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Gbpusdanalysis

GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe British Pound gains significant traction as the UK Office for National Statistics reports a rebound in Retail Sales for July, with monthly and annual figures rising by 0.5% and 1.4% respectively. This momentum comes ahead of the Bank of England’s (BoE) crucial September monetary policy meeting, where decisions could hinge on the sharp decline in service sector inflation and a surprising drop in the Unemployment Rate, signalling an expanding economy. On the US front, jobless claims continue to fall for the second consecutive week, challenging the earlier Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data that suggested a weaker labor market. Market speculation for large rate cuts has eased, yet expectations for a dovish Federal Reserve decision in September remain strong, with policymakers signalling comfort with upcoming interest-rate cuts. With these recent developments, the GBPUSD remains in a volatile state. The rebound in UK retail sales and the positive signals from the US labor market suggests that there is potential for further gains for the British pound. However, the BoE's policy decision and the Fed's stance on interest rates will be key factors to watch in the coming weeks. How will buyers and sellers position themselves in the coming week? GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will buyers break above $1.29500 next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
Is the Rally Over? GBPUSD Peaking Is a Major Reversal Imminent?Is GBPUSD setting up for a massive reversal, or are we on the brink of one final explosive push above 1.31? We've seen quite a rally this month with GBPUSD, as it cleanly broke through the 1.30 level this week, climbing above 1.31 yesterday and hitting a 2023 high, which is now acting as resistance. So, what's next? At 1.313, we've reached last year’s high, where we previously witnessed a massive 1100-pip drop down to 1.20 in just a few months. If you look at the daily chart below, you’ll notice a rising wedge pattern has formed over the past few months. Is a SELL-OFF imminent? The current bullish move is highly overextended and extremely overbought on the higher timeframes. Zooming into the 4-hour charts, we can see clear signs of momentum slowing down as we approach this key resistance zone. In the 4-hour chart below, the highlighted area shows how momentum is fading as we near the SELL Zone, with each new push higher being sharply sold off before one final surge into the resistance area. This is a classic indication that a reversal is likely on the horizon. If you compare it to the 4-hour chart from last year’s sell-off, you’ll see the same pattern: a huge surge followed by a couple of brief pauses, then one last push into the resistance zone before selling off. Given all this, the next likely move for this pair is to the downside over the coming days or weeks. We might see one final push above 1.31, but I expect the market to sell off toward the wedge trendline around 1.28. If that level breaks, a move down toward 1.25 could be on the cards. This setup has a high probability, given the overextended upward move, extreme overbought conditions on the higher timeframes, and slowing momentum on the 4-hour charts—all occurring as we approach a significant Weekly SELL ZONE where we saw a 1100-pip move last year. I’ll be looking to sell this pair on a move above 1.31 again or on the first 4-hour signal from my TRFX indicator. Let me know what you think in the comments below :)
Short
by TheFxAce
8
GBPUSD: A Swing Buy Opportunity! DXY will be plummeted soon.FX:GBPUSD GBPUSD is far over from swing selling yet, our previous idea closed on breakeven, we now expect price to grow and grow big in soon time. However, we do not expect price to rise in days but in weeks or months we can see price to growing to newest higher high of the year. We ask all of you to maintain utmost risk management. **If you like our work then please like, comment the idea and follow us which will encourage us to bring you more content** Team SetupsFX_
Long
by Setupsfx_
16
GBPUSD: Price almost reached our buying! Time To Swing BuyFX:GBPUSD Price almost fell to our area of entry and will soon be rebounding, the main reason price dropped is strong USD data leading price to drop heavily. We expecting price to rebound strongly towards our take profit. First target can be set at 200+ pips from current price region and long target is 600+ pips. **If you like our work then please like and comment, and follow for more and it will also encourage us to bring you more content** Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
6
#GBPUSD: 500+ PIPS Buying Opportunity! FX:GBPUSD GBPUSD, price has been bullish since last two weeks since DXY is dropping. We had expected price to drop and reject at our demand zone, however, as usd started weakening our plan did not work out as we planned. Wait, for price to fall to our area of entry and then enter with the price rejection at the demand zone. **Like, comment and follow us if you like our ideas, this will support us to bring you more ideas like this** Team SetupsFX_
