"GBP/USD Resistance Test with Potential Bearish Reversal Setup"Based on the chart:
1. **Resistance Zone**: The price has reached a strong resistance level around 1.2400–1.2450. This area could act as a barrier for further upward movement.
2. **Trendline Support**: There’s a clear upward trendline acting as dynamic support, indicating a bullish structure overall.
3. **Bearish Confirmation**: The chart suggests waiting for bearish confirmation before entering a short position. Signs could include a reversal candlestick pattern, a breakdown of a lower timeframe support, or momentum shifting downward.
4. **Potential Move**: If bearish confirmation occurs, a retracement toward the trendline near 1.2200–1.2250 could be expected.
This setup favors patience, as entering without confirmation might expose trades to unnecessary risk if the resistance breaks.
GBPUSD
Pound Awaits Direction Ahead of PMI DataMacro:
The pound weakened due to the absence of significant economic data as markets look for new catalysts.
Today's movement is expected to align with dollar trends while traders focus on tomorrow's S&P Global PMI releases. UK and US Jan PMI figures are anticipated to show mixed results, with services slowing and manufacturing rebounding.
Technical:
- GBPUSD failed to break above its resistance of 1.2320/70, coinciding with EMA21. The price is below both EMAs, indicating that downward momentum persists.
- If GBPUSD remains below 1.2320, the price could shrink to its next support of 1.1940.
- Conversely, staying above 1.2320/70 may prompt a retest at its nearby resistance 2520.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
GBPUSD Is Nearing The Daily Trend!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.24000 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.24000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.22990, which aligns with a pullback support level and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bullish setup.
Our take profit is set at 1.24413, near a key resistance level where price may face selling pressure.
The stop loss is placed at 1.22185, below the previous swing low, providing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bullish setup remains valid.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD Double Bottom to 1.033 before ascentUsing SMC (assuming that this is properly executed), we expect that the price is to hit 1.033 levels before an ascent up to 1.1309 then further down again to 1.067 to 1.0595 then ascend further up to 1.1405 wherein 2 scenarios can happen: A. If 1.14650 breaks, then we can confirm an uptrend or B. If 1.135 does not hold, then we can expect 1.03 to break down to 1.005, now with the possibility of reaching its parity price of 0.967. With the fundamentals backing this up, this TA has a better chance of happening.
FOREX Forecast UPDATES! Jan 22, WednesdayIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The USD Index is now reacting to the Weekly Supply Zone, turning over. There was a bearish MSS, so sells are valid. A BOS would confirm the bearish trend starting, but we need to see how the price action plays out over the next two days.
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Bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.2368
1st Support: 1.2236
1st Resistance: 1.2492
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Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2372
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.2474
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2239
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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GBPUSD is in the Selling Direction after breaking SupportHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBP/USD Ready To Go Up Hard , Don`t Miss This 250 Pips !Finally we have a daily closure above very strong Daily Res , this is a very good price action that confirm the price will go up hard for the next days , so now i`m waiting the price to go back to retest the broken res and give me a good bullish price action and then we can enter a buy trade to get 200 pips at least !
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 22, 2025 GBPUSDThe Pound saw mixed results from UK labour data, but the UK's own Labour Department is taking the figures as a grain of salt. On the US side, US President Donald Trump brushed aside his campaign promises of sweeping tariffs against all US trading partners, focusing on new, more subtle tariff threats against US North American trading partners Canada and Mexico.
Markets shuddered as investors tried to keep up with the new headline generator - President Trump. Investors were betting big that the newly minted US president would not impose tariffs on day one, as he has long threatened to do, but a new round of renewed trade rhetoric has market sentiment fluctuating in the mid-range.
With only little significant data scheduled for Wednesday, pairs traders will focus on the headlines likely to be released during US trading hours. Pound traders will be keeping an eye on Friday's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from S&P Global, which is due out on both sides of the Atlantic.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.2280, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
GBP/USD--> Bulls pause, uptrend still intactFX:GBPUSD entered a temporary corrective phase after a two-day rally, pulling back to the 1.2300 region during the early European session on Wednesday. This move comes as the U.S. Dollar regains strength amid heightened demand for safe-haven assets, driven by growing trade war concerns under the Trump administration.
On the 4H chart, despite the current dip, the broader structure remains bullish. The pair continues to trade above the EMA 34 and EMA 89, which are acting as dynamic support levels. Additionally, the formation of higher lows underscores the strength of the upward trend.
