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GBPUSD

Pound steady after hot UK wage growth, CPI nextThe Canadian dollar continues to lose ground. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4315, up 0.48% at the time of writing. The Canadian dollar has declined 2.2% in December and is trading at its lowest level since mid-March. Canada's inflation eased to 1.9% in November, down from 2% in October and shy of the market expectations of 2%. However, the trimmed-mean core rate remained unchanged at  2.7%, higher than the market estimate of 2.5%. This is above the Bank of Canada's target of 2% and will complicate plans to continue to lower interest rates. The BoC has been the leader among major central banks in lowering rates, with five rate cuts since June for a total of 175 basis points. The central bank chopped the benchmark rate by 50 basis points to 3.25% last week but indicated in the rate statement that it expected a "more gradual approach to monetary policy", which means we can expect 25-bp increments in rate cuts if there are no surprises in inflation or employment data. US retail sales sparkled, another sign that the US economy remains robust. Retail sales jumped 3.8% y/y in November, following an upwardly revised 2.9% in October. This was the highest annual gain since last December. Monthly, retail sales rose 0.7%, above the upwardly revised 0.5% gain in October and the market estimate of 0.5%. US consumers have opened their wallets for the holiday season and motor vehicles and online sales helped drive the gain. The strong retail sales report didn't change expectations for a rate cut on Wednesday, which stand at 99%, according to the CME's FedWatch. US PMIs on Monday pointed to a mixed bag. The Services PMI rose in December to 58.5 from 56.1 in November and above the forecast of 55.7. This was the highest level in over three years as the services economy is showing impressive expansion. The manufacturing sector is in dreadful shape and weakened to 48.3, down from 49.7 in November and below the market estimate of 49.8. Output and new orders are down as the demand for exports remains weak. USD/CAD is testing resistance at 1.4289. Above, there is resistance at 1.4343 1.4191 and 1.4137 are the next support levels
by OANDA
GBP/USD rebounds to test THIS key resistance The pound has been among the strongest currencies in the G10 space so far this week, owing to strength in UK data and diminishing hopes that the Bank of England will deliver a rate cut at this week’s policy meeting. However, against the US dollar, it is likely to resume lower given how strong the greenback has been as expectations about a hawkish rate cut from the FOMC builds. Meanwhile, a bit of selling in the stock market is also boosting the appeal of the US dollar, and this could provide pressure on the GBP/USD as it tests THIS key resistance area around 1.2715 to 1.2720 – a prior support area and where we have the 61.8% confluence. This morning’s release of UK wages data surprised to the upside, and with it killed any hopes for a BoE rate cut this week. The Average Earnings Index rose to 5.2% on a 3m/y basis, beating the 4.6% reading expected. Strong wage growth and sticky inflation in the services sector are factors discouraging the BoE to cut rates further. The latest UK wages data come hot on the heels of global PMI figures released yesterday. The key theme was faster-than-expected manufacturing contraction but stronger services expansion. The standout was the US services PMI, hitting a 38-month high of 58.5, driven by firm optimism about output under a new Trump administration. Coming just ahead of the year’s final FOMC meeting, it highlights the US economy’s resilience and potential for strength—factors that could fuel inflation and a less dovish Fed. Today’s US retail sales data was mixed, and in any case unlikely to influence the Fed’s decision tomorrow. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Short
by FOREXcom
1
XAU/USD : LONG, SHORT, LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that the price failed to maintain its bullish momentum yesterday. With news favoring the dollar index, gold experienced further declines, reaching $2664 so far. Now, we can expect an upward correction, likely followed by another drop before gold resumes its rally towards levels above $2700. This analysis will be updated further, so stay tuned and follow step by step! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
12
