EUR/GBP Extends Gains Near 0.8720 Ahead of German Data"EUR/GBP has continued its upward trend for the second consecutive day, trading near the 0.8720 level in early European trading on Monday. The currency pair received support ahead of significant economic data releases from Germany.
However, preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for Germany is expected to show a 0.3% decline for the quarter, with a 0.7% year-on-year decrease, compared to a 0.2% decline in the previous report. Additionally, initial forecasts for the Consumer Price Index (MoM) indicate a decrease of 0.2%, down from the previous 0.3%. Furthermore, the Euro weakened following the European Central Bank's (ECB) decision to maintain the deposit interest rate at 4.0%, reflecting concerns about the deteriorating economic outlook in the Eurozone.
ECB President Christine Lagarde is navigating a delicate balance, steering the central bank through a challenging economic landscape. Maneuvering between a weakening economy and strong inflationary pressures is no easy task. With the increasing complexity of monitoring the Middle East crisis, relying solely on data seems unwise.
On the other hand, the British Pound (GBP) may face challenges as traders adopt a cautious stance ahead of the Bank of England's (BoE) policy meeting scheduled for Thursday. Many predictions suggest that the central bank will maintain its current interest rate at a 15-year high of 5.25% due to growing concerns about economic recession.
The UK economy is feeling the strain due to high-interest rates, adding to the challenges posed by persistent inflation. Economic data indicates significant declines in various sectors, coupled with high inflation, putting additional pressure on household budgets.
Gbpusd_forecast
GBP/USD Hits Three-Week Low Below 1.2100"GBP/USD extends this week's decline from near 1.2300, touching a three-week low in Asian trading on Thursday, pressured by a stronger US dollar. The pair weakens further below the key 1.2100 level and faces selling pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart drops below 50, and the latest 4-hour candles close below the 100-period and 50-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA), indicating a downtrend.
The level at 1.2100 (a psychological threshold) is considered the main support. If buyers fail to defend this level, further losses towards 1.2050 (the recent low) could be witnessed.
To attract technical buyers, GBP/USD needs to surpass the resistance zone of 1.2190-1.2200, where the 100-period SMA and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level converge. In this scenario, 1.2250 (the 200-period SMA) and 1.2300 (the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level) could be seen as the next resistance levels. After a sharp decline on Tuesday, GBP/USD rallied back to 1.2200 on Wednesday. However, market caution prevented a sustained recovery.
US data released on Tuesday revealed that private sector business activity expanded slightly faster in early October compared to September, with the S&P's global composite PMI improving from 50.2 to 51. While US Treasury bond yields continued to decline, the US dollar benefited from the optimistic PMI data, putting pressure on GBP/USD.
In early European trading on Wednesday, US stock index futures traded negatively, and the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note maintained a modest daily increase of around 4.85%, supporting the US dollar.
In the latter part of the day, the US New Home Sales data for September will be considered for new momentum. Some policymakers at the Federal Reserve have expressed concerns about the negative impact of high-interest rates on the housing market. Therefore, a significant decline in this data could immediately harm the US dollar.
On Thursday, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its initial estimate of third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth.
GBPUSD short term Longs to 1.22500SCENARIO 1 - My current bias for GBPUSD is to buy roughly were current price is at (9hr demand) but could expect a bit more downside and mitigate the 7hr demand zone for the buy setup to take place. Regardless we are expecting a wyckoff accumulation to take place in this POI. Targeting 1.22500 were the 8hr supply zone is located, we will then look for price to slow down momentum and distribute for a potential sell setup to form in either the 8hr or the 10hr supply zones.
My confluences for the buys are as follows:
- Price has tapped into a 9hr demand zone that has caused a change of character to the upside.
- There's lots of imbalances left from the downwards push we had today so we are expecting that to get filled in.
- Liquidity that was lying underneath the consolidation has also been swept hence why we are starting to see higher highs and higher lows.
- Also for price to continue going down in a bearish trend overall I would be expecting for price to mitigate the 1.22500 level in order to continue going down.
- wyckoff accumulation is starting to unravel as price was slowing down whilst entering the zone (good sign, as the rejection indicates price wants to go back up.)
P.S. If price decides to push higher than our two supply zones and sweeps the liquidity at 1.23400 it will form a break of structure on the higher time frame indicating the trend will officially be bullish temporarily.
GBPUSD ( DAY trading with stop loss)hello dear trader
After the dollar gap is filled, you can open a buying position on the GBPUSD after confirmation in 15 minutes...
or wait for a shadow on the support leve
or wait for the price to range above buy zone
stop loss and take profit in this chart and stop loss need for any position
good luck
GBP/USD Approaches 1.2270 Ahead of PMI DataGBP/USD continues its upward momentum since Thursday, trading above the 1.2270 level in the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair receives support from the US Dollar (USD) adjustment, coupled with improved risk sentiment. Although GBP/USD started higher after testing the 1.2100 level, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart remains below 50, indicating the downward trend persists. If the pair closes below 1.2100 in the 4-hour timeframe, sellers might take action. In this scenario, the 1.2050 level (the recent low) could be the next target before 1.2000 (psychological level).
On the upside, the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) forms a dynamic resistance at 1.2150, preceding 1.2180 (SMA 100) and 1.2200 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent downtrend).
Feel free to let me know if you need further assistance or if there's anything specific you'd like to add!
GBPUSD LONG TERM BUY Trading IDEAHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the ChartS
GBPUSD Short traders looking profitable upto 1.24 {16/08/2023}Educational Analysis says GBPUSD may go Short according to my technical.
This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why Short?
Because GBPUSD Short traders have already broken the 4-hour Upward Bottom trendline and now Top Downward trendline is being respected.
Although this pair has proved that, It's Changing its character and Also Sellers proved that the Market structure shifted and eventually lead to a Break of Structure.
Analytical Trade would probably be
Sell limit order at 1.27625
Stop loss at 1.27878
Take profit at 1.24462
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS.
GBPUSD Falling Wedge BreakoutThe pair is already in an uptrend on higher time frames. We expect further upside which is signalled by the breakout of the falling wedge pattern. We can also see the formation of a new high and a breakout of a key level which further supports our directional basis. Entry on the retest of the key level.
GBPUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS-UPDATE 01/10/2023Anticipating Dollar Weakness for GBP/USD
📉 Expecting Dollar weakness to trigger a potential retracement on GBP/USD. Keep an eye on this pair for a possible pullback and correction and after we head back down following the current trend. 📈 #GBPUSD #Forex #TradingViewAnalysis
GBPUSD LONG TERM BUY IDEAHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the ChartS
GBPUSD | More Than a 1:1 Reward To Risk TradeThis is bearish potential on GBPUSD
12 hour timeframe is bearish. A new high was made on today.
Price can go lower overnight. If it does
we can adjust the take profit.
Stop loss and entry will stay the same.
Stop loss and entry are noted as
Entry: 1.21813
Stop loss: 1.22719
TP: Open but preferably the lower low after price pulls back and beyond.
You can move stop loss higher if you prefer more room for the trade to breathe.
Belief: For God did not give me a spirit of fear, but of power, love, and a sound mind.
Rather this trade wins or losses, I pray God for the opportunity.
Hey! Like the analysis. Much Love. ❤️
GBPUSD 4H (pivot price: 1.2200)
GBPUSD
stabilizing above 1.2200 will support rising to touch 1.2233 then 1.2280 then 1.2328
stabilizing under 1.2200 will support falling to touch 1.2152 then 1.2107
pivot price: 1.2200
Resistance prices: 1.2233 & 1.2280 & 1.2328
Support prices: 1.2152 & 1.2107 & 1.2035
timeframe: 4H
GBPUSD Technical Analaysis and Trade IdeaThe GBPUSD has exhibited a notable shift in behavior compared to the downtrend last week. We observed some upward momentum from Friday into Today. The critical question at hand is whether this signals the onset of a bullish or bearish week ahead.
Most recently, the cable has leaned towards a bearish bias; however, there may be room for an early-week retracement, potentially resulting in a green weekly candle. Conversely, there is a plausible argument for a bearish week ahead.
In our video analysis, we will meticulously evaluate the pros and cons, carefully weighing all factors to formulate a potential trade entry strategy, possibly during the New York Open today or even the London open tomorrow. It's important to emphasize that the content of this video is provided for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.