The GBP didn't short itself. If one would have checked the recent flightlogs of the GBP performance he might have been astounded what he would discover:
GBP emerges from the first trading week of the year as the strongest currency and the signs look great for a further rally of the pound:
🟢GBP Positive:🟢
- 🟢 The PMIs in the UK have recently surprised on the upside and so there is light at the end of the tunnel, in contrast to the European counterpart, which has only surprised with more and more negative PMIs
- 🟢 Although wage pressure is falling, it remains high by international standards
- 🟢 There are signs of a recovery in both retail sales and GDP for 2024
- 📊🇬🇧 Inflation will fall quickly and reach 2% mark as early as Q2 2024🟢
- 🟢 That said given the better economic performance it is doubtful whether the BOE will actually cut interest rates as early as its sister from the ECB
-> 🟢 I think May would be a realistic scenario for a 1st rate cut by the BOE ✅️
But as every story that sounds to good to be true, the longterm outlook brings some serious concerns for the so far marvellous UK dream story:
🔴GBP Negative:🔴
- 🔴GDP was recently significantly weaker (-0.3) than expected (0.0)
- 🔴Industrial production also surprised negatively in relation to expectations at 0.4
- 🔴However, the significantly weaker labour data recently, in which bonus payments in particular surprised to the downside and raised one question in particular, weighs even more heavily and will bring much more rate cuts forward than the BOE and the market are expecting right now.
Conclusion:
The outlook for the pound is starting to brighten, but overall the negative factors are likely to outweigh against the USD in the longterm and so I see a promising opportunity to short the GBPUSD (after another rally) from way above.
The 1.32 - 1.33 zone would be ideal.
(For everyone who made it this far I have an extra for you:
A small quiz in the comments ;)
If someone wants to buy the GBP now, a long trade in GBPCHF is a good idea, which I explain in my following trade idea here:
Gbpusdbuy
#GBPUSD: We are bullish now| 09/04/2024 | Setupsfx_|Dear Traders,
Regarding GBPUSD, we have observed a shift in momentum, presenting an opportunity to fill gaps in the market. Currently, the price is exhibiting significant bullish pressure and is likely to maintain this trend. We recommend considering both entry points, with a backup option in case the first fails. This trade has the potential to be lucrative if appropriate risk management is employed.
GBP/USD short term longs to shorts 1.26000 back up to 1.27200I am currently holding a bearish view on GU, and I'm patiently waiting for a deeper pullback toward the primary supply zone. However, there's a nearby 1hr demand zone where we might witness a bullish reaction. If this zone fails, which is possible given the ample liquidity below, there's also a deeper demand zone just beneath it. We need to wait patiently to see how price behaves.
If price continues to rise, reaching the Asian high and trend line, it would strengthen my bearish bias and provide additional confluence for potential sells. Conversely, if price declines further, I'll be on the lookout for Wyckoff accumulation to unfold in either of the demand zones.
Confluences for GU short term buys are as follows:
- Price left lots of liquidity to the upside as well as an asian high that needs to get taken
- There is two 1hr demand zones that could initiate the expected pullback yet to come.
- For my sell bias to come into play, price must rally up which hasn't happened yet.
- Imbalances are left above that need to get filled.
P.S. If price continues to decline, I'll wait for a new supply zone to form and then consider selling from that point. Ultimately, the majority of liquidity remains situated below, influencing this decision.
GBPUSD: Pending Buy Order at H1 Bullish Order BlockAt the moment, I have initiated a pending buy order at the H1 Bullish Order Block . My anticipation is to enter buy positions aiming to reach the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), which serves as my Draw On Liquidity . The institutional order flow on GBPUSD currently indicates a bullish sentiment , and I intend to align with this narrative.
Stay tuned for further updates.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBP/USD Longs from 1.27000 back up towards 1.28000I anticipate price heading towards the demand area first. So, early in the week, there might be a potential buying opportunity around the 1.27000 region, where the 9-hour demand is located. However, I'll exercise caution due to the presence of an Asian low, ensuring I don't enter too early. Ideally, I'd prefer to see the Asian low swept and the 3-hour demand mitigated, which sits just below.
As price approaches the buy zone, the validity of buys becomes more apparent. However, if we witness a strong bullish reaction, we might see the imbalance below the 7-hour supply zone filled. In such a scenario, I'll then be on the lookout for short positions, considering that price has displayed a clear shift to the downside.
Confluences for GU Buys are as follows:
- Recent trend was bullish this downward movement could be just a retracement.
- Nice demand zones left that has caused a recent break of structure to the upside.
- Lots of liquidity to the upside as well as an imbalance that needs to get filled in.
- DXY also approaching a near buy supply so the idea makes sense if the dollar goes down.
P.S. Despite the shift in price direction to the downside, I'll focus on what's near the current price. Currently, the 9-hour demand zone is nearby, so I'll be considering buying opportunities to move back up.