Key Levels to Watch:
0.618 Fib retracement at 1.2288: A potential area for bulls to regroup.
0.5 Fib retracement at 1.22363: The next major support zone if the correction deepens.
A sustained hold above these levels could fuel renewed buying momentum, potentially setting the stage for a continuation of the broader uptrend.
Levels discussed on Livestream 21st Jan 202521st January 2025
DXY: If the price stays below 108.80, could see it trade lower to 107.80 (50% retracement)
NZDUSD: Looking for retrace to 0.5690 and reaction to 0.57 round number.
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6190 SL 20 TP 55
GBPUSD: Buy 1.2350 SL 50 TP 120
EURUSD: Could retrace higher, looking for reaction at 1.0460
USDJPY: Sell 156.20 SL 50 TP 100
EURJPY: Buy 161.20 SL 70 TP 120
GBPJPY: Buy 192.20 SL 40 TP 80
USDCHF: Could trade lower down to 0.9020 support
USDCAD: Sell 1.44 SL 30 TP 90
XAUUSD: Currently 2730, price stays above 2720 could trade up to 2760
GBPUSD M15 I Bearish BreakoutBased on the M15 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.2316, which aligns with a pullback resistance. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup.
Our take profit is set at 1.2254, aligning with the 78.6% Fibo retracement and a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.2375, above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, providing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bearish bias.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit
Entry: 1.2372
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.2474
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2239
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/USD: BOE Is Ready for the Big Cut!GBP/USD shows mixed signals, remaining below 1.2350, influenced by economic and political factors in both the UK and the US. After a strong rally on Monday, the pair lost momentum on Tuesday, driven by the recovery of the US Dollar and overall disappointing UK labor market data. The rise in the unemployment rate to 4.4% and a slowdown in employment growth weigh on the Pound, despite an annual wage increase of 5.6%. From a technical perspective, the RSI on the 4-hour chart signals a loss of bullish momentum, approaching the neutral level of 50 after being in the overbought zone. Key support levels are located at 1.2230 and 1.2200, while resistances are seen at 1.2350.
The Pound is also affected by an uncertain macroeconomic context, with Trump's comments indicating potential tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada, supporting a recovery in the Dollar due to its safe-haven status. In the absence of significant US economic data, investor focus shifts to stock market performance: a negative opening on Wall Street could support the Dollar, exerting additional bearish pressure on GBP/USD. In the short term, the pair may remain under pressure, with a potential test of key support levels, unless more solid signs of Pound strength or Dollar weakness emerge.
GBPUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GBPUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.2291
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.2216
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Pound slips as UK payrolls slideThe British pound continues to show sharp swings this week. After a spectacular 1.3% gain on Monday, GBP/USD has reversed directions and is trading at 1.2233 in the European session, down 0.68% on the day.
The UK payrolls report, a reliable indicator of employment growth, showed a sharp decline of 47 thousand m/m in December 2024. This was the largest decline since Nov. 2020 and follows a revised -32 thousand in November. The back-to-back declines are a result of the government's new payroll taxes in the budget, which is causing businesses to release workers. Wage growth (excluding bonuses) remains hot and increased to 5.6% in December, in line with the market estimate and higher than the 5.2% gain in November.
While the weak employment data will be a headache for the UK government, it supports the case for the Bank of England to cut interest rates in order to kick-start the flagging economy. The BoE held rates in December and meets next on Feb. 6, with a quarter-point cut priced in at 85%. Inflation has remained sticky and the jump in wage growth is a reminder of the upside risk of inflation. The BoE may be looking at rate cuts in the coming months but it will have to do so cautiously, ever mindful of inflation.
In the US, the strong nonfarm payrolls report for December is raising the possibility that the easing cycle may be over. The Bank of America doesn't expect any rate cuts in 2025 and says the risks for the next move are tilted towards a hike. The Fed started the easing cycle with a bang in September 2024, chopping rates by a half-point, but the strong economy means Fed policy makers may have to consider rate hikes in 2025.
GBP/USD has pushed below support at 1.2278. and is putting pressure on support at 1.2211
1.2395 and 1.2462 are the next resistance lines
GBP/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.212 area.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Ghost Traders FX GBP/USD Trend Continuation [SHORT]News volume has failed to create disrupt the bearish structure and trend, liquidity remains targetable on the sell side with buyside liquidity swept last night.
I don't see the DXY reversing bearish just yet but I believe we are close.
My Bias is Short as price seems very likely to target 1.203 before any major trend reversal.
Trade Record for GTFX stands at 126 wins, 17 breakevens, 7 losses with a 94%+ W/R & +2670 pips gained.