GBP/USD Brief UpdateGBP/USD is currently recovering from the lows due to the weakening USD amid market expectations that the Fed will pause its rate hike. However, the pair is still moving cautiously around 1.3000 in the European session on Wednesday, as traders await key releases: the UK Autumn Budget, the US ADP jobs data, and the Q3 Preliminary GDP report due later in the day.
On the technical chart, the support level of 1.2970, defined by the 34-day EMA, remains as a stable pivot. At the same time, the recent bearish wedge breakout is reinforcing the uptrend, suggesting that buyers are in control in the medium and long term. Victor expects that, in the short term, GBP/USD will continue to move upwards with the next targets on H1 at 1.3050 and 1.3100.
Get ready for the wave and good luck trading!
GBPUSD
GBPUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.2988, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 1.3039, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension
The stop loss will be placed at 1.2946 which is a support level.
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BoE's plans for additional rate cuts are in conflict
Expectations are mounting that the BoE would implement additional rate cuts. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey has stated that inflation is decreasing more rapidly than anticipated. The UK CPI for September registered at 1.7%, falling short of the central bank's 2% target, which has intensified speculation about upcoming rate increases. Wall Street is convinced that with UK inflation already below the target, there's a strong likelihood of additional rate cuts in November and December following the recent 25bp reduction.
However, there are concerns regarding the potential aftereffects of hasty rate cuts. BoE economist Catherine Mann emphasizes that, despite a general slowdown in inflation, service price inflation continues to soar. She warns that an impulsive rate hike could reignite inflationary pressures.
GBPUSD advanced to the 1.3000 threshold. After breaching the descending channel’s upper bound, the price holds above both EMAs, signaling a trend reversal. If GBPUSD breaches the resistance at 1.3045, the price may gain upward momentum toward 1.3265. Conversely, if GBPUSD fails to hold above both EMAs, the price may break the channel’s upper bound again and re-enter the descending channel.
GU look like it setting up for a nice entry for London sessionI been looking for a solid sell entry to continue the bearish trend that GU has been in. The dollar failed to break out and is now retracing to grab more liquidity to push up. in turn giving us a nice entry for a sale. We have to be patient and allow price to find its resistance levels. Expecting a nice set up for London.
Potential bullish rise?GBP/USD has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3000
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2976
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3053
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Is GBPUSD ready to break out?Is GBPUSD ready to break out?
Is the USD getting weaker?
I think so, but best to wait and find out.
This is not a trade recommendation. You should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster.
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XAU/USD : More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that last week, before filling the gap between $2715.5 and $2716.5, the price started rising from the $2717 area and managed to reach $2747.7. After closing at this level on Friday, we saw that over the weekend, with global markets closed, Israel launched its attack on Iran. However, since this attack was lighter than expected, the markets opened today with a large negative gap in gold. The price opened around $2734, with over a 130-pip gap, but within a few hours, this gap was filled as the price rose to $2744.
As you can see on the chart, there are currently two remaining price gaps. One is between $2715.5 and $2716.5, and the other is between $2744.5 and $2747.2. Which gap do you think will be filled first?
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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GBPJPY THROUGH THE ROOF !!GBP/JPY presents a compelling buy, driven by contrasting central bank policies. The Bank of England’s higher rates lend strength to the pound, while the Bank of Japan’s commitment to low rates continues to weaken the yen. This divergence creates a favorable buying environment, especially as Japan shows no signs of tightening its monetary stance. With additional support from strong technical levels and the UK’s resilient economic indicators, GBP/JPY is well-positioned for potential gains, making now a strategic moment for buyers to capitalize on this opportunity.
GBPUSD - bottom out here? holds or not??#GBPUD.. market just trying to bottom out here.
sterling is at his most important support of the week and month that is around 1.2950
keep close that supporting region and if market hold it in that case we can expect again bounce form here.
good luck
trade wisely
King Dollar Reigns Supreme: DXY Strategic Outlook🔸Hello guys, today let's review D1 price chart for DXY. We are trading
inside well-defined multi year range, currently closing in on range highs.
🔸Every EURUSD trader need to study this chart and bookmark it in
order to time his entries/exits for EURUSD. Dollar still reigns supreme.
🔸Range lows defined at 100.00 , range highs set at 106.75.
This is the active trading range for DXY since early 2023 it's
well-defined and it's very unlikely that price will exit this range
any time soon so traders should focus on trading based on key s/r
levels on the DXY price chart.
🔸Key Zones: S 100.25 / 101.25 / 102.75 R 105.25 / 106.50
🔸Currently I'm expecting pullback from overhead resistance 105.25
is the critical level where we can expect pullback in DXY, so that's
when you want to also go LONG EURUSD, when DXY maxes out / enters
pullback stage of the cycle.
🔸Recommended strategy position traders: when DXY hits resistance
at 105.25, BUY/HOLD EURUSD, target is 200/300 pips on BUY side for EURUSD. Once the pullback in DXY is over/complete at 102.70, short EURUSD, final target on sell side for EURUSD is 1.0500. Good luck traders!
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Bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could srop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.2989
1st Support: 1.2915
1st Resistance: 1.3033
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Buy Position on GBPusd (Reward 6.5)OANDA:GBPUSD
In order to the EX zone in 4H time frame,
We go to 15m time frame to enter the buy position more efficiently.
Note: In EX zones, we can enter the position without any confirmation, but we always get better win rate by waiting for a confirmation signals to form.
