Gbpusd_forecast
GBP is ready to strong against USD after Fed.Hi everyone in the TradingView community. I am Rana Sarmad I like to share and talk about trading strategies. If you are a member of my subscribers list and like my ideas, please don't hesitate to let me know by hitting that Like button and growing my notification count!
We are going to discuss about FX:GBPUSD
We can see a market break its strong support in D1. but weekly candle is running and FED and GBP rates are ahead tomorrow.
So we are expecting a strong rise near support.
This is my opinion, I really hope this will be useful for you.
This is not a financial advice. Always take trade at your own risk,
Be ready and take care your money. Have a great profit !
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GBPUSD Long Term Predictions (4H Chart)Technical Analysis Summary
GBP/USD
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 1 Uptrend in green color which we are currently Breaking.
We have 1 Downtrend in red color (Long Term)
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
Yellow Levels are levels from my past ideas published or levels that were respected from the past.
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GBP/USD. Short-term recommendation - short.The GBP/USD, bounced from the low of 1.21552, reached a significant level around 1.26400. There is a rising wedge pattern, accompanied by a divergence of the MACD indicator is observed on the H4 chart. Our trading strategy indicators also show "weariness" of buyers. We expect the GBP to fall in the next few days and the working out of the wedge figure.
How to trade.
Sell GBP/USD in short with limit orders in the range of 1.26650-1.26700. Target ranges for closing trades: 1,24100-1,24200; 1,23350-1,23550; 1,21500-1,21600.
GBP/USD POSSIBLE TO SELL ........NOW
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GbpUsd- Where to sell?Since the recent 1.2180 low, GbpUsd has risen nicely and now the pair is trading at 1.2640.
However, the long-term trend for the pair is grossly bearish and the pair now is facing strong resistance at the 1.27 zone.
Also, the rise from 1.23 is contained in a rising wedge and this can lead to a reversal.
My sell zone for GbpUsd is around 1.27 with negation above 1.28 and I expect a new leg down in the near future
GBPUSD Gonna Test Bearish TrendlineHello, everyone!
From last week POUND try to pullback the bearish channel, And surely we’ve taken the bull ride! Remember market speculators are still bearish they will be adding more shorts add in pullback and there will lot of liquidity waiting 1.275xx range! So trade safely with risk management and surely with a plan!
Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
For best result in trading follow these rules for best result!
1. WHAT IS THE OVERALL TREND? PRICE ACTION WILL GIVE YOU CLUE!
2. . IS PRICE AT A LEVEL OF SUPPLY OR DEMAND (SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE)?
3. IS PRICE APPROACHING A LEVEL OF SUPPLY OR DEMAND (SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE)?
4. ARE YOU TRADING WITH THE TREND OR AGAINST THE TREND (MAKE SURE YOU ONLY TRADE AGAINST THE TREND ON THE 4HR TIME-FRAME AND ABOVE.
5. AND MUST CHECK THE DIVERGENCE.
GBPUSD and AUDUSD updated analysis todayHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD Gonna Pullback & DownMarket Price Action Structure is Key!
Technically, In weekly RSI; Its Over Sold; In Daily & 4H its strong bullish divergence!
1. Monetary Policy
At their May meeting, the BoE delivered on expectations by raising the bank rate by 25bsp to 1.0%. There was an initial hawkish surprise as the vote split was 9-0 (no dissent from Cunliffe) and 3 of the 9 MPC members voted for a 50bsp move at the meeting. However, the hawkish reaction soon faded as it was also revealed that 2 of the 6 members who voted for a hike thought that this marked the end of the current hiking cycle. The dovishness didn’t stop there though as the BoE revised up their forecasts for peak inflation to >10% which added to the stagflation fears as the bank also saw possible GDP contraction in 2023. Furthermore, the bank took their first real stab at overly aggressive STIR pricing for the 2022 rate path by saying the current path would imply a big undershoot of their 2% inflation target in 2023 and was later backed up by Governor Bailey who said even though he thought rates should continue to rise he didn’t agree with those who think the MPC should be raising interest rates by a lot more. As the bank rate was raised to 1.0%, the markets expected some clarity from the bank on their plans to reduce the balance sheet . However, the bank decided to play for more time and said the bank will provide an update on their plans at the August meeting, pushing back expectations of active QT from Q2 to Q3. As a result of the overall dovish tone, Sterling fell to its lowest levels since 1Q21. The meeting confirmed market calls that the bank would look to hold rates steady after reaching 1.50%.
