GBPNZD: Bearish Continuation Setup in FocusI’m closely monitoring GBPNZD as price tests this current region. Here’s the plan:
The Setup
Price is hovering near a key area of interest around 2.15485–2.15781.
I’m observing how price reacts here to determine if bearish momentum will continue.
If sellers remain strong, I’m looking for a further push down toward the green level at 2.13336, which is my target zone.
The Plan
1️⃣ I’ll wait to see if price respects this resistance zone or shows rejection, confirming that sellers remain in control.
2️⃣ My stop loss will be placed strategically above the resistance zone to manage risk effectively.
3️⃣ The goal is to capitalize on a bearish continuation toward the green support line at 2.13336.
Why This Makes Sense
This area has previously acted as a significant turning point for price. If resistance holds, it sets up a clean move toward the next major support zone, offering a strong risk-to-reward opportunity.
Mindset Tip:
"It’s not about guessing the market’s next move—it’s about reacting to what it shows you. Stay patient, and let the levels do the talking."
GBPUSD
GBPUSD: False Resistance Break Could Add to DeclineFX:GBPUSD Back to the liquidity test above after the free fall. The pair lacks bullish conviction amid a stable US dollar and as investors choose to wait for the Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Report Hearing before placing strong bets.
A clear bearish wave is forming on the larger timeframe, on the smaller timeframe the downtrend is formed based on negative fundamentals, which only strengthened after Trump's victory. Therefore, any strong resistance can easily hold the market.
On H4, it is trying to break out of the main range, breaking the main support level. A consolidation is forming inside the channel, if sellers hold the 1.269 - 1.277 zone, we can expect a decline towards the areas of interest in the medium term.
Resistance: 1.282 - 1.277 and 1.269
Support: 1.259 - 1.247 and 1.231
The focus is on the resistance level mentioned above, as the further struggle and movement of the market depends on this important zone at this point. The bearish structure will be broken when the local high at 1.282 i.e. (0.5 fib) is broken and the price consolidates above this zone.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 21, 2024 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair declined to 1.26500 during Asian trading on Thursday. This decline can be attributed to the weakening of the US dollar (USD). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the dollar against six major peers, is holding near 106.50 at the time of writing.
However, downside risk to the US Dollar may be limited due to cautious remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said on Wednesday that while further interest rate cuts are necessary, policymakers should proceed cautiously to avoid moving too fast or too slow, Bloomberg reported.
Meanwhile, Fed Chair Michelle Bowman emphasized that inflation has remained elevated over the past few months and stressed the need for the Fed to take a cautious approach to rate cuts.
The Reuters poll showed that nearly 90% of economists (94 out of 106) expect a 25 bps rate cut in December, which would bring the federal funds rate down to 4.25-4.50%. Economists forecast a slower rate cut in 2025 due to the risk of higher inflation as a result of President-elect Trump's policies. The federal funds rate is forecast to be 3.50-3.75% by the end of 2025, 50 bps above last month's forecast.
GBP/USD's upside potential seems restrained due to safe-haven flows amid the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine. On Wednesday, Ukraine fired a salvo of British Storm Shadow cruise missiles into Russian territory, marking the latest use of Western weapons against Russian targets. This came after Ukraine used U.S. ATACMS missiles the previous day.
Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
GBPUSD M15 I Bullish Bounce Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 1.2652, which is an overlap support.
Our take profit will be at 1.2680, which is a pullback resistance close to 61.8% Fibo resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.2623, which is a multi-swing low support level.
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GBPUSD - Bearish Bias PrevailsGBPUSD has broken the trendline and now looking for a bearish move to lower levels.
For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management.
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Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
GBPUSD long term sellGBPUSD is bearish on all higher time frames and looks like it still has a long way down towards the discount zone.
Since this will take a couple of days to play out, its best to play it safe and enter on an obvious pullback on the lower time frames such as 1hr time frame to give you a tighter stop loss.
GBPUSD long term sellGBPUSD is bearish on all higher time frames and looks like it still has a long way down towards the discount zone.
Since this will take a couple of days to play out, its best to play it safe and enter on an obvious pullback on the lower time frames such as 1hr time frame to give you a tighter stop loss.
GBPUSD Is Going Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.266.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.281.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Gbpusd setupGBP/USD declines toward 1.2650, erases UK CPI-led gains
GBP/USD loses its traction and retreats toward 1.2650 on Wednesday. Although the stronger-than-expected inflation data from the UK helped Pound Sterling gather strength, the risk-averse market atmosphere caused the pair to reverse its direction.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart climbed above 50 early Wednesday, highlighting an increasing buyer interest. GBP/USD was last seen trading slightly above 1.2700, where the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level of the latest downtrend is located. In case the pair confirms this level as support, it could face next resistance at 1.2740-1.2750 (50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) before 1.2800 (Fibonacci 50% retracement).
XAU/USD : More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we notice that today’s market opened with a positive price gap between $2563 and $2566 . These types of gaps often act as magnets for price action, as markets tend to fill such gaps over time. Based on the current bullish momentum, I expect a price correction in the near future to fill this gap.
Looking deeper into the structure, we can see that gold’s recent rally has managed to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the previous bearish move to a significant extent. However, it still has room to climb and fully fill the gap at $2606. This level could serve as a critical zone where we might observe a strong price reaction . Keep this level on your radar—it could either confirm a continuation of the bullish trend or trigger a reversal.
From a broader perspective, the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Ukraine-Russia conflict continue to provide a safe-haven bid for gold. These factors have been instrumental in driving demand, even as the US dollar shows signs of consolidation after its recent strength.
On the macroeconomic front, recent data showed strong US retail sales for October , indicating resilience in the economy. However, there’s growing uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's policy direction. Markets currently price in a 65% probability of a 25bps rate cut in December, which could weigh on the dollar further and provide support for gold in the medium term.
From a technical standpoint:
1. Gold remains in a bullish structure, but short-term corrections are expected due to overbought conditions and the need to fill the gap at $2563-$2566.
2. The $2606 level acts as a magnet for price, as it marks the full closure of the previous FVG. Monitor this level closely for signs of rejection or continuation.
3. In case of a rejection at $2606, a retest of support levels near $2545-$2550 could be on the cards, aligning with the gap fill.
Key Levels to Watch :
- Support: $2563 (gap low), $2545
- Resistance: $2606 (FVG top), $2620
To summarize, while gold’s rally has been impressive, the presence of both the unfilled gap below and the remaining FVG above suggests that the market could be at a pivotal point. Watch these levels carefully, as they are likely to guide gold’s next move.
Previous Analysis :
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GBP/USD: Pound Soars Following Surprising CPI ReportOn Wednesday, the Pound Sterling (GBP) saw a significant surge against most currencies following the release of unexpected inflation data from the UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS). The Consumer Price Index (CPI) revealed that annual inflation rose to 2.3% in October, surpassing analysts' forecasts of 2.2% and a notable increase from September's 1.7%.
Month-over-month, the headline inflation climbed by 0.6%, outpacing the anticipated 0.5% and recovering from a stagnant September.
In addition, the core CPI, which excludes fluctuating components such as food, energy, and tobacco, registered a growth of 3.3%. This figure exceeds the previous month's reading of 3.2% and defies economists' predictions of a decline to 3.1%.
Services inflation—a key metric monitored by Bank of England (BoE) policymakers—also picked up, rising to 5% from the earlier figure of 4.9%. This uptick in price pressures may prompt traders to rethink their expectations regarding interest rate cuts in the upcoming BoE meeting scheduled for December.
From a technical analysis perspective, the price action remains within a bullish demand zone, suggesting a strong likelihood of further appreciation in the value of the Pound.
Overall, indications point towards a potential increase in the Pound Sterling's value moving forward.
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Bullish Setup or Bearish Breakdown Ahead?OANDA:GBPUSD - 1Hr Chart
Price: 1.26202
After analyzing the chart, we found RSI in the extreme oversold zone on higher timeframes. Currently, the price is trading above support at 1.25732, which we anticipate as a potential bullish reversal point. However, strong resistance at R1 (1.26953) may cause consolidation and pullbacks around this level. After consolidation, we expect the price to break R1, with the next resistance target at R2 (1.28174). R2 is also a strong resistance, so price may stall and pull back here as well. A breakout above R2 would target the major resistance at 1.29395.
On the other hand, if the bearish pressure persists and price breaks below support at 1.25732, a further decline could bring the price to 1.25122.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.25122
R1: 1.26953
R2: 1.28174
Major Resistance: 1.29395
Remember to follow your risk management for long-term success.
Happy trading!
+100/+150 pips GBPUSD H11 short/long trade plan🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for GBPUSD today.
Solid bounce off the lows in progress, however overhead resistance
will cap any immediate upside.
🔸Key levels for GBPUSD traders: 2625 s/r bulls, 2735 s/r bears,
2775 mirror s/r bears level will get re-tested by the bulls for liquidity.
🔸Recommended strategy for GBPUSD traders: the sequence
is short / long so you want to short high off the s/r bears at 2735 SL 40
TP 2625 pips, this is the W reversal play / re-test of the mirror s/r bulls
at 2625 then flip lonjg at/near 2625+-10 pips SL 40 pips TP1 +75
TP2 +150 pips final exit bulls at mirror s/r at 2775. this is a swing
trade setup, patience required. good luck traders!
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Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
GBPCAD H4 300 pips dump incoming short it🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4hour chart for GBPCAD today. Weak
support breakdown in progress currently on H4 and I don't expect it
to hold the sell side pressure.
🔸There is no strong S/R zones until 7440 currently we are trading at 7730
so I expect the price to slide through the weak s/r zone. S/R zone
was tested multiple times recently and only produced a weak bounce
therefore expecting breakdown and new dump.
🔸Recommended strategy for GBPCAD traders: short sell at market or
short sell any weak bounces near market price, SL 60 pips TP1 +150 pips
TP2 +300 pips. good luck traders!
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🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
GBPUSD possible to start the next drop today!Hey guys,
Based on the chart price reached a resistance area on 15min chart timeframe and a bullish trend line is broken.
So based on this scenario and considering the previous days drop on price, I consider this movement as good sell opportunity with rational risk reward ratio which is around 1:6.
Good luck!
GBP/USD Breakout to 1.2777 or rejection to 1.2666?This chart displays the GBP/USD pair on the 1-hour timeframe currently leaning bullish, as the price has shown strength approaching the resistance.
The price is currently testing a key resistance zone around the 1.2689-1.2700 level, with potential bullish momentum indicated by the recent rally.
If the price breaks above the resistance zone and closes beyond 1.2700, it could indicate a continuation toward the next resistance level at 1.2777