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 17, 2024 GBPUSDGBP/USD broke a three-day losing streak that took the pair to 1.2600 last week, recovering just over half a percent on Monday to return to the 1.2700 range. UK services PMI results for December hit an 11-month low. On Tuesday, UK traders will focus on wage and labor data. Quarterly average wages are expected to rise to 5% year-on-year. Markets await the Federal Reserve's rate decision on Wednesday. Traders will be closely watching the Fed's updated summary of economic projections (SEP) and interest rate forecasts from policymakers. U.S. PMI data for December was mixed, with the services PMI hitting multi-year highs and the manufacturing PMI falling below 50.0, indicating contraction. Retail sales data will be released on Tuesday, but may attract limited market attention ahead of the Fed's final rate decision this year. On Wednesday, traders will keep an eye on fresh UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, while the rest of the market will await the Bank of England's (BoE) latest rate decision scheduled for Thursday. The Bank of England is expected to leave the interest rate unchanged. Trading recommendation: Watching the level of 1.2700, trading mainly with Buy orders
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off?Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.2664, which is a pullback support close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.2717, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 1.2610, which is an overlap support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
GBP/USD Sell Setup Incoming!!we can clearly see a nice formation of a bearish structure on the monthly timeframe which is consistent with the weekly structure we also a key monumental shift on the EMA crossover and the price is now below the trendline So as the DXY (Dollar index) continue to rise we shall see GBPUSD continue lower and currently we have multiple confirmation in higher structure confirming the probability setup Use proper risk management!! stop loss anywhere at 1.29000 level seem okey!! target 1.21500 Make sure you follow me for more updates
Short
by ShinForex1
Pound higher as Services PMI rises, job report nextThe British pound has moved higher on Monday, after declining 1% last week. In the  European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2747, up 0.30% on the day. The UK Services PMI rose to 51.4 in December, up from 50.8 in November, which was a 13-month low. This beat the market estimate of 51.0, but points to weak business activity as demand for UK exports has been weak and confidence among services providers remains subdued. UK manufacturing is mired in a depression, and the PMI fell to 47.3 in December, down from 48.0 in November and shy of the market estimate of 48.2. This marked the lowest level in eleven months, as production and new orders showed an accelerated decrease. The weak PMI data followed Friday's GDP report, which showed a 0.1% decline for a second straight month in October. This missed the market estimate of 0.1%. GDP rose just 0.1% in the three months to October. The UK releases employment and wage growth numbers on Tuesday. The economy is projected to have lost 12 thousand jobs in the three months to October, after a sparking 200 thousand gain in the previous report. Wages including bonuses is expected to climb to 5% from 4.8%. The Bank of England meets on Thursday and is expected to hold the cash rate at 4.75% after cutting rates by 25 basis points in November. The economy could use another rate cut but inflation remains a risk to upside, with CPI climbing in October to 2.3% from 1.7%. The BoE will be keeping a close eye on wage growth, which has been a driver of inflation. The US releases PMIs later today. Manufacturing remained in contraction territory in November at an upwardly revised 49.7 and there is optimism that the new Trump administration's protectionist stance could benefit US manufacturers. The services sector is in good shape and improved in November to 56.1, up from 55.0 in October. The uncertainty ahead of the US election is over and lower interest rates have contributed to stronger expansion in services. GBP/USD is testing resistance at 1.2638. The next resistance line is 1.2668 1.2592 and 1.2562 are the next support levels
by OANDA
eurusd short/long +180/+180 swing trade setup🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for EURUSD today. We are currently stuck in 180 pips high/low range, so it's best to focus on selling high and buying low in current market conditions. 🔸Key levels for eurusd traders: 0420 s/r bulls, 0600s/r bears, 0600 mirror s/r bears level will get re-tested by the bulls for liquidity. 🔸Recommended strategy for eurusd traders: the sequence is short / long so you want to short high off the s/r bears at 0600 SL 40 TP 0420 pips, this is the the reversal play / re-test of the mirror s/r bulls at 0420 then flip long at/near 0420+-20 pips SL 40 pips TP1 +90 TP2 +180 pips final exit bulls at mirror s/r at 0600. this is a swing trade setup, patience required. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
10
GBPUSD longAll timeframes are pointing towards GBPUSD going up. 3 month: Targets are at 1.3900 after price broke previous support at 1.2050 and retested it. Monthly: We can see that orders are not enough to go to 1.3900. Hence, price has gone to a region it can fill orders at 1.2500 Weekly: We can see that price formed a 3 pin pattern. I expect price to go lower before we see upside Daily: Last week, price did not reach its target of 1.2820 The sudden downtrend shows that price will collect orders at 1.2567 before going up 4 hour: Just like the daily, we see that price has major liquidity at 1.2567, where we will look to go long
