GbpUsd can extend gainsAfter finding strong support under 1.32, GbpUsd has started its ascent and has broken above very important 1.3370 resistance.
A short period of consolidation followed with the pair trading in a small flag.
Now GBP seems ready for a new leg up and swing traders can target 1.36 very important resistance
Interim resistance is at 1.35 zone.
I'm bullish as long as the price stays above 1.3350
Gbpusd_forecast
GBPUSD LONG WITH 3 CONFLUCENCES Listed confluences:
1: Trendline Breakout
2: Inverse Head and Shoulder Pattern
3: Key Level
Summary: GBPUSD has been selling off for serval day now. We are waiting for the breakout of the key level at 1.3277** on the Daily Chart as confirmation of the trade. Trade has a potential RR OF 4.43 to 1.
We will be entering and holding this trade until around the end of the month, or until target is reached, which ever comes first. If we get stopped out we will only look at the pair next month for any new trade setups.
GbpUsd- 1.34 zone should be strong ceiling for the pairThe trend for GbpUsd is undoubtedly down, and since the 1.41 top in May, the pair has dropped around 1k pips.
At this moment the pair is in a relief rally, and this can give us the opportunity to join the trend.
In my opinion prices around 1.34 should be sold with a target in the recent's low zone
GBPUSD: Tight SqueezePrice is squeezing together between supply and demand, which side of the market is going to pop the bubble?
Personally, I would like to see some upside but I am open to trade either way.
We must not get caught up in a bias, be reactive, not predictive.
Have a great trading week team, trade cautious around the news!
GBPUSD Potential longs into 1.33550Confluences
a. Multiple rejections on Major psychological level 1.32000
4H 10 wicks
Daily - 4 wicks and 3 consecutive wicks
b. 4H Higher high
Daily - Not sure if it broke the previous structure (but broke in other markets) but it also filled two daily candlesticks that
c. 4H FIB since it s making 4H leg (bought at 50%)
GbpUsd could correct higherThe overall trend for GbpUsd is bearish, but, looking at a lower TF, we can see that the new lows from December are very close one to another giving me the idea that we can have a pause from losses.
As long as 1.3150 is acting as a floor, the pair could rise to 1.34 resistance zone
GBPUSD , We are in important support and ...Hello everybody
According to the chart you can see we are in amazing place of support zone that is heavy support from the past until now
We predict that we are going to complete trignale like our shown on chart and after that we can be ready to go up and reach to the target
But we should take signal at first then take in position but we shown all the buy zone and stop loss on chart for set and forget trader and we think in buy zone area maybe we have some stop huntering position and after that we are ready to go up and reach to the target
But guys becareful because the trend is downward and we wanna take position against of the trend
If you have any question ask us guys , send us messages in private
Good Luck
Abtin
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Stability Awaiting NewsMarkets are experiencing risk-aversion and caution due to the Omicron variant and its impact on the future of global economic recovery, with the policies of global central banks still in favor of the strength of the US dollar. The GBP/USD is testing the lower line of the bearish channel on the daily chart, trying hard to hold on to prevent further collapse. This week’s losses reached the 1.3211 support level near its lowest of the year before settling around the 1.3256 level as of this writing.
The GBP/USD pair is trying hard to stop the pace of losses. The 2021 peak was recorded on June 1 at 1.4250.
Recently, the bearish expectations for the GBP/USD pair increased. In this regard, there are expectations that the currency pair may move below the 1.3000 psychological support according to a new analysis, although another analyst at a major investment bank says that any such move will be fleeting. “GBP/USD recorded a loss of 0.82% last week, which means it has lost steam in five of the past six weeks,” says Bill McNamara, head of The Technical Trader, and that there is little to suggest that the exchange rate on close to the bottom.
"A lot of this has to do with the strength of the dollar, of course, as the US adapts to the idea of a tougher stance from the Fed," the analyst adds. The weekly chart is showing that the British Pound has fallen back to levels last seen a year ago. “Although it is now more oversold than at any time since March 2020, there is still little in the broader technical picture to indicate that it has bottomed,” he adds.
McNamara added: “The next target is at 1.315 or so, at which point it will have rebounded 38.2% of the 19-month rally; and if this level fails to hold, we may yet see a bounce back to 1.29 or so.”
On the other hand, Thomas Florey, strategic analyst at UBS, is looking for a more development-oriented step from here. He said, “The recent drop in sterling was also driven by a wave of risk aversion that has swept global markets in the wake of reports regarding the new COVID-19 variant, omicron. Unsurprisingly, the British pound fell, as it is a typical risk-taking currency and this works well when stock markets rebound and suffer when they fall.”
The strategist adds that the downward movement by GBP/USD has been more moderate than during previous episodes of Covid-induced anxiety in the past.
Markets plummeted after it was announced that a new type of Covid-19 was rapidly becoming dominant in South Africa and was already spreading across the world. Investors' reaction to risk aversion is usually offset by aggressive buying of the highly liquid dollar, but it appears that investors were already so committed to holding the dollar "so long" that what followed in fact was a central liquidation. Commenting on this, Jane Foley, FX analyst at Rabobank says, “It is interesting that the US dollar has not been a major beneficiary of the return to safe havens. Not only did the yen and the Swiss franc perform better than the dollar, but even the euro and the pound regained some gains. We strongly believe that this is due to positioning. We expect the situation to return to normal soon, and we believe that the financial markets will regain confidence, which should support a sideways path for the GBPUSD moving forward," he added.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, the general trend of the GBP/USD is still bearish. Approaching the 1.3250 support opens for further moves downward, and the next most important support levels may be 1.3190 and 1.3070, which can push the technical indicators towards strong oversold levels. On the other hand, the bulls need to reach the resistance levels 1.3385 and 1.3450 to break the current bearish channel, otherwise the general trend of the GBP/USD will remain bearish.
