GBPUSD(20250617)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Revised version of the Republican tax cut bill in the US Senate: It is proposed to raise the debt ceiling to 5 trillion, and the overall framework is consistent with the House version.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3577
Support and resistance levels:
1.3664
1.3632
1.3611
1.3544
1.3522
1.3490
Trading strategy:
If it rises and breaks through 1.3577, consider entering the market to buy, and the first target price is 1.3611
If it falls and breaks through 1.3544, consider entering the market to sell, and the first target price is 1.3522
GBPUSD
Bearish drop?GBP/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3610
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3644
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3560
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold Cooling After Spike – $3375 Key Level to WatchBy analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after surging to $3450 amid the Iran–Israel conflict, gold faced a pullback following a liquidity sweep above that level.
Currently, gold is trading around $3392, and after a potential correction down to $3375, I expect to see further upside movement.
⚠️ Stay cautious — gold remains highly volatile and sudden moves are likely!
GBPUSD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.357.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.351 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPUSD Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.349.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.352 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBP/USD LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 1.358 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Pound Stable as Markets Eye BoE, Fed MovesGBP/USD remains below Friday’s three-year high, trading around the mid-1.3500s in a narrow range during Monday’s Asian session. The pair shows limited downside as traders await a busy week of key data and central bank decisions.
Markets are watching the UK CPI on Wednesday and the Bank of England’s policy announcement on Thursday, both crucial for the Pound. The US Federal Reserve will also decide on rates Wednesday, likely guiding the dollar’s short-term path.
Friday’s UK GDP showed a 0.3% contraction in April, increasing bets on faster BoE rate cuts. The USD is supported by safe-haven flows due to Middle East tensions, though soft US inflation data has raised expectations for Fed cuts by September. A broadly positive global risk mood is offering some support to GBP/USD.
Resistance is at 1.3600, with support around 1.3425.
EURUSD, GBPUSD and AUDUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD INTRADAY Bullish flag developing supported at 1.3500The GBP/USD currency pair maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a rising trendline and sustained higher lows. The recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback within an overall uptrend, indicative of a consolidation phase rather than a reversal.
Key Support Level: 1.3500
This level aligns with a previous consolidation zone and is acting as a pivotal support. A pullback toward this level could offer a potential buying opportunity, especially if bullish momentum returns.
Upside Targets (on bullish continuation from 1.3500):
1.3610 – Initial resistance from prior swing high
1.3650 – Intermediate resistance level
1.3700 – Long-term target and potential top of the current bullish channel
Bearish Scenario (if 1.3500 fails):
A daily close below 1.3500 would invalidate the current bullish setup, signaling a potential shift in trend. In that case:
Immediate support at 1.3480
Deeper retracement could extend to 1.3450
Conclusion
The broader trend in GBP/USD remains bullish, with the current consolidation viewed as a potential pullback rather than a reversal. The 1.3500 level is critical — a bounce from here could resume the uptrend toward 1.3610 over time. However, a break and close below 1.3500 would weaken the bullish case and open the door to further downside. Traders should monitor price action closely around this key level for confirmation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 16, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Empire Manufacturing Manufacturing Index
GBPUSD:
The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive below Friday's three-year high, although it lacks bearish conviction and is trading in a narrow range around 1.3500 during the Asian session.
The latest UK consumer inflation data will be released on Wednesday, ahead of Thursday's Bank of England (BoE) meeting, which will play a key role in influencing the British pound (GBP). In addition, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) plans to announce its monetary policy decision on Wednesday, which will affect the US dollar (USD) exchange rate and give a significant boost to the GBP/USD pair.
Meanwhile, weaker UK GDP data released on Friday, which showed that the economy contracted more than expected by 0.3% in April, reinforced expectations that the BoE will cut interest rates more aggressively than anticipated. On the other hand, the US dollar is receiving some support from the global flight to safe assets caused by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which is helping to limit the growth of the GBP/USD pair.