Long
by allan_mwenja2000
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Faces TroubleMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Faces Trouble GBP/USD started a fresh decline below the 1.2720 zone. Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today - The British Pound started another decline from the 1.2800 resistance zone. - There is a short-term declining channel forming with resistance at 1.2650 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen. GBP/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to continue higher above the 1.2840 resistance zone. The British Pound started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.2750 support zone against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis. The pair even traded below 1.2650 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.2610 level. A low was formed at 1.2608 and the pair is now consolidating losses. Immediate resistance on the upside is near a short-term declining channel at 1.2650. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2787 swing high to the 1.2608 low. The first major resistance is near the 1.2674 zone. The main hurdle sits at 1.2720 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2787 swing high to the 1.2608 low. A close above the 1.2720 resistance might spark a steady upward move. The next major resistance is near the 1.2785 zone. Any more gains could lead the pair toward the 1.2850 resistance in the near term. Initial support on the GBP/USD chart sits at 1.2610. The next major support sits at 1.2585, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.2520. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
Potential bullish bounce for the Cable?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.2547 1st Support: 1.2329 1st Resistance: 1.2734 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
Weekly Forex Forecast: GBPUSD is Bearish. Look For SELL Setups!This forecast if for the week of Dec. 16 - 20th. GBPUSD is bearish, and a bit weaker than the EURUSD. Will this weakness continue into next week? WIth a strong USD, the answer is yes! Wait for sells and look to target the sell sid liquidity. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6B1!Short
by RT_Money
Could the Cable reverse from here?The price is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.2617 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.2523 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 1.2731 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
GBP/USD on the Move – Will the Bulls Take Charge?OANDA:GBPUSD - 1Hr Chart Current Price:1.27664 Executive Summary: The price is currently trading within an ascending channel after finding support during the London session on Friday, Nov 22. A breakout above the 1.26953 level, now acting as strong support, suggests continued upward momentum toward the ultimate resistance at 1.29395, offering a potential profit of 171 pips. Detailed Analysis: After analysing the chart, we observed that the price found support during the London session on Friday, Nov 22, and has since been trading upward within an ascending channel. The resistance at 1.26953 was broken and now serves as a strong middle support or equilibrium. This level acts as a balancing point, where price often pauses, retests, or consolidates before continuing its trend. It works as a critical area of decision-making for traders, offering opportunities for price rebounds in an uptrend or potential breakdowns in case of bearish pressure. The price is expected to rise toward the ultimate resistance at 1.29395, as highlighted on the chart, with a potential profit of 171 pips. Bearish Scenario: In the bearish scenario, if significant selling pressure drives the price below the 1.26953 middle support, it could signal a potential shift in market sentiment. This middle support currently acts as a critical level, maintaining the upward momentum. A break below it may invalidate the bullish structure, leading to further declines. In such a case, the price is likely to target the next key level at the ultimate support of 1.24512. This level represents a strong foundational support where buyers might step in to stabilise the price and counteract the bearish momentum. Key Levels to Watch: • Middle Support: 1.26953 (Strong support and potential bounce level). • Ultimate Resistance: 1.29395 (Target level for upward momentum). • Ultimate Support: 1.24512 (Potential downside target if support breaks). Thank you for taking the time to read this analysis. Wishing you the best in your trading journey! Remember to always follow proper risk management strategies to ensure long-term success in the markets. Good luck with your trades!
Long
by SpicyPips