GBPUSD TRADE IDEA / POTENTIAL LONG OPPORTUNITYHello Traders!
I'm currently seeking a long position opportunity on GBPUSD. The price has reached a pivotal resistance level, and I'm forecasting a bullish breakout with a target set at 1.27200. I wait for a correction movement in the dollar index before executing this trade.
I consider the FVG a good entry point for a long position. In case of confirmation, I will execute this trade.
Gbpusdanalysis
GBPUSD: Fed Chairman KC Schmid: Current US monetary policy is apComments on Friday from Fed Chairman KC:
Encouraging patience with interest rates until inflation declines markedly to 2%
Economic growth is creating uncertainty about monetary policy
Inflation remains high
The employment sector remains strong
Wage increases indicate an imbalance in the labor market
Want to see the Fed balance sheet shrink
GBPUSD Analysis (Read The Caption) 🎯🎯GBPUSD price trend to continue buy during session
It is expected that price will continue up trend
And approach the price range of 1.24273
GBPUSD price now 1.24273
TP1: 1.25270
TP2: 1.26281
TP3: 1.27196
Target zone 1.28000
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GBPUSD - Scenario for a sell ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional mid figure 1.26500.
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GBPUSD: Anticipating a Bullish Draw On Liquidity (m15)At present, the GBPUSD has triggered discount sell stops on the m15 timeframe and reached the m15 bullish order block. I anticipate a bullish pull towards the m15 buy stops and a movement towards the h1 bearish order block to fill the current liquidity void.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
DeGRAM | GBPUSD rebound from supportGBPUSD continues to move in the descending channel after rebounding from the support level.
The chart formed a bullish takeover near the support level.
The fall that occurred after the formation of two tops reached the level coinciding with the fibbonacci retracement level.
We expect a rebound to the retracement level after retesting the nearest support level.
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Last chance for the GBP/USD bulls, key S/R levelsHello traders, GBP/USD has fallen massively post the US CPI data release last week. While I expected price to fall upto the 1.2520 zone, I did not expect the 1.12520 horizontal support
to break down.
Looking at the chart, we can plot a price channel and currently, the price seems to be at the lower trend line of the price channel. So, in my opinion, this is the last level which the bulls must defend.
If the 1.2440 level holds, then we can consider buying GBP/USD@1.2440-1.2460 with targets at
1.2520 and 1.2580 respectively.
GBPUSD: Potential Buy Opportunity in London SessionCurrently, I'm observing a resistance point that the m15 timeframe is likely to approach which has m15 premium Buy Stops which is my Draw On Liquidity. Price is currently situated at an m15 mitigation block, which could serve as a strong support zone for the market to advance further.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
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GBPUSD → Trade Analysis | BUY SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY . GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GBPUSD
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GBPUSD I It will correct upward Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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GBPUSD Longs from 1.24000 up towards 1.25500This week, my bias for GBPUSD is to pursue buying opportunities to address significant imbalances above and to target the recent supply zone. Given the proximity of price to my 10-hour demand zone, I anticipate a temporary bullish move toward the supply area. With price currently exhibiting slower movement, I'll wait for an accumulation phase to develop before entering buy positions.
Once in buys, I aim to drive price up toward the 18-hour supply zone, where I'll consider selling positions to capitalize on the pronounced bearish trend. While the trend is strongly bearish at present, I expect a pullback to occur before initiating any actions in line with this strategy.
Confluences for GU Buys are as follows:
- Price left so many imbalances above that need to be filled.
- In order for price to continue the bearish trend price must pullback up
- Approaching a really nice 10hr demand that has caused a BOS to the upside.
- DXY is also near a good supply zone so could expect the dollar to drop a bit this week.
P.S. If price breaks below the 10-hour demand zone, which I anticipate holding, there is a robust daily demand level below that. However, if this scenario does not materialize, I will simply wait for a pullback to consider potential selling opportunities.
Have a great trading week ahead guys!
GBPUSD H4 FORECASTIt seems like you're making a bullish forecast for the GBP/USD currency pair, indicating an expectation that the British pound will strengthen against the US dollar. There could be various reasons behind such a forecast, including economic data, geopolitical events, or technical analysis indicators. Is there anything specific you're basing this forecast on, or do you want to discuss factors that could influence the GBP/USD exchange rate?
GBP-USDThe gbpusd pair breaks his support level which is 1.25200. The market creates a higher low structure. Daily candle body closed below the 1.2500 level, the market gave some retracement and then downward to the 1.2200 level which is an order blocker. If there is no stop then the higher support and demand area is 1.2100.
Future Forecast for GBPUSD== KEY TAKEWAYS ==
+ There were four-month lows for the pound sterling relative to the US dollar.
+ It appears that GBP/USD will be vulnerable coming up to UK inflation week.
+ The pound sterling maintains its bearish technical indication target at 1.2400.
The US dollar (USD) continued to lose ground against the pound sterling (GBP), causing the GBP/USD pair to drop below 1.2500 for the first time in four months.
The pound sterling continues to decline.
GBP/USD sellers made a strong comeback this week following a respectable recovery in the earlier part of the week due to renewed demand for the US Dollar. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and expectations surrounding the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy turn contributed to the Greenback's rise to its highest level against its main peers in five months, above 105.00.
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI), the week's primary event risk, came in hotter than anticipated, dashed hopes for a June Fed rate cut. According to data provided by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Wednesday, the US CPI increased 0.4% MoM in March, exceeding predictions of 0.3%. In the same time frame, the Monthly Core CPI increased by 0.4% as well, exceeding estimates of 0.3%. Against the 3.4% market estimate, the yearly headline CPI increased by 3.5%.
Compared to the around 52% odds observed prior to the data release, markets are now pricing in only a 22% possibility of the Fed cutting rates in June. There is a 70% chance that the Fed will decrease rates during its September meeting.
The rationale for delaying the Fed's policy change was further reinforced by the hot US core Producer Price Index (PPI) for March, hawkish remarks from a number of Fed policymakers, and the minutes of the Fed's March meeting. All of these factors combined to keep inflation high despite a robust economy.
The US and its allies believe major missile or drone strikes by Iran or its proxies against military and government targets in Israel are imminent, in what would mark a significant widening of the six-month-old conflict, according to a Wednesday Bloomberg report that cited people familiar with the intelligence.
Concurrently, Russia, Germany, and the United Kingdom united on Thursday to urge Middle Eastern nations to exercise moderation, particularly in light of the growing danger of an impending Iranian attack on Israel. Israel declared that it was getting ready to "meet all its security needs" in case Iran launched an airstrike.
This comes after Iran threatened to exact revenge for the airstrike that killed a senior Iranian general and six other Iranian military officers on April 1st at its embassy compound in Damascus, Syria, raising tensions that were already high due to the Gaza conflict.
Severe geopolitical concerns continued to hurt the safer-haven US dollar while strengthening the higher-yielding pound sterling. However, Megan Greene, a policymaker at the Bank of England (BoE), gave some consolation to the British Pound with her hawkish remarks. Greene hinted on Thursday that rate cuts from the BoE are still a ways off, saying that "UK services inflation remains much higher than in the US."
In the face of persistent US Dollar strength on Friday, GBP/USD remained susceptible despite a slight recovery from four-month lows of 1.2511. The solid industrial data for February and the UK GDP, which was estimated to be in line with expectations, did not inspire the buyers of pound sterling.
Following a 0.3% recovery in January, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its most recent figures on Friday, indicating that the UK economy grew by 0.1% in February. In the stated period, a 0.1% expansion was anticipated by the market. According to additional UK data, February saw monthly increases in manufacturing and industrial production of 1.2% and 1.1%, respectively.
The week ahead: UK CPI remains on tap
After a hectic week, traders of the pound sterling are getting ready for a data-light week, with the UK CPI inflation report for March serving as the sole major event.
On Wednesday, the inflation statistics will be made public. Prior to that, policymaker Sarah Breeden of the BoE will speak earlier that day, while the US docket will include the March Retail Sales report on Monday.
Tuesday is when the UK jobs data is expected to be released. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey is scheduled to appear at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Spring Meetings later that day.
On Wednesday, Bailey will talk once more at the Institute of International Finance Global Outlook Forum.
The US weekly Jobless Claims and the Existing Home Sales figures for March will be released on Thursday.
Lastly, following the publication of the UK Retail Sales figures for March, BoE officials Dave Ramsden and Sarah Breeden will make their scheduled appearances on Friday.
Additionally, market participants will be keenly examining the remarks made by Fed policymakers to see if they support the bets on postponed rate decreases.
GBP/USD: Technical Outlook
Technically speaking, the short-term outlook for GBP/USD is still bearish as sellers attempt to prolong the decline from the rising channel that was seen a few weeks ago.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is still susceptible to further falls because it is still below the midline, close to 40.00.
The sellers of pound sterling produced a long-lasting breach below the 200-day SMA, which is horizontal and located around 1.2584, supporting the bearish bias.
In order to continue the decline toward the low of 1.2449 on November 22, sellers must establish a firm foothold below the 1.2500 round number. The lows of November 16 and 17 line at 1.2375, which is the location of the next significant support.
Alternatively, the short-term selling pressure may lessen if buyers are able to consistently close above the 200-day SMA at 1.2584.
A significant rebound in the GBP/USD pair might then occur, heading toward the confluence resistance zone between the 1.2650 and 1.2670 area. The convergence of the 21-day, 50-day, and 100-day SMAs is located there.
For buyers of pound sterling, the rising channel support that turned resistance at 1.2790 will be a difficult nut to crack further up.
GbpUsd could dive at least 500 pips if not even moreFor nearly six months, the price action of FX:GBPUSD has been rather dull, to say the least, with the pair confined within a 250-pip range. This stagnation is particularly notable for a pair as volatile as the cable.
However, upon examining a weekly chart, we can draw some conclusions and gain perspective on potential future movements. Three factors lead me to believe that a drop of at least 500 pips is in the cards for GBP/USD:
1. We've witnessed a false breakout to the upside, and typically, in the case of false breakouts, the asset tends to break in the opposite direction.
2. It's highly likely that this week will conclude with a bearish engulfing pattern on our chart.
3. Although not textbook-perfect, the structure of the last six months resembles a head and shoulders pattern.
Considering these factors collectively, I anticipate a downward break, with the initial support just above 1.2 coming into focus.
P.S: Given the pair's volatility and prolonged range-bound trading, in the event of a downward break, the movement could be quite violent. I wouldn't be surprised if we see a drop of 1,000 pips.
GBP/USD back to support level, time to buy?Hello traders, in my yesterday's GBP/USD analysis published 2 hours before the US CPI data release, I predicted that GBP/USD will most likely fall towards the support level near 1.2550. (previous idea attached below)
As you can see, GBP/USD is back to the support zone, price went as low as 1.2520. So, I am looking at the possibility of a buy entry here. If price doesn't break this support zone, I would recommend buying GBP/USD@1.2520-1.2545, with Stop loss below 1.2480 and TP at 1.2660 and 1.2710