GBPUSD
GBPUSD Swingers! Let's keep it simple.
A reversal is often needed for the trend to keep going. But, it's not a sure thing. However, the odds are in our favor. If not, the trend might break, leading to a new one.
So, who's ready to catch the next big wave? Let's wait for the setup to form. Don't rush. Let the price action tell us what to do. It's that easy!
PS: THERE IS NO LONG CONFIRMATION RECEIVED YET.
3 Steps to Trade Like a Pro Without Losing Your Sanity !🎯You’re here because you’re tired of watching the market run away without you, right? 🚀 You enter too late, exit too early, or worse—hold onto losers like they’re a long-lost love. 💔 It’s time to stop trading like a gambler and start trading like a sniper. 🎯 Buckle up, because this isn’t just another “blah blah strategy” blog. We’re breaking it down George-style: no fluff, no nonsense, just actionable steps (and a bit of sass).
🔥 Step 1: Spot the Uptrend—Your VIP Entrance to the Market Party 🎟️
Every great trade starts with one thing: momentum. That big blue arrow you see? 🌀 That’s the market screaming, "Follow me if you want to live… financially."
What NOT to do:
Don’t second-guess the trend. If price is moving up like a rocket, don’t be the guy saying, "But it feels like it might drop." 🙄
And please, for the love of pips, don’t trade against the trend. That’s like swimming upstream with a cement backpack. 🏋️♂️
George says: The trend is your bestie—until it’s not. Stick with it while it’s hot, but keep an eye on the exit door. 🚪
⚡ Step 2: Check RSI—Because Not All Trends Are Honest 🤥
Here’s where it gets spicy. 🌶️ Price can look like it’s climbing Mount Everest, 🏔️ but RSI might be wheezing at base camp. When price keeps going up but RSI says, “Nah, I’m done,” you’ve got RSI divergence, my friend. That’s your first red flag. 🚩
Think of RSI as your market mood detector. If it’s throwing shade, pay attention. 👀
What to watch for:
Price making higher highs while RSI makes lower highs. 📉
RSI hanging out near oversold like it’s got nowhere better to be. 😴
George says: When price and RSI don’t get along, something’s about to break—and it’s not your trading account if you play this right. 💸
💥 Step 3: Wait for the Trendline to Break—Patience, Grasshopper 🧘
Here’s the part where most traders mess up: impatience. They see a slight pullback and jump in faster than you can say, “margin call.” 😱 Don’t do it.
Wait for the trendline to snap like a cheap rubber band. ✂️ That’s your confirmation. Then, and only then, do you make your move.
The Setup:
Risk $1 to make $3. Always. 🤑 You’re not here to “just survive”—you’re here to thrive. 🌟
Use a stop-loss. Because “hope” is not a risk management strategy. 🤦
George says: A trendline break is like the market giving you a wink. 😉 Ignore it, and you’ll regret it.
Why This Works (and Why Most Traders Fail) 💡
This setup isn’t rocket science—it’s logic. 🤓 Spot the trend. Wait for the market to lose steam. Then confirm it with a trendline break. Simple, right? ✅ Yet 90% of traders will still overcomplicate it with 14 indicators, a gut feeling, and a sprinkle of overconfidence. 😵💫
But not you. You’ve got the plan, the patience, and now, the edge. 🔪
Final Words from George: 💬
Trading is like dating. If you’re too eager, you’ll scare off the good setups and end up stuck with losers. 😂 But if you wait for the right one—oh boy, it’s worth it. 💍 So, stop overthinking, trust the plan, and let the market come to you.
Now go out there and trade smart. And remember: Patience prints profits. 🖨️💰
Cheers to making the market your ATM. 🥂
PS: Risk $1, make $3. It's the kind of math we all like! 😏
What I wish I knew when I started Trading1. Study and Trade One Pair Only
Focusing on a single currency pair can streamline your learning and help you master market dynamics.
🔸Choose a Pair: Start with major pairs like EUR/USD or USD/JPY. These have high liquidity and predictable patterns.
🔸Understand Its Behavior: Learn the fundamentals and technical characteristics of the pair, such as its volatility, reaction to news, and typical trading hours.
🔸Backtesting and Practice: Use historical data to understand how the pair moves under different market conditions.
2. Losses Are Part of Trading
No trader is immune to losses. Handling them effectively is crucial for long-term success.
Mindset:
🔸Accept Losses as Learning Opportunities: View losses as part of the cost of doing business, akin to inventory in retail.
🔸Detach Emotionally: Avoid the temptation to revenge trade or let losses affect your confidence.
Practical Strategies:
🔸Set Risk Parameters: Only risk 1-2% of your trading account per trade. This limits the damage of a losing streak.
🔸Use Stop Losses: Predetermine the point at which you will exit a trade if it goes against you. This protects you from devastating losses.
🔸Keep a Journal: Document each trade, including reasons for entering, outcomes, and what you learned. Over time, patterns will emerge to guide improvement.
3. Develop Discipline and Patience
🔸Stick to a Trading Plan: Define your entry, exit, and risk management strategies before trading.
🔸Trade Less, Win More: Focus on high-probability setups instead of trading excessively.
🔸Give Yourself Time: Mastery in Forex trading can take years. Trust the process and aim for consistent improvement.
4. Build Resilience to Handle Losses
Self-Care:
🔸Step away from the charts after a big loss to regain perspective.
🔸Engage in activities that reduce stress, like exercise or meditation.
Review and Improve:
🔸Evaluate losing trades to identify errors.
🔸Adjust your strategy if recurring issues are found.
🔸Focus on the Big Picture:
🔸Track your performance over months or years, not days. This helps put individual losses into perspective.
GBPCAD RE TESTINGThe potential downtrend in the GBP/CAD currency pair may be influenced by several critical factors. The Bank of Canada's relatively hawkish monetary stance, supported by strong economic data, contrasts with the Bank of England's cautious approach due to slowing UK economic growth. Declining global oil prices could limit the downside for the Canadian dollar, as Canada is a major oil exporter. On the technical side, GBP/CAD has recently tested key support levels, and failure to hold these levels may signal further bearish momentum.
EURCAD GONE !The EUR/CAD currency pair has recently shown an upward trend driven by divergent monetary policies, with the European Central Bank maintaining a hawkish stance while the Bank of Canada adopts a more cautious approach, increasing euro demand. Declines in oil prices have weakened the Canadian dollar, given Canada's reliance on oil exports. Technical indicators reveal breaches of key resistance levels, signaling sustained bullish momentum. Traders should monitor economic data, oil price trends, and central bank communications closely to adjust their strategies accordingly.
GBPUSD FREE FALLThe GBP/USD currency pair has recently exhibited a downward trend, driven by macroeconomic uncertainties such as geopolitical tensions and global growth concerns, leading investors to favor the U.S. dollar as a safe haven. Divergent monetary policies, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish stance and the Bank of England adopting a more cautious approach, have further pressured the pair. Technical indicators show breaches of key support levels like 1.2842, signaling a continuation of the bearish trend. Traders should closely monitor economic data and central bank communications to adapt their strategies.
GBPAUD Bulls on Watch – Key Pullback Zone in Focus!We’re closely monitoring GBPAUD for a potential bullish setup. Here’s the plan:
1️⃣ We’re waiting for price to break above the previous highs around 1.96400 and move into the pink highlighted area.
2️⃣ Once price reaches this region, we’ll wait for a pullback to validate our setup before considering an entry.
The pullback will help confirm buyer strength, providing a better risk-to-reward trade setup. Patience is key—we’re not chasing price. Instead, we’ll wait for price to come to us, letting the market validate the setup. Stay tuned as we circle back if price reaches this critical zone."
Mindset Tip:
"A disciplined trader doesn’t chase opportunities—they let the market come to them. Waiting for confirmation protects your capital and reinforces your edge."
GBPUSD Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.264.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.276 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Pound GBPUSD Still in UpTend Here Is Support Channel hello friends as i can see GBPUSD retrace well as we send prediction in Channel u can check our chart in attachment a big move we caught easily with technical and fundamental skills GBP USD is not also at Weekly and Daily based support zone we can see a reversal to tup side Till Design levels this is just a trade idea share ur thoughts Stay Tuned for more updates
GBPUSD Sustained SellsGU unlike EU is actually a bearish market overall and this makes sells more readily available to me. TBH since shifting over to trading gold almost exclusively I can't stand how much slower forex pairs such as GU and EU move by comparison so it is unlikely that I would trade it even if I do end up seeing something but I will call it out if I feel like it needs to do so.
That being said, GU is currently in consolidation right now after just breaking out of a previous consolidation. When we look at what GU has been doing over the past few weeks it also shows heavy bearish momentum
If you even look at the peak one might even say that price stop hunted high to get rid of sellers who had stops higher, but I'm not quite sure so I won't use that as a confluence within this particular analysis.
This is what I see, price stumbling within the consolidation a bit more and then pushing up to about this level or so to get rid of sellers stops within both the consolidation areas and then drop after that.
My reason for using this particular path is simple. I think the dealer wants to get rid of sellers but he can't drive price so high such that he gives new sellers a better opportunity - if price goes any higher he may give sellers the signal they are looking for to get in which invalidates the dealer's move. If price gets up to the level highlighted by the blue marker sells are probably off the table temporarily.
GBPUSD Start thinking of buying. Will find support soon.The GBPUSD pair couldn't have given us a better sell signal last time we looked into it (October 09, see chart below) as it broke first below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) then the Bullish Megaphone and is very close to our 1.2550 Target:
We are approaching the stage where selling becomes far riskier than buying as the pair is approaching the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which on the September - October 2023 fractal (that has been the basis of our previous sell strategy), formed the bottom and initiated a Channel Up to the (orange) 0.618 Fib.
Even the 1D MACD indicates that we are probably a few days before this bottom is formed and will be confirmed with a Bullish Cross.
As a result, we are prepared to take this long and target 1.3100 (the 0.618 Fib).
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GBPUSD Analysis And Next MArket Move Pair Name = GBPUSD
Timeframe = 2H
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
GBPUSD is ready to bounce back after a good drop. Here expecting 200Pips+ gain after the breakout. GBP is getting stronger according fundamentals that's why we can see this move.
Bullish Target :-
1.28
1.29
EURUSD Analysis And Next Market MovePair Name = EURUSD
Timeframe = H4
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
EURUSD is taking breath after a long term drop after this is US elections. Now here in this bounce EURUSD give us a gain UpTo 100Pips+. After this target very possible we can see a drop in the Market.
EURUSD BUY = 1.057
Stop Loss = 1.049
Target 1 = 1.059
Target 2 = 1.062
Target 3 = 1.067
EUR/USD : First Long, then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #EURUSD chart in the daily timeframe, we can observe that the price is currently trading around the demand zone of 1.056. having declined over 500 pips from previous highs. This decline has brought the price into a significant demand zone between 1.0520 and 1.0580, where we anticipate a potential bullish reaction.
If the price manages to hold above this level, we can anticipate a short-term upward move. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless proven otherwise!
Fundamentally, the euro has been under pressure due to concerns over potential U.S. tariff hikes following Donald Trump's election victory, which could negatively impact the eurozone economy. Historically, the euro has fallen below the $1 mark twice, including for a few months in 2022 amidst rising U.S. interest rates and the energy price surge from the Ukraine war. A weak euro could raise import costs, potentially spiking inflation, though recent trends suggest inflation may not be a major concern. On the flip side, euro depreciation benefits exporters, particularly in Germany.
In summary, while the EUR/USD is currently in a bearish trend, the proximity to a significant demand zone and oversold technical indicators suggest a potential short-term upward correction. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless a sustained move above key resistance levels occurs.
THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
This currency pair, after its recent decline and breaking through support levels, has now reached a key support zone. A corrective move and a pullback toward the broken levels are anticipated from this area. Once the correction is complete, the price is likely to resume its downward trend.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
A Weaker pound?
1. Baseline Scenario
- Macro-Fundamental Bias Dovish. The Bank of England has cut rates by 25bps to 4.75%, with expectations of further cuts due to slowing inflation. Markets are pricing in two 25bps cuts by the end of 2025 with a 92% chance of a third 25bps cut, dispite the Labour Government's fiscal policy expected to be reflationary. There is also a 15% chance of a 25bps rate cut in December.
- Short Term Sentiment Bias : Neutral. The pound is moving flat on an index level, indicating no strong short-term sentiment driving the price.
2. Risk Event Baseline
- Event Description : Upcoming UK GDP data releases.
- Monthly GDP (m/m) forecast: 0.2% (previous: 0.2%).
- Preliminary GDP (q/q) forecast: 0.2% (previous: 0.5%).
- Market Expectations : Markets are anticipating a slowdown in economic growth, with the preliminary GDP forecast significantly lower than the previous quarter.
