XAU/USD : Get ready for a new ATH, Towards $3000?! (READ)Gold's one-hour chart analysis confirms that the price has followed our previous forecast precisely, reaching the $2951 level as expected. Comparing the last five analyses highlights the accuracy of these projections.
Currently, after hitting $2951, gold is facing selling pressure and is trading around $2947. I anticipate a slight correction before another upward move.
Short-term targets: $2954 and $2956
Medium-term targets: $2966 and $2969
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GBPUSD
GBPUSD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.267.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.272 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBPUSD - Dollar’s eye on the Fed?!The GBPUSD pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction, the pair can be bought within the specified demand range.
The Federal Reserve of the United States has embarked on a process that could have profound implications for the global economy: a reassessment of the framework used to determine interest rates. These rates influence borrowing costs and prices not only in the U.S. but also across much of the world.To implement this reform effectively, the Federal Reserve must first identify the core issue. During the January meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, central bank policymakers emphasized that the new framework must be “resilient to a wide range of conditions.” This marks a step in the right direction, given that the current framework, established in 2020, proved inadequate in responding to the economic disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.
The 2020 framework was introduced at a time when inflation consistently remained below the Fed’s 2% target. To compensate for this shortfall, policymakers committed to allowing inflation to run above target. Specifically, the Fed pledged to keep short-term interest rates near zero until three conditions were met:
• The economy achieved maximum sustainable employment,
• Inflation reached 2%,
• Inflation was expected to remain above 2% for some time.
Additionally, interest rate hikes could not begin until the central bank had concluded its asset purchase program, known as quantitative easing (QE)—a process that itself depended on substantial progress toward meeting the three stated conditions.
As a result, the Federal Reserve was significantly delayed in responding to a strong economy, a tight labor market, and accelerating inflation. When rate hikes finally began in March 2022, real GDP growth remained robust, unemployment was below the level deemed sustainable by policymakers, and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge had already exceeded 5%.
Despite these clear signals, debates persist about whether the Fed’s policy framework was to blame. Some argue that the central bank merely made a forecasting error, later compensating with aggressive monetary tightening. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has echoed this view, calling the framework “useless.”
However, had the Federal Reserve disregarded this framework and instead adhered to traditional policy rules, it likely would have started raising short-term rates about a year earlier.
Another argument is that the inflation surge, which was observed globally, was beyond the Fed’s control. However, in the U.S., surging demand for goods—bolstered by a massive fiscal stimulus—played a significant role in driving up global prices.
Additionally, while many other countries faced dramatic increases in energy prices, this factor played a relatively minor role in the U.S. inflation spike.
A third perspective holds that the Biden administration’s $1.9 trillion stimulus package was excessively large. While this undoubtedly contributed to economic overheating, it was still the Fed’s responsibility to account for its effects and respond with tighter monetary policy.
Identifying these missteps is crucial. Otherwise, how can we be confident that the Federal Reserve won’t repeat them? Credibility is essential; without it, policymakers will struggle to influence financial markets and the broader economy effectively.
To restore confidence, the Fed must address the shortcomings of the 2020 framework. It should abandon policies that kept interest rates artificially low for too long and adopt a more cautious approach to quantitative easing (QE) and quantitative tightening (QT). Finally, it should reconsider whether interbank interest rates remain the best policy tool or if focusing on the interest rate banks pay on reserves would be more effective.
NAS100 at Critical SupportNAS100 is currently trading at 21,150, having completed a falling wedge breakout and now holding at a key support level. The falling wedge is typically a bullish pattern, but in this case, price action suggests a crucial test of support. If this level fails to hold, NAS100 could see significant downside momentum, potentially targeting the 19,000 level.
Technically, a breakdown below this support could confirm a bearish continuation, triggering a strong sell-off. Traders should watch for increased selling pressure and a sustained move below the support zone, which could accelerate bearish momentum. If the support holds, however, NAS100 could attempt a recovery, making this a decisive level to monitor.
Fundamentally, NAS100 remains under pressure due to concerns over Federal Reserve policy, interest rate expectations, and broader market sentiment. Any signs of prolonged high rates or weak earnings from major tech companies could fuel further downside pressure. Additionally, rising bond yields and a stronger US dollar may continue to weigh on the index.
In summary, NAS100 is at a critical support level after a falling wedge breakout, with the potential for a sharp drop if the support breaks. Traders should closely monitor price action, volume, and macroeconomic developments to confirm the next move. A break below this level could open the door for further downside toward 19,000.
GBPUSD Week 9 Swing Zone/LevelsLast week saw a few pinched pips and also few losses. This highlights the benefit of having a good risk to reward ratio.
Weekly zone and levels are mapped based on previous week daily high-low relationship (ie Monday HL in relation to Tuesday in relation to Wednesday HL, etc). This generates a fairly accurate levels with actual price action determining trades.
SL, stoploss is usually btw 10-15pips
TP, Takeprofit is 5-10x that, with sl moving to BE, breakeven once trade pinches +20pips.
GBPUSD M15 I Bullish BounceBased on the m15 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently testing our buy entry at 1.2661, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fobo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.2684, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.2646, below the 78.6% Fibo retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD: Buy or sell?Dear traders,
Recently, GBPUSD has struggled to sustain its new high at 1.269, experiencing a slight downward correction while still holding relatively stable at elevated levels. The primary driver behind this decline is the renewed demand for the U.S. dollar, fueled by rising U.S. Treasury yields and the House of Representatives’ approval of the Republican Budget Plan, which has negatively impacted the pair.
As a result, GBPUSD is likely to undergo a short-term corrective move against the trend, seeking new support levels before resuming its upward trajectory.
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?GBP/USD has reacted of the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2720
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.2795
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.2585
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum & Key Demand Zones📊 GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Perspective
Current Market Structure:
📈 Bullish Momentum: The price is currently trending upwards after breaking a short-term high (SH) and liquidity zone.
🔄 Change of Character (CH): Confirmed as the price broke previous resistance, signaling a possible trend continuation.
Key Zones & Levels:
🟣 H4 Block Order (Demand Zone): Marked in purple, this area aligns with a strong order block, indicating potential buying interest if the price retraces.
🟥 Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG): Above the demand zone, acting as a potential area for price rebalancing before resuming the uptrend.
🔴 200 EMA at 1.25179: Serving as dynamic support, aligning with the demand zone for potential buy setups.
Potential Scenarios:
📉 Retracement to Demand Zone (1.2500 - 1.2550)
Buyers may step in at the H4 Block Order & Fair Value Gap.
Price could form a higher low before continuation.
📈 Bullish Expansion to New Highs (1.2750 - 1.2800)
If demand holds, expect a strong push-up towards liquidity areas.
Breakout could trigger momentum buying.
Bias:
✅ Bullish (Higher Highs & Higher Lows Forming)
⚠️ Caution: If price breaks below 1.2500, sentiment may shift bearish.
Should we wait for the Pound to hit $1.272?
Hi my dears
I think we should see currencies strengthening against the dollar in the coming days.
I have considered a very important level for the currency, and if the candles can stabilize above this level, we should expect an increase in demand for the pound.
What do you think?
If you like my analysis, just follow my page.
GBP/USD: Bullish Short-Term Move Towards Liquidity at 1.2700📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
GBP/USD is currently trading around 1.2650, sitting at a key demand zone while maintaining a bullish structure on the 4H timeframe. The pair has been showing signs of accumulation and could be setting up for a liquidity grab towards 1.2700 - 1.2708 before any potential reaction.
🔍 Trade Setup: Bullish Bias Towards Liquidity Pool
BUY Entry Zone: 1.2640 - 1.2650
Target 1 (TP1): 1.2690 (Minor Liquidity Grab)
Target 2 (TP2): 1.2700 - 1.2708 (Institutional Resistance)
Stop Loss (SL): 1.2625 (Below Demand Zone & Fibonacci Support)
📈 Why Take This Trade?
✔️ Bullish Structure Intact – Price is above key moving averages (6 EMA, 24 EMA, 72 EMA), and the Supertrend remains bullish.
✔️ Institutional Liquidity at 1.2700+ – Major market players have orders sitting above this level, making it a prime target.
✔️ Demand Zone & Fibonacci Support – Price is reacting from 1.2640-1.2650, aligning with Fibonacci retracement and historical demand zones.
✔️ Order Flow Confirms Strength – Market depth shows strong buy-side interest at current levels, supporting a push higher.
📰 High-Impact News to Watch
⚠️ Fed Chair Powell Testimony (Feb 27, 2025) – Powell's remarks on inflation and future rate hikes could bring volatility to GBP/USD. Any hints of a hawkish Fed stance may strengthen the USD, leading to potential pullbacks.
⚠️ UK GDP Data (Feb 29, 2025) – A weaker-than-expected print could weigh on GBP, while a positive surprise might fuel further upside.
📌 Final Thoughts: Trade Smart & Manage Risk!
I’m keeping a close eye on the reaction at 1.2700-1.2708. Bulls have the upper hand, and liquidity above should get taken. Let’s see how price action unfolds!
🔥 What’s your bias? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
XAUUSD MARKET IS BULLISH BEWARE READY FOR IN NEW ZONE Xauusd market is currently on 2914 according h1 and my experience if market break resistance level is 2934 then market move in new zone 2970 or break a support level 2897 then pullback to 2800
RESISTANCE LEVEL . 2934
SUPPORT LEVEL . 2897
MY TARGET.. 2970
TARGET 2 3000.00
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Gains StrengthMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Gains Strength
GBP/USD is attempting a fresh increase from the 1.2600 zone.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is attempting a decent increase above the 1.2620 zone against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.2625 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a downside correction from the 1.2690 zone. The British Pound traded below the 1.2650 zone against the US Dollar.