Long
by Setupsfx_
6
$GBPUSD | Sell Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences: - The previous Supply Zone broke and have moved up towards the next Fibo Retracement level at 100% - Stochastics have started to reversed off the Overbought conditions - Resistance Trendline present - Another Interest Zone is right above the Price Action; should see price consolidating or bounce off this zone Fundamental Confluences: - No difference from previous posting ----- Previous positioning got stopped out after market continued the Soft Landing narrative which sent the USD lower and GBP went higher. Will take a new entry here with SL levels above the Interest Zone and will consider the Support trendline and the 78.60^ Fibo levels as the starting TP levels. -----
Short
by weekendanalyst
SasanSeifi|GBP/USD on the rise?Hey there, Upon reviewing the FX:GBPUSD chart from a mid-to-long term perspective, the trend still leans towards the bullish side, with medium-to-long term targets potentially lying within the 1.32 to 1.33 range. Currently, on the 4-hour timeframe, the price is trading around the 1.30300 level. Possible Scenarios: In the current situation, if the price continues to be supported by strong demand and breaks above 1.30600 with confirmation, short-term targets of 1.31 to 1.31400 could be in sight. This could lead to the formation of a new high above the 1.30500 level. To better understand the continuation of this trend, it is crucial to monitor how the price reacts to these short-term targets. Should the price encounter resistance and fail to hold above 1.30600, we might see a pullback to the levels of 1.29700, 1.29500, or even 1.29. 💢 Please remember that this is just my personal viewpoint and should not be taken as investment advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and share opinions! Happy trading!✌😎 Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!✌
Long
by SasanSeifi
1
GBPUSD 1.30069 + 0.15% WEEKLY MULTI TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS Hope everyone is doing great 📌 A look at The CABLE from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS GBPUSD WEEKLY TF * With a bullish run last week, looking for continuation towards ERL. * With this weeks Bullish run open, an last weeks bullish run we could see continuation wuth the 🐮. * The weekly & daily TF show we are still showing signs of a bullish move. * Not sure of a reversal before continuation. * But looking from the DAILY this might be possible. DAILY TF * Looking for the take of thatExternal range LQ. * opening this week Bullish might be a confirmation of this bearish move. * With PO3 looking to opening bullish this week to confirm a move higher into premium PD ARRAYS. GBPUSD 4H TF * Sentiment remains on the 4H a sweep of the highs and signs of reversal stands bearish. * 4H lookin for a push into the ERL (po3) to sell intraday . GBPUSD 1H TF * Still on that rally with the bulls, strong momentum to the upside ON the 1H. * Looking at the 1H LQ, this is where I would look for shorts entries this week. * Should this PD ARRAY hold will be Short for the GBPUSD intraday. * BASED on the price action served this week... * We will see what does the market dish. 🤷‍♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈 HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK. SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS. IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT. ALWAYS APPRECIATED ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤ LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Long
by PULEMokhothu
4
GBP/USD imminent shorts back down or sell from 1.30000My analysis for GBP/USD (GU) this week is bearish due to the current mitigation of the daily supply zone. As price is within this zone, I will be looking for price to distribute and then enter short-term sells. Since price is already in the zone but hasn't yet touched the refined zones, I may wait for price to mitigate deeper. Around the 1.30000 mark, there's a refined supply on the 19-hour time frame. From there, it would be a more ideal place to sell. If price starts to sell off from this level, I will target the next demand zone, allowing me to buy back up again since the current trend is still bullish. Confluences for GBP/USD Sells are as follows: Price has been very bullish recently, and bullish pressure is getting exhausted. There is a strong supply zone on the higher time frame sitting at a psychological level. Price has left a lot of imbalances and liquidity below that needs to be addressed. This outlook aligns with the expectation of the DXY increasing slightly. P.S. If price doesn't sell off on Monday, I can expect price to consolidate a little and push a bit higher to mitigate the daily supply zone more deeply.
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD analysis week 34Fundamental Analysis The British pound (GBP) outperformed its major peers in New York trading on Friday. The British currency gained significantly as the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that retail sales rebounded in July, as expected, after a sharp decline in June. Retail sales are a key gauge of consumer spending. Strong consumer demand tends to drive inflationary pressures in the economy, so the data could dampen expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will opt to cut interest rates again in September. The BoE's next monetary policy meeting in September could also be a tough call. UK service sector inflation fell sharply in July as wage growth slowed. However, the latest labor market data also showed a surprising drop in the Unemployment Rate and the economy is clearly on the path of expansion. Technical Analysis GBPUSD continues to trade in an ascending channel with the nearest support and resistance in the price range at 1.286 and 1.300 after posting a strong gain on Friday. On the H4 timeframe, the EMA 34 has crossed well above the EMA 89, indicating a strong bullish market structure, with the upside momentum heading towards last month’s high resistance around 1.304. On the other hand, any daily close below the 1.286 support would not confirm a bearish reversal. The pair needs to break the support level of 1.280 to really break the bullish structure on the current chart. RSI reaches the overbought level, indicating that the bullish momentum will continue in the early days of next week Resistance: 1.300-1.304 Support: 1.286-1.280 Trading signal SELL GBPUSD 1.303-1.305 SL 1.307 BUY GBPUSD 1.287-1.285 SL 1.283
by TVS-Trader
GBPUSD turning around … the week of 12 Aug, 2024Let us start with the USDX (Dollar index). Check out both the H4 and Daily chart. Strongly bearish is what I conclude. This opens up several pairs that can provide good trades next week. Let us look at a bullish scenario for GBPUSD. On the daily, we can see that until 3 days ago, this pair was bearish but is showing bullish signs now. The H4 chart, shows that a base has formed in the 1.267 region and price has crossed over above the 20ema. Price action is inline with a bullish move and corelates nicely with a bearish USD. I will be monitoring this pair (and others) for further weak USD evidence and then take a trade. A retracement to the 20ema or the base (double bottom) area would provide good locations for stop placement. However, if a move to the downside continues and that base is convincingly broken, that would negate my analysis. This is not a trade recommendation. You should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Long
by Trading_Vista
2
GBPUSD ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 4H )GBPUSD HELLO TRADERS Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 1.293 . Turning Level: The price is currently trading below this level around 1.293 . As long as it remains stable and stays below this level, a drop toward the support level (1) is likely . However, if the price breaks above this level and a 4-hour candle closes above it, an upward move toward the resistance level (1) can be expected. Resistance Level (1): around 1.298 , The price is currently below turning level . To reach this level, the price needs to break and close a four-hour candle above the turning level at 1.293. If the price reaches 1.298 , and stabilizes above it, it will likely attempt to reach resistance level (2) . Resistance Level (2): When the price breaks through Resistance Level (1) and closes a 4-hour candle above it, this suggests it could reach around 1.303 . To confirm an uptrend, the price needs to reach this level before moving on to Resistance Level (3) at 1.309 . Support Level (1): As long as the price remains below the turning level of 1.293, it suggests a drop towards 1.283 . If the price reaches this level and stabilizing below it, it will likely attempt to reach Support Level (2). Support Level (2): When the price breaks through support level(1)and closes a 4-hour candle below it, this suggests it could reach around 1.275 . To confirm a downtrend , the price needs to reach this level before decline on to support Level (3 )at 1.268 . Channel Trend: the trading rate within the ascending channel. TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.298 ,1.303 ,1.309 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.283 , 1.275 , 1.268 .
Short
by ArinaKarayi
DeGRAM | GBPUSD double bottomGBPUSD is moving under an ascending channel between the trend lines. The structure of the uptrend is not broken. The price has reached the dynamic support and is still near the support level, which coincides with the correction level. When trying to test the support, the chart formed a double bottom. We expect the price to bounce off the support. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
4
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe British Pound (GBP) has been on a rough ride lately, closing out its fifth consecutive week in the red. But a late-week rally brought some hope, pulling the GBP/USD back from its lowest point in five months. Now, all eyes are on the upcoming week, which is packed with key economic data and a crucial Fed decision. In this video, we'll analyze the GBP/USD currency pair, examining the potential for a bullish rebound in light of the upcoming economic releases and the Fed's likely rate cut. With the Federal Reserve's September meeting on the horizon, investors are keenly focused on the potential for a rate cut. Current rate markets have priced in the beginning of a rate cut cycle, with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) expected to meet on September 18. Although the probability of a 50 basis point cut was previously high, expectations have adjusted slightly. According to the CME’s FedWatch Tool, there is now a 53.5% chance of a 50 bps cut in September, with further cuts anticipated later in 2024. Next week’s economic calendar is packed with key data. On Tuesday and Wednesday, we’ll receive the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation reports, which could provide crucial insights into market direction. Additionally, US Retail Sales and updates from the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Survey will offer more context for economic trends. Given these developments, the big question is: will the British Pound be able to maintain its bullish momentum as we head into the new week? Join us as we dive into the charts, analyze the current market conditions, and discuss potential trading opportunities. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound maintain buying pressure above $1.27500 and the ascending trendline next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry