GBP/USD: The weight of evidence approachThere are always reasons not to take a trade.
You have to take a 'weight of evidence' approach - and you'll still often be wrong ;)
The idea: Trade GBP/USD short on a daily close below critical support. Looking for 2:1 RR
Reasons for:
Trend is lower (falling fractals / price below the 50 DMA)
Momentum is to the downside (MACD below zero)
If the break holds, then long term trend has turned to a downtrend, adding more force to the short term downtrend.
Reasons against:
Already had a big move lower
Longer term trend has been up - this maybe an exaggerated pullback.
The nice thing about trading, you don't have to stay wrong.
If this breakdown trade fails - it tells us the market has strength.
So then we can wait to trade a break above resistance or a fractal
GBPUSD
Pullback resistance ahead for the Cable?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3033
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3080
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with th23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2940
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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GBPUSD - Look for Continuation Long (SWING) 1:5!GBPUSD is displaying a gradual bullish momentum following a strong upward trend on the HTF. After breaking the HTF key resistance level, it corrected to the nearest Demand Zone. On the LTF, GBPUSD appears to be accumulating before resuming an upward trend toward the Supply Zone, where a reversal market structure may form, supported by the DVX.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
GBPUSD Ready for a breakthroughHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBPUSD 4.4:1 Short TradeGBPUSD is in a down trend on the 1h timeframe.
Price has just created a new LL on the 1h timeframe.
There was an efficient move down on the 30m timeframe starting at 13:00 and being rebalanced at 14:30 (our entry candle).
At 14:30 price again moved down leaving inefficiency behind and creating a new LL on the 1h timeframe.
You could try with a tighter entry using the candle at 14:45 on the 5m timeframe but I am happy with the 4.4:1.
GBPUSD 4.85:1 ShortGBPUSD is in a down trend on 1h.
Price has just created a new LL.
Price made an impulsive move leaving inefficiency starting with our entry candle at 7:40 (10m timeframe entry).
TP is targeting demand zone on the 30m chart. You could target a new BOS for a smaller TP but higher probability trade.
$GBIRYY -U.K CPI (September/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 1.7%
source: Office for National Statistics
-Annual inflation rate in the UK fell to 1.7% in September 2024, the lowest since April 2021, compared to 2.2% in each of the previous two months and forecasts of 1.9%.
The largest downward contribution came from transport (-2.2% vs 1.3%), namely air fares and motor fuels.
Fares usually reduce in price between August and September, but this year this was the fifth largest fall since monthly data began in 2001.
Also, the average price of petrol fell to 136.8 pence per litre compared to 153.6 pence per litre in September 2023.
In addition, prices continued to fall for housing and utilities (-1.7% vs -1.6%) and furniture and household equipment (-1% vs -1.3%) and cost rose less for recreation and culture (3.8% vs 4%) and restaurants and hotels (4.1% vs 4.3%).
Meanwhile, services inflation slowed to 4.9%, the lowest since May 2022, from 5.6% in August. On the other hand, the largest offsetting upward contribution came from food and non-alcoholic beverages (1.9% vs 1.3%).
GBP/USD – Watching for Support Break and Long Entry OpportunityI'm watching GBP/USD closely. If we break below the current support, my idea is to target the green zone, which I've identified as a strong support level. I believe buyers will likely step in and push the price back up when we reach this zone, offering a good opportunity to enter long.
Strategy: I'll be looking for signs of support holding in the green zone for a potential long entry.
GBPUSD Ben hello everyone!
On the 1-hour chart, the downtrend continues. After losing momentum from 1.306, GBPUSD has continued to decline. With the market looking unfavorable and the Fed’s interest rate cut policy unclear, GU has lost value.
The next target for the next decline is seen at 1.2950, which is a strong psychological barrier. However, the possibility of a rebound cannot be ruled out if the bulls manage to push the price up from 1.2980 as mentioned on the chart.
GBPUSD's decline has not stopped yetHello everyone, Conan!
