Bullish bounce off overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3173
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3105
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3291
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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GBPUSD
GBPUSD I Short Opportunity Coming Soon Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
AUDUSD,GBPUSD and NZDUSDHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD Analysis 10:40am 4/16Here’s my updated resistance zone analysis for GBP/USD, combining all the technical and fundamental data:
Resistance Levels & Why They Matter
1.3265 – Immediate Resistance
GBP/USD tested this level today, and it acted as a short-term barrier.
This level aligns with recent swing highs and pivot point calculations, making it a key area where sellers may step in.
1.3305 – Next Resistance Zone
If price breaks above 1.3265, the next resistance is around 1.3305, based on historical price action and pivot analysis.
This level has previously acted as a turning point, meaning traders may look to take profit or enter short positions here.
1.3430 – Stronger Resistance
This level was identified in recent market analysis as a former multi-month high.
If GBP/USD continues its bullish momentum, this could be a major resistance zone where price struggles to push higher.
1.3640 – Long-Term Resistance Target
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, the next major resistance sits at 1.3640, which has historically been a strong reversal point.
This level represents a significant psychological barrier, where traders may reassess the trend direction.
How I Derived These Levels
Price Action Review: I analyzed recent swing highs and lows to identify key turning points.
Pivot Point Calculations: Using the formula (High + Low + Close)/3, I confirmed resistance zones that align with historical price behavior.
Market Analysis: External sources also highlighted 1.3430 and 1.3640 as critical resistance levels2.
Moving Averages & Trendlines: These levels coincide with key moving averages, reinforcing their importance.
Final Thoughts
With GBP/USD currently at 1.32464, I’m watching 1.3265 as the immediate resistance. If price breaks above that, 1.3305 is the next target, followed by 1.3430 and 1.3640 for longer-term moves. These levels are based on a combination of technical indicators, price action, and external market analysis.
PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT THINGS CAN CHANGE..! PLEASE FOLLOW MY ANALYSIS TO OBTAIN ANY UPDATED INFO REGARDING GBPUSD.
GBPUSD(20250416)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3214
Support and resistance levels:
1.3301
1.3268
1.3247
1.3180
1.3159
1.3127
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3247, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3268
If the price breaks through 1.3214, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3180
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price managed to register a new high at $3245, but after that, it was followed by a correction and created a change in market structure. I expect that if the price stabilizes below $3213, it will be accompanied by further decline.
The targets are respectively $3187, $3177, $3155, and $3138.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Potential medium-term trend continuation? If this is the case of a trend continuation, then this current price provides a decent opportunity for a little medium-term swing. We would need to await further sell confirmation for entries. Targets would be the previous swing low at +-1.21000
I will update accordingly.
GBPUSD Analysis 4/16 at 8:55amI entered long at 1.32273 on April 15, and as of now, GBP/USD is trading around 1.3252, meaning I'm already up.
Why I'm Staying Long
Trend Confirmation:
The daily chart still shows a strong uptrend, and moving averages confirm that GBP/USD has been trading above key levels.
The RSI is at 62.76 on the daily timeframe, meaning bullish momentum is intact but not overly overbought.
Short-Term Signals:
On the hourly chart, some indicators suggest price may consolidate before continuing higher.
Stochastic RSI has cooled off, which often signals a chance for price to stabilize before another move up.
Aroon Oscillator (Hourly) at -78.57 shows fading bullish momentum in the short term, so I’m watching whether buyers step back in to push price higher.
Support & Resistance Levels:
1.3250 is a key level—if price holds above it, GBP/USD could continue toward 1.3280–1.3300.
If 1.3250 breaks, I’ll monitor 1.3220, which is close to my entry point, as the next potential support.
Fundamental Factors Affecting GBP/USD:
UK Inflation (2.6%) missed expectations, meaning GBP might not be as strong as before.
US Retail Sales beat expectations, reinforcing USD strength, which could put some pressure on GBP/USD.
Fed Chair Powell speaks later today, which could inject volatility—if he’s hawkish, USD may strengthen and push GBP/USD lower.
My Next Steps
I’ll continue holding as long as price remains above 1.3250.
If Powell’s speech creates sharp volatility, I might adjust my stop to secure profits.
My target is 1.3280–1.3300, but I’m prepared to reassess based on price action.
Overall, I’m feeling good about staying long, but I'm monitoring key levels closely to ensure I lock in gains while managing risk.
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Rockets HigherMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Rockets Higher
GBP/USD is gaining pace above the 1.3220 resistance.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.3220.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.3245 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair remained well-bid above the 1.2850 level. The British Pound started a decent increase above the 1.3000 zone against the US Dollar.
The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3150. The pair even climbed above 1.3200 and traded as high as 1.3263. It is now consolidating gains and trading well above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3030 swing low to the 1.3263 high.
On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.3260. The next major resistance is near 1.3320. A close above the 1.3320 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward 1.3450.
Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.3500. On the downside, there is a key support forming near a bullish trend line at 1.3245.
If there is a downside break below 1.3245, the pair could accelerate lower. The next major support is at 1.3145. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3030 swing low to the 1.3263 high.
The next key support is seen near 1.3030, below which the pair could test 1.2860. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.2745 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Inflation in the UK Has FallenInflation in the UK Has Fallen
According to Forex Factory, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading came in below expectations: while analysts had forecast a decline to 2.7% year-on-year from the previous 2.8%, the actual CPI figure was 2.6%.
Following the release of this news, the GBP/USD exchange rate rose to 1.3280 – the highest level in seven months.
On the one hand, falling inflation is a sign of a healthy economy and a relief for the Bank of England, especially considering that CPI stood in double digits just two years ago. As a result, analysts may now predict that interest rates could be cut at the meeting scheduled for 8 May.
On the other hand, demand for the dollar remains volatile due to Trump’s tariff policies, fears of a US recession, and a wave of bond sell-offs.
Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart
In just one week, the pound-to-dollar rate has risen by approximately 4.2%, with the RSI indicator now hovering near extreme overbought levels. Furthermore, the price is approaching the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which has been in play since the beginning of 2025.
In such conditions, a correction (with a bearish breakout of the ascending trendline, shown in blue) appears a logical development. However, a key factor in sustaining the current trend of dollar weakness could be the speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, scheduled for today at 20:30 GMT+3.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25
Thoughts- It's not if, it's WHEN !
All longs are null until the weekly order block has been breached or price drops considerably. In the here and now the short seems to be closing in.
It is as always important to stack confluences in favour of the short prior risking capital.
15' break of structure is an absolute requirement as this point of price action.
Within the higher time frame order block- looking for a lower time frame order block is not enough to short from therefore scrolling back months to find is pointless in our opinion.
We will let price show us, we will reaction with price.
What are your thoughts...
Are we dropping today?
FRGNT X
WHY GBPAUD IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED ANALYSISGBPAUD is currently breaking out of a textbook falling wedge pattern on the 2H timeframe, a structure widely recognized for its bullish implications. After an aggressive bullish impulse at the start of April, the pair entered a consolidation phase marked by lower highs and lower lows. However, the recent breakout above wedge resistance signals a potential continuation of the prior bullish trend. This clean technical breakout, combined with tight consolidation, suggests a build-up of bullish pressure likely to push the pair toward the 2.1300–2.1600 zone.
From a technical standpoint, the falling wedge pattern acted as a corrective structure following strong bullish momentum. The breakout confirms buyers stepping back in, with a solid support base forming around 2.0800. As long as GBPAUD holds above this level, the bullish outlook remains intact. Volume has also started to increase post-breakout, which typically reinforces the validity of the move.
On the fundamental side, the British pound is gaining traction amid optimistic UK economic indicators and renewed hawkish undertones from the Bank of England. Traders are pricing in a more cautious approach to rate cuts compared to other central banks, which gives GBP an edge. On the other hand, the Australian dollar is under pressure due to weak employment data and China-related risk sentiment, both of which are weighing on AUD. This divergence creates a favorable macro backdrop for GBPAUD bulls.
This setup is gaining attention among traders on TradingView due to its clear structure and the alignment between technicals and fundamentals. With a bullish breakout confirmed, I'm expecting follow-through momentum in the sessions ahead. Watching for intraday retests near 2.0850 for possible re-entries, with a medium-term upside target near the 2.1500 zone.
GBPUSD H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 1.3260, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.3166, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.3368, above the 127.2% Fibo extension.
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GBPUSD Will it continue to rise?Today, GBP/USD rose to 1.3238, reaching its highest level since October 3, 2024. In the early London market, it briefly touched a low of 1.3184 and then rebounded quickly.
The UK's inflation data for March will be released tomorrow. If the actual data meets or exceeds expectations, it will further enhance the market's expectations that the Bank of England will maintain its current monetary policy or adopt a tightening policy. As a result, the British pound will be supported, and the GBP/USD will be driven to rise.
GBPUSD trading strategy
buy @:1.31900-1.32100
sl 1.31300
tp 1.32550-1.32750
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GBPUSD Release the Bulls! 4/15 at 1:09pmHello this is my take on GBPUSD. Given the broader bullish trend in GBP/USD, I believe a long trade is the best play right now, but I’ll be watching key technical levels and upcoming news events to time my entry properly.
Technical Indicators Supporting a Long Trade
Trend Confirmation:
The daily moving averages (EMA, MA, and TEMA) continue to show an upward trajectory, meaning GBP/USD remains in a solid bullish structure. The price is consistently trading above key averages, reinforcing the trend.
The Aroon Oscillator (AROONOSC) on the 4-hour chart is at 85.71, showing strong bullish control. This suggests upward momentum is likely to persist.
Momentum Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily timeframe is 76—this does suggest overbought conditions, but in a strong trend, RSI can stay elevated for long periods. Instead of treating this as a reversal signal, I take it as confirmation that buying pressure remains high.
Stochastic RSI (StochRSI) is also at 100 across multiple timeframes, indicating price exhaustion. While this could lead to a short-term pullback, it doesn’t necessarily mean a trend reversal—just that entering on a dip might provide a better price.
Volatility and Market Conditions:
Average True Range (ATR) is rising, meaning market volatility is picking up. This can be useful for timing entries—if I see a pullback within the rising ATR environment, it may be a good chance to enter before the next leg up.
Fundamental Factors to Watch
UK Employment Change (Feb) Beat Expectations:
The UK added 206K jobs, smashing the consensus forecast of 95K. A strong labor market fuels economic stability and consumer spending, which in turn supports the British Pound.
With employment data coming in hot, GBP could remain strong leading into the next major report.
Upcoming GBP Inflation Data (Apr 16):
UK inflation is forecast at 2.7% YoY for March, down slightly from 2.8%. If inflation remains stable or surprises higher, it could further support GBP, as traders anticipate possible moves from the Bank of England (BoE).
US Retail Sales and Powell’s Speech (Apr 16):
The US Retail Sales MoM is expected at 1.3%, but if it underperforms, it could signal weakening consumer demand and hurt the USD.
Fed Chair Powell’s speech could be a major volatility driver—if he hints at slower rate hikes or economic softness, USD could weaken, lifting GBP/USD higher.
US Jobless Claims (Apr 17):
Initial jobless claims forecast at 225K—if this number comes in higher, it might reinforce concerns about a weakening labor market and put more pressure on the Fed to ease policy.
My Trade Plan
Given all of this, I’m looking for a long entry but waiting for confirmation on the hourly chart before entering.
Ideal Entry:
If GBP/USD pulls back to 1.3180–1.3190, I’ll look for buying signals (such as bullish candlestick formations or divergence in momentum indicators).
If it breaks above 1.3245 with strong volume, that could confirm further upside, and I might enter on the breakout instead.
Final Thoughts
The uptrend is strong, but I don’t want to enter at the peak of an overbought rally. Instead, I’ll wait for a pullback or a breakout confirmation before committing to the trade. Additionally, I’m keeping an eye on how the UK inflation numbers and Powell’s speech shape market sentiment over the next 48 hours.
All signs point toward GBP/USD continuing higher, but patience will be key in timing the best entry.
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D15 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D15 Y25
Morning Traders!
Let's await price action to tap into the weekly order block!
From then on, eyes open for 15' breaks of structure. Ensure that key higher low areas and double doubles for potential longs are broken before looking to short a fairly strong looking pound!
We simply await the pull back into s 15' order block that should be created post bearish move we have spoken of above. Upon the turn around in price action, we can be satisfied the bullish trend has exhaust somewhat.
Let's await the setup. No positions on GBPUSD until the above.
FRGNT X
GBPUSD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.308.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.320 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPUSD: Strong Bullish Market 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD set a new daily high today.
The pair remains in a strong bullish momentum since 8th of April.
With the complete absence of high impact fundamentals today, buying pressure
may persist.
I believe that it may continue rising at least to 1.33 - the closest historic resistance.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
“GBP/USD Long Setup: Demand Zone Bounce Toward 1.35000 Target ”🔍 Trade Setup
🟦 Entry Point: 1.32171
➤ Price is near the 7 EMA – good for a possible bounce.
🟩 Demand Zone: 1.31761 - 1.31500
➤ This is where buyers previously stepped in.
➤ Strong support area – watch for bullish reversal candles here.
🔻 Stop Loss: 1.31141
➤ Below the demand zone to protect against a fakeout.
🎯 Target Point: 1.35000
➤ Big upside target – aiming for a strong rally.
⚖️ Risk to Reward
❌ Risk: 1.32171 → 1.31141 = ~103 pips
✅ Reward: 1.32171 → 1.35000 = ~283 pips
⚖️ R:R Ratio: ≈ 1:2.75 – very favorable!
✅ Summary
🔸 Trend is bullish with strong momentum
🔸 EMA is acting as dynamic support
🔸 Demand zone is clearly respected
🔸 Great R:R setup for a long trade
GBPAUD. Can we expect price to retrace higher?Good morning traders, we back with another idea on GBPAUD, yesterday I entered some positions and since I swing all my trades to TP/SL. Today morning following the AUD news, my stops were triggered but only due to ignorance because on Sunday as I was looking at it my plan was to enter today after the 8 am news on GBP. But it’s another lesson for the journal, on the daily TF this pair is ready to move lower but on this 1 hour we can see that price swept the liquidity below and failed to close below the lows, proving that price will move higher for our hourly high in purple.
But since I’ve hit my daily loss, I’ll just monitor and study this setup to avoid today’s loss.