GBP/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
GBP/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.225 area.
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GBPUSD
Let us Swing GBPUSD !!!Hello everyone, happy new week and a happy new month of March to you all !!!
First of, fundamentals are heavy on the pounds this week, coupled with the fact that this is non-farm payrolls week. (Fundamentals).
Secondly, there was a market Structure shift last week which is signaling more bearish momentum.
This setup overall has a stop loss of less than 40 pips from the H4 Order Block but if you need a tighter Stop, you definitely can go sharpen the entry in a lower timeframe.
Use proper risk and money management and do not over-leverage your account.
Most especially, do your own analysis !
GBP/USD: A Technical & Fundamental Outlook for March 3, 2025🕒 Market Context & Economic Overview
As of March 3, 2025, OANDA:GBPUSD is trading around 1.2602, reflecting a slight recovery from recent declines. The British Pound has been under pressure due to mixed economic data from the UK, while the US Dollar remains strong amid Fed's hawkish stance.
UK Economic Indicators: Recent GDP growth figures from the UK showed stagnation, raising concerns about a possible economic slowdown. The BoE's reluctance to cut rates has provided some support for GBP.
US Macro Factors: The latest US jobs report exceeded expectations, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s stance on maintaining higher interest rates for longer. This has strengthened the USD against major currencies.
Market Sentiment: Investors remain cautious as geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns weigh on risk appetite.
📊 Technical Analysis
1️⃣ Daily Chart (D1) – Medium-Term Trend
Trend: GBP/USD has been in a corrective phase after a strong rally earlier this year.
Resistance Levels: 1.2700 (recent high), 1.2750 (major resistance).
Support Levels: 1.2500 (psychological level), 1.2350 (long-term support).
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 55.27, suggesting neutral momentum.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The histogram is slightly positive, but momentum is fading.
Volume: Increasing on down days, indicating potential weakness ahead.
📌 Key Takeaway: The overall structure suggests a consolidation phase before the next major move. If GBP/USD breaks below 1.2500, a deeper correction is likely.
2️⃣ 4-Hour Chart (H4) – Short-Term Trend
Price Action: GBP/USD recently bounced from 1.2580 but faces resistance near 1.2650.
RSI: 43.91, indicating weak bullish momentum.
MACD: Slightly bearish, suggesting a potential pullback.
📌 Key Takeaway: GBP/USD is struggling to gain upside traction. If price remains below 1.2650, a test of 1.2550 is likely.
3️⃣ 1-Hour Chart (H1) – Intraday Perspective
Short-Term Resistance: 1.2625 (intraday high).
Short-Term Support: 1.2580.
RSI: 49.27, near the neutral zone.
MACD: Slight bullish crossover, but momentum remains weak.
📌 Key Takeaway: The pair is range-bound in the short term. A break above 1.2625 could trigger a move to 1.2650, while a drop below 1.2580 would open the door for 1.2550.
🎯 Trade Strategy & Recommendations
🔹 Buy Setup (Bullish Case):
Entry: Above 1.2625
Stop Loss: 1.2580
Take Profit: 1.2675
🔻 Sell Setup (Bearish Case):
Entry: Below 1.2580
Stop Loss: 1.2625
Take Profit: 1.2525
📌 Risk Management: Given the current market conditions, traders should adopt a cautious stance, keeping tight stop losses and adjusting positions based on price action.
🔥 Final Thoughts & Market Outlook
Short-Term Bias: Neutral to Bearish ⚖️📉
Medium-Term Bias: Consolidation with Downside Risks 🔄
Long-Term Bias: Depends on US Dollar strength & UK macro conditions 🏛️
Traders should keep an eye on upcoming economic data, particularly US ISM Services PMI and UK Inflation Reports, which could drive volatility in GBP/USD.
GBPUSD longPrice is showing bullish signs on the 3M and the monthly
The monthly formed a three pin pattern indicating that price will go higher than February's high at 1.2715
The weekly and daily timeframes are not giving obvious signs as to where price is headed but I am waiting for a buy confirmation to form on the 4h and daily timeframe before I buy the pair.
GBPAUD longMonthly targets at 2.0350 have not yet been met.
Price has shown signs of bullish momentum on the monthly. February monthly closure was very bullish and engulfed January's candlestick, showing that price is due for a bullish move.
On the weekly timeframe, we see that price collected buy orders twice at 1.9650 and then we have seen a lot of bullish momentum the past two weeks.
Price broke above 2.0250 and hence we know that price is due to move upwards.
Price usually moves the opposite direction once a new candlestick forms.
So before I buy the pair, I will wait for price to retrace and collect orders before I buy the pair.
Price has not formed a bullish confirmation yet, hence I will wait for the confirmation before I act on it.
Right now I am sitting on my hands
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.2501
1st Support: 1.2328
1st Resistance: 1.2858
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GBPUSD LONGOn the Daily Timeframe, price moved out from an Area of interest and and might be seeking the next area of value due to the lower timeframe of Price Action forming.
4H/1H - Price is trading around the base of an ascending channel which might be signifying a possible change of lower timeframe trend. If the base hold then I'll be waiting for a M15 Flag which I will taking a RE or RRE on it.
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2526
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2461
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2626
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Supply and Demand Zones Trading in Forex: A Detailed OverviewSupply and demand zones are a core concept in price action trading, helping you spot areas of strong buying or selling interest. Mastering these zones can help you predict reversals, breakouts, and continuations with high accuracy. Let’s dive in! 🚀
🧠 What are Supply and Demand Zones?
📉 Supply Zone (Bearish): An area of high selling pressure where price tends to drop. It forms when sellers overwhelm buyers.
📈 Demand Zone (Bullish): An area of high buying pressure where price tends to rise. It forms when buyers overpower sellers.
These zones act like magnets for price — when price returns to these levels, you often see strong reactions.
🗂️ Characteristics of Strong Zones
✅ Sharp Price Movement: Strong supply and demand zones create fast and aggressive price moves away from the area. 💥
✅ Multiple Rejections: The more times a zone holds and rejects price, the stronger it is. 🛑
✅ Freshness: The first retest of a fresh zone often yields the strongest reaction. 🆕
✅ Volume Spike: Higher volumes show genuine interest from large players. 📊
🎯 How to Identify Supply and Demand Zones
1️⃣ Find Strong Moves: Look for big bullish or bearish candles after a consolidation or small pullback.
2️⃣ Mark the Base: Draw a rectangle from the start of the strong move to the end of the consolidation.
3️⃣ Adjust for Wick/Body: Include the entire wick for aggressive zones or just the body for conservative zones.
📈 Bullish Supply and Demand Zone Strategies
1️⃣ Demand Zone Bounce (Buy Setup)
🛑 Identify: A clear demand zone with a strong bullish move away.
📉 Wait: For price to return to the zone.
🕯️ Confirm: With a bullish candlestick pattern (like Hammer, Engulfing).
🎯 Enter: A buy order at the zone’s edge.
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below the zone’s low.
🏁 Target: Nearest supply zone or strong resistance.
💡 Example: Price rallies from 1.2000, pulls back to the same zone, then forms a bullish engulfing — you buy.
2️⃣ Demand Zone Breakout (Continuation Setup)
🛑 Identify: A demand zone forming a higher low in an uptrend.
💥 Breakout: Wait for price to break the supply zone above.
📉 Retest: When price retests the broken supply (now demand), enter long.
💡 Example: Price breaks 1.2500 resistance, retests it, and bounces higher — you enter.
📉 Bearish Supply and Demand Zone Strategies
3️⃣ Supply Zone Rejection (Sell Setup)
🛑 Identify: A clear supply zone with a strong bearish move away.
📈 Wait: For price to return to the zone.
🕯️ Confirm: With a bearish candlestick pattern (like Shooting Star, Engulfing).
🔻 Enter: A sell order at the zone’s edge.
🛡️ Stop Loss: Above the zone’s high.
🏁 Target: Nearest demand zone or strong support.
💡 Example: Price spikes up to 1.3000, then drops sharply — on a retest, you short.
4️⃣ Supply Zone Breakout (Continuation Setup)
🛑 Identify: A supply zone forming a lower high in a downtrend.
💥 Breakout: Wait for price to break the demand zone below.
📈 Retest: When price retests the broken demand (now supply), enter short.
💡 Example: Price breaks 1.1800 support, retests it, and drops further — you enter short.
🛠️ Tools to Enhance Supply and Demand Trading
🧰 Support & Resistance Levels – Combine zones with horizontal levels for added confluence.
📐 Fibonacci Retracements – Zones aligning with Fibo levels are extra strong.
📉 Trendlines – A zone break + trendline retest makes a powerful entry signal.
📊 Volume Analysis – High volume confirms genuine buying or selling pressure.
⏳ Timeframes & Zone Strength
⏱️ Higher Timeframes (4H, Daily, Weekly):
Stronger & more reliable zones.
Great for swing trading.
⏱️ Lower Timeframes (5M, 15M, 1H):
More frequent but weaker zones.
Ideal for day trading or scalping.
⚠️ Common Mistakes to Avoid
❌ Forcing trades: Not every zone gives a valid signal — be patient.
❌ Ignoring context: Always follow the trend unless there’s clear reversal evidence.
❌ Skipping confirmation: Wait for candlestick patterns and rejections.
❌ Poor risk management: Always set a stop loss and manage position size.
GBP/USD March 2025 Technical Outlook: Bearish Pressure below 200What do you think about GBPUSD
It has broke the trend and in my observation it will be more downward
**Trend Direction (EMA 200):**
- The price (1.25756) is trading **below** the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting a **bearish bias**. The EMA likely acts as dynamic resistance near 1.26131 or higher, reinforcing the downtrend.
**Critical Levels:**
- **Resistance Levels:**
- Immediate: **1.26131** (likely the 200 EMA level).
- Stronger: **1.2689** (key swing high).
- **Support Levels:**
- Near-term: **1.25000** (psychological round number).
- Lower: **1.24215** and **1.24000** (next targets if bearish momentum continues).
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
This currency pair has been moving within an ascending channel, but after reaching the channel’s upper boundary, we saw a bearish reaction and price reversal.
Currently, the price has also broken below the support zone.
We expect that after a pullback to the broken level, the price will drop further, at least to the next identified support level.
What’s your outlook on this pair’s next move? Do you expect further downside?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GBP/USD Trendline Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3 - 7)The GBP/USD Pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2425
2nd Support – 1.2316
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USD/CHF Wedge Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/CHF pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.9138
2nd Resistance – 0.9221
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🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
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GBPUSD Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.257.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.235 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBPUSD: The trend of discounts prevails?Hello everyone, great to have you back for today's discussion on GBPUSD!
Currently, GBPUSD has extended its decline, trading below 1.2600 as market pressure intensifies. Risk sentiment has worsened following a series of U.S. economic data releases, which indicate weakness in the overall U.S. economy while also signaling a persistent rise in core inflationary pressures.
From a technical standpoint, the pair has broken below the ascending trendline, confirming a bearish breakout. The bearish momentum remains strong, with no clear signs of a bottom forming yet. If GBPUSD stages a corrective pullback, it is likely to face resistance around the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, which aligns with the confluence of EMA 34, EMA 89, and the newly established resistance area. This setup could reinforce selling pressure, making it a key level to watch.
GBPUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.26500 zone, GBPUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.26500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD is in the Selling Direction after breaking SupporTHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts