EURNZD Analysis , Support Bounce and Bullish PotentialEURNZD is currently trading at 1.83300, with a target price of 1.89000. This suggests a potential upward movement of 500+ pips. The price is bouncing off a strong support level, indicating a possible bullish reversal. The support and resistance pattern highlights key price zones where buying and selling pressure increase. A successful bounce from support strengthens the bullish outlook. Traders anticipate the price moving towards the next resistance level at 1.89000. Confirmation through candlestick patterns and volume analysis is essential. Risk management should include a stop-loss below the support level. Fundamental factors like interest rate decisions can impact price action. Monitoring market sentiment and economic news is crucial for trade execution.
GBPUSD
Pound Hits Three-Week High as Markets Await BoE CutThe British pound rose above $1.25, its highest since January 7, as the US dollar weakened and the focus shifted to the Bank of England’s Thursday decision. Policymakers are expected to cut rates by 25bps to 4.5%, reflecting slowing growth and easing services inflation. Market sentiment remained cautious over US tariffs, with concerns about a US-China trade conflict impacting global stability. Meanwhile, UK input price inflation hit an 18-month high in January, according to the latest PMI report.
The first resistance level for the pair will be 1.2500. In the event of this level's breach, the next levels to watch would be 1.2600 and 1.2650. On the downside 1.2340 will be the first support level. 1.2265 and 1.2100 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Levels discussed on Livestream 5th Feb 20255th Feb 2025
DXY: Trading lower, needs to break 107.50 to retest 107 round number support level.
NZDUSD: Wait and look for reaction at 0.57 resistance area
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6280 SL 25 TP 80 (hesitation at 0.6325)
GBPUSD: Buy 1.2530 SL 30 TP 80
EURUSD: Sell 1.0440 SL 30 TP 100
USDJPY: Looking for reaction at current support level. Buy 154.10 or Sell 152.30 (SL 40 TP 120)
EURJPY: Buy 160.10 SL 60 TP 120
GBPJPY: Nothing for now
USDCHF: Downside to 0.8980, no H1 setup
USDCAD: Sell 1.4280 SL 40 TP 150
XAUUSD: Hit my TP at 2865, could retrace to 2841 before trading higher again to maybe 2900
GBPUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.24679, which aligns with an overlap support level and the previous breakout zone. This area is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bullish setup.
Our take profit is set at 1.25628, near a previous resistance level, where price may face selling pressure.
The stop loss is placed at 1.23769, below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, allowing room for price fluctuations while maintaining the bullish outlook.
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Bullish continuation?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 1.2475
1st Support: 1.2393
1st Resistance: 1.2611
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GBPUSD WGBP/USD jumped to the 423% Fibonacci level, breaking the weekly trendline and attempting a new high. However, the time cycle and structure are not yet complete. The market may create fake zones to trap liquidity before completing the structure. A sharp drop is possible, depending on the duration of the sideways movement. If the sideways phase breaks all previous highs, the market could turn bullish. However, the bearish structure is still in progress.
Bullish momentum to extend?GBP?USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2466
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2398
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2581
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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GBP/USD Stuck Between Fed Policy and BoE DecisionThe USD Index (DXY) remains near its weekly low as expectations grow for further Fed monetary easing. Tuesday’s JOLTS report signaled a cooling US labor market, increasing speculation of rate cuts despite inflation concerns.
Global sentiment is positive after President Trump delayed tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports, easing trade war fears. This risk-on mood weakens the USD’s safe-haven appeal while supporting GBP/USD. However, lingering US-China trade tensions and the Fed’s hawkish stance limit USD losses, keeping GBP/USD gains in check.
Traders await Thursday’s BoE policy meeting with key resistance levels at 1.2500, 1.2600, and 1.2650. Support stands at 1.2340, followed by 1.2265 and 1.2100.
GBP/USD Trend Reversal? Smart Money Entering the Market!GBP/USD is a major forex pair representing the exchange rate between the British Pound (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD). The current price is 1.25100, and the target price is set at 1.27000, indicating an expected upward movement. This trade setup suggests a potential gain of over 200 pips if the price reaches the target. A pip, or "percentage in point," is a standard unit of movement in forex trading, where 1 pip in GBP/USD is 0.0001. The trend line breakout confirms a bullish signal, meaning the price has moved above a key resistance level. Strong volume support indicates that many traders are participating in this move, adding to the momentum. A breakout with high volume often leads to sustained price movement, increasing the likelihood of hitting the target. If the trend continues, traders might see further gains beyond the expected 1.27000 level. However, risk management is crucial, as market conditions can change unexpectedly. Keeping an eye on economic news and key events related to the UK and US economies is essential. Overall, this setup suggests a strong buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the breakout.