GBPUSD: Logic TradingAccording to my volume source, price is likely to return to the downside to close negative sell positions.
I would like to see how price reacts in the most recent supply zone before joining sellers.
If you are considering sells from this supply please be aware of the imbalance just above it, price may want to close this zone out before bears enter.
I will update this analysis in the morning for you al.
GBPUSD Long Term Predictions (4H Chart)Technical Analysis Summary
GBP/USD
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 2 Downtrend in red color (LONG TERM AND 2 INTERNAL TRENDS)
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
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GBP/USD Forex Signal: Sterling Rebound to 1.3500 LikelyUK New Omicron Cases
Omicron will be the focus among investors and policymakers this week. The new variant was announced on Friday, pushing more countries to announce restrictions from South African countries. The UK was among the first countries to announce that it will restrict travellers from South African countries.
The UK confirmed three new cases of the variant and health officials believe that the number of cases will keep rising. Other European countries like the Netherlands also confirmed new cases.
Still, the government reiterated that the country will not impose new lockdowns in its fight against the variant. In a statement, Sajid Javid, the health minister, said that the government will not impose these restrictions.
However, Boris Johnson announced that the government will add some measures to prevent the virus. They include wearing masks in public transport and in shops.
In addition to the virus situation, the GBP/USD pair will react to a number of events today. In the UK, the Bank of England (BOE) will react to the latest mortgage data. The Bank of England (BOE) will publish the latest mortgage application and approvals data.
Analysts expect the data to show that mortgage approvals fell to 71.25k, which was lower than the previous 72.65k. In total, mortgage lending declined from 9.52 billion pounds to more than 4.75 billion pounds.
The pair will also react to the latest US pending home sales numbers. Analysts expect the data to show that pending home sales rose by 1% in November. Jerome Powell will also hold a testimony in Congress.
The GBP/USD pair has been in a bearish trend lately. The pair dropped below a key support level at 1.3415, which was the lowest level in October. It also passed the support at 1.3358, which was the lowest level on November 12. It has also moved below the 25-day moving average.
Therefore, the pair will likely rebound as investors predict a relatively resilient UK economy even as the Omicron risks rise. This could see it rise to the key resistance level at 1.3500.
Bullish View
Buy the GBP/USD and set a take-profit at 1.3500.
Add a stop-loss at 1.3300.
Timeline: 1-2 days.
Bearish View
Set a sell-stop at 1.3300 and a take-profit at 1.3200.
Add a stop-loss at 1.3400.
The GBP/USD pair was little changed on Monday morning even as the UK confirmed that the Omicron variant had landed in the country. The pair is trading at 1.1335, which is a few points above the lowest level this month.
GBP/USD Analysis / RSI Divergence Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything.
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The GBP/USD pair started to recover a bit after dropping last week from 1.34932 to 1.32932 a 1.48 % decrease in value, as risk from the new COVID-19 Variant "Omicron" threats the world.
The pair is trading in a downtrend channel and has bounced back from the lower edge which could give a good buying possibility for the next period of time.
We were able to spot a Bullish RSI divergence that could be an early sign for a reversal.
Possible Scenario for the market :
The Pair is trading at 1.33511 at the time of writing. with a good Bullish candle, but most likely this will be a correction wave for the pair and not a reversal yet. The pair is bouncing back from the lower edge of the downtrend channel and the first target will probably be the first resistance level located at 1.34400 where a battle will happen between the Bears and Bulls over control. But a Bullish RSI divergence has been spotted between the market and the indicator so keep an eye open.
If the Bulls were able to keep control then we will be seeing a further push that could lead the market value up to the resistance level located at 1.35652.
If the Bears were able to regain control then a drop will happen that could lead the price to the support level located at 1.32626
Technical Indicators Show :
1) The market is below the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bearish sign)
2) The RSI is at 36.03 showing great weakness in the market and nearing the oversold zone, But a Bullish Divergence has been spotted which could be an early sign for a reversal in the trend.
3) The MACD is still below the 0 line indicating a Bearish market with a negative crossover between the MACD line and the Signal Line.
Weekly Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 1.3258 1) 1.3440
2) 1.3178 2) 1.3540
3) 1.3077 3) 1.3621
Fundamental point of view :
The GBP/USD is likely to move sideways over the near term even if the Bank of England (BoE) delivers a rate hike on Thursday, December 16.
The 2022 outlook for the UK economy appears to be challenging, amid an uneven economic recovery, Brexit frictions, and ongoing negotiations regarding the Northern Ireland protocol. These may somewhat explain the persistently low expectations of the UK’s ‘terminal’ interest rate, which makes the GBP vulnerable to a shift towards a potentially faster tightening cycle in other G10 currencies, especially the USD.
The GBP will probably also face a deteriorating current account deficit when the UK economy normalizes.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
gbpusd chance of the year gbpusd for long term , Don't miss this trade when two wolfe waves analysis meet with trend line analysis + Alligator and fractals analysis compatibility in 1 hour time frame, + weakness of dollar index + the British pound futures is at a strong daily support , This means that this deal or any deal similar to this comes once a year, and you have to seize the opportunity,Opportunity comes once and you have a choice to either take it or miss it and blame yourself, so do not miss it with total 700 pip
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