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GBPUSD

GBP/USD Trade Recap – A Perfect Long Setup 1️⃣ Trade Execution – Why I Took the Long Position Today’s GBP/USD trade was a textbook example of combining Fibonacci retracements, smart money positioning, and seasonality trends to catch a high-probability long setup. 💡 Entry Details: ✅ Entry: 1.2600 (Fibonacci golden zone) ✅ Stop Loss: 1.2587 (Below structure) ✅ Take Profit: 1.2635 (Key resistance zone) ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 🎯 Result: Hit TP at 1.2635 for a solid profit! ✅ 2️⃣ Why This Trade Worked – A Breakdown of the Confluences 📊 Fibonacci Retracement – Perfect Pullback & Reversal Price retraced to the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone (1.2600 - 1.2593) before reversing. The bullish move was expected after a strong impulse leg, following smart money positioning. 📈 Smart Money & Retail Sentiment – Trading Against the Herd 🔹 62% of retail traders were SHORT on GBP/USD (as per DMX data). 🔹 Since I trade against retail sentiment, this provided a strong bullish confirmation. 🔹 Institutional COT data showed big players increasing long positions, further supporting a bullish bias. 🕵️‍♂️ Seasonality & Historical Trends Supported the Long 📊 15-year seasonality data indicated GBP/USD typically rallies in late February and early March. 📅 The next 3-5 day forecast showed a bullish probability, adding further conviction. 📉 Technical Confirmation – Momentum Indicators & Structure ✅ SuperTrend flipped bullish on the 4H chart ✅ Price was trading above key moving averages (EMA 6, 24, 72, 288) ✅ Broke above short-term trendline resistance, confirming upward momentum 3️⃣ Key Takeaways from This Trade 🔹 Trading with smart money & against retail sentiment = High probability setups 🔹 Seasonality provided extra confidence in taking the long trade 🔹 Using Fibonacci and EMAs for confluence led to a precise entry 🔹 Patience and risk management were key to securing profits 📌 Final Thoughts – What’s Next for GBP/USD? 🚀 With this bullish breakout, I will look for further longs on dips, targeting the next key resistance at 1.2680 - 1.2700. 👀 Are you bullish or bearish on GBP/USD? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Long
by LDForex_
2
Gold Breaks Out of Triangle Pattern: Targeting $2,970–$2,980This chart shows a breakout from a triangle pattern on the 1-hour timeframe for gold (XAU/USD). The breakout has occurred above the resistance of the triangle, indicating potential bullish momentum. - Resistance Zone: The previous resistance level was around 2,936–2,940, which was tested multiple times before the breakout. Now, this level may act as new support. - Target: The projected target for this breakout is near 2,970–2,980, aligning with the height of the triangle pattern. A successful retest of the breakout level could confirm further bullish movement toward the target zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
The Day Ahead 20th Feb 25Thursday February 20 Data: US February Philadelphia Fed business outlook, January leading index, initial jobless claims, China 1-yr and 5-yr loan prime rates, Japan January national CPI, Germany January PPI, France January retail sales, Eurozone December construction output, February consumer confidence, Canada January industrial product price index, raw materials price index, Denmark Q4 GDP Central banks: Fed's Goolsbee, Musalem, Barr and Kugler speak, ECB's Makhlouf and Nagel speak Earnings: Walmart, Alibaba, Booking, Schneider Electric, Airbus, MercadoLibre, NetEase, Cheniere Energy, Mercedes-Benz, Block, Quanta Services, Newmont, Lloyds Banking, Anglo American, Live Nation Entertainment, Cameco, Leonardo, Renault, Lenovo, Rivian Auctions : US 30-year TIPS ($9bn) Other: G-20 foreign ministers meeting through February 21 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPUSD Will Go Higher From Support! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.261. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.268 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
2
+200 pips Best Level to Short GBPCHF from Resistance🔸Hello traders, let's review the H6 chart for GBPCHF today. Trading near premium prices of the multiweek range, closing in on heavy S/R Currently risk/reward is shifting in bears favor, so it's recommended to look for sell side setups in GBPCHF. 🔸Heavy overhead mirror S/R zone at 1440/1460 expecting reversal from overhead resistance. current bid is 1380so final push required before we can get a decent entry on sell side. 🔸Recommended strategy for GBPCHF traders: short any rips/rallies near S/R 1440/1460 price is currently trading near premium levels and is almost maxed out already, limited upside. TP1 bears 1260 TP2 bears 1230 pips final exit 1230 +200 pips. This is a swing trade setup so naturally will take more time to complete / hit targets. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
32
GBPUSD: hovers around 1.2600GBP/USD holds ground around 1.2600 in the European session on Thursday. The pair is helped by a modest US Dollar downtick but broad risk-off mood due to renewed tariff threats from US President Donald Trump could limit the risk sensitive Pound Sterling. GBP/USD Technical Overview The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart declines toward 50, reflecting a loss of bullish momentum. On the downside, 1.2530 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level of the latest downtrend) aligns as first resistance before 1.2500 (round level, static level) and 1.2470 (100-period Simple Moving Average). Looking north, first resistance could be spotted at 1.2650 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement) before 1.2700-1.2710 (round level, static level).
Long
by xauusd_rr
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 20, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims GBPUSD: The GBP/USD pair is holding strong following losses on the previous two consecutive days, trading at around 1.25900 during the Asian session on Thursday. However, the pair is under pressure due to concerns over tariffs from US President Donald Trump, which have led to increased demand for the US Dollar (USD).According to Bloomberg, Trump announced plans to impose 25 per cent tariffs on foreign cars on Tuesday, as well as expected duty hikes on semiconductor chips and pharmaceutical products. The official announcement is expected to be made on 2 April.Market participants are now focusing on key US economic data, including weekly initial jobless claims, the central bank's leading economic index and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index, which will be released during the North American session.The minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January, released on Wednesday, confirmed the decision to leave interest rates unchanged in January. The committee emphasised that further assessment of economic activity, labour market trends and inflation was required before any adjustments to rates could be considered, and that clear indications of falling inflation were necessary for any rate cuts to be implemented.Despite the release of better-than-expected annual inflation figures on Wednesday, the British pound (GBP) did not strengthen. The UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that January's Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.0% year-on-year, beating December's 2.5% rise and market expectations of 2.8%. This figure remains well above the Bank of England's (BoE) inflation target of 2%.Bank of England directors have previously recognised that inflation could rise in the short term due to higher energy prices and then gradually return to target. Earlier this week, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey reiterated that while inflation may rise temporarily, he does not expect it to be sustainable and still sees a gradual disinflationary trend. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.26000, SL 1.25350, TP 1.26700
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD OUTLOOK.Market Structure Break Down. 1) Weekly- In this timeframe, the main structure is Bearish. Creating LH & LL. The price pulls back before long-term continuation unless it breaks the structure at 1.28000. The current candle is unidentifiable. 2) Daily- Market Structure is bullish creating HH & HL. Therefore, only buy setups we oat to look for on the lower-timeframe. 3)4H- Market structure is showing a clear bullish trend. However, the price has been consolidating since the market opened for the week. Before the Bullish continuation, expect liquidity grabs at 1.25000. I am waiting for the price to break the 4H range and then wait for an entry confirmation. Feel free to comment your thoughts on this breakdown.
Long
by Princessk99
Bullish bounce off pullback support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.2526 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.2463 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.2660 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
XAU/USD : Time for BUY? Let's see! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 1-hour gold chart, we can see that, as expected, gold broke above the $2,902.5 resistance yesterday and continued its bullish movement, successfully hitting the next targets at $2,914 and $2,919! I hope you made the most of this analysis! 🚀 The next potential move depends on whether gold stabilizes above $2,914. If it does, we could see further growth toward $2,922 and $2,928 as the next upside targets. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
14
Wednesday 19th Feb '25 The Day Ahead Wednesday February 19 Data: US January building permits, housing starts, February New York Fed services business activity, China January new and used home prices, UK January CPI, RPI, PPI, December house price index, Italy December current account balance, ECB December current account Central banks: Fed's FOMC minutes, Jefferson speaks, RBNZ decision, BoJ's Takata speaks Earnings: HSBC, Analog Devices, Rio Tinto, Glencore, Carvana, BAE Systems, Vale, Carrefour, Etsy Auctions : US 20-year Bonds ($16bn)
by TradeNation
Cable H4 | Falling to pullback supportCable (GBP/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 1.2562 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 1.2490 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support. Take profit is at 1.2660 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
xauusd video analysis for the weekXAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) Analysis: February 17 – Febrauary 25, 2025 This analysis provides an in-depth evaluation of gold’s potential trajectory over the specified period, integrating fundamental drivers, technical indicators, and expert forecasts. Key factors influencing gold include geopolitical risks, monetary policy shifts, inflation trends, and technical patterns. 1. Fundamental Drivers A. Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty Trade Tensions: The U.S. administration’s recent tariffs (e.g., 25% on Mexican and Canadian imports, 10% on Chinese goods) have amplified global trade risks, increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Middle East and China Risks: Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a slowdown in China’s economy (evidenced by a decline in the Caixin PMI) are further driving investors toward gold. B. Monetary Policy and Inflation Fed Rate Cuts: Expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 and dovish stances from the ECB and BoE are weakening fiat currencies, boosting gold prices. Inflation Hedge: Persistent inflation, driven by tariffs and supply-chain disruptions, enhances gold’s appeal. Analysts caution that U.S. inflation could exceed targets, forcing the Fed to reverse rate cuts, which may temporarily support the USD but ultimately favor gold. C. Central Bank Demand Central banks, notably China’s PBOC, are accumulating gold reserves to diversify away from the USD, creating structural demand. 2. Technical Analysis A. Short-Term Signals (February–March) Momentum Indicators: The RSI (26.05) and Stochastic Oscillator (14.5) signal oversold conditions, suggesting a potential rebound. Key Levels: Support: $2,830 (February 10 analysis) and $2,720 (ascending channel lower boundary). Resistance: $2,887 (immediate target) and $2,900 (psychological barrier). 2. Key Technical Levels Support Levels: Immediate Support: $2,880 – This level aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the recent rally. Critical Support: $2,850 – Represents the lower boundary of the ascending channel formed since late 2024. Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: $2,920 – A breach could trigger bullish momentum toward higher targets. Key Resistance: $2,959 – The upper boundary of the channel and a major psychological level. 3. Momentum Indicators Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 62, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory. Moving Averages (MA): 50-Day MA: Positioned at $2,910, offering dynamic support. 200-Day MA: Located at $2,780, signaling long-term strength. Stochastic Oscillator: Signals potential upside as it exits oversold conditions on the 4-hour chart. 4. Chart Patterns and Trends Ascending Channel: Gold continues to trade within an ascending channel, maintaining a bullish structure. Bullish Flag Formation: On the daily chart, a bullish flag suggests a potential breakout if prices sustain above $2,920. Candlestick Signals: Last Friday’s bullish engulfing pattern highlights strong buying interest. 5. Scenarios for the Week Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $2,920 could target $2,965 and $3,000. Momentum indicators support further upside if geopolitical tensions persist. Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold $2,880 may lead to a decline toward $2,850. Profit-taking or USD strength could pressure gold, particularly if U.S. economic data surprises positively. Bullish Targets/ Resistance 2890 2906 2928 2934 2959 2972 2987 3023 Bearish/Support 2872 2857 2841 2807 2781
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
7
GBP/USD Analysis & Key Trading Zones🚀 GBP/USD is at a crucial point, showing signs of potential movement. Here’s what to watch: 🔹 Daily Structure: GBP/USD remains in a choppy range, showing indecision at key price levels. Major liquidity zones remain below recent lows, making downside sweeps possible before any bullish continuation. 50% retracement level aligns with the next area of interest, suggesting a potential reaction point. 🔹 4H Structure & Liquidity Grabs: The pair has tapped into a fresh 4H demand zone, which could fuel the next upside move. Internal liquidity sweeps suggest GBP/USD may be gathering momentum for a push higher. If price breaks a key 1H fractal high, it could confirm a shift in structure. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Support Zones: 1.2600 - 1.2580: Potential liquidity grab & bounce zone. 1.2550: Deeper support for high-probability longs. ❌ Resistance Zones: 1.2680 - 1.2700: A key supply area. 1.2750: Break above = bullish confirmation. 🔹 Trading Plan: 📊 If GBP/USD retests demand & holds, long positions targeting 1.2680+ are valid. 📊 If the dollar index weakens further, GBP/USD may see additional bullish momentum. 📊 If support fails, look for a break-and-retest of 1.2550 before considering longs again. ⚡ What’s your bias on GBP/USD? Bullish or Bearish? Drop your thoughts below! 👇📉📈 #GBPUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoney #Liquidity #TradingView
by theunscriptedacademy
Bearish drop?GBP?USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.2614 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 1.2719 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Take profit: 1.2524 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets