GBPUSD Watch – Bearish Momentum Building Below Supply ZoneGBPUSD pair has broken sharply below the long-standing accumulation range between 1.2857 – 1.3012, signaling a shift in market sentiment. The recent bearish engulfing structure has pushed price into a corrective pullback phase, with sellers likely to re-enter on rallies.
Key Technical Levels:
Current Price: 1.2795
Resistance (Supply Zone): 1.2857 – 1.2863
First Support Target: 1.2688 – 1.2690
Mid-Level Target: 1.2568 – 1.2570
Final Bearish Target: 1.2383 – 1.2390 (demand zone & key support)
Trade Scenario:
📉 Bearish Bias:
Price is expected to retrace into the supply zone (1.2857–1.2863) and then reject.
If resistance holds and structure remains intact, expect continuation toward:
TP1: 1.2689
TP2: 1.2568
TP3: 1.2385
🔁 Invalidation Zone:
A sustained break and close above 1.2863 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a move toward 1.3012.
Technical Confluence:
✅ Previous consolidation turned into a strong resistance zone
✅ Bearish breakout from range
✅ Clean lower highs and lower lows structure
✅ Volume drop on the pullback (likely a corrective move)
GBPUSD
GBP/USD possible bear set up/sell offAscending wedge channel 70% of bear breakout. We have 3 HHs printed with a possible 4th. We are currently in a strong bear trend. So trading with the trend here. Biggest target is a daily target. If a certain support level breaks on the daily I will target the wedge channel fill from the daily.
Heading into pullback resistance?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2876
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2967
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2714
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Lets Talk about GBPUSD..Trade Setup: Short GBP/USD
Entry: Sell now!
Stop Loss: Place your stop just above the recent intraday swing high. A level around 1.2790 offers a buffer in case of whipsaw moves.
Take Profit: With the risk defined by the difference between 1.2790 and your entry near 1.2725 (approximately 0.0065, or 65 pips), aiming for a reward roughly twice that size can be attractive. Setting a target near 1.2580 gives you a risk/reward ratio around 1:2.2. This level is in the vicinity of prior support from the day’s price action.
Rationale
Technical Overbought Signals: The elevated RSI, Stochastic, CCI, and Ultimate Oscillator values suggest that buyers might be exhausted and a pullback is due. With oscillators teetering in the overbought zone, the market’s momentum appears at risk of reversing.
Directional Indicators: The fact that the minus DI is significantly higher than the plus DI indicates that downward pressure is gaining strength, even though the ADX (≈21.65) and ADXR (≈23.32) hint that the trend isn’t yet fully solidified. This sets the stage for a potential reversal from an overextended area.
Price Action & Key Levels: Today’s price action has been squeezed into a narrow range with support clustered around 1.272–1.273 (supported by DEMA and SAR levels). A confirmed break below this zone would likely trigger further selling into established support areas.
Fundamental Surprises: With the mix of U.S. and U.K. fundamentals on the horizon this week, be mindful of possible volatility. If, for example, UK data comes in stronger than expected, it might buoy the GBP despite the technical caution—at which point you might re-assess or even consider a counter-trend long if the pullback reverses.
AUDCAD…When is enough, enough?!Good day traders, we back with another beautiful idea on AUDCAD but here we not focusing on buying and selling but rather to test a study I’m currently busy with, well in a nutshell I’m studying inside day candle stick pattern, currently on the 4hour TF we have a big bearish candle followed by a lot of small bullish candle sticks but all that trading is happening inside that one big 4 hour candle.
How I like to interpret this pattern in my years of back testing this pattern(still am)😂 inside day candles can be used as both a continuation or a reversal pattern but but depending on the market structure!! What price is doing currently on the 1hr TF I like to explain it to my friends as a beautiful lady who only wants your money 😂😂 because price is making traders believe that the reversal has started but truth is price is still gonna move lower the the liquidity resting below before moving higher to reverse the big move we saw last week and beginning of this current week.
We can expect price to take to low of Monday than shift structure higher to confirm our bias that price will reverse. Remember we study price and time not technical analysis.
GBPUSD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.277.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.256 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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This GBP/USD Move Will Catch Most Traders Off GuardGBP/USD has been in a strong uptrend over the past few weeks, with consistent bullish momentum. However, last week we saw the pair move into a period of range-bound consolidation—that is, until geopolitical headlines shook things up.
Following the news of Trump’s tariff announcements, the pair initially spiked aggressively to the upside, only to see a sharp 500-pip drop the next day. While this move might seem like a reversal at first glance, I believe it's a healthy pullback within a broader bullish trend.
Here’s why:
✅ The recent decline cleared out late buyers, creating a potential liquidity zone for institutions.
✅ Prior to the drop, the market took out sell-side liquidity from the range, then quickly reversed — a classic "grab and go" move.
✅ Structure remains intact to the upside, and I believe this pullback presents a high-probability buying opportunity.
📈 I’m expecting GBP/USD to retest and likely break last week’s high, with potential for another 500+ pip move to the upside in the coming sessions.
🛑 As always, manage risk carefully—nothing moves in a straight line, and fundamentals remain a factor.