The confirmation signals in my strategy (Tactical Smart Money) are two kind:
1. SCOB (single candle order block)
2. ChoCh in lower time frame
As always: Make sure you have a good partial exit plan, AND
"KEEP CALM & OBEY YOUR PLANS."
Happy trading..
Cheers,
Aurio
#Crypto #Trading #Bitcoin #markets #Finance #Forex #BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC
GBPUSD: +600 Pips Buying Opportunity! Comment down your views! Dear Traders,
Hope you are having a great weekend, our latest idea on GBPUSD, sell did not go well, however, we had buy entry which went well in our favour. However, after looking at the data and how price has moved, we have possible another buy entry approaching. Wait for price to come to our area and then rebound from the area towards 1.3500.
Good luck.
GBPUSD: Updated Chart, Price is Approaching Buying Zone! FX:GBPUSD
As we previously stated in our chart that we expect price to drop nearby to our entry zone however, price continued to rise and then started dropping please be minded that there Amy be early price mitigation due to this vary reason. In our opinion stick with the plan and do not take any early entry as there may be trap before the actual trade begins. good luck.
GBP/USD Bullish Reversal - Inverted Head & Shoulders FormationPattern Formation:
The GBP/USD pair is currently forming an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal signal. This pattern indicates that the downtrend may be coming to an end, and we could see a potential upward movement upon confirmation.
Key Support and Rejection Level:
The price has shown a strong rejection from a key Support level at 1.29050 , which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement level. This confluence strengthens the support, suggesting that the price has found a significant bottom at this level. The repeated rejections at this zone indicate buying pressure, supporting the potential bullish setup.
RSI Analysis:
Upon analyzing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour timeframe, there is a clear Bullish Divergence . While the price was forming lower lows, the RSI was forming higher lows. This divergence suggests a potential reversal in price, further validating our bullish outlook.
Entry Strategy:
An entry is recommended upon the breakout of the Neckline at approximately 1.30020 . For a more conservative approach, entering on a re-test of this level will provide additional confirmation of the breakout's validity.
Entry Point: Near 1.30020
Stop Loss: Near 1.29050 (below the support level)
Take Profit Levels:
To maximize the potential profit while managing risk, the following take profit (TP) levels are suggested:
TP-1: 1.30990
TP-2: 1.31960
TP-3: 1.32930
Conclusion:
The overall technical analysis indicates a potential bullish reversal for GBP/USD based on the Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, support at 1.29050, 0.618 Fibonacci level, and bullish RSI divergence. An entry near 1.30020 with a stop loss at 1.29050 offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The market should be closely monitored for a confirmed breakout or re-test at the neckline level.
Recommendation: Watch for a clean breakout or re-test at 1.30020 for a potential bullish entry, and follow the risk management plan by placing the stop loss near 1.29050.
GBPUSD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.296.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.306 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBP/USD Giving Amazing Bullish P.A ,Let`s Buy It To Get 200 PipsWe have many bullish price action in this pair , we have head and shoulders reversal pattern and we have a very good breakout for our old res and we have 2 retest to the same support and the price played perfect with it and now the price above our support , so i think it will be a great chance to buy it if the price retest the same support again or if the price continue without retest we can enter after the price close above neckline for the pattern with 4h candle .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GBP/USD Outlook: Navigating Recent Trends and Upcoming EventsAfter a brief rally that saw GBP/USD rise above the 1.3000 mark on Friday, the pair lost momentum and closed the day marginally lower. As of Monday morning, GBP/USD remains relatively quiet, trading sideways above the 1.2970 level. This stagnation reflects a broader market reaction to various economic signals and upcoming events.
Impact of US Treasury Bond Yields
The recent increase in US Treasury bond yields has provided substantial support for the US Dollar, contributing to the reversal of GBP/USD's earlier gains. As investors flocked to the dollar, the pair's upward trajectory was curtailed. Additionally, the rise in US stock index futures, which increased between 0.5% and 0.7%, indicates a growing risk appetite among investors, further amplifying the dollar's strength.
Potential for Bearish Impulses in GBP
Given the current market conditions, there is a possibility of a bearish impulse for the GBP. Should risk flows dominate the financial markets after Wall Street opens, the USD may face renewed selling pressure. However, the demand areas could become the next target for sellers, suggesting that the GBP might struggle to maintain its upward momentum in the short term.
Upcoming Economic Events
Looking ahead, the UK government is set to present its Autumn Budget on Wednesday, which could have significant implications for GBP volatility. Market participants will closely monitor the details of the budget for potential fiscal measures that could influence the economy. Meanwhile, the US economic calendar is also packed with key data releases in the latter half of the week, adding further complexity to the market dynamics.
Technical Analysis and COT Insights
From a technical standpoint, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report offers valuable insights. Retail traders remain predominantly bearish, while "smart money" is beginning to build long positions. This divergence in sentiment can create opportunities for traders, particularly if the price reaches identified demand areas.
For those looking to capitalize on potential movements, it may be prudent to consider long positions only when the price approaches these demand zones. This strategy aligns with risk management principles and may enhance the likelihood of favorable trade outcomes.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the current landscape for GBP/USD is characterized by a complex interplay of economic indicators, market sentiment, and upcoming events. As the pair navigates the immediate challenges, traders must remain vigilant and adaptable. Monitoring both the US and UK economic calendars, along with key technical levels, will be essential for making informed trading decisions.
What are your thoughts on the potential movements of GBP/USD in the coming days, and how do you plan to position yourself in this evolving market?