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GBPUSD

GBP/USD: Market Sentiment and the Road Ahead for the PoundFollowing up on our previous analysis of GBP/USD, it has been a tumultuous week for the Pound, which experienced significant declines on Wednesday and Thursday. Although GBP/USD managed a brief correction higher on Friday, it ultimately closed the week in negative territory. At the time of writing, the pair is in a consolidation phase, trading below the 1.2545 mark. The sharp drop in GBP/USD can be attributed to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish dot plot, coupled with the Bank of England's relatively dovish stance after its final policy meeting of the year. This combination led to a notable downturn in the currency pair. However, as we approached the weekend, a more positive shift in market sentiment emerged due to the US Congress successfully averting a government shutdown, which caused the US Dollar (USD) to weaken against its peers. This turn of events allowed GBP/USD to recover some of its earlier losses. From a technical analysis perspective, we are anticipating continued bearish momentum for the Pound against the USD as we approach the next demand zone. Previous Idea: ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Bearish drop?GBP/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.2615 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.2725 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Take profit: 1.2486 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBPUSD Will Go Up From Support! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.249. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.256 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
GBPUSD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisGBPUSD is moving on support zone and and made a head & shoulder pattern The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
Short
by TheGrove
16
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after collecting liquidity below $2635, the price faced renewed demand and successfully climbed above $2641. As a result, gold managed to rise to $2651, delivering a 100-pip return. Today, we have the US interest rate decision, which could bring significant volatility to the market, with both bull traps and bear traps likely. If you are not a professional trader, it’s better to stay away from the market and wait for stabilization, especially during Jerome Powell’s speech. The previous analysis remains valid: as long as the price holds above $2641, we can expect further upward movement. However, if the price drops below $2641 and closes a candle underneath, we will likely see a sharp decline. Keep these scenarios in mind and be patient to find the best trigger. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
21
GBP/USD Analysis: Pair Recovers from 7-Month LowGBP/USD Analysis: Pair Recovers from 7-Month Low The GBP/USD pair dropped below the psychological level of 1.25 today, a level last seen in early May. Over the past two days, the pair has declined by more than 1.5%, driven by central bank decisions. On one hand, the US dollar strengthened after the Federal Reserve chair's comments on Wednesday, hinting at potentially higher interest rates in 2025. On the other hand, the pound weakened on Thursday after news from the Bank of England (BoE). According to media reports: → The BoE kept the interest rate unchanged. → Market expectations for the BoE's February decision are putting additional pressure on the pound. Technical analysis of the GBP/USD chart reflects a continuation of bearish momentum, with the pair moving within a descending channel: → In mid-December, the price broke below the lower boundary of a narrowing triangle (highlighted in blue), signalling the potential resumption of the downtrend. → Around the same time, trading was concentrated near the 1.265 level. Despite repeated tests of this level, it seems that the bears took control. Looking ahead, the pair may consolidate near the channel’s median line as the year comes to a close, with this zone acting as a balance point between supply and demand. Stronger directional moves might materialise in 2025. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
GBP/USD--> Just One Step Away from a Further DeclineHello everyone, Ben here! Today, GBP/USD continues to face significant challenges. The pair remains under pressure due to a negative fundamental backdrop, the strengthening of the US dollar, and the emergence of a critical resistance zone. These factors all point to the likelihood of a sustained bearish trend. Yesterday, the UK GDP figures were released, showing no change. This lack of improvement leaves the British pound without any meaningful upward catalysts. Meanwhile, the US dollar finds support from recent market dynamics. Despite rate cuts, the dollar is gaining momentum, bolstered by hawkish rhetoric and expectations of economic growth. Against the backdrop of Trump-era policy shifts, the medium-term outlook for the greenback appears favorable. From a technical perspective, GBP/USD is currently testing a high-risk resistance zone. If a false breakout occurs, it could trigger a short-term rebound. However, this reaction is likely to be temporary. Following such a move, the pair may target a retest of local resistance levels. Yet, the real focal point lies in the support test within the next 1–3 days, which could set the stage for a deeper decline. A crucial level to watch is 1.2488. Should a base form at this point before any significant breakout, it would reinforce the bearish outlook and pave the way for further downward movement. Stay sharp and trade wisely! Yours truly, BenTradeGold.
Short
by Bentradegold
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 20, 2024 GBPUSDThe Bank of England kept its key rate at 4.75%, which was in line with market expectations. However, three members voted for a rate cut, which came as a surprise and emphasized the regulator's softer stance. This reinforced expectations of significant monetary policy easing in 2025 - the BoE is projected to cut the rate up to four times at 0.25%. In comparison, the Fed is planning less aggressive cuts another 1-2 times, which strengthens the US Dollar's position and puts pressure on the Pound. The economic situation in the UK remains unstable. The Bank of England lowered its GDP growth forecasts for 2024, pointing to weak economic dynamics. Despite the high growth of wages (5.2%), inflation remains above the target level, which requires the preservation of tight monetary policy. At the same time, the regulator noted that its easing will begin only after a steady decline in inflation to 2%. The fundamental background for the British currency remains negative. Investors will follow further statements of the Bank of England and economic data, but in the near future the pound is likely to continue a gradual decline. Trading recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/USD: Bearish Momentum Holds Below 1.2500GBP/USD trades around 1.2490, showing weakness for the third consecutive day, with the daily chart indicating a bearish bias within a descending channel. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, projecting a 2025 rate of 3.9% (up from 3.4% in September). Powell emphasized caution and a slower path for future rate cuts, while the BoE kept rates steady at 4.75%. The strengthening of the US Dollar has been supported by rising Treasury yields, although improving global risk sentiment might limit further gains. A break below the 1.2450 support could push the price towards 1.2400, while a move above 1.2530 might open the door to a potential test of 1.2600, though this remains unlikely without favorable catalysts.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
GBPUSD - continue its downward trendDear Investors, The GBP/USD pair has rebounded after losing over 1% following the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate cut on Wednesday, currently trading around 1.2590 during Thursday's Asian session. From a technical perspective, this recovery is likely to be short-lived, stemming from the strong support zone at 1.2567, rather than signaling a sustained rebound. Sellers could easily regain control, especially after breaking below the key level of 1.2645. Moreover, the 34-period EMA shows no signs of a significant reversal, suggesting the price might accelerate towards the next support level at 1.2486. Attention remains on the immediate resistance at 1.2615, as any failure to hold this level could lead to an earlier-than-expected decline. Stay alert and plan accordingly!
Short
by Trader-Briannnn
$GBINTR -U.K Interest RatesECONOMICS:GBINTR (December/2024) source: Bank of England The Bank of England left the benchmark bank rate steady at 4.75% during its December 2024 meeting, in line with market expectations, as CPI inflation, wage growth and some indicators of inflation expectations had risen, adding to the risk of inflation persistence. The central bank reinforced that a gradual approach to removing monetary policy restraint remains appropriate and that monetary policy will need to continue to remain restrictive for sufficiently long until the risks to inflation returning sustainably to the 2% target in the medium term have dissipated further. The central bank will continue to decide the appropriate degree of monetary policy restrictiveness at each meeting.
ECONOMICS:GBINTR
by Mr_J__fx