl:1.3000
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GBP/USD DAILY SUPPLY ZONE! GBP/USD DAILY SUPPLY ZONE! 🚨📉
🔥 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Idea:
🔹 Price is approaching a key supply zone (marked in blue).
🔹 Liquidity grab? Expecting a potential rejection from this level.
🔹 If price reacts here, we could see a shift in market structure 🏹
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:
📌 Supply Zone: 1.3000 - 1.3100
📌 Potential Downside Target: 1.2600 - 1.2400
💡 Will the bears take over from here? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇
#Forex #GBPUSD #SmartMoneyConcept #SupplyZone
GBP/USD MONTHLY TREND UPDATE!
📈 Elliott Wave Perspective: The pair is following a corrective ABC structure, and we might be heading toward Wave (C) completion in the next months!
🔍 Key Insights:
✅ Wave (A) Completed—Now in a corrective Wave (B) 📉
✅ Potential Wave (C) Upside Target: ~1.80 📊🚀
✅ Major Resistance Zone 🟡: Watch for price reaction
💡 Will GBP/USD push higher toward the resistance zone, or is another correction needed first? Share your thoughts below! 👇
#Forex #GBPUSD #ElliottWave #MarketAnalysis #GreenFireForex
EURUSD UPDATED Strategic Outlook 2025: 0.9000 PT BEARS 📉 **EUR/USD Weekly Outlook Update**
🔹 **Downtrend Intact**: The **EUR/USD** downtrend has been well-defined since **2009**, and a recent **strong rejection** after a period of distribution confirms bearish momentum.
🔹 **Technical Target 🎯**:
- **Short-term Outlook**: EUR/USD is set to hit **0.95** by **summer 2025**.
- **Year-End Projection**: Expected to end **2025 at 0.9000**.
- **Upside Cap**: Limited to **1.13** at most in 2025.
🔹 **Key Reasons for Further Decline** 📉:
- **Strong USD (DXY Strength) 💪**
- **Firm U.S. Political Leadership 🇺🇸** vs. **Weak EU Leadership 🇪🇺**
- **Fragile Eurozone Economy 🏦**
## 📊 **Why the Eurozone is Set for Further Decline**
🔻 **Slow Economic Growth ⏳**
- The **Eurozone's economy** is growing at a sluggish pace compared to other regions.
- **Weak domestic demand**, **low productivity growth**, and **high export dependency** on slower-growing markets (e.g., China 🇨🇳) weigh on investor confidence and euro demand.
🔻 **Demographic Challenges 👴📉**
- Aging populations in **Germany, Italy, and Spain** reduce the labor force.
- Higher pressure on **social services & pension systems** slows long-term growth potential.
🔻 **High Energy Prices & Inflation 🔥📊**
- The **energy crisis** (exacerbated by the Russia-Ukraine war 🇷🇺🇺🇦) raises business costs.
- **Inflation remains high**, limiting the **ECB’s ability** to stimulate growth without worsening price pressures.
🔻 **Geopolitical Tensions & Economic Risks ⚠️🌍**
- The **Ukraine war & energy disruptions** hit Europe harder than other regions.
- **Reliance on Russian energy** led to severe **supply shocks**, further weakening the eurozone economy.
🔻 **Eurozone Structural Issues 🏗️❌**
- Economic **imbalances between member states** (Germany & France strong, Italy & Greece weak).
- **Common monetary policy** limits individual governments’ ability to react to crises.
- **High debt burdens** in weaker economies drag down overall performance.
🔻 **Tight Fiscal Policies 💰🚫**
- **EU fiscal rules** restrict deficit spending, limiting government stimulus efforts.
- **Lack of fiscal unity** prevents stronger coordinated responses to economic downturns.
📌 **Bottom Line for EUR/USD Traders**
✅ The **downtrend remains dominant** 📉.
✅ **Technical & fundamental** factors favor a **weaker euro**.
✅ Expect further declines **toward 0.95 by summer & 0.90 by year-end**.
✅ Limited upside beyond **1.05** in 2025.
🚀 **Stay updated & trade wisely!** 💹
GBP/USD Bullish Breakout AnalysisThe GBP/USD currency pair has successfully broken above a key bullish trendline, signaling potential further upside momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are gaining control, and the pair could continue its upward movement toward the next resistance levels.
Current Market Structure & Key Levels:
Breakout Confirmation: The pair has breached the bullish trendline resistance, indicating renewed bullish strength.
Immediate Resistance: The price is currently facing a strong resistance level at 1.28120. This level is critical as it could act as a temporary hurdle before further upside movement.
Break & Continuation: If GBP/USD successfully breaks and holds above 1.28120, we can expect bullish continuation toward the next upside targets at 1.28700 and 1.29650.
Support Levels: In case of a retracement, the pair might find support at the previously broken trendline, which could now act as a demand zone.
Technical Outlook:
Momentum Shift: The breakout of the trendline suggests a shift in momentum favoring buyers.
Volume Confirmation: If the breakout is accompanied by increasing trading volume, it will further strengthen the bullish bias.
Fundamental Factors: Any economic data releases related to GBP or USD, as well as central bank decisions, could influence price action and confirm or invalidate the breakout.
Trading Plan:
A confirmed break and retest of 1.28120 could provide a good buying opportunity with upside targets of 1.28700 and 1.29650.
A failure to break this resistance may result in a temporary pullback before another attempt at a breakout.
Traders should monitor price action, volume, and potential news catalysts to validate the breakout for further bullish continuation.
Why EURUSD is still Bullish? Detailed Fundaments and technicals EURUSD is showing strong bullish momentum, currently trading around 1.087 and bouncing as predicted. The pair has respected key support levels, confirming the continuation of the **uptrend**. With increasing buying pressure, we anticipate further upside movement toward the main target of 1.1200. The **bullish structure remains intact**, and if this momentum sustains, eurusd could soon hit the projected target.
From a technical perspective, the pair has formed a solid base near recent support, aligning with key **fibonacci retracement levels** and previous demand zones. A break above **1.0900 psychological resistance** will add further confirmation to the bullish bias, leading to a potential rally toward **1.1000 and beyond**. Traders should look for volume confirmation and price action signals for additional entry opportunities.
On the fundamental side, the **us dollar is facing slight weakness**, primarily due to shifting Federal Reserve expectations and lower bond yields. Meanwhile, **eurozone economic data** has shown resilience, supporting the euro’s strength. If risk sentiment remains positive and economic conditions continue improving, eurusd could maintain its bullish trajectory and test higher resistance levels.
Overall, eurusd is still in a bullish phase, and with strong buying momentum, the price is on track to reach the **1.1200 target**. Traders should monitor key levels and market sentiment for potential breakout confirmations.
GBP/USD "The Cable" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GBP/USD "The Cable" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (1.25500) swing Trade Basis Using the 6H period, the recent / swing low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.29300 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
GBP/USD "The Cable" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔰Fundamental Analysis
1. Economic Indicators: The UK's GDP growth rate, inflation rate, interest rate, and employment figures are strong, supporting a bullish outlook.
2. Central Bank Policies: The Bank of England's decision to keep interest rates low has weakened the pound, but the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance has strengthened the dollar.
3. Fiscal Policies: The UK government's spending and taxation policies have been neutral, while the US government's policies have been supportive of economic growth.
🔰Macroeconomic Factors
1. Trade Balance: The UK's trade balance has improved, supporting a bullish outlook.
2. Political Stability: The UK's political stability has improved, while the US's political stability has been neutral.
3. Global Economic Trends: Global economic trends have been supportive of a bullish outlook.
🔰Global Market Analysis
1. Commodity Prices: Commodity prices have been neutral, with oil prices steady and gold prices slightly higher.
2. Currency Correlations: The GBP/USD pair has a strong positive correlation with the EUR/USD pair.
3. Global Economic Trends: Global economic trends have been supportive of a bullish outlook.
🔰COT Data
1. Commitment of Traders Report: The report shows that commercial traders are net long, while non-commercial traders are net short.
2. Open Interest: Open interest has increased, indicating a potential trend reversal.
3. Commercial Positions: Commercial traders' positions indicate a bullish outlook.
🔰Intermarket Analysis
1. Correlations with Other Markets: The GBP/USD pair has a strong positive correlation with the EUR/USD pair and a negative correlation with the USD/JPY pair.
2. Divergences: There are no significant divergences between the GBP/USD pair and other markets.
🔰Quantitative Analysis
1. Technical Indicators: Technical indicators, such as moving averages and RSI, indicate a bullish outlook.
2. Statistical Models: Statistical models, such as regression analysis, indicate a bullish outlook.
🔰Market Sentiment Analysis
1. Trader Sentiment: Trader sentiment is bullish, with a majority of traders expecting the pair to rise.
2. Sentiment Indicators: Sentiment indicators, such as sentiment indexes and put-call ratios, indicate a bullish outlook.
🔰Positioning
1. Long/Short Positions: Long positions are increasing, while short positions are decreasing.
2. Positioning Data: Positioning data indicates a bullish outlook.
🔰Next Trend Move
1. Bullish/Bearish Outlook: The outlook is bullish, with a potential target of 1.3000.
2. Trend Analysis: Trend analysis indicates a potential trend reversal.
🔰Overall Summary Outlook
1. Bullish Outlook: The overall outlook is bullish, with a potential target of 1.3000.
2. Volatility Expected: Volatility is expected to remain high in the short term.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
SWING GBP/USD SELLThis swing trade highlights key points where additional sell orders might be initiated. Stay tuned for updates, as this trade will extend over several days, weeks, or even months.
This analysis relies on the provided image and should not be considered financial advice. Trading carries risks; it is essential to do your own research and seek guidance from a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
XAUUSD MARKET NFP NEWS TARGET XAUUSD MARKET currently on 2923 according to time frame H4 market is bullish trend and my analysis is market go on up word KEPP SUPPORT MY ANALYSIS
RESISTANCE LEVEL. 2958
SUPPORT LEVEL.. 2885 IF market break support level then go on down word 2830
IN NFP NEWS MY TARGET 1 . 2970
TARGET 2 . 3000
GBP/USD shrugs as UK GDP unexpectedly declineshe British pound has edged lower against the US dollar on Friday. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2928 in the European session, down 0.13% on the day.
The UK economy barely registered any growth in the second half of 2024, rising 0.1% in the third quarter and flatlining in the third quarter. The New Year hasn't seen any improvement, as GDP contracted 0.1% m/m in January, after a 0.4% gain in December and missing the market estimate of 0.1%. The surprise contraction was driven by declines in the production and manufacturing sectors. The economy expanded 0.2% in the three months to January, up from 0.1% in the three months to December but shy of the market estimate of 0.3%.
The weak GDP report won't make things any easier for Finance Minister Rachel Reeves, who will announce the Treasury's "Spring Statement" on March 26. Reeves is expected to outline plans for higher taxes and spending cuts. The tax hikes on British businesses are expected to weigh on investment, hiring and growth.
The Bank of England meets on March 20 and is widely expected to maintain rates at 4.5%. The BoE trimmed rates by a quarter-point in February. Inflation rose sharply in January to 3.0% y/y, up from 2.5% in December. The rise in inflation and weak GDP has raised concerns about stagflation, which is characterized by persistent inflation and weak growth.
Another headache for BoE policymakers is US President Donald Trump's tariff policy. The UK had hoped to avoid the tariffs, but this week the US slapped 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports, including on UK products. That could hurt UK growth and boost inflation.
GBP/USD tested resistance at 1.2949 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 1.2978
1.2923 and 1.2894 are the next support levels
GBPUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.293.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.284 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Sterling Struggles Amid Risk Aversion and US Tariff ThreatsGBP/USD extends its decline for the second consecutive session, hovering around 1.2940 during Friday's Asian trading hours. The currency pair faces difficulties as the Pound Sterling (GBP) weakens due to a negative risk sentiment, which has been further worsened by worries over global trade following US President Donald Trump's threat to impose a 200% tariff on European wines and champagne, creating market instability.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2980, the next resistance levels are 1.3050 and 1.3100. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 14, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair continues to decline for the second consecutive session, trading near 1.29400 during the Asian session on Friday. The pair faces challenges as the Pound Sterling (GBP) struggles amid weakening risk sentiment, exacerbated by concerns over global trade after US President Donald Trump threatened to impose 200% tariffs on European wines and champagne, which worried markets.
Traders are now awaiting the UK's monthly gross domestic product (GDP) and factory data for January, which will be released on Friday. Investors will be keeping a close eye on the UK GDP data as the Bank of England (BoE) has expressed concerns about the outlook for the economy. At its February meeting, the Bank of England revised its GDP growth forecast for the year to 0.75%, up from the 1.5% projected in November.
The US Dollar (USD) is appreciating amid growing concerns about a slowdown in the global economy, with traders' attention focused on Friday's Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index data. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against six major currencies, strengthened after Thursday's positive jobless claims report and weaker-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) data. At the time of writing, the DXY is trading near 104.00.
U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ended March 7 came in at 220,000, below the 225,000 expected. Jobless claims fell to 1.87 million, below the forecast of 1.90 million, indicating a resilient U.S. labor market.
Inflationary pressures in the US showed signs of easing. The producer price index rose 3.2% year-on-year in February, down from 3.7% in January and below the market forecast of 3.3%. The core producer price index, which excludes food and energy, rose 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, up from 3.8% in January. On a monthly basis, the core price index was unchanged, while the underlying price index declined 0.1%.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.29400, SL 1.29900, TP 1.28600
14.03.25 Morning ForecastPairs on Watch -
FX:EURAUD
FX:GBPUSD
FX:EURUSD
A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!