2. Economic & Health Developments
With inflation the main reason for the BoE’s recent rate hikes, there is a concern that the UK economy faces stagflation risk, as price pressures stay sticky while growth decelerates. That also means that current market expectations for rates continues to look too aggressive even after the BoE’s recent push back. This means downside risks for GBP if growth data push lower and/or the BoE continue to push their recent dovish tone.
3. Political Developments
Political uncertainty is usually GBP negative, so the PM’s future remains a risk. If distrust grows question remains on whether a no-confidence vote can happen (if so, short-term downside is likely), and whether he can survive the vote (a win should be GBP positive and a loss GBP negative). The Northern Ireland protocol remains a focus, with previous UK threats to trigger Article 16 and EU threats to terminate the Brexit deal if they do. Markets have rightly ignored this as posturing, but any actual escalation can see sharp GBP downside.
1. SEE THE FUNDAMENTAL!
2. WHAT IS THE OVERALL TREND? PRICE ACTION WILL GIVE YOU CLUE!
3. IS PRICE AT A LEVEL OF SUPPLY OR DEMAND (SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE)?
4. IS PRICE APPROACHING A LEVEL OF SUPPLY OR DEMAND (SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE)?
5. ARE YOU TRADING WITH THE TREND OR AGAINST THE TREND (MAKE SURE YOU ONLY TRADE AGAINST THE TREND ON THE 4HR TIME-FRAME AND ABOVE.
6. AND MUST CHECK THE DIVERGENCE.
GBPUSDThe GBP/USD had a difficult performance in April as the strength of the US dollar continued. The pair attempted to recover on Friday but it found a strong resistance at 1.2615. It has now pulled back and moved slightly below the 25-day and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMA). The Stochastic Oscillator moved from the overbought level.
Therefore, the pair will likely keep falling as investors target last month’s low of 1.2410. It will then bounce back after the BOE decision.
GBPUSDThe British pound has had a very rough month for April, just as almost all currencies have. The only currency that seems to be doing very well is the US dollar. The Bank of England has announced that they are not willing to sell off the assets on its balance sheet, so this means that they are not quite as hawkish as the Federal Reserve. If that is going to be the case, then it makes a lot of sense that the British pound continues to fall.
The 1.25 level being pierced during the month of course is a very negative sign as well. That being said, there is a lot of noise just below and it is worth noting that the British pound is oversold. It is because of this that I think there will be a certain amount of support sooner or later, if for no other reason than we might have profit-taking. If we do get that profit-taking, then it is likely that we could see a rather significant bounce. That bounce is more likely than not going to offer a nice selling opportunity though, and therefore I will be waiting to see signs of exhaustion after that short-term rally.
The 1.30 level above should be significant resistance, as it had been significant support and resistance previously. Furthermore, there is a certain amount of psychological importance to this number, so it does come back into the picture as well. The British pound has to worry about what is going on with its energy market at home because Russia does supply the United Kingdom with quite a bit of natural gas. Furthermore, it appears that the global economies are going to be slowing down in general and that typically means that people will be looking to get US dollars.
Unless the Federal Reserve changes its overall attitude, I do not see a situation where we have the British pound taken off to the upside against the greenback. Yes, we may get the occasional rally, but I think that is all is going to be, short-term at best. The one outlier might be is if the Bank of England suddenly changes its attitude. With the inflation that we see in the United States, the Federal Reserve is looking very hawkish and probably will be for the rest of the year.
Mid term forecast of gbp/usdZEYAN here!!!!
I'm looking at the market as a bear, and as far as I can tell, in the medium term, it's more bearish then bullish
This is a general idea of how I view the market; I use algorithms to determine trend and different entry techniques; please do not take this information at face value; conduct your own research.
If you want me to analyse your charts, please let me know in the comments.
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This is not financial advice; please conduct your own research and use this information as confirmation in addition to your own analysis.
GBPUSD SHORTS 📉📉📉Expecting bearish price action on GU as we are in a bearish market strucutre from a HTF premise, price takes out 2 area of buy side liquidity and then quickly reversed with a strong bearish momentum. Market Sentiment indicator tells us that retailers are LONG on this pair and if we apply the contrarian trading approach to the markets we should look for SHORT opportunites.
What do you think ? Comment below..
Will GbpUsd break under support?Since the beginning of 2022 high of 1.37, GbpUsd is trading downwards making lower highs.
Now the pair is trading in very important 1.3 support and the pressure is clearly on the downside.
In my opinion, the pair will break this support and can drop to 1.25 in the medium term.
Sell rallies is my strategy for this pair and only the price back above 1.32 would change my bearish opinion
GBPUSD possible sell zone!!GBPUSD has already created a false breakout to the daily trend and close back below. in the new trading week, it is highly likely that it will test the weekly confluence zone will continue to fall downwards in the direction of the major trend.
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