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Gbpusd_forecast

Bearish Reversal in GBP/USD After NFP Data: Key Levels to WatchIn my August 8 analysis, I highlighted the Morning Star pattern, which retested the previous resistance of the broken triangle, signaling a potential reversal to the upside with a target above 1.31 for the next leg up. As anticipated, the price did reverse, and not only was the target reached, but it was also surpassed. However, after breaking above the horizontal resistance level, which marked a yearly high for GBP/USD, the pair reversed. Despite bulls' efforts to regain control, the NFP data provided clarity with a strong bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart. At the time of writing, the price is sitting right on the former resistance level, which now serves as support. A break below this level could lead to further downside movement toward the psychological 1.30 level, and potentially even the 1.2850 technical support zone. I believe this scenario will play out for "cable," and I'm looking to sell into rallies. However, this outlook would be invalidated if a new high is achieved.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
8
GBP/USD Sell to buy idea from 1.32000 to 1.30400GU Analysis for This Week: My outlook on GU this week largely depends on how the market opens. If the price moves downward and breaks structure by taking out the liquidity at the swing low, I expect a retracement to the 12-hour demand zone. In this scenario, the 10-hour supply zone I marked would become more valid, although there is also a possibility that price could move there first. This would lead to an initial sell-off, to ride the price down until it fills the imbalance just above the demand zone. Once price reaches this point, it would fill a level of imbalance, potentially triggering stronger buying pressure. Confluences for GU Sells: - The price has been forming lower lows and lower highs. - There is an imbalance below that needs to be filled, along with a demand level. - A 10-hour demand zone was left untouched by the NFP news event. - There is significant liquidity below, providing clear target levels for take profit. - This analysis aligns well with the dollar index (DXY) chart. Note: If the price invalidates the current supply, my ideal scenario would be for the price to reach the 11-hour supply zone at the very top, as it offers a more premium level to sell from. Have a great trading week, everyone!
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBP USD Trade Setup 1 hour timeframe.Following the head and shoulder pattern formed on GBP USD last week the price has been pushing down as DXY continues bullish.. As we all know the market dose not move in a straight line up trend makes higher highs and higher lows, down trend makes lower lows and lower highs. On the 1 hour timeframe GBP USD has broken a structure level to the downside, before we can sell we need to see a pullback of the next candlestick retesting the lower low level. ⏰
Short
by OfficialUBKFX
GBPUSD short term counter trend this week**Monthly Chart** GBPUSD monthly candle closed bullish for August. The next price target is around 1.3400 level (previous monthly IPA). **Weekly Chart** Last week, the candle closed as bearish as it reduced momentum near the imbalance level of the 28th Feb 2022 candle. This week I will examine this area for short trading opportunities if GBPUSD couldn’t break higher. **Daily Chart** I suspect GBPUSD to have one more push to the upside at least retest and sweep the newly formed liquidity before it reverses lower. This might be a short-term counter-trend as we are still in a bullish trend on higher time frames.
Short
by PropSignals
GBP/USD Strategic Insights: Q3 Breakouts and Q4 ProjectionsAnalyzing GBP/USD: A Journey Through Accumulation, Breakouts, and Forecasting Q2 2024: The Accumulation Phase During the second quarter of 2024, the British Pound entered a pronounced accumulation phase. Institutional buyers were actively engaged, positioning their trades to capitalize on future movements. This period set the stage for subsequent price actions and was crucial in understanding the currency's resilience. Q3 2024: Strategic Movements and False Breakouts As the third quarter commenced, the GBP/USD experienced a deceptive breakout to the downside, aligning perfectly with the Camarilla pivot support levels at S3 and S4. This false move highlighted the strength of these levels as key support zones, underscoring why initiating short trades—common among retail traders—was strategically questionable at this juncture. By June 2024, the GBP/USD climbed towards $1.2800, briefly entering a distribution/accumulation phase, which prepped the market for an anticipated bullish continuation. Mid-Q3 Breakout and Profit Realization By mid-August 2024, propelled by institutional trading, GBP/USD convincingly broke past the R4 Camarilla level at $1.2950. This breakout targeted the R5 level at $1.3200, identified as the optimal take-profit point. This movement marked a significant transition from the previous range-bound market conditions, showcasing the effectiveness of strategic pivot level monitoring. Anticipating Q4 2024: Calm Before the Next Move Looking ahead to September 2024, expectations are set for subdued trading activity, with the GBP/USD likely oscillating between $1.3000 and $1.3200. This forecasted lull suggests another accumulation/distribution phase that could serve as a precursor to more definitive movements in the fourth quarter. Conclusion and Forward Outlook The trajectory of GBP/USD points towards stability in the near term, with potential gearing up for another significant movement as we approach the end of 2024. Traders should monitor these pivotal levels closely, as they offer valuable insights and strategic entry points. Given the currency’s recent history and the robust support demonstrated at key Camarilla levels, a bullish bias may be advisable heading into the next quarter, with careful attention to any shifts that might suggest a different course. Stay tuned for further updates as we continue to navigate through these dynamic market phases and extract actionable insights to enhance our trading strategies.
CME_MINI:M6B1!
by msrozba
GBPUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 The GBPUSD pair is currently displaying indications of price extension, approaching a significant resistance area. This technical configuration suggests a potential corrective move. Our trading approach involves identifying opportunities for long positions, contingent upon a retracement to key Fibonacci levels, specifically within the 50% to 61.8% range. It is essential to consider this analysis within the broader macroeconomic context. The recent monetary policy shift by the Bank of Japan, characterised by an interest rate increase, has introduced considerable volatility across global financial markets. Traders should anticipate and factor in the possibility of sustained elevated market volatility, which may significantly influence price dynamics and risk management strategies. The convergence of these technical and fundamental factors presents an intriguing trading scenario. However, it is imperative to emphasize the importance of robust risk management practices. Market participants are strongly advised to conduct comprehensive independent research and evaluate their personal risk appetite before initiating any trading positions. Please note: This analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It should not be construed as financial advice or an explicit recommendation to execute any particular trade. 📊 ✅
Long
by fxtraderanthony
2
GBPUSD moving higher towards 1.3000 level**Monthly Chart** Last month closed as a bearish candle after making a new low, just to move back into a consolidation range that was formed at the beginning of this year. This month's candle (which is still active) opened within the range and started moving higher. We will see a clear direction after the close of the monthly candle by the end of this week. However, the short-term bias is still bullish after testing the historical low of 1985 in September 2022. **Weekly Chart** last week candle closed higher as a continuation of the bullish move from the previous week. From the weekly chart, the price is heading towards testing the weekly MC around 1.3000 and then 1.3200 level. **Daily Chart** GBPUSD needs a short retracement (corrective move) before resuming the bullish trend. More cleared pictures can be seen in lower time frames.
Long
by PropSignals
1
GBPUSD - Look for Continuation Short (SCALP) 1:3!The HTF shows a strong bullish trend, but remember, there’s always a trend within the trend. As the price approaches the HTF Supply Zone, there might be an opportunity for a short position during the correction before the uptrend continues. Although this setup could be considered high-risk, as it goes against the trend, careful money management can help minimize risks. Don’t be greedy—this could be a good scalp or intraday trade. Close the position when it reaches the Demand Zone, and look for another opportunity to ride the bullish trend towards the next resistance level in HTF. Disclaimer: This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
Short
by S-Fx_
4