However, growing recognition that the US central bank will also resume its rate-cutting cycle in September amid signs of weakening inflation in the US is holding back dollar bulls from aggressive bets. Moreover, the generally positive risk sentiment acts as a barrier to the dollar as a safe haven and provides some support to the GBP/USD pair, which requires some caution before confirming that spot prices have peaked.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.35500, SL 1.35300, TP 1.36400
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday 15' break of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bullish bounce for the Cable?The price is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3409
1st Support: 1.3108
1st Resistance: 1.3768
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Still keeping a close eye on a potential USD pop...Although the EUR/USD and GBP/USD popped higher late last week, I'm still keeping a close eye to stay short on the EUR/USD considering the bearish rising broadening pattern coupled with a yearly pivot point inter-median level and negative divergence on the MACD. This is all based on the daily chart.
Many factors are in play right now with what's going on between Israel and Iran along with FOMC this week and Tariffs still in play.
On a purely technical analysis point of view, I potentially expect a bullish retracement in the USD while remaining long term bearish across the board.
we'll see how this one develops.
Good Luck & Trade Safe.
Macro Analysis (GBP/USD)Likely aiming for 1.42491 and 1.43886 as potential targets.
There's also a possibility of a bounce near 1.17610 in the future.
The yearly timeframe failed at 1.05200 back in 2022, suggesting we're sitting at the bottom of the range.
Quick analysis — Despite all the social and political controversy in the UK, the macro chart clearly shows a long-term downtrend. Until price closes strongly above 1.43886, that's when this pair might have a chance vs the US dollar. (1.72062 for some stronger confidence lol)
That said, the past five monthly candles have all been green, showing some momentum and short to mid-term strength. Could easily just be a pullback before continuing lower, breaking below 1.05200, which honestly, wouldn’t surprise me.
But hey, let’s keep it to the charts. WOMEN lie, men lie, but numbers don’t. And this is all just numbers printed in a chart.
Forex Weekly Portfolio Selection – Top Trade SetupsWeekly Forex Portfolio Selection – H1 Chart Analysis
Using the Weekly & Daily Currency Strength Index, we’ve identified the strongest and weakest currencies to build a focused trading portfolio for the week.
📊 Currency Strength Ranking (1 = Weakest, 8 = Strongest):
EUR: 8
CHF: 7
CAD: 6
GBP: 5
AUD: 4
NZD: 3
USD: 2
JPY: 1
➡️ The Euro (EUR) is currently the strongest, while the Japanese Yen (JPY) is the weakest.
🔍 Analysed Pairs (H1 Timeframe):
EURJPY
EURUSD
CADJPY
GBPUSD
This selection focuses on high-probability setups aligned with trend and strength analysis.
GBPUSD | 2 Long Scenarios | The Empire will strike backGeneral
GBPUSD fell through the first big support zone (Zone 2) unless a reclaim i am not gonna look for longs currently. Personally waiting for price falling deeper into Zone 1. Marked 2 Scenarios that i would want to see to develop.
Be aware that i usually use LTF (such as the 1 hour chart to plan my entries). Meaning the SLs and RR are not completly correct as shown.
1. Long (Green arrow)
Price moves below Zone 1. Reclaim. Enter on reclaim.
Target: Slightly below Zone 3
Stop- Loss: Depending on the LTF entry i wouldnt want to see it going below Zone 1 again
Time duration: Days, weeks, months, years... ;)
2. Long (Orange arrow)
Price pushes into Zone 1, reacts supportive and then generates a Swing. Enter on breaking of the generated swing.
Target: Slightly below Zone 3
Stop- Loss: A bit below of top of the Zone 1
Time duration: Days, weeks, months, years... ;)
Good luck
Disclaimer:
- This information does not constitute as financial advice and is only for educational purposes. I am not your financial advisor.
- You trade entirely at your own risk
- Make your own research
- Finance and trading is evil, capitalism is bad, duh ;)
GBPUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent UK economic data have outperformed expectations, with accelerated expansion in the services sector and signs of recovery in manufacturing PMI, boosting market confidence in the British pound.Market expectations of a milder future monetary policy from the Federal Reserve have restrained the U.S. dollar, providing support for GBP/USD's upward movement.
Technical Analysis :
The MACD histogram above the zero line shows a growing trend, indicating strengthening bullish momentum. The DIF line lies above the DEA line, confirming an uptrend.
Price trades above short-term moving averages, which form a bullish arrangement, signifying bullish dominance.Bollinger Bands widen upward, with price near the upper band (resistance at 1.3650) and the lower band at 1.3480.The RSI at 63.5 stays in the strong bullish zone without entering overbought territory.
Trading Strategy:
Initiate long positions after price stabilizes in the 1.3520–1.3540 zone on pullbacks.
buy@1.3520–1.3540
TP:1.3650-1.3720
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EURUSD ||| '' W '' PATTERN IDENTIFIED . ✅ Harmonic Formation (Bearish Potential)
⚠️ Selling Bias forming soon
---
🧩 Pattern Breakdown:
A Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely Butterfly or Deep Crab) has been identified and is now nearing completion at the D point.
Current price is approaching key resistance / reversal zone, precisely around the 0.786 - 0.886 fib area (highlighted red).
The Risk-to-Reward is clearly mapped:
🔺 Stop Loss: 1.19405
✅ Entry Zone: Around 1.17106
🎯 Target: 1.09588
Potential short setup if price respects the harmonic symmetry and fails to break above resistance.
Two downward-sloping channels (drawn with parallel white lines) Chart Details
Pair: GBP/USD
Timeframe: 1H (1 Hour)
Platform: TradingView
Price at capture: ~1.36020
Indicators: EMA 50 is mentioned, though not visibly prominent.
📉
Technical Analysis
Descending Channels: Two downward-sloping channels (drawn with parallel white lines) show past bearish movements.
Breakout: The price has broken out upwards from the latest descending channel, indicating a bullish impulse.
Supply Zone (Red Box):
Ranges between 1.36104 and 1.36233.
Likely a resistance/sell zone, where price is expected to reverse.
Demand Zone (Green Box):
Starts below the supply zone and represents a potential target zone for shorts.
Trade setup suggests entering a short position after a potential wick or touch into the red zone.
Projected Path (White Line):
Shows an anticipated bearish move after tapping into the red zone.
Suggests a short trade targeting the 1.34322 region (lower green box), potentially a support zone.
✅
Conclusion
The trader is expecting:
A short opportunity after a potential rejection from the 1.3610–1.3623 resistance area.
A move downward toward the 1.3432 level.
Let’s break down what's currently happening in the GBP/USD.GBP/USD Analysis in a Simple and Beginner
Let’s break down what's currently happening in the GBP/USD market, in a way that even someone without any trading experience can grasp easily.
At the moment, the market attempted to break out on the buy (upside), but it faced rejection, meaning it tried to go higher but couldn’t sustain that move and started falling down.
As the price dropped, it reached a point where a bullish engulfing pattern had previously formed this is a special pattern in trading which often signals a potential strong buying opportunity.
Now, here’s the key point:
📍 If the market comes back down to this engulfing buy zone, there's a high probability that it will bounce back up strongly from there think of it like a spring that’s been compressed and is ready to launch upward.
On the other hand:
📍 If the market doesn’t come down and instead continues moving upward, then we already have a bearish engulfing pattern waiting at a higher level. This is a zone where the market could face resistance and fall sharply again.
So what should you do?
✅ Be patient — let the market come to these important engulfing levels.
✅ Don’t rush into trades. Let the price touch these zones and then observe the reaction.
These engulfing zones are like magic they often predict powerful movements. Wait for the price to reach the level, and then watch the magic unfold.
Even if you're new to trading, this kind of analysis helps you understand when and where the market might turn without needing complicated indicators.
DYOR! Not Financial Advice.