3. Surprise Scenarios:
- Negative Surprise:
- Plan: If GDP data misses forecasts, reinforce bearish positions on GBP pairs. A weaker-than-expected GDP print could act as a catalyst for further pound selling, aligning with the dovish macro outlook and expectations of additional rate cuts.
USDJPY - 3 Massive Swings Completed. 4th Swing Ready...USDJPY has been providing us with big swing opportunities. Our last public post resulted in a 1200pip take profit!
We are now on the verge of getting our 4th big swing setup.
We are in a 5 wave impulse at the moment, indicating that we are in a Wave A (of wave 2) as opposed to a wave 2. This is why we are anticipating price to create an abc correction for wave 2 in the form of 535 zigzag.
Trade Setup:
- Watch for rejection of the fib level
- Confirmation can be the break of the red trendline or any other reversal signs such as BOS
- Targets: 148 (950pips), Hold position and taper as we move lower
We'll update this setup if we get enough engagement.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Trade 1:
Trade 2:
Trade 3:
Trade 3 VIP Setup:
GBP-USD Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is already making
A bullish rebound from the
Horizontal support level
Of 1.2616 so we are
Locally bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
GBP/USD Weakens Around 1.2665 as USD Gains MomentumAs I write, the GBP/USD pair continues to decline, currently hovering near the 1.2665 mark. The recent rally in the US Dollar has driven it to its highest level since November 2023, exerting pressure on the currency pair. Later today, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey is scheduled to address the market, which could influence further movements.
Recent data from the US Department of Labor Statistics indicated that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.6% year-on-year in October, aligning with market expectations. Additionally, the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased by 3.3% year-on-year, also meeting forecasts. These figures have led analysts to believe that the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain its course for potential rate reductions at their upcoming December meeting.
However, concerns are growing over former President Trump’s proposals to impose higher tariffs on imports, which could stoke inflation. This scenario might compel the Federal Reserve to reconsider its monetary easing strategy. Given the recent CPI data, it appears the US is making only moderate progress in controlling inflation, suggesting fewer interest rate cuts might be on the table for next year. Such dynamics are reinforcing elevated US Treasury yields, further bolstering the value of the USD across the board.
From a technical standpoint, there are two key demand zones to monitor. Recent activity suggests that institutional investors are positioning for long opportunities, and seasonal trends appear to support this outlook. Patience will be crucial as traders await a consistent rebound in either of these two demand areas before considering long positions. For now, the USD is likely to maintain its strength against the GBP and other currencies.
✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
GBPUSD - Is inflation under control in America?!The GBPUSD currency pair is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. If the downward trend continues due to the release of today's economic data, we can see the demand zones and buy within those zones with the appropriate risk reward. In case of an upward correction, this currency pair can be sold within the specified supply zones.
The Governor of the Bank of England noted that the UK’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) does not accurately indicate whether underlying inflation dynamics have been suppressed. There remains a risk of rising energy prices, and inflation within the services sector is notably resilient and persistent. He anticipates greater volatility ahead, with some inflationary drivers potentially shifting upwards.
Additionally, according to new data from the Cleveland Federal Reserve, the inflation trend in the U.S. continues to remain above 2 percent. The Median CPI for the previous month was reported at 4.09 percent, a slight increase from 4.08 percent in the prior month. Since June, this measure has only seen a minor decline, from 4.15 percent to the current level.
Median CPI is a monthly inflation indicator that measures price changes at the midpoint of a basket of goods. Although this method may differ from the standard CPI, it focuses on items that fall within the midpoint of the distribution.
Charts within this report show that other inflation indicators are relatively stabilized, while the decline in the headline CPI is primarily due to a drop in energy prices, which is considered a temporary factor.
According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, despite ongoing challenges, debt levels remain manageable. Although delinquency rates have risen, income growth continues to outpace household debt growth. In the third quarter, delinquency transition rates varied, with credit card delinquencies improving, while delinquency rates for auto loans and mortgages saw a decline.
At the end of Q3, 3.5 percent of debt was in some stage of delinquency, up from 3.2 percent in Q2. Overall delinquency rates also increased during this period. According to the data, credit card balances in Q3 rose 8.1 percent compared to the same period last year, reaching $1.17 trillion, marking an increase of around $24 billion from Q2. Additionally, mortgage balances increased by $75 billion in this period, reaching $12.59 trillion.