A low was formed near 1.2605 and the pair is now attempting a recovery wave. There was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2690 swing high to the 1.2605 low.
The pair even spiked above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2690 swing high to the 1.2605 low and settled above the 50-hour simple moving average.
On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.2675. The next major resistance is near the 1.2690 level. If the RSI moves above 60 and the pair climbs above 1.2690, there could be another rally. In the stated case, the pair could rise toward the 1.2750 level or even 1.2820.
On the downside, there is a major support forming near 1.2625. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.2625. If there is a downside break below the 1.2625 support, the pair could accelerate lower.
The next major support is near the 1.2605 zone, below which the pair could test 1.2560. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.2525 support.
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+150 pips Best Level to Short EURNZD from Resistance🔸Hello traders, let's review the H2 chart for EURNZD today. Trading
near premium prices of the multiweek range, closing in on heavy S/R
Currently risk/reward is shifting in bears favor, so it's recommended
to look for sell side setups in EURNZD.
🔸Heavy overhead mirror S/R zone at 8440/8480 expecting reversal
from overhead resistance. current bid is 8375 so final push incoming
before we can get a decent entry on sell side.
🔸Recommended strategy for EURNZD traders: focus on short selling any rips/rallies near MS/R 8440/8480 price is currently trading near premium levels and is almost maxed out already, limited upside. TP1 bears +75 TP2 bears +150 pips final exit 8300 keep in mind this is a swing trade setup so naturally will take more time to complete / hit both targets. good luck traders!
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Fundamental Market Analysis for February 26, 2025 GBPUSDOn Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair experienced a slight rebound, allowing the cable to retrace to the upper boundary of the short-term consolidation and hold bid near the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA).US consumer sentiment declined in February, adding to concerns of slowing economic growth, with US President Donald Trump reiterating his intention to impose stiff import taxes on his citizens as a trade war threat against the US's closest trading partners.
Despite weakening consumer sentiment, driven mainly by concerns over President Trump's tariff packages, the cable markets remained positive on Tuesday.Despite a new round of attempts by President Trump to start a trade war, markets continue to believe that the US President will find a reason to put aside his own tariff threats at the 11th hour.
The data calendar for the US and UK has relatively few items scheduled for Wednesday, although the market is anticipating the release of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Thursday. Friday will conclude the week with the release of updated US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation data, a key indicator that investors hope will show that the recent rise in the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) has not affected core inflation.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.26500, SL 1.26000, TP 1.27300
GBPUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.2637, an overlap support that aligns close to the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.2672, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.2605, a swing low support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/USD Approaching Key Reversal ZoneThe GBP/USD pair has reached a critical resistance area around 1.2658, aligning with the 1.13 Fibonacci extension level of the harmonic Gartley pattern. The price action suggests potential exhaustion in the bullish trend, with signs of rejection near this level.
A confirmed reversal could lead to a corrective move towards key support zones at 1.2456 and 1.2320. However, if the pair sustains above 1.2685, further upside towards 1.2732 and the HOP level at 1.2843 remains possible.
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal Setup: Key Levels and TargetsThe USD/JPY chart on the 4-hour timeframe indicates a potential bullish setup. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
1. Support Zone & Trendline Confluence**
- Price is currently reacting to a strong demand zone** around 149.000–149.500, marked in green.
- There's also a visible ascending trendline acting as dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
2. Change of Character (ChoCH) & Break of Structure (BOS)
- A series of **bearish BOS and ChoCH confirm the prior downtrend.
- However, the most recent ChoCH to the upside signals a potential shift in market direction.
3. Target Zone & Resistance Area
- The next resistance zone** is marked around 152.000, aligning with a supply area.
- This is also the short-term bullish target, as indicated on the chart.
4. Potential Trade Setup
- If the price holds above the demand zone and breaks the minor resistance at 150.000, bullish momentum could push it toward 152.000.
- A higher low formation** would further confirm bullish continuation.
5. Risk Factors
- A break below the **strong low (148.800–149.000) could invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside.
Conclusion
USD/JPY is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. If price respects the support and trendline, it could rally toward 152.000. However, a breakdown below 149.000 would invalidate the bullish bias.
USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? (READ CAPTION)The USD/JPY daily chart confirms that the price followed our analysis precisely, dropping from the expected zone and completing a 500+ pip correction, hitting all three targets: 152.70, 151.70, and 151, before reaching 148.00.
I anticipate a short upward move before another potential decline. The next probable target for USD/JPY is 148.65. Keep an eye on price action for confirmation!
THE LATEST ANALYSIS :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban