BTC/USD Technical Analysis (Updated Bearish Scenario)Will BTC go down to 72k?
In my previous Analysis I talked about BTC consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern indicating indecision in the market.
first BTC has broken down from the symmetric triangle with a bearish engulfing candle, indicating bears has enter the market.
Secondly BTC has broken the Blue support zone indicating more bears confirmation.
for now I will advice to wait for a retest towards the blue zone or towards symmetric triangle then look for entry pattern for a sell/short position.
Key Bearish Levels to Watch:
Support: $72,000 is the main level to monitor. A strong reaction here could lead to a temporary bounce.
Breakdown Risk: If BTC fails to hold $72,000, increased selling pressure could drive further downside.
Bearish Confirmation:
Sustained trading below $72,000 could signal continuation of the downtrend.
Low buying volume at this level would indicate weak support and higher chances of a breakdown.
RSI and momentum indicators turning oversold could hint at a short-term relief bounce.
Potential Scenarios:
1. If BTC Holds $72,000: A consolidation or bounce could occur, leading to a possible recovery.
GBPUSD
GBPUSD Rally: Will It Retrace? Key Liquidity Zones & Trada Idea.📈 The GBP/USD has seen a significant rally recently, with previous highs on the weekly and daily higher timeframes acting as potential upside targets. But the big question is: how far could the pair retrace? 🤔 On the daily timeframe, we can clearly see a bullish imbalance that might serve as an internal range liquidity target for a pullback. This aligns with the market's natural behavior of seeking liquidity and rebalancing inefficiencies. 🔄
In this video, we dive into the trend 📊, market structure 🧩, and price action 🎯, discussing key factors like the imbalance and liquidity dynamics to keep in mind. Plus, we share a trade idea based on a specific set of rules on the 15-minute timeframe ⏱️.
⚠️ Not financial advice – this is for educational purposes only! 🚨
GBPUSD H1 I Bearish ReversalBased on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.2654, an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 1.2616, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 1.2691, positioned above the previous swing high, providing sufficient room for fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid.
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GBP/USD: Bullish Momentum Faces Key ResistanceGBP/USD has reached its highest point since mid-December at 1.2690, primarily driven by the weakness of the US dollar. The pair has shown strong momentum, and as long as it holds above the key support at 1.2520, analysts see potential for further upside toward 1.2725. Positive UK economic data, including better-than-expected retail sales and inflation figures, have reinforced a bullish outlook for the pound. However, minor retracements have been observed, with slight declines following recent gains, such as the 0.05% drop on February 24. Market volatility remains a factor, with geopolitical tensions and fluctuating commodity prices impacting the dollar’s strength. From a technical standpoint, the price is currently testing a resistance zone while approaching key moving averages, which could act as dynamic resistance. The presence of supply zones above suggests that the pair could face selling pressure before a potential continuation higher. If the price fails to sustain above the resistance area, a retracement toward the 1.2520 level and possibly deeper into the 1.2400 region could materialize. Despite the recent bullish momentum, caution is warranted due to broader market uncertainties, and future movements will depend on economic indicators from both the UK and the US, as well as overall market sentiment.
XAU/USD: Prepare for a new all-time high near $3000?! (READ)Gold's one-hour chart analysis indicates that the price has precisely followed our prior estimate, reaching the projected level of $2951. Comparing the last five assessments demonstrates the accuracy of these projections.
Gold is currently priced about $2947, down from $2951 when it peaked. I foresee a little retracement before another upward movement.
Short-term aims include $2954 and $2956.
Medium-term aims are $2966 and $2969.
Please support me with your likes and comments to encourage me to share more analysis with you and share your thoughts on the potential trend of this chart with me!
:
🚀 XAU/USD – Bullish or Bearish? Key Levels to Watch! 📊
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart Analysis
🔥 Key Observations:
🔹 BOS (Break of Structure) confirms strong market movement.
🔹 Bearish Order Block (OB) at the top suggests potential resistance.