If you found this insight helpful, give it a boost! 🔥
GBP Falls as Trade Tensions Fuel RecessionThe British pound fell to $1.28, its lowest since March 4, as Trump’s trade policies fueled recession fears. After China imposed 34% tariffs on U.S. goods, markets raised BoE rate cut bets. Traders now price in 88 bps of cuts by December, up from 43 bps in March, with a 90% chance of a 25bps cut in May.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2850, resistance levels are at 1.2900 and 1.2940. Support is at 1.2715, followed by 1.2650 and 1.2600.
GOLD H2 Outlook: Correction in progress 2900 USD in sight🏆 Gold Market Update (April 8th, 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook Update
▪️5 wave impulse completed
▪️Correction as expected previously
▪️currently trading at 3 000 usd
▪️Profit taking in progress now
▪️Price Target BEARS 2850/2900 USD
▪️Strategy: SHORT SELL rips/rallies
▪️target is 2900 USD
📢 Gold Market Update – April 2025
📈 Gold hits all-time high above $3,100/oz
🚀 Surge driven by Trump’s new global tariffs and rising trade war fears
🌍 Investors seek safety amid geopolitical uncertainty
📉 Pullback follows rally
💸 Sharp drop due to profit-taking and risk sentiment rebound
🔁 Analysts remain bullish as Fed rate cuts and tensions linger
🏦 Central banks keep buying
🛡️ China & others increasing gold reserves to hedge inflation & currency risks
GBPUSD: Pullback From Support 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD is likely to pull back from a key daily support.
I see a strong bullish pattern on an hourly time frame -
a double bottom formation.
Goal - 1.2825
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GBPUSD(20250408)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
1.2787
Support and resistance levels:
1.3011
1.2927
1.2873
1.2701
1.2647
1.2564
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.2787, consider buying, the first target price is 1.2873
If the price breaks through 1.2701, consider selling, the first target price is 1.2647
Bullish rebound?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.2717
1st Support: 1.2570
1st Resistance: 1.2875
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GBPUSD M15 I Bullish Bounce OffBased on the M15 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.2770, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.2849, an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is placed at 1.2707, a multi-swing low support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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#GBPUSD (April8)Levels where price reactions are most likely to occur during the day. Naturally, at each level, you can have buy and sell positions and you can freely use the levels for a new order or for TP of your postions. The levels are updated daily!
The results of price reaction to these levels will be shown in the upcoming videos.
You should note that the levels are based on price action knowledge, and no indicators are used to determine these levels. Therefore, the reaction ranges could occur a few pips above or below the levels marked on the charts!
Result: Gbpusd (April 7)Today, there hasn’t been any significant movement on this chart, and we predict the start of larger movements in the coming days. well, if you had a buy position at these two levels, you’ve likely exited with either a small profit or around 50 pips of profit. The price at the second level has reversed in a very attractive way. :))
Falling towards pullback support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2677
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2677
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2875
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GOLD H1 Update: Expect correction 2900/2950 USD🏆 Gold Market Update (April 3rd, 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook Update
▪️5 wave impulse completed
▪️Expect correction now
▪️Tariffs already priced in
▪️Profit taking in progress now
▪️Price Target BEARS 2900/2950 USD
▪️Strategy: SHORT SELL rips/rallied
▪️target is 2900/2950 USD
📢 Gold Market Update – April 2025
📈 Gold Hits All-Time High!
🚀 Price spiked to $3,167.84/oz after Trump announced sweeping tariffs (10–34%) on global imports.
🌎 Investors rushed to safe-haven assets amid rising trade war fears.
📉 Volatility Followed
💸 Sharp pullback after the surge as markets reacted to global uncertainty.
🔁 Analysts expect more swings as tensions evolve.
🏦 Central Banks Buying More Gold
🛡️ A move to protect against currency risks & inflation fears.
GBP/USD Bearish Setup – FVG Retracement to Target Liquidity ZoneThis chart shows a bearish price setup for GBP/USD on the 1-hour timeframe, with smart money concepts, key EMAs, and a clear projection of price movement.
🔍 Technical Analysis Breakdown
1. Price Context
Current Price: 1.28987
Trend: Price has broken market structure to the downside, suggesting a potential shift from bullish to bearish.
Key Indicator Levels:
EMA 30 (Red): 1.29948 – now acting as dynamic resistance.
EMA 200 (Blue): 1.29760 – another strong resistance level just above.
📌 Key Zones Identified
🔵 Fair Value Gap (FVG) – Supply Zone
Location: Between ~1.29760 and 1.30172
Significance: This is a potential liquidity zone where institutions might offload positions.
Plan: Price is expected to retrace up into this FVG before continuing lower.
🔻 Target Zone – Demand Area
Location: Around 1.27396
Labeled: “target point EA”
Significance: This area is projected as the final bearish target, likely aligning with equal lows or liquidity zones.
CHoCH (Change of Character)
Visible at the structure break, confirming bearish intent and a shift in momentum.
🧠 Projected Price Action (In Blue Arrows)
A potential retracement to the FVG zone.
Rejection from this zone.
Continuation to the downside through intermediate pullbacks.
Final target at 1.27396.
🛠️ Trade Idea Summary
Sell Setup:
Entry Zone: 1.29760–1.30172 (FVG)
Target: 1.27396
Stop-Loss: Above 1.30172 (safely outside the FVG)
🧾 Conclusion
This setup aligns with smart money principles — a CHoCH followed by a retracement into an FVG, with downside continuation into a liquidity target zone. The EMAs support the bearish thesis, offering confluence for rejection.
GBPUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.2800
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.2936
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK