GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25
SUMMARY
- Weekly order block
- Daily order block
- Price action bullish in current point of interest.
REQUIREMNTS
- Setup A) Substantial 15' break of structure, creating 15' order block to short from on the pull back.
- Setup C) Lower time frame break of structure without initial 15' break of structure.
- Candle stick formation confluences.
FRGNT X
IG - JCFRGNT
GBPUSD
GBPUSD Let’s see if sellers step in.GBP/USD Trade Update: Holding My Sell at 1.32480
I entered a sell trade at 1.32480, expecting a reversal based on key technical and fundamental setups. But with GBP/USD now sitting at 1.33814, I have to reassess market conditions while still staying true to my trading approach.
Fundamental Overview – Why I Still Favor Downside
This week’s economic events could create volatility, and I’m paying close attention to:
UK PMI (April 23): Expected declines in Manufacturing (44.1) and Services (51.0) suggest economic weakness, which could weigh on GBP.
US Durable Goods Orders (April 24): Mixed expectations—headline at +1.8%, but ex-defense and transportation are negative, meaning uncertainty in USD strength.
UK Retail Sales (April 25): Forecasted at -0.3%, signaling weaker consumer spending. This aligns with my sell bias, as slowing UK economic data could trigger renewed selling pressure.
If the UK data disappoints, GBP/USD could struggle to hold higher levels, reinforcing my trade.
Technical & Price Action Analysis
Resistance Holding at 1.342–1.345:
Strong resistance is forming here. If bulls fail to push past this zone, my sell trade could still play out.
Wick formations near this level suggest some rejection, but confirmation is needed.
Key Support Levels for a Potential Drop:
1.330–1.331 (Flipped Resistance, Now Support) – Watching if price retests this zone.
1.326–1.327 (Major Support) – If momentum shifts, price could revisit this area.
1.321 (Stronger Support) – If price weakens further, this becomes my downside target.
Momentum is slowing, but the bullish trend is still intact unless price rejects at 1.342–1.345.
Volume Profile & Institutional Behavior – Are Big Players Selling?
Signs of Institutional Unloading:
Buy-side orders appear strong, but price is not breaking higher with conviction. This could mean large traders are selling into the rally.
Watching for a delta imbalance where buyers dominate order flow, but price fails to rise. This is a classic distribution sign.
Why This Matters: If institutions are offloading positions near 1.342–1.345, we could see price stall and reverse. My focus is on whether this resistance holds or breaks. That will define whether my sell trade remains valid.
My Trade Management Plan – Staying Patient
As a daily trader, I wait for the daily candle close before making adjustments.
If price rejects 1.342–1.345, I’ll hold my position with targets back toward 1.330–1.327.
If price breaks above resistance and holds, I may need to reevaluate my stop-loss placement.
Final Thoughts – Trusting My Process
I’m still holding my sell at 1.32480, but I recognize that buyers are testing key resistance. If institutions are quietly distributing, we could see a shift back to the bearish side, but I’m waiting for confirmation at the daily close.
I’ll update once the daily candle closes. Let’s see if sellers step in.
GOLDMASTER1 | GBPUSD RESULTS---
GBP/USD – PRECISION PLAY!
Yesterday, I shared this bullish order block analysis on the 15M chart. Today, price tapped perfectly into the zone, respected structure, and flew over 135+ pips!
KEY CONFLUENCES :
CHoCH followed by BOS confirmations
Entry off refined bullish order block
Clean equal lows liquidity swept
1.02% move secured with strong momentum
This is the power of Smart Money Concepts when executed with precision.
PAIR: GBP/USD
TIMEFRAME: 15M
PIPS SECURED: +135
GOLDMASTER1---
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
GBPUSD has reached a resistance zone, where a correction is expected.
We anticipate a pullback toward the specified support level, which could act as a launchpad for the next bullish move.
After completing the correction, the pair is expected to resume its upward movement toward the specified targets.
Will GBPUSD use the pullback as a springboard for further gains? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
DeGRAM | GBPUSD Strengthening Pound📊 Technical Analysis
- Uptrending channel
The GBP/USD pair is moving steadily within the ascending channel, having recently tested key support levels (“break and retest”).
- Key Resistance
Immediate resistance at $1.32; a break of this level means further strengthening of bullish sentiment.
- Predicted Scenario
A confirmed break above $1.32 opens the way to 1.33.
Fundamental Analysis 💡
Strong UK wage growth (5.9%) and GDP growth (0.5%) support GBP strength. A weaker USD amid easing trade tensions also favors GBP/USD.
✨ Summary
Positive fundamentals complement a clear bullish technical situation. Keep a close eye on a break above $1.32 to confirm the continuation of GBP/USD upside!
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GBPCAD IS BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPCAD is currently presenting a high-probability bullish setup after a textbook inverse head and shoulders formation on the 12H chart. Price is now hovering around 1.8457 and has just broken out above the descending trendline acting as neckline resistance. This structural shift, combined with clean bullish price action, signals the potential beginning of a fresh upward leg toward the 1.8976 region, a prior key supply zone and the projected target based on the measured move technique from the pattern.
From a fundamental standpoint, the British Pound is supported by hawkish BoE rhetoric and stronger-than-expected UK inflation data. Sticky core CPI and a robust labor market are keeping interest rate expectations elevated, which strengthens GBP across the board. In contrast, the Canadian Dollar remains under pressure due to softer oil prices and the Bank of Canada's dovish stance as it flirts with rate cuts in upcoming meetings. This macro divergence is fueling the momentum in GBPCAD’s favor, making it a favored pair for swing longs.
Technically, the pair is forming higher lows with increasing volume, which adds confidence to the breakout. The risk is well defined below 1.8198, making this an attractive trade with a solid 1:2+ reward-to-risk profile. As price continues to respect bullish market structure, any pullback toward the neckline could offer a prime re-entry zone for continuation traders.
This setup aligns with highly searched price action strategies such as “inverse head and shoulders breakout,” “neckline retest,” and “GBP strength vs CAD weakness.” With both technical and fundamental confluence pointing in the same direction, GBPCAD is set up for a potentially profitable swing opportunity heading into May.
Cable H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportCable (GBP/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.3290 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 1.3192 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 1.3515 which is a resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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GBP/USD in terminal phase? This zone could flip everything!📊 Technical Analysis
Price is currently trading in a strong weekly/monthly resistance zone around 1.3390–1.3400, marked by a dense multi-layer supply area. Historically, this level has caused sharp rejections.
From the lows, price completed a steep bullish leg, breaking through several structures. However:
Momentum seems overstretched.
RSI shows potential overbought signals.
There's a likely bearish target zone between 1.2950 and 1.2850, which is a key demand area.
📌 Trade Setup:
I’m watching for exhaustion signals or bearish confirmations on H1 to short from the current resistance, targeting the grey and turquoise zones below 1.30.
🧾 COT Report – GBP
Large Speculators (Asset Managers) still hold a net short position, although they've reduced exposure in recent months.
Leverage Funds remain slightly long, but without strong conviction.
💵 COT Report – USD
Leverage Funds have turned significantly net long on the dollar (strong green line upward since March).
This supports a bearish view on GBP/USD, as USD strength returns.
📉 Summary:
Price is at a key decision zone. A technical correction is possible. COT data supports this view:
GBP remains weak on the institutional side.
USD is regaining strength.
GBPUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategiesUSD weakens continuously 📉, driving GBP to keep strengthening 📈 (👉signals👉)
Moreover, JD Vance, the deputy of US President Trump, stated that there is a "very good chance" for the US-UK trade agreement to be reached. This news has boosted market confidence in the British pound to a certain extent 😃. Currently, the British pound is still in an upward trend 📈. Pay attention to the important support range of 1.3200 - 1.3220 at the lower level, which has played a supporting role several times during the recent upward rally.
If this range is not broken through, one may consider establishing a long position, with the target set at 1.3300 and higher levels 🎯.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.32000-1.32200
TP:1.33000-1.33200
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 signals👇
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3417
1st Support: 1.3102
1st Resistance: 1.3637
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GBPUSD - bottom out pattern going on? What's next??#GBPUSD - perfect move as per our last couple of ideas regarding #GBPUSD
and now in current situation we have 1.3220 as immediate supporting and below that 1.3140
If market holds that supporting areas then we can expect further bounce towards 1.3500 and after that 1.3700 , 1.3900 n upto 1.4200
So stay sharp and don't be lazy here..
