XAU/USD : CPI is coming, Bull or Bear ?Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after entering the highlighted demand zone, gold has delivered a return of over 270 pips so far and is currently trading around $2611.
It’s important to note that today we have the CPI data release, which could significantly impact gold prices. If the CPI figures come in higher than expected, we’re likely to see further declines in gold, and vice versa if the data comes in lower.
Key demand zones remain at $2586-$2593 and $2555-$2562, while important supply zones are $2610, $2619-$2626, and $2643. Additionally, the recent sharp declines in gold have created several liquidity gaps, marked in purple on the chart, which are expected to be filled in the medium term as the price recovers.
Stay cautious and keep an eye on these levels, as well as the CPI announcement, for potential trading opportunities!
The Last Analysis :
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GBPUSD
GbpUsd near a very important pointAt the beginning of the month, GBP/USD made several unsuccessful attempts to reclaim the 1.30 level.
Following these attempts, the pair saw a strong decline and is now trading below 1.27.
However, GBP/USD is approaching a crucial point on the chart, and a potential reversal may be imminent.
As shown in the posted chart, this zone is shaped by three key factors: the ascending trendline from a previously broken triangle, a descending trendline indicating a retest, and two important horizontal support levels.
Additionally, with the DXY possibly nearing a correction , this could present buying opportunities in “cable.”
My target for a potential reversal is the 1.2850 area.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 14, 2024 GBPUSDGBP/USD extends its decline to 1.26850 in Asian trading hours on Thursday. The US dollar (USD) rally to the highest level since November 2023 is putting pressure on the major pair. Later on Thursday, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey will deliver a speech.
Data released by the US Department of Labor Statistics on Wednesday showed that the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) matched expectations, rising 2.6% year-on-year in October. Meanwhile, the core CPI, which excludes the more volatile food and energy categories, rose 3.3% y/y in October, matching the forecast. Markets expect the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to continue cutting rates at its next meeting in December.
“The Consumer Price Index offered no surprises, so for now the Fed will continue to cut rates in December. However, next year is a different story given the uncertainty surrounding potential tariffs and other Trump administration measures,” said Ellen Zentner, chief economic strategist at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management.
Fed officials remain cautious about cutting rates. On Wednesday, Dallas Fed Chairwoman Laurie Logan said the U.S. central bank should be cautious about further interest rate cuts so as not to inadvertently ignite inflation. In addition, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said stagnant inflation figures make it difficult for the U.S. central bank to cut rates further. Traders are raising bets on another quarter percent rate cut in December, albeit at a slower pace, before mid-2025.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
GBPUSD D1 I Bullish Bounce off 78.6%?Based on the D1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.2553, which is a pullback support close to 78.6% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.2807, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.2410, which is a pullback support level.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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GBP/USD extends losses as US inflation risesThe British pound continues to lose ground and is down for a fourth straight trading day. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2709, down 0.18% on the day. Earlier, the pound dropped below the 1.27 line for the first time since Aug. 8.
US inflation has been on a prolonged downswing but that streak has ended. After decelerating for six straight months, headline CPI for October rose to 2.6% y/y, up from 2.4% in September. The US dollar has responded with modest gains against the major currencies. Monthly, headline CPI was unchanged at 0.2%, in line with expectations. The core rate was unchanged in October, at 3.3% annually and 0.3% monthly, which matched expectations.
The jump in inflation may not have been a surprise, but market rate-cut odds have jumped sharply. Just a day ago, the markets had priced in a 58% probability of a cut in December, but this has surged to 82% currently, according to CME’s FedWatch.
Inflation is largely contained but by no means defeated. The Federal Reserve has waged a tough battle and is no mood to see inflation rebound. The next inflation report will be released just one week ahead of the Dec. 18 rate meeting and if inflation again moves higher, it’s possible that the Fed will respond with an oversized 50-basis point cut.
Another headache for the Federal Reserve could be the Trump election win, with the Republicans winning the Senate and likely the House of Representatives. The incoming Trump administration represents an upside risk to inflation, as President-elect Trump has promised sweeping tariffs on imports, notably China and Europe. If Trump makes good on his tariff threat, goods imported into the US will become more expensive which would boost inflation. That could complicate the Fed’s plans to continue trimming rates in 2025.
There is resistance at 1.2781 and 1.2843
1.2685 and 1.2683 are the next support levels
GBPUSD => Bearish Outlook At Key Resistance Level.Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.27500 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.27500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR/USD : First Short, then LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around the 1.06 level. Since the previous analysis, it has dropped over 500 pips. I anticipate that the price will soon react positively to the 1.052 to 1.058 zone, potentially leading to a recovery of 40 to 300 pips.Keep an eye on these marked levels!
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GBP/USD : First Short, then LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the daily timeframe, we can observe that the price is experiencing a significant decline. I anticipate that this heavy drop will likely pause, at least temporarily, upon reaching the demand zone between 1.267 and 1.2735. This is a key area of interest, and I expect a potential return of 50 to 200 pips from this level. This analysis will be updated as necessary.
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GBPUSD - Macro Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 GBPUSD has been overall bullish from a long-term perspective, trading within the rising channel in green.
Currently, GBPUSD is in a correction phase, trading within the falling red channel.
Moreover, the 1.255 - 1.6 zone is a strong support
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the support zone and lower green trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As GBPUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBPUSD Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.274.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.278.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBP/USD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the GBP/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 1.287 level.
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Could the Cable reverse from here?The price is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.2734
1st Support: 1.2672
1st Resistance: 1.2816
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD M15 | Bullish Bounce Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.2735, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibo retracement
Our take profit will be at 1.2791, a pullback resistance close to 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.2718, which is a swing-low support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD SharkGBPUSD Completes Shark Harmonic this gives us an insight into future price action and probability suggests we could get a reversal here, however we have to take into precaution CPI data tomorrow and the tail end volatility of the Trump Win, it is however worth an eye. With TP1 at 1.3 and TP2 1.34 offers good risk reward on a potential trade.
Understanding GBPUSDToday we will be taking a closer look at understanding GBPUSD .
GBP
-no global business
-risk currency
-more linked to the UK economy, politics, central banking
USD
-global business currency
-safe haven globally
-Petrodollar
UNDERSTANDING THE CURRENCY PAIR
-we have to understand that within this pair “ GBPUSD ” one is a “ risk ” currency ( GBP ). ( USD ) is a “ safe haven currency ” and is also known as the world reserve currency. During times of economic uncertainty our doubt , or during any periods of times where we have more $ strength, which can be induced by the FED central banking, interest rate hikes and so forth, we will always have the $ dominate, even if the other currency can have some short term strength.
THE USD IS THE WORLD RESERVE CURRENCY
What does this mean?
-this means that the majority of INTERNATIONAL business is denominated in USD. We can see this very relevant when we are looking at the OIL industry and how oil is always exchanged in USD. Hence the name “PETRODOLLAR”.
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
This currency pair is currently moving within a descending channel and trading below its resistance zone. Given the current conditions, after some minor fluctuations and corrections, the price is expected to move towards lower levels.
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GBPUSD and EURUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Levels discussed during livestream 12th November12th November
DXY: Could consolidate/retrace slightly, but for continuation higher to 106.10, beyond that, could retest resistance of 106.45
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5950 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.65 SL 25 TP 100
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2785 SL 30 TP 100
EURUSD: Sell 1.0590 SL 40 TP 140
USDJPY: Buy 154.90 SL 35 TP 110
USDCHF: Buy 0.8845 SL 30 TP 75
USDCAD: Buy 1.40 SL 40 TP 140
Gold: Breaking 2600, below 2585 could trade down to 2570 and 2550
XAU/USD : More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)We can observe that after reaching $2699 again, gold faced selling pressure and has corrected down to $2659 so far. Considering that both the New York and Canadian markets are closed today, we are likely to see the next significant move tomorrow.
Considering the current price trajectory, we need to see how gold reacts if it declines further to the $2649 level. If this level does not hold as support, there is a high likelihood that gold will first hit the $2643 target and then continue dropping to $2630 and $2616.
THE MAIN IDEA :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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GBP/USD "Cable" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bearish Side.Ola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
This is our master plan to Heist GBP/USD "Cable" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe, Recent / Nearest High Point.
Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
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Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
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GBPUSD is in the Selling Direction after breaking suPportHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
The GBP/USD Slump:Factors Behind the Pound's Recent DepreciationThe GBP/USD currency pair has experienced a decline, currently hovering around 1.2890 as this article is being composed during the European market opening on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) is gaining strength following Donald Trump’s electoral victory, impacting the major currency pair as traders anticipate that inflationary pressures will prevent the Federal Reserve (Fed) from making significant interest rate cuts.
In contrast, the Bank of England (BoE) has emphasized the necessity of maintaining a gradual and cautious approach to monetary policy adjustments, suggesting that a restrictive stance will need to persist for an extended period. The BoE's less dovish tone may help mitigate the Pound's losses in the short term.
The Pound has notably depreciated against the increasingly robust USD, which continues to benefit from the optimistic market reaction to the Republican win. According to the Stochastic indicator, the DXY is recovering from oversold conditions, indicating potential further gains for the Dollar.
Moreover, recent data from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates a rise in long positions among retail investors, while institutional traders—referred to as "smart money"—have remained relatively stable in their positions, maintaining levels below 50% in net positions.
Our analysis has identified a demand zone situated between 1.2800 and approximately 1.2700, which may serve as a key area of support for the Pound.
In conclusion, the immediate outlook for the British Pound and other currencies in relation to the DXY appears bearish, influenced by the prevailing market conditions and geopolitical factors at play.
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