Gbpusdanalysis
GBPUSD UPDATES
Previous idea on charts is looking good 270pips downward. now I am expecting a retracement for atleast 50% since the down. target only 170pips upward. since we have CPI, I expect a positive on a dollar, then drop first before it rise up.
This is not a financial advice.
This is only base on 50% premium/discount strategy retracement!
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#GBPUSD 4HOn the GBP/USD 1-hour chart, the price has bounced off a key support level, indicating a potential bullish reversal. The support bounce suggests that buyers are stepping in at this level, preventing further decline and possibly initiating an upward move.
Forecast: Buy
A buy opportunity is expected as the price rebounds from support. Traders may consider entering a long position with the anticipation that the price will move higher, targeting nearby resistance levels. It’s important to monitor price action for confirmation that the support is holding, as a breakdown below the level could invalidate the buy setup.
Bullish Bias with Key Drivers on GBPUSD market for 10/10/2024.Today, October 10, 2024, we anticipate a slight bullish bias for the GBPUSD pair, driven by several fundamental factors and market conditions. Traders looking to capitalize on today's moves in the GBP/USD pair should pay attention to these key economic drivers:
Key Drivers Supporting GBPUSD Bullish Bias:
1. UK Economic Data: Strong GDP and Employment Figures
Recently released data from the UK indicates that its economy continues to recover strongly. The GDP growth rate has exceeded market expectations, suggesting that the British economy is expanding at a faster pace than anticipated. Additionally, the UK's employment figures have shown resilience, with unemployment remaining low and wage growth supporting consumer spending.
Keywords: UK GDP growth, UK employment, British economy recovery, GBP bullish, UK wage growth
2. Hawkish Bank of England Stance
The Bank of England (BoE) has maintained a hawkish stance in recent months, signaling potential interest rate hikes to combat rising inflation. The BoE’s monetary policy outlook is a key driver for the British Pound's strength, as higher interest rates tend to support the currency. With UK inflation still above target, traders are expecting the central bank to continue tightening its policy, adding support to the GBP.
Keywords: Bank of England, BoE hawkish, UK interest rate hikes, GBPUSD support, UK inflation, British Pound outlook
3. US Dollar Weakness Amid Dovish Fed Tone
On the other side of the equation, the US Dollar has shown signs of weakness due to the Federal Reserve's more dovish tone recently. The Federal Reserve has hinted at a potential pause in interest rate hikes as inflation in the US shows signs of cooling down. A dovish Fed typically weighs on the USD, providing further upside potential for the GBPUSD pair.
Keywords: USD weakness, Federal Reserve dovish, Fed interest rates, US Dollar vs Pound, USD softening
4. Brexit Resolution and Trade Balance Improvements
In addition to economic data, the UK's post-Brexit trade balance has seen gradual improvements, and the resolution of trade agreements has eased investor concerns. As trade relations stabilize, this adds another layer of support to the British Pound. Markets are slowly pricing in this long-term structural improvement in the UK's trade outlook.
Keywords: Brexit resolution, UK trade balance, GBPUSD strength, post-Brexit trade relations
Market Sentiment & Technical Outlook
Technically, GBPUSD has found strong support around the 1.2150 level, which could act as a launching point for further gains. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also showing signs of a potential upward reversal from oversold levels, aligning with the fundamental drivers for the day. Traders may watch for breakouts above the 1.2200 resistance level to confirm bullish momentum.
Keywords: GBPUSD technical analysis, GBPUSD support and resistance, RSI oversold, GBPUSD trend reversal, technical outlook GBPUSD
Conclusion
Given the robust UK economic data, the hawkish stance of the Bank of England, coupled with US Dollar weakness, and an improving post-Brexit trade scenario, the outlook for the GBPUSD pair remains slightly bullish today. While geopolitical risks or unforeseen developments could impact the currency pair, the current market conditions favor upside potential for GBPUSD.
Traders should keep a close eye on upcoming US inflation data, as this could introduce volatility, but for now, the GBPUSD seems poised for moderate gains.
Keywords: GBPUSD forecast, GBPUSD outlook, GBPUSD bullish bias, GBPUSD analysis, GBPUSD trading strategy, GBPUSD live price, GBP/USD forex trading, currency pair analysis, forex today
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This analysis provides insight into why GBPUSD may exhibit a bullish bias today, supported by both fundamental and technical factors. For more in-depth analysis, check out our latest updates and live market commentary on TradingView.
Keywords: GBPUSD live update, forex market analysis, daily forex analysis, currency trading, GBPUSD live analysis TradingView
Slightly Bullish Bias Expected on GBPUSD today 09/10/2024.GBPUSD Analysis for 09/10/2024: Slightly Bullish Bias Expected
In today's analysis of GBPUSD, the currency pair is showing signs of a potential slightly bullish bias based on the latest fundamental factors and current market conditions. As of 09/10/2024, several key drivers are influencing the market, pointing toward a moderate upside for the British Pound (GBP) against the US Dollar (USD). Here's a breakdown of the fundamental and technical factors that could contribute to this outlook.
Fundamental Factors Supporting Bullish Bias
1. Improved UK Economic Data
Recent data from the UK, particularly in sectors such as manufacturing and services, have shown resilience despite broader global economic challenges. The UK Services PMI reported a higher-than-expected reading, signaling growth in the sector, which is a positive indicator for GBP. Additionally, consumer confidence in the UK has remained relatively stable, offering further support to the Pound.
2. Bank of England (BoE) Policy Outlook
The Bank of England's latest statements suggest that while inflation remains a concern, the central bank may adopt a more cautious approach to tightening. This is in contrast to the more aggressive stance of the Federal Reserve, which is already priced into the market. A less hawkish BoE stance could provide upward pressure on GBPUSD, especially if traders believe the BoE may slow down rate hikes earlier than anticipated.
3. US Dollar Weakness
On the other side of the pair, the US Dollar has shown signs of weakness amid lower-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data released last Friday. This has led to speculation that the Federal Reserve might pause its interest rate hikes, dampening demand for the USD. The weakening US Dollar adds to the bullish bias for GBPUSD.
Technical Outlook for GBPUSD on 09/10/2024
- Support and Resistance Levels
GBPUSD is currently trading near key support at 1.2150, with the next major resistance level around 1.2250. If the pair breaks above this resistance, it could signal further upside potential, reinforcing the slightly bullish outlook for the day.
- Moving Averages
On the technical side, the 50-day Moving Average (MA) is gradually turning upwards, indicating positive momentum for the pair. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also hovering near the neutral 50 level, suggesting that there is room for further gains before the pair becomes overbought.
Geopolitical Factors and Market Sentiment
- Global Risk Sentiment
Market sentiment has leaned slightly towards risk-on, with investors showing a renewed appetite for riskier assets such as equities. This shift has seen traders pull back from the safe-haven USD, benefiting risk-sensitive currencies like GBP. As long as global geopolitical tensions remain stable and there are no major risk-off events, the Pound could continue to benefit.
Conclusion
In conclusion, based on the current economic landscape, GBPUSD is showing signs of a slight bullish bias on 09/10/2024. Key drivers such as positive UK economic data, a potentially cautious BoE, and a weakening US Dollar are aligning to support an upside move in the pair. However, traders should remain cautious and watch for any unexpected shifts in global market sentiment or central bank policies that could impact this outlook.
For those looking to trade GBPUSD today, it may be worth considering potential entry points around the 1.2150 support level, targeting the 1.2250 resistance, with appropriate risk management strategies in place.
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CAD/JPY Trade Setup 1 hour timeframe On the 1 hour timeframe CAD JPY has formed a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern.
The price is currently at the right shoulder which is our entry level, we need to wait for candlesticks confirmation from this level before taking our sell. ⏰
Note: This pattern was formed in a Daily resistance level.
GBPUSD: Setting Up For A Nice Buy Are Bulls gearing up for the next rally? Waiting to BUY...
Looking for one more push down to retest the bullish OB or previous low at MQP 1.3000.
Buy limit @ 1.30412
SL 1.29811
TP1 1.30612
TP2 1.30912
TP3 1.31412
TP4 1.32412
Remember we want to be less predictive and more reactive. So let's wait for our bullish entry confirmations.
GBPUSD Analysis: Slightly Bullish Bias on 08/10/2024.In today's analysis of the GBPUSD pair, we anticipate a slightly bullish bias driven by a combination of fundamental and technical factors. As we move through the trading session on 08/10/2024, traders are closely monitoring key economic releases and geopolitical developments that are expected to influence market sentiment. Let’s explore the primary drivers behind this expected bullish movement.
Key Fundamental Drivers
1. Hawkish Sentiment from the Bank of England (BoE)
The recent comments from the Bank of England (BoE) officials have been hawkish, signaling that further rate hikes could be on the horizon to combat inflation. With UK inflation remaining above target levels, the BoE's focus on tightening monetary policy to bring it down is a key factor supporting the British Pound (GBP). The market is pricing in the possibility of at least one more rate hike in the near future, which adds upward pressure on GBPUSD.
2. US Dollar Weakness Amid Softening Data
The US Dollar (USD) has been showing signs of weakness as recent economic data from the US indicates a slowdown in key sectors, particularly the labor market and consumer spending. The Non-Farm Payrolls report released last week missed expectations, leading to speculation that the Federal Reserve may pause rate hikes sooner than anticipated. This dovish sentiment surrounding the Fed provides a tailwind for GBPUSD, as a weaker USD makes the pair more attractive for buyers.
3. Political Stability in the UK
Political stability in the UK, especially in comparison to the uncertainties in the US, has helped maintain investor confidence in the British Pound. The UK government’s recent fiscal policy announcements have been well-received by markets, with investors expecting that these measures will support economic growth, adding strength to GBP in the short term.
4. UK Economic Data
Today’s release of the UK’s GDP data will be crucial in setting the tone for GBPUSD. Positive GDP growth figures are expected to fuel further optimism around the British economy, reinforcing the bullish momentum for the Pound. Additionally, the services sector PMI data coming in stronger than forecasted last week suggests that the UK economy is performing better than many of its European counterparts.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, GBPUSD is trading above its 50-day moving average, which is a bullish signal. The pair is also hovering near a key support level of 1.2150, and as long as this level holds, we could see further upside potential. RSI indicators also suggest that the pair is not yet overbought, leaving room for additional gains throughout the trading day.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Support Level: 1.2150
- Resistance Level: 1.2275
A break above the 1.2275 resistance level could signal further upward momentum, pushing GBPUSD towards 1.2300 in the near term.
Conclusion: Slightly Bullish Bias for GBPUSD
In conclusion, based on today’s fundamental factors and market conditions, we anticipate a slightly bullish bias for GBPUSD. With hawkish sentiment from the BoE, weakening USD, and positive economic data from the UK, traders can expect the pair to inch higher as the day progresses. Keeping an eye on key levels and economic releases will be crucial for capturing potential trading opportunities.
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GBPUSD - Look for Reversal Long (INTRADAY) 1:4!A similar setup could be forming in GBPUSD, where we might catch a few pips on a buy once the price reaches the Demand Zone. Let's monitor how the market responds to this setup.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
GBPUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 The GBPUSD has been experiencing downward pressure lately, which may offer a potential short-term day trading opportunity. In this video, we'll take a detailed look at the price action, review the current trend and market structure, and explore a possible trade setup. Disclaimer: Forex trading involves substantial risk, and market conditions can shift quickly. The content provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📉✅
Will GBP Drop Further? Bearish Pressure Mounts Near Key LevelThe British Pound (GBP) continues to face downside pressure near the key level of 1.3100 against the US Dollar (USD) during Monday’s London session. The GBP/USD pair remains under strain as the US Dollar holds firm, near a seven-week high, bolstered by strong Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for September, released last Friday. This robust US labor market performance has further supported the dollar's strength.
In our previous analysis, we closed our positions on this pair (view chart below):
GBP/USD Previous Forecast.
Bearish Sentiment: Continuation or Reversal?
Looking ahead, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that retail traders remain heavily on the bearish side, which adds weight to the possibility of further downside pressure. While there is no immediate position to open, we will be closely monitoring market developments.
Given the fundamental outlook, our attention will turn to a potential long position if the price retraces to our identified Demand area. Until then, we remain cautious, awaiting clearer signals for a possible entry point as the market evolves.
Conclusion
With the US Dollar's recent strength driven by solid economic data, the GBP/USD pair continues to hover near critical levels. While the current sentiment leans bearish, we will keep a close watch on fundamental shifts and technical signals to reassess future trade opportunities.
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GBPUSD British pound Bullish Week**British pound GBP Value Correlation to USD
>We are now in the Oversold region Signaling for a bullish trend week.
Note: Every time we get Oversold Readings (Green Vertical Lines) we always get a Bullish Move
**Election Year Seasonality forecast
>Bullish until early next Week.
Technicals:
>Price already tested the Daily Supply Zone last Friday, preparing for a Bullish Week ahead.
>Price could reach to the opposing Supply Zone that initiated the bearish imbalance.
OTHERS:
>Scalpers can ride the bullish trending week
>Long term traders can position for a Sell for next week or position a Long trade at Supply for a retest.
***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
GBPUSD UPDATES FOR MONTHLYFOr swing trades, we wait below the monthly open. trade at your own risk.
This is only my view, This week we have more high impact news. FOMC.JOLTS. ISM. ADP NONFARM AND NFP.
So basically this idea trick the bulls/longs. I preferred buy the lows of monthly open on sept.
THis idea also triggered downtrend this week. trade only once you understand the order flow of the market.
Follow for more/
I made a copytrades base on my trading/ come and check me out.
This is not a financial advice. trading are for risk takers.
take a manageable risk base on your own equity.
GBPUSD Ready for a breakthroughHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBPUSD - Upside move !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. Price rejected from bullish OB + level 1.31000, as well we have hidden divergence.
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GBP/USD -So Interesting.. If you are a bit observant you will notice that it has just made an accelerated movement!!! (momentum)
We are waiting for the movement to return to its point of origin, taking advantage of a few good pips of fall :)
We have two possible scenarios for the fulfillment of the set up..
(it is time to adapt to the market)
If you liked it, don't forget to follow me and leave your like!!
GBPUSD Analysis Week 41Fundamental Analysis
The British Pound (GBP) slipped below the round-figure support of 1.3100 against the US Dollar (USD) in New York trading on Friday. The GBP/USD pair extended its losing streak for a fourth session as market expectations for a 50 basis point (bps) rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) fell again following the release of the upbeat US (US) Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report for September.
The CME FedWatch tool showed that the odds of a further 75 basis points (bps) rate cut by the Fed by the end of the year were all but gone after the US NFP data.
Dovish comments from Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey triggered a sell-off in the British Pound early on Thursday. In the second half of the day, the US Dollar (USD) remained strong and did not allow GBP/USD to recover after the September ISM Services PMI Index reached 54.9, surpassing the market expectation of 51.7.
Technical Analysis
Late Friday, GBPUSD recovered slightly to 1.311 after the NonFarm news release. For now, the trading range will be contained within the range of the H4 candle, also known as the main candle, with a price range of 1.317-1.307. Next week, pay attention to strong support and resistance zones to have the best trading strategy for yourself. The bottom zone of the previous month around 1.301 will be the main BUy zone for next week. The breakout zone of 1.323 coincides with the intersection of the two EMA lines, accumulating a large number of sellers waiting.
Trading Signals
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.323-1.325 Stoploss 1.327
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.301-1.299 Stoploss 1.297
#GBPUSD 4HGBP/USD (4H) Buy Opportunity:
The GBP/USD pair is in an uptrend on the 4-hour chart. If the price breaks through the first resistance zone, there’s potential for a continuation toward the second zone. The uptrend is supported by bullish price action, higher lows, and strong momentum indicators like RSI.
Trade Idea: Enter a buy position on a confirmed breakout of the 1st zone, with a stop loss below the breakout level and target set at the 2nd zone.
GBPUSD → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone
GBPUSD moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level..
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
GBP/USD "CABLE" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideHallo My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
This is our master plan to Heist GBP/USD "CABLE" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe GBP/USD hit its highest level against the US dollar in over two and a half years, and traders are closely watching for what's next. In this video, we break down the fundamental and technical factors driving the pair’s performance. With the Bank of England expected to move more slowly than the Federal Reserve on rate cuts, the pound is gaining an edge, though momentum has stalled at the $1.34350 resistance zone. Meanwhile, US inflation data shows signs of slowing, but this hasn't solidified expectations for a big rate cut from the Fed in November.
In this video, I walk you through the key technical structure that could guide trading decisions for the week ahead.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will buyers maintain momentum above $1.33700 next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GbpUsd breaks important confluence supportIn my analysis last week, I mentioned that for GBP/USD to maintain its upward momentum, bulls would need to push the price above the key resistance level at 1.3420. However, they were unable to clear that level, and the pair has since experienced a decline.
Interestingly, as I was writing this update, a significant break occurred below a confluence of support levels, which has now turned the outlook bearish. As things stand, the market sentiment appears to favor further downside for GBP/USD.
As long as the 1.33 level holds, the likelihood of more losses remains high, with 1.30 potentially becoming a target for the bears. Given this bearish setup, my current strategy is to sell into rallies, anticipating further downward movement in the pair.
In summary, the failure to break through resistance and the subsequent breach of key support levels suggest that GBP/USD is poised for further declines unless the market shows signs of recovery above the 1.33 level.