GBPUSD H4 | FOREX BEELooking at the GBP/USD H4 chart, I can identify the following key observations:
1. Trendline Resistance: The market is currently testing or approaching a key descending trendline, indicating potential resistance at higher levels.
2. Fibonacci Levels: The chart highlights the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level near 1.2415, suggesting a possible bullish target zone if price breaks above the trendline resistance.
3. Support Zones: The red zones below, particularly near 1.2251 (0.236 Fibonacci), appear to act as important support levels where buying interest may reappear.
4. Market Scenario:
- If the price breaks above the trendline and sustains, it may move towards the next resistance at 1.2415 or higher.
- On the downside, a failure at the current level could push the market back to the support zones around 1.2250 or lower.
This setup suggests a cautious approach for now. A breakout confirmation above the descending trendline would provide a clearer signal for bullish continuation. Conversely, failure to break higher may lead to renewed bearish pressure.
GbpUsd- Strongly bullish on medium termAs you know from my previous TVC:DXY analyses, I anticipate a correction in the index, which should lead to a rise in major USD pairs.
Among all the USD pairs I've recently covered, FX:GBPUSD appears to be the most bullish.
Looking at the posted chart, after forming a bullish Pin Bar at its recent low in mid-January, GBP/USD began to reverse and climbed to 1.25, which was the initial target at that time.
A correction followed this first leg up. What stands out in this case is the strong bullish reversal candle that formed after Monday’s Asian open gap. Not only did it fill the gap (like in EUR/USD's case), but the pair also returned to the 1.25 resistance level.
This structure signals strong bullish momentum, and I expect GBP/USD to continue its ascent toward the next key resistance zone at 1.28.
In conclusion, my strategy remains to buy the dips.
Depending on the entry point, this setup offers a potential risk-to-reward ratio of over 1:3.
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Drop[ to support?Based on the H1 chart, the price has just reacted off our sell entry level at 1.2486, which aligns with an overlap resistance. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup.
Our take profit is set at 1.2373, a pullback support, where price may find buying interest.
The stop loss is placed at 1.2606, above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, providing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
A Possible Sell for GBPUSDPlease refer to the video that I just published to better understand this idea.
But, my idea is, GBPUSD at the moment hasn't really given a clear directional bias.
We were previously following the bearish internal structure (4hrs and 1HR) but Yesterday we gapped tapping into a daily (4H and 1HR) demand zone. Then immediately shooting and causing an internal trend change as illustrated on the chart.
The reason why I support selling the GBPUSD at the moment (I actually think is the strongest outcome) is based on the simple fact that we expect a pullback after every break of structure. We have three zones to consider that may initiate the pullback as illustrated above.
As such, we keep our eyes open, but even as we sell, at the moment I wouldn't be too ambitious with the sell targets.
GBPUSD Not Clear AT the MomentFrom a daily perspective Swing structure remains bullish and we still maintain the bias that price made a deeper pullback retesting the demand zone created on Nov 1, 2023.
Immediately we tapped into that demand zone, price shot up.
However, The daily internal structure remains bearish and until price breaks the internal protected high, we continue looking for selling opportunities.
- At this point, i will stay clear off the market, until i get a clear directional bias.
-Also, it is important to note that this is the 2nd time our daily supply zone (created on Jan 7, 2025) is getting retested. Until we get a nice strong clearance away from that supply , we stay clear from this market.
4HRS
Swing structure is bearish.
Internal Structure = Bullish
We gapped to the downside on Monday and immediately reversed breaking internal structure to the upside. This caused an internal trend change where the internal trend changed from bearish to bullish. This aligns perfectly with daily swing structure and a sign that overall the trend may be changing from bearish to bullish.
After a BoS, we expect a pullback but from where?
GBPUSD is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis.
Steps to follow:
Analyze yourself.
Take the position with SL and Take Profits.
Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :)
Get the result.
I will update the trade every day.
Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger!
Good trades, Traders!
The golden bear
XAU/USD : First LONG,then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 1-hour gold chart, we can see that gold has now reached the $2808 - $2818 supply zone and is currently trading around $2810.
