GBPUSDHello Traders! What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
My GBPUSD Technical Analysis Breakdown
Current Market Context
The British Pound versus US Dollar (GBPUSD) has shown resilience by bouncing from the critical $1.2300 support level. This price action suggests buyers are defending this level, though we remain within a larger bearish channel.
Technical Setup
- Strong support established at $1.2300
- Key resistance level: $1.2440 (bearish channel resistance)
- Current price action: Upward momentum from support
- Market structure: Inside bearish channel
Trade Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario
- Entry Trigger: Clear break and close above $1.2440
- Profit Target: $1.2610
- Stop Loss: Below $1.2300
- Risk/Reward ratio: Approximately 1:2
2. Bearish Scenario
- Entry Trigger: Break below $1.2300
- Profit Target: $1.2210
- Stop Loss: Above $1.2340
- Risk/Reward ratio: Approximately 1:2.2
Today's Trading Plan
- Trading Range: $1.2300 - $1.2475
- Recommendation: Wait for clear breakout confirmation
- Risk Management: Keep position sizes moderate given current market uncertainty
- Key Action Points: Watch for strong price action and volume at key levels before entering
Remember: Enter trades only when your chosen scenario shows clear confirmation signals. This reduces the risk of getting caught in false breakouts.
Gbpusd_forecast
"GBP/USD Resistance Test with Potential Bearish Reversal Setup"Based on the chart:
1. **Resistance Zone**: The price has reached a strong resistance level around 1.2400–1.2450. This area could act as a barrier for further upward movement.
2. **Trendline Support**: There’s a clear upward trendline acting as dynamic support, indicating a bullish structure overall.
3. **Bearish Confirmation**: The chart suggests waiting for bearish confirmation before entering a short position. Signs could include a reversal candlestick pattern, a breakdown of a lower timeframe support, or momentum shifting downward.
4. **Potential Move**: If bearish confirmation occurs, a retracement toward the trendline near 1.2200–1.2250 could be expected.
This setup favors patience, as entering without confirmation might expose trades to unnecessary risk if the resistance breaks.
GBPUSD Buy area at 1.23248 with strong confirmationsWait for the breakout and put the trade with proper analysis and risk mangements
GBPUSD Buy area at 1.23248 with strong confirmations
Stop Loos: 1.22963
Take Profit Level: 1.2376
Level 2nd; 1.24932
The Setup follow the 1st risk on account and use trail stop loss.
GBP USD Trade Setup Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, GBP USD has broken below a key support level, which has now turned into resistance. and the price is currently rejecting this level.
We will focus on selling opportunities by analyzing the lower timeframes for entry patterns and confirmation.
Here's a brief analysis of the chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) Here's a brief analysis of the chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar:
The chart shows an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish market. There are several "break of structure" (bos) points where the price has broken previous resistance levels, suggesting strong momentum. The current price is around 2,730.530, with a breakout at this level hinting at a potential upward movement towards the projected price target of 2,762.140. The resistance level is approximately 2,740.000, while there's a support zone marked by a shaded area below the current price.
Overall, the chart suggests that the gold price might continue to rise, making it a good time for bullish trades.
*Short-term target*: 2,740.000 - This is the immediate resistance level. If the price breaks above this level, it could move towards the next target.
2. *Medium-term target*: 2,762.140 - This is the projected price target if the bullish momentum continues and the price breaks through the resistance at 2,740.000.
Keep in mind that these targets are based on current market trends and technical analysis. It's always a good idea to monitor the market closely and adjust your strategy as needed.
Short Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart: Short Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart:
- *Current Price*: 1.22722 USD per GBP.
- *Resistance Level*: Around 1.23500 USD, marked as a rejection zone.
- *Support Trendline*: An upward trendline connecting the lows from January 10 to January 21.
- *Potential Movement*: Indication of a downward movement from the rejection zone, suggesting a bearish outlook.
target based on the provided GBP/USD chart analysis:
Bearish Scenario:
- *Initial Target*: If the price rejects the resistance level around 1.23500 USD and confirms a downward movement, the initial target would be around 1.22000 USD.
- *Extended Target*: If the bearish trend continues, a more extended target could be around 1.21000 USD, close to the next significant support level.
Pound Down Under: Will the FVG Hold or Flip? - GBPAUDThe GBPAUD chart showcases intriguing price action with a potential bearish setup. Following the raid on higher time frame (HTF) buyside liquidity (weekly), price has displaced lower, signaling a short-term bearish bias.
On the daily timeframe, price has formed a high-probability FVG after raiding a short-term low. This FVG becomes a key level to watch:
-Scenario 1: If price respects the FVG, expect continuation to the downside, targeting sell-side liquidity levels at 1.98994 and 1.97929.
-Scenario 2: If the FVG is disrespected and used as an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG), anticipate a bullish reversal, potentially pushing price higher.
Conclusion:
Short-term bearish bias targeting sell-side liquidity zones.
Monitor the FVG closely for confirmation or invalidation.
DYOR!
GBPUSD HTF Bearish Structure & Possible Trade Opportunity 👀 👉 Analyzing the GBPUSD weekly chart reveals a bearish market structure, with a clear lower high and lower low signaling a downtrend. I expect further downside potential following a pullback. In this video, we explore the trend, price action, market structure, and a possible trade setup. ⚠️ This video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
GOLD can jump down more .. Gold is showing signs of potential downside movement, suggesting that bearish pressure could dominate in the near term. Traders should remain vigilant and closely monitor key support levels to confirm the next direction. While the current trend hints at a possible drop, unexpected volatility could still influence the market, making it essential to adopt a cautious approach. Proper risk management and careful analysis are crucial to navigating this environment effectively.
GbpUsd could correct from important supportLast week, GBP/USD saw a sharp decline, dropping over 400 pips from its recent high after briefly spiking above former support, which has now turned into resistance.
The pair is currently trading at 1.2150. Although the overall trend remains strongly bearish, a short-term correction and upward move is possible.
The 1.2070 level serves as key technical support, and with the psychological 1.2000 level nearby, short-term traders might find buying opportunities in this zone.
If a rebound occurs, the 1.2300 level could serve as a potential target for such a trade.
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.23000 or 1.25000 back down...My analysis for GBP/USD (GU) this week focuses on the continuation of the bearish trend, as the price has been consistently breaking structure to the downside. I anticipate that the price will follow through and mitigate a nearby supply level, creating an opportunity to capitalize on the current market conditions.
I’ll be looking to take sell positions once the price reaches one of my identified supply levels, such as the 5-hour or 7-hour zones. At these levels, I expect the price to slow down on the lower time frames, signalling a continuation of the bearish trend. If the price moves lower and taps into the 1-hour demand zone, we could see a temporary bullish reaction before the downtrend resumes.
Confluences for GU Sells:
- The price remains very bearish on the higher time frames.
- The DXY is strongly bullish, aligning with this bearish trend for GU.
- A clean supply zone has caused a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside.
- The market is forming lower lows and lower highs.
- Liquidity below still needs to be taken.
Note: If the price continues to drop without tapping into my POIs, I’ll wait for another break of structure, which may create a new supply zone. Alternatively, I might look for a counter-trend buy from a valid demand zone back up to a supply level.
GBPUSD Scenario 1.1.2025This market is very difficult to predict at the moment, the point is that we have very close resistance around the price level 1.2520, if we hold this level, we can consider the previous low as an sfp from which the price can start to rise, or if we do not hold this level, we will fall below it and the market will try to hold the second sfp or send the price even lower.
GBP USD Complete Analysis - Top Down - Structure wiseHi guys,
Below im going to go through a detailed breakdown of GBP USD for longer term swing trades and what i am looking for to confirm any trade direction.
Firstly i want to start of at the monthly time frame:
Below is a photo of the monthly timeframe clearly showing bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows:
So our monthly bias is bearish, and the last rally could just be a pull back to continue lower, However, considering that the low that was created in September of 2022 created a new all time low for the pair, i am skeptical that this pair will go any lower. Furthermore, looking at the price action from the low of 2016 till date we can see that price has been pretty much range bound, which also looks to be a Wyckoff accumulation schematic. However this will only be confirmed once price breaks above the last high marked up in the above drawing, as this will confirm bullish strength and a break of long term structure to the upside.
Conclusion of monthly time frame analysis: Trend is bearish but it seems to be at it's turning point. So we need to see confirmations of lower timeframe to determine weather price will continue to drop or go higher.
Now lets look at the daily time frame:
Looking on the daily time frame we clearly see bullish structure, with higher lows and higher highs, however remember this entire structure could just be a pull back of the monthly time frame's bearish structure.
So when will this move be considered a pull back of the bearish monthly structure? if price manages to break the recent low marked up in the above drawing at around 1.204. this will indicate a break of the bullish structure on the daily timeframe and a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
As long as price is above this low, 1.204 then the structure will remain to be bullish.
So to recap, on the monthly we are overall bearish but we are expecting that we are at the end of the bearish move, but we need to see the lower timeframes confirm if price wants to go higher. As of now, the daily structure is bullish and the structure is holding. So we can look for buys at this point.
Lets go down to the 4 hr time frame:
On the 4 hr timeframe we can see the clear bearish structure. but remember that as long as price is above the 1.204 mark then we are bullish on the daily, so this bearish structure gives us opportunities to enter long positions at lower prices. But in order to confirm that this bearish structure will not just continue to drop and shatter the 1.204 mark, then we need to see a shift in structure from bearish to bullish, which will occur when price breaks above the high in the above photo at around 1.28. This will indicate the end of this bearish pull back and a change in structure from bearish to bullish, so then we will have bullish structure on the 4 hr and the daily time frames. Entries however will be taken on the 15 or 5 min timeframes, when the time comes. For now i need to wait and see if the 4 hr structure will turn bullish or not.
Also another note on the 4 hr timeframe, structure aside, we can see some signs of accumulation where we have just done a quick sweep and stop hunt of the lows which also indicate that bullish strength may enter soon. As shown in the below photo:
So overall i am bullish on GBP USD but i need the 4 hr time frame to confirm my bias by breaking structure upwards and clearing the 1.28 mark. At that point we will scope in on the 15 min for entries on pull backs.
The other scenario is if price continues to be bearish, and breaks the low on the daily time frame at around 1.204, this will completely shift our bias from bullish to bearish, and will look for sell positions on pull backs.
So for now, we wait. Wait for price to show you what it wants to do, does it want to respect the bullish structure on the daily time frame? or does it want to shift the structure from bullish to bearish? this will be the deciding factor here. And based on that we can analyze further and look to take some good swing trades.
If you made it this far, i thank you for your time and patience, and i hope this helped you in some way.
Thank you, and happy new year to everyone!!
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.25200This week, my analysis for GBP/USD (GU) suggests a potential move higher to complete a corrective phase, as the pair has experienced heavy bearish momentum recently. Once the price reaches my point of interest (POI), which lies within the confluence of three key supply zones, I’ll be looking for signs of a slowdown in that region.
I’ll wait for the price to form a redistribution pattern in this area, signaling an opportunity to align with the overall bearish trend. Since GU is already in a bearish trend, it’s ideal to capitalize on this movement and target the underlying liquidity below.
Confluences for GU Sells:
The price has shown a Change of Character (CHOCH) and multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside.
Several unmitigated supply zones remain, which are likely to be tapped.
Significant liquidity below, along with imbalances that need to be filled.
The Dollar Index (DXY) is bullish, supporting the bearish case for GU through correlation.
Note: If the price drops first before retracing upward, I’ll look for a buying opportunity around the 1-hour demand zone at 1.23000.