Today, the GBPUSD pair is maintaining a mild negative trend, trading at around 1.0544. After losing momentum from 1.3000, GBPUSD has continued to decline. The pair could continue to decline in the coming period, as the market reassesses the Bank of England (BoE) policy outlook following weak inflation data.
The current support level is set at 1.2976, significant stops will accumulate below this figure and if triggered, the decline could accelerate towards 1.2950.
Fundamental analysis of the market for 16.10.2024 GBPUSDGBPUSD:
The GBP/USD pair is trading around 1.3065 today, although it lacks bullish confidence. The release of the UK Consumer Price Index news event weakened the Pound against the Dollar.
Ahead of the key data release, speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) may move to accelerate its rate cut cycle continues to undermine the British Pound (GBP) and act as a headwind for the GBP/USD pair. That said, the moderate decline in the US Dollar (USD) is providing some support to the currency pair and helping to limit the downside.
From a technical perspective, the range-bound price action can still be categorized as a bearish consolidation phase amid the recent pullback from the 1.3435 area, or the highest level since March 2022, reached last month. In addition, the oscillators on the daily chart are holding in negative territory and are still far from the oversold zone.
Trading recommendation: Trading mainly by Sell orders from the current price level.
GBPUSD heavy post CPIIntraday Update: After a miss in the UK CPI and PPI data the GBPUSD broke below the 1.3000 level and has risen back above since the release. However, it looks like it is struggling to make it back above the 1.3025 level. A close below the 1.3000 level would be a bearish event into the end of the week and put the sub 1.2900 level in view.
GBP/USD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GBP-USD downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 1.308 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the GBP/USD pair.
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GBP/USD drops below 1.30 on soft inflation reportThe British pound has finally showed some movement on Wednesday after a week of limited movement. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2992, down 0.62% on the day. The pound fell below the symbolic 1.30 level for the first time since August 20.
The UK inflation report for September was projected to hit a milestone and fall below the BoE’s 2% target, but the reading exceeded expectations. CPI fell to 1.7% y/y, down from 2.2% in August and below the market estimate of 1.9%. This was the lowest level since April 2021 and was driven by lower prices for petrol and airfares.
Services inflation, which has been stubbornly high, dropped from 5.6% y/y to 4.9%, its lowest level since May 2022. Monthly, CPI was flat, below 0.3% in August and below the market estimate of 0.1%. Core CPI also decelerated in September and was lower than expected (3.2% y/y and 0.1% m/m). As well, wage growth slowed to 4.9% in the three months to August, down from 5.1% previously.
The Bank of England will be encouraged by the drop in inflation and in wages. The UK economy is groaning under the weight of a cash rate of 5% and the markets are looking at a rate cut in November as a done deal, while a December cut is a strong possibility. Many major central banks have shifted their primary focus from inflation risks to the labor market, and we could see the same with the BoE, now that inflation is back below the BoE’s target.
GBP/USD has pushed below support at 1.3071, 1.3039 and 1.3004. The next support level is 1.2972
1.3106 and 1.3138 are the next resistance lines
Pound Falls After Inflation ReportPound Falls After Inflation Report
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for the UK was released today, showing that inflation is decreasing at a faster rate than analysts had predicted. According to data from ForexFactory:
→ Yearly CPI: actual = 1.7%, forecast = 1.9%, previous = 2.2%;
→ Yearly Core CPI: actual = 3.2%, forecast = 3.4%, previous = 3.6%.
The currency market responded with a decline in the pound sterling against other currencies. Traders likely assume that the Bank of England now has stronger reasons to consider easing its current monetary policy, aimed at curbing inflation.
Specifically, the GBP/USD rate fell to its lowest in nearly two months.
Technical analysis of the GBP/USD chart shows that:
→ The price dropped below the psychological level of 1.3000;
→ It fell beneath the lower boundary of the ascending channel (shown in blue), which had been relevant since May 2024. Resistance could be expected after breaking this line.
Bearish momentum may extend into the US trading session. It is possible that the GBP/USD rate could drop further to 1.2900, where the lower boundary of a developing descending channel is becoming clearer on the GBP/USD chart today.
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