LIVE MARKET ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEAS: USDJPY, GBPUSD, GBPAUD & CJHello Traders,
Starting off early today with a big shout out to @TradingView for their continuous improvements to the platform and the valuable tools they provide to the trading community. Well done!
Here’s my analysis for today:
USDJPY H4
The USDJPY has formed a Momentum Low, signalling a potential trend reset. The underlying trend remains bullish on this timeframe.
Expectation: Increased buying activity is anticipated from the current price level.
GBPAUD H4
The GBPAUD is trading within a 915-pip range. Inside this range, price fluctuations create highs and lows. Applying the range trading principle—buy low, sell high—recent price action shows a bullish wave structure completed on the smaller timeframe following a rally from the Momentum Low.
Current Observation: A trend reset is occurring on the smaller timeframe, breaking below 1.9508.
Trading Approach: Look for a failure to make a Lower Low (LL) on the 5-minute chart and seek opportunities to trade to the upside.
GBPUSD H4
The GBPUSD remains in a downtrend on the H4 timeframe. However, a significant reset has occurred, forming Structure 4 at 1.2714.
Ideal Trade: The preferred strategy is to sell GBPUSD. However, based on wave structure analysis on the lower timeframe, the price is not yet primed for a bearish move.
CADJPY H4
The CADJPY exhibits similar behaviour to the USDJPY, with a recent dip below the previous Momentum Low. Yesterday, a bullish trend-changing pattern emerged.
Trading Opportunity: Look for buying setups above 107.46 based on the current price action.
Wishing you successful trades and a blessed weekend!
GBPUSD
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 29, 2024 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
13:00 EET. GBP - BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks
GBPUSD:
The GBP/USD currency pair had a quiet session on Thursday, with trading activity on the thin side and the pair holding near the 1.27000 mark. US markets were closed on Thursday due to the Thanksgiving holiday, and Friday will also see reduced trading hours in the US, resulting in a generally low volume second half of the trading week.
The Bank of England's (BoE) latest Financial Stability Report is scheduled for release in the US market on Friday morning. It is unlikely that this release will have a significant impact on the performance of the cable markets. Nevertheless, it would be prudent for traders to remain vigilant in anticipation of low-volume bursts of volatility. Due to shortened trading hours in the US on Friday, overall market liquidity will be significantly reduced, increasing the potential for large orders to impact the bid price.
Next week's scheduled economic data releases are also unlikely to be favourable for the pound. There will be a paucity of significant data releases in the UK next week, while market participants will be closely monitoring the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, scheduled for release on Friday, 6 December. The upcoming NFP will assume heightened importance for traders, given the recent shift in focus towards potential indications of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). However, a notable change in the NFP figures could have a significant impact on Treasury rates, prompting new discussions about the optimal number of rate cuts in 2025.
Trading recommendation: We follow the level of 1.27000, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
EURUSD H4 I Falling from overlap resistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0606, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.0527, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.0703, a pullback resistance level close to 61.8% Fibo retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.2721, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.2616, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.2833, a pullback resistance level close to 61.8% Fibo retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD "The Cable" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bullish SideHello!! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist GBPUSD "The Cable" Forex Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
GBP/USD - H4 Chart - Rising Wedge BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Rising Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Days.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.2695, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2862
2nd Support – 1.3006
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
EURGBP H2 XABCD advanced buy/hold trade setup🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1 hour chart for EURGBP.
Speculative XABCD in progress, with PRZ/D set at 8380,
so expecting reversal / more gains in EURGBP after we hit C
🔸XABCD structure is defined by point X at 8370, point A at 8310, point B at 8355, point C at 8320, point D/PRZ at 8380, currently most points validated, point D/PRZ still pending, so traders should wait until we hit F before buying.
🔸Recommended strategy for EURGBP traders: wait for pullback/correction to complete at point C near 8320, buy/hold, SL 20 pips, TP1 +30 pips TP2 +60 pips. Final exit at 8380. Low risk trade setup.
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
GBPUSD to find buyers at previous support?GBPUSD - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A higher correction is expected.
Intraday signals are mixed.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 1.2610.
We look to Buy at 1.2610 (stop at 1.2565)
Our profit targets will be 1.2745 and 1.2800
Resistance: 1.2700 / 1.2750 / 1.2800
Support: 1.2600 / 1.2550 / 1.2500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can observe that yesterday, following the announcement of a potential ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel, gold experienced a significant drop, correcting by over 800 pips down to $2,605. This sharp decline created a major liquidity gap, which I anticipate will likely be filled as prices recover soon.
Additionally, today we have the critical CB Consumer Confidence data release, which could significantly impact the market and trigger high volatility. Be cautious with your trades and manage your risk effectively!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBP/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/USD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 5H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.246 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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+100/+200 pips gbpnzd m20 short from resistance short-term🔸Hello traders, let's review the 20 minute chart for GN today. Price
contained withing sliding bear channel previously rejected multiple
times from overhead resistance.
🔸Currently expecting price to pump into overhead resistance and
complete a double top at 1610, that's the likely PRZ level.
🔸Previously rejected from overhead resistance, sequence of lower
highs in progress and expecting yet another rejection into double top
and also re-action with the bear channel.
🔸Recommended strategy for GN traders: short sell high at 1610 SL 50
TP1 +100 pips TP2 +200 pips final exit at 1400. good luck traders!
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Potential bullish bounce?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.2611
1st Support: 1.2485
1st Resistance: 1.2798
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD H4 | Bounce off 38.2% Fibo?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.2615, which is a pullback support that aligns with 38.2% Fibo resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.2702, a swing high resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.2539, which is a pullback support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/USD 1H AnalysisThe price has broken above a key resistance zone, which is now acting as support. This breakout signals potential bullish momentum.
✅ What I’m watching for:
If the price pulls back to the new support zone, it could present a good opportunity to enter a long position, but only with confirmation of buyers stepping in.
🚨 Plan:
Wait for clear signals, like bullish candlesticks or increased buying volume, to confirm the support holds before entering.
👉 Follow me for more trade ideas and updates!
British pound jumps, US PCE inflation meets expectationsThe British pound has posted sharp gains on Wednesday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at .1.2669, up 0.81% on the day.
There are no UK releases today, but in the US it’s a busy data calendar. US GDP (second estimate) showed a gain of 2.8%, unchanged from the initial estimate. The economy is expected to show growth of 2.6% in the third quarter, below second-quarter growth of 3% but still a respectable clip.
The US economy has remained surprisingly resilient despite high interest rates, as the Federal Reserve tightened policy in order to contain inflation. The economy showed some cracks due to high rates but the economy has avoided a recession as the economy has been growing and the labor market has cooled but not collapsed. Consumer spending and confidence remain solid and this has helped propel economic growth. Consumer spending rose to 3.5% in the second quarter and consumer confidence increased in October.
The US personal consumption expenditures price index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator, came in as expected. The PCE price index was unchanged in October at 0.2% m/m, in line with expectations. Annually, the PCE price index rose 2.3%, matching the market estimate but above the September gain of 2.1%.
The core rate, which excludes food and energy, gained 0.3% m/m, the same as September and in line with the market estimate. Annually, the gain of 2.8% in October was up from the 2.7% gain in September and matched expectations.
The markets have raised the odds of a 25-basis point cut at the Dec. 18 meeting, even though both the headline and core PCE inflation readings rose in October. The probability of a 25-bp cut currently stands at 70% up from 59% a day ago, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.
GBP/USD has pushed above resistance at 1.2620 and is testing resistance at 1.2673. Next, there is resistance at 1.2729
1.2564 and 1.2511 are providing support
GBPUSD, higher to lower time frame breakdown.Greetings, traders! Welcome to this GBP/USD market analysis, where we focus on identifying higher-probability trading opportunities.
In this video, I’ll begin by analyzing the yearly down to the daily charts, highlighting key trading zones, and discussing the confirmations we look for to optimize our swing entries.
If you like the breakdown, boost the idea and follow to receive more ideas.
Trade safely
GBPUSD breakout higher loomingIntraday Update: As the FX market goes into month end flow trading (on a big US holiday week) the GBPUSD traders are paying very close attention to the 1.2620's. A break of this level today would allow for a move back to the 1.2725 level and near channel resistance. Massive US data dump today at 8:30am ET with prelim GDP, unemployment claims and durable goods orders. PCE a little later after.
GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.26400 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.26400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.