Good luck
Trade wisley
GBPUSD Happy Easter Traders! 4/20 6:33pm. I’m currently holding a sell position on GBP/USD at 1.32480, and despite price climbing to 1.32942, I see several technical and fundamental factors that support my trade idea.
Fundamental Perspective
Looking ahead, this week presents major economic events that could drive volatility in GBP/USD.
UK PMI (April 23): Manufacturing PMI is expected to drop to 44.1, while Services PMI may soften to 51.0—both indicators suggest economic slowdown, potentially putting downward pressure on GBP.
US Durable Goods (April 24): Forecasts show mixed numbers—headline durable goods is projected at +1.8%, but ex-transportation and ex-defense figures are negative, meaning uncertainty surrounding USD demand.
UK Retail Sales (April 25): The monthly figure is expected at -0.3%, signaling weaker consumer spending. This aligns with my sell bias, as deteriorating UK economic conditions could contribute to pound weakness.
If the UK data disappoints while US figures remain mixed or slightly stronger, GBP/USD could face renewed selling pressure, validating my position.
Technical Analysis - Historical & Indicator Confirmation
Looking at the daily chart, there’s strong alignment between price action and indicator readings that suggest a potential reversal:
Resistance Holding at 1.330–1.331:
The Stochastic at 74.88 suggests GBP/USD is nearing overbought conditions.
The Williams %R at -22.24 reinforces the idea that price is pushing into exhaustion territory.
Support Structure (Where Downside Pressure Could Build):
Immediate Support at 1.326–1.327: Previous lows from April 20 confirm this zone as a critical level for sellers.
Secondary Support at 1.321: Multiple recent price reactions suggest this area could serve as a strong downside target.
Deeper Support at 1.316–1.318: If bearish momentum strengthens, this area represents a key swing low.
Additionally, while price is pushing higher in the short term, it’s trading well above long-term daily EMAs, suggesting the rally is a temporary overextension rather than a sustained breakout. If GBP/USD fails to break above 1.330–1.331, momentum could shift in favor of my sell trade.
Trade Management & Outlook
Despite the recent push higher, I remain confident in my sell position as long as GBP/USD does not break and hold above 1.330–1.331. If price starts rejecting this level, the next downside target could be 1.326, followed by 1.321, where I’d consider taking partial profits.
With fundamental catalysts ahead, volatility will likely increase. If bullish momentum persists beyond 1.331, I may need to re-evaluate my position, but until that happens, my trade setup remains valid.
Final Thoughts
My sell at 1.32480 is built on strong reasoning—key fundamental risks, extended technical levels, and a solid structure of resistance all favor a potential reversal. If sellers step in soon, I’ll have the opportunity to secure profits on a well-planned move. Now, it’s a waiting game to see how price reacts to resistance and upcoming data.
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?GBP?USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.6% Fibonacci projection and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3376
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.3646
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Tale profit: 1.3105
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Weekly FOREX Forecast: Buy EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD vs USDThis is the FOREX outlook for the week of April 21 - 25th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
CAD
CHF
JPY
Not a lot of movement last week, as price traded in a small range. May see more of the same this coming week, as there are no major news events planned. The USD is still weak, and there may be opportunities to buy against it in the EUR, GBP, AID, NZD, CAD, CHF, AND JPY.
Wait for good confirmation before taking valid buy setups!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GBP/USD upcoming shorts from 1.33600 back down to demandMy focus this week for GU is around a key daily supply zone that price is currently approaching. As we near this level, I expect price to slow down and begin distributing, potentially leading to a deeper retracement. I anticipate the short setup to form around Tuesday, depending on how price reacts.
If price does retrace, I’ll be watching the 2-hour and 17-hour demand zones, where we could see a bullish reaction and a potential rally from those levels. Since GU has been overall bullish, this would be a counter-trend short, followed by a possible continuation to the upside.
Confluences for GBP/USD Shorts:
- Price is overbought, indicating a potential correction to clear liquidity and fill imbalances.
- Plenty of downside liquidity and imbalances that price could target.
- Approaching a strong daily supply zone, which could act as a key reversal point.
- Unmitigated demand zones below, which may need to be tapped before price continues higher.
P.S. If price doesn’t reach the daily supply zone, I’ll remain patient and look for a buy opportunity to ride price up toward that supply level.
Wishing everyone a great trading week ahead!
SILVER – Wave 3 Breakdown Using Elliott Wave Theory3-Day Silver Chart Analysis
We're analyzing the full structure of Wave 3, which itself consists of 5 smaller waves, following the Elliott Wave impulsive pattern:
Impulse Wave Structure (5 Waves):
Wave 1: 5 subwaves (either impulse or leading diagonal)
Wave 2: 3-wave correction
Wave 3: 5 subwaves (impulse)
Wave 4: 3-wave correction
Wave 5: 5 subwaves (can be impulsive or corrective)
Right now, we’re in Wave 5 of Wave 3, and within that, we’re in subwave 1, expecting a subwave 2 correction next.
Trade Plan:
- Watch for the subwave 2 correction to develop
- Once wave C of the correction forms, draw a trendline and enter on the breakout
- Set hard stops below the invalidation level, or under Wave 2 after the breakout
- Take profit levels: 35, 37, 39
Good luck and as always, trade safe!
Take a look at our earlier Silver setups below:
Free Setups
SILVER:
SILVER:
SILVER:
VIP Setups
SILVER:
SILVER:
SILVER:
SILVER:
GBP Holds the Upper Hand Amid Economic RealismThe British economy has taken a bold and proactive stance by acknowledging the reality of a looming recession earlier than most other major economies. While many nations continue to downplay or delay recognition of economic slowdown, the UK’s honest and strategic approach positions the pound for relative strength in the near term.
🇬🇧 Why This Matters for GBPUSD
Proactive Policy Making: By admitting economic challenges early and beginning to address them, the UK has earned credibility in global markets. This forward-thinking strategy often leads to greater investor confidence.
Currency Strength Through Stability: While other currencies are facing late-cycle policy adjustments and ongoing uncertainty, the GBP is likely to benefit from this perception of stability and transparency.
Comparative Resilience: Against a backdrop of monetary hesitation elsewhere, the pound could continue to outperform—especially as traders and institutions reward clarity and decisive leadership.
💡 What Traders Should Watch
If the UK’s measured steps toward economic recovery continue while others stall or scramble, GBPUSD may show strength, particularly in risk-off periods where relative macroeconomic discipline becomes a key asset. Still, always trade with a plan—use structure, confirmation, and adapt quickly if conditions shift.
Remember: being early is sometimes the most underrated form of being right.
GBPUSD | Blue Boxes Mark Solid Support Zones
Following the recent strength in GBP due to the UK’s proactive economic stance, it's crucial to keep an eye on the blue boxes highlighted on the chart. These levels have acted as key support zones during recent price action, and they could continue to offer high-probability opportunities if retested.
🔵 Why These Zones Matter:
Price Memory: These areas have previously been defended by buyers, indicating strong institutional interest. If the market revisits them, it’s very likely we’ll see some kind of reaction.
Strategic Patience: Entering trades around support zones requires confirmation. Look for reversal patterns or LTF bullish signs before committing. These setups are where smart money often steps in.
Risk-Managed Entries: Waiting for price to come to you around these levels can offer great R:R trades while keeping your downside limited.
📌 The Bigger Picture:
Combine this technical structure with the UK’s relatively more realistic economic outlook, and you get a compelling setup. While other currencies may still be adjusting, GBP could remain strong—especially if these support zones continue to hold.
In uncertain macro times, solid support plus good fundamentals can make all the difference. Patience pays off, especially at these critical zones.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
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🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
GBPUSD Will Grow! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.329.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.342 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLDMASTER1| GBPUSD 15M TUTORIAL GBPUSD 15M – SMART MONEY FLOW
Price broke structure multiple times confirming bullish intent. After sweeping equal highs (EQH), it reacted strongly – classic liquidity grab.
Now watching the bullish order block (OB) at 1.32780 for a potential re-entry zone. If price holds and confirms with a shift, targeting the 1.33050 zone.
FLOW WITH THE SMART MONEY. WAIT FOR CONFIRMATIONS .
GOLDMASTER1---