🔹 Liquidity Grabs ($$$) & FVG (Fair Value Gaps) indicate smart money activity.
🔹 Bullish Rejection Blocks (30m & 1H TFs) could act as key demand zones.
📈 Possible Scenarios:
📌 Bullish Case: If price holds above the Bullish Rejection Block, we might see a push towards $2,950 - $2,960.
📌 Bearish Case: A rejection from the Bearish OB could send gold back towards $2,920 - $2,900.
🔔 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance: $2,950 - $2,960
✅ Support: $2,920 - $2,900
💬 What’s your bias? Bullish or Bearish? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️🔥
#gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
GBPUSD: Short Setup at Key ResistanceOANDA:GBPUSD is nearing a key supply zone that has been a critical area for bearish reversals in the past. The current price action suggests sellers may regain control at this resistance level.
If bearish patterns appear, such as long upper wicks or bearish engulfing candles, I anticipate a move toward 1.25890.
However, if the price successfully breaks and holds above the zone, this would invalidate the bearish outlook and might indicate further upside.
Proper risk management is essential, given the possibility of price breaking higher.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management!
GBP/USD Wedge Breakout (24.2.25)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2567
2nd Support – 1.2515
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GBPUSD A Bearish Shift in the MakingThe chart highlights a key overhead resistance (red line). Price has tested this level and appears to be struggling to break above it decisively. This resistance zone is likely attracting sellers who are defending it vigorously.
After failing to break above the resistance, the market seems to be forming a lower high. This shift in structure can be an early warning of a bearish reversal, as buyers lose momentum and sellers begin to gain control.
The blue horizontal line marks a significant support zone. The chart’s projected path indicates a potential move down toward this area, suggesting that sellers might push the price lower if immediate support levels fail to hold.
GBPUSD INTRADAY bullish above 1.2517The GBPUSD currency pair intraday price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend.
The key trading level is at 1.2517, the 05th Feb ‘25 swing high. A corrective pullback from the current overbought levels could target the downside support at 1.2517. A bullish bounceback from the rising support at 1.2517 could target resistance at 1.2680 followed by 1.2720 and 1.2740 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 1.2517 support and a daily close above that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for further retracements and a retest of 1.2450 support level followed by 1.2400.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD - Down We Go!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel marked in red.
However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel which lines up perfectly with the resistance zone marked in blue.
📉As per my trading style, as long as the resistance zone holds, I will be looking for sell setups on lower timeframes.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.263.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.267 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
The Day Ahead 24th Feb '25Monday February 24
Data: US January Chicago Fed national activity index, February Dallas Fed manufacturing activity, Japan January PPI services, Germany February Ifo survey
Central banks: BoE's Lombardelli, Ramsden and Dhingra speak
Earnings: Diamondback Energy, Trip.com, Domino's Pizza, Cleveland-Cliffs
Auctions: US 2-yr Notes ( LSE:69BN )
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCHF Bullish Flag: Breakout Potential Toward 0.92USDCHF is currently trading at 0.899 and forming a bullish flag pattern, signaling a potential breakout toward the 0.92 target. The bullish flag is a strong continuation pattern that occurs after a sharp upward move, followed by a consolidation phase. If the price successfully breaks above the flag’s resistance, it could trigger a new bullish wave, driving USDCHF higher.
Technically, the bullish flag suggests that buyers are accumulating positions before the next breakout. A confirmed breakout above the flag’s upper trendline, with increased volume, could validate the uptrend. Traders should watch key resistance zones and look for strong bullish candlestick formations to confirm the breakout momentum toward 0.92.
On the fundamental side, the US dollar remains strong due to the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates. If economic data from the US continues to show resilience, the dollar could gain further strength against the Swiss franc. Additionally, the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) monetary policy stance, which has remained relatively dovish, could contribute to CHF weakness, supporting the bullish outlook for USDCHF.
In summary, USDCHF is currently consolidating within a bullish flag, preparing for a potential breakout toward 0.92. A strong move above resistance, combined with bullish fundamentals, could accelerate the upside momentum. Traders should keep an eye on US economic data and risk sentiment to confirm the trade setup.
GBPUSD: Gains remain capped below 1.2700The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart pulls back towards 60 after slightly exceeding 70 on Thursday, indicating that the bullish bias remains strong following a technical correction.
GBP/USD encounters a pivot level at 1.2650 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement of the latest uptrend). If the pair can sustain above this level and establish it as support, the 1.2700-1.2710 range (round level, static level) might act as the next resistance before reaching 1.2750 (static level).
On the downside, 1.2600 (round level, static level) acts as the first support, followed by 1.2530 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) and 1.2500 (round level, static level).
Heading into pullback resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.2768
1st Support: 1.2496
1st Resistance: 1.3037
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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GBPUSD H1 I Bullish RiseBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.2673, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.2713, that aligns with the 161.8% Fibo extension and the 78.6% Fibo projection, forming a strong Fibonacci confluence where price could find resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.2490, below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Market Overview: Major Currency Pairs - Week 9/2025(February 24,Market Overview: Major Currency Pairs - Week 9/2025(February 24, 2025 - March 3, 2025)
📉 USDCAD
🔗 Link to chart:
📊 Active Price Range: 1.429 - 1.404
📉 Main Trend: Swing SELL D1
⚙️ Setup: Sell H1-D1, waiting for trading signals from Rainbow Sniper
💴 USDJPY
🔗 Link to chart: TradingView
📌 Current Status: USDJPY is in a SELL trend. The SELL signal has been active for multiple weeks, and the downtrend remains strong. If no position has been taken, any new trades should only be short-term scalping due to increased sensitivity to losses from price corrections.
📊 Active Price Range: 151-152 - 142
📉 Main Trend: Swing SELL W
⚙️ Setup: SELL H1-D1 and SELL H4-W, waiting for trading signals from Rainbow Sniper
💵 USDCHF
🔗 Link to chart: TradingView
📊 Active Price Range: 0.8899 - 0.9589
📈 Main Trend: BUY
⚙️ Setup: BUY H1-D1, waiting for trading signals from Rainbow Sniper
💷 GBPUSD
🔗 Link to chart: TradingView
📌 Current Status: GBPUSD was in a corrective upward movement last week on D1 but has not yet confirmed a SELL on D1 based on Rainbow Sniper. This week, GBP is expected to continue its upward move on D1 before looking for a Swing SELL signal.
⚙️ Setup: Scalping BUY H1-D1, waiting for Swing SELL H1-D1 and SELL H4-W, waiting for trading signals from Rainbow Sniper
💶 EURUSD
🔗 Link to chart: TradingView
📌 Current Status: Similar to GBP, but the BUY momentum is weaker than GBP. The pair is still in a corrective BUY phase on D1, which was not completed last week and is expected to continue this week before waiting for a Swing SELL signal.
⚙️ Setup: Scalping BUY H1-D1, waiting for Swing SELL H1-D1, waiting for trading signals from Rainbow Sniper
🇦🇺 AUDUSD
🔗 Link to chart: TradingView
⚙️ Setup: Scalping SELL H1-D1, waiting for trading signals from Rainbow Sniper
🇳🇿 NZDUSD
🔗 Link to chart: TradingView
📌 Current Status: NZD and AUD have some remaining BUY momentum, but NZD has enough tolerance to execute the BUY movement before transitioning to a SELL setup.
⚙️ Setup:
🔼 Scalping BUY H1-D1
🔽 Scalping SELL H1-D1 (after completing the BUY phase)
GBP/USD (4H Timeframe) Analysis🔍 Key Observations**
1️⃣ Market Structure**
- **Strong Uptrend:** The market has been making **higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL)**, indicating bullish momentum.
- **Break of Structure (BOS):** Multiple **BOS levels confirm** that buyers are still in control.
- **Change of Character (CHOCH):** A minor CHOCH is visible at the recent high, indicating a potential retracement before continuation.
2️⃣ Liquidity Zones & Key Levels**
- **Previous Day’s High (PDH):** The price recently tapped the **PDH** before showing signs of retracement.
- **Previous Day’s Low (PDL):** This level at **1.2560** could act as a liquidity grab if price retraces lower before another bullish push.
- **Equilibrium Zone:** The market is currently trading near the **mid-range equilibrium zone**, meaning it could still retrace into a discount zone before continuation.
3️⃣ Smart Money Considerations**
- **Liquidity Grab Possibility:**
- If price sweeps the **PDL (1.2560 area)** and reacts, it could be a prime long entry point.
- If price retests the **recent supply zone (~1.2650-1.2670)** and rejects, it could trigger a short-term bearish move.
- **Demand Zones (Buying Opportunities):**
- A key demand area lies **between 1.2550 - 1.2580**, which could serve as a re-entry point for longs.
- **Premium & Discount Zones:**
- The **discount area (below 1.2500)** could provide a stronger bullish reaction.
- The **premium supply area (~1.2700-1.2750)** could act as a strong resistance if price continues rallying.
4️⃣ Trade Setup Refinement**
📌 Bullish Scenario**
- **Entry Zone:** Between **1.2580 - 1.2600** (at demand zone).
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Below **1.2550** to protect against further downside.
- **Take Profit (TP):** Around **1.2700 - 1.2750** (Premium Zone/Supply Area).
- **Risk-Reward Ratio:** **1:4+**, making this a high-probability long setup.
📌 Bearish Scenario (If Supply Holds)**
- If price **rejects 1.2650-1.2670**, short opportunities could emerge targeting **1.2580 or lower**.
- A **break of PDL (1.2560) with strong bearish confirmation** could signal a deeper correction.
🔹 Final Thoughts**
✅ **Primary Bias:** Bullish, expecting a retracement into the **demand zone (1.2580-1.2600)** before another rally.
✅ **Alternative Bias:** If price rejects **1.2650-1.2670**, a short-term sell opportunity could play out.
✅ **Trade Plan:** Look for a liquidity grab at **PDL** before confirming a long position.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2661
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.2719
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 1.2563
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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DXY - 4H Bearish SignsTVC:DXY has shown an impressive rally from the 100 zone, forming three major bullish legs, each contributing approximately 4% gains. These bullish phases have now brought the index close to the critical 110 level.
However, in the third major leg, we observe the formation of three minor legs, signaling some hesitation as it nears the resistance zone. While many expect the index to break through 110 easily, I anticipate price swings around the 109-110 range, and even the possibility of a deeper pullback before resuming its upward trend.
With the NFP data release today, we might see increased volatility, offering opportunities for a potential DXY decline before any further rise. Stay alert for sharp market moves! 📉
GBP/USD Longs from 1.25800 up to the 7hr supplyFor this week, I expect GBP/USD to retrace back to the clean, unmitigated 18-hour demand zone before pushing back up toward the 7-hour supply zone that I previously marked. If this move doesn’t play out as expected, I anticipate price will first mitigate the 7-hour supply zone before slowing down and distributing within my point of interest (POI).
From there, I’ll be watching for a short move back to the 18-hour demand zone, where I plan to enter buys and continue trading in alignment with the overall market trend. Since price is currently near both POIs, I’ll be keeping a close eye on this setup.
Confluences for GU Buys:
✅ Strong bullish trend with consistent breakouts to the upside.
✅ 18-hour demand zone remains unmitigated and was the origin of the last bullish move.
✅ 7-hour supply zone above that also needs to be mitigated.
✅ The Dollar Index (DXY) has been very bearish, further supporting GBP strength.
Alternative Scenario:
If price reacts strongly from the 7-hour supply zone and breaks below the 18-hour demand, I’ll shift my focus to my next buy zone around 1.25200.
Wishing everyone a profitable trading week—let’s finish it in BLUES! 🔵