Given the liquidity gap created by the price surge from $2772 to $2811, I expect a price correction soon, but likely after one more bullish wave. If gold stabilizes above $2808, it could push higher towards the next targets at $2812, $2817.2, and $2820.
This analysis will be updated soon!
Market Analysis: Bullish Harmonic Bat Pattern on GBP/USDOverview of the Setup :
This chart highlights a **Bullish Harmonic Bat Pattern** on the GBP/USD pair, with the potential for a reversal to the upside after completing the pattern near the critical support zone.
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** Key Observations:
1. Harmonic Pattern :
- The **Bullish Bat Pattern** completes at point X (around 1.22628), which aligns with the 0.886 Fibonacci retracement level of the XA leg. This level represents a strong confluence of support and potential reversal.
- The reaction at this zone suggests that buyers may be stepping in.
2. Price Action :
- The recent downtrend has reached exhaustion at point X, with the price consolidating and showing signs of a potential reversal.
- The price has formed a **lower wick**, indicating rejection of lower levels and possible bullish momentum building.
3. Fibonacci and Take-Profit Targets :
- **Take-Profit Levels (TP):**
- **T1:** 1.23541 (50% retracement of the XA leg).
- **T2:** 1.24187 (0.618 retracement of the XA leg).
- The harmonic structure suggests these levels as the most probable targets for a bullish reversal.
4. Indicators :
- **Stochastic Oscillator:** In the oversold territory, signaling the likelihood of upward price movement as selling pressure weakens.
- **RSI:** Approaching oversold levels, further supporting the bullish reversal hypothesis.
5. Key Levels :
- **Support Zone:** Point X near 1.2260 is the critical level for the pattern’s validity.
- **Resistance Zones:** MHQP at 1.2500 is a longer-term resistance, while intermediate resistance levels are 1.2350 and 1.2418.
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Outlook and Strategy :
- **Bullish Bias:** The completion of the Bullish Bat Pattern and confluence of support suggest an opportunity for long positions targeting the Fibonacci take-profit levels (T1 and T2).
- **Entry Zone:** Enter long positions near 1.2260 if price action shows sustained bullish rejection.
- **Stop-Loss:** Place stops below 1.2220 to account for false breakouts.
- **Targets:**
- **T1:** 1.2350
- **T2:** 1.2418
Risk Factors :
- A sustained break below 1.2260 would invalidate the pattern and could lead to continued bearish momentum toward 1.2200.
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This analysis highlights a bullish opportunity driven by the completion of the harmonic pattern, with clearly defined entry, exit, and risk parameters.
"Gold Price Breaks Key Support: Potential Downside Ahead"This chart shows a potential bearish setup for gold, with a breakout below a key level. The price recently failed to sustain its move above a resistance zone and has started declining. The structure indicates a shift in momentum, with a possible move toward the lower trendline of the ascending channel. Key downside targets include the areas around 2799 and 2764, with stronger support near 2742. If the price remains below the broken level, further downside movement is likely. OANDA:XAUUSD
EURUSD 0140 Reversal Swing Trade Setup BULLS strong upside🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4 hour chart for EURUSD. Weekly open gapped down so expecting more losses in this market before potential reversal off the lows on Wednesday/Thursday this week.
🔸Revised/updated outlook point C is 1.13 extension at 0140, other points include X at 0595, point A at 0220, point B at 0510, point D/PRZ at 0700.
🔸Currently most points validated, point C/PRZ still pending 0140, so traders should wait until we hit C before buying.
🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders: wait for pullback/correction
to complete at point C near 0140, buy/hold, SL 60 pips, TP1 +200 pips TP2
+400 pips Final exit TP at 0700. BUY/HOLD at point C/PRZ at 0140. swing trade setup. only invalidated if we break below 0140 on high volume. good luck traders!
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GBP/USD Analysis by zForex Research TeamGBP/USD Recovers as Trump Pauses Tariffs, But Risks Persist
The British pound rebounded above $1.24 after falling to $1.225, following Trump’s deal with Mexico’s President Sheinbaum to pause tariffs for a month. Uncertainty remains as Trump imposed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, 10% on China, and threatened the EU and UK. Growing trade tensions have fueled expectations of Bank of England rate cuts, with markets pricing in 81bps of cuts by December and a 95% chance of a 25bps cut to 4.5% this Thursday.
The first resistance level for the pair will be 1.2450. In the event of this level's breach, the next levels to watch would be 1.2500 and 1.2600. On the downside 1.2265 will be the first support level. 1.2100 and 1.1900 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.