Have a great trading week guys and watch out for FOMC Wednesday!
GBPUSD H1 / Potential Bullish Retracement💡Hello Traders!
This is my forecast for GBPUSD H1. I expect the price to close the FVG and to retrace from the resistance level. In case of confirmation, I will execute a long trade.
Traders, if my proposal resonates with you or if you hold a divergent viewpoint regarding this trade, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I welcome the opportunity to hear your perspectives.
____________________________________
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GBP USD buy long Target GBP/USD came under modest bearish pressure and declined below 1.2750 in the American session. The US Dollar benefits from the risk-averse market atmosphere, as reflected by the bearish action seen in Wall Street, and weighs on the pair heading into the weekend.
GBP/USD is the forex ticker that shows the value of the British Pound against the US Dollar. It tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a British Pound. The Pound-Dollar is one of the oldest and most widely traded currency pairs in the world. Follow the live GBP/USD rate with the chart and keep up to date with Pound-Dollar news and analysis. Plan your trades with the GBP/USD forecast and key pivot points data and support and resistance levels. Confirm signal
#GBPUSD: Price is likely to remain bullish least up until 1.3100Dear Friends,
Unfortunately our last two ideas on GBPUSD and price did not drop as mention in our charts. Right now, what we think is price will likely to remain bullish at least up to 1.3100 area. Entry can be around 1.2781 with possible 100-150 pips stop loss and take profit to be at 1.3100 which would be 300 pips.
Good Luck and Trade Safe!
GBP USD buy confirm signal GBP/USD is the forex ticker that shows the value of the British Pound against the US Dollar. It tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a British Pound. The Pound-Dollar is one of the oldest and most widely traded currency pairs in the world. Follow the live GBP/USD rate with the chart and keep up to date with Pound-Dollar news and analysis. Plan your trades with the GBP/USD forecast and key pivot points data and support and resistance levels.
Confirm signal GBP USD buy
GBP USD buy confirm signal GBP/USD continues to fluctuate in a narrow band near 1.2800 in the American session on Wednesday. Earlier in the day, the data from the UK showed that the real GDP expanded by 0.2% on a monthly basis in January as expected but failed to trigger a reaction in the pair.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart stays near 50, reflecting a lack of directional momentum. In case the pair stabilizes above 1.2800, where the mid-point of the ascending regression channel meets the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement of the latest uptrend, it could target 1.2850 (static level) and 1.2880 (upper limit of the ascending channel, end-point of the uptrend) next.
Confirm Chart GBPUSD
GBP USD short GBP/USD remains sidelined above the 1.2800 mark early Tuesday. The pair is awaiting the UK employment data for a fresh trading impetus. Traders also stay on the edge ahead of the critical US CPI inflation data.
Despite near-term bearish momentum, the pair remains well above the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2586. The pair has climbed 3% bottom-to-top from the last major swing low into 1.2518.
Confirm signal
GBP/USD Broke Strong Res ,Long Opportunity Valid To Get 200 PipsThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GBPUSD the Bullish Wave continues ? (150pips+ trade idea)hello guys ,
as you can see gbpusd just started a major bullish wave last week .
the price first was consolidating (accumulation) , formed a double bottom reversal pattern on a support level (manipulation) then continued with an expantion (distribution).
a classic AMD / PO3 pattern.
am waiting for the price to retrace towards the poi where there is an overlap of a breaker caused by last cpi a bullish orderblock and the fibbonacci golden zone .
GBP USD buy The GBP/USD climbed 0.31% during the North American session and traded at 1.2746 after bouncing off daily lows of 1.2690. UK’s spring budget announcement and US Federal Reserve’s Chair Jerome Powell's testimony sponsored a leg-up in the pair, which is set to test the 1.2800 mark.
GBP Update: Hunt Decides on National Insurance Reduction Over Tax Cuts confirm Chart
gbpusd up GBP/USD declines toward 1.2650 as mood sours
GBP/USD turned south and declined toward 1.2650 after spending the European session in a tight range near 1.2700. The negative shift seen in risk mood makes it difficult for the pair to hold its ground Trend momentum is mildly bullish on the intraday and daily DMI studies, suggesting the GBP/USD pair should remain supported on minor dips. But Cable gains have struggled to extend through 1.2700/1.2710 in the past few sessions. A push firmly above 1.2710 targets a move on to 1.2750/1.2775. as marGBP/USD is the forex ticker that shows the value of the British Pound against the US Dollar. It tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a British Pound. The Pound-Dollar is one of the oldest and most widely traded currency pairs in the world. Follow the live GBP/USD rate with the chart and keep up to date with Pound-Dollar news and analysis. Plan your trades with the GBP/USD forecast and key pivot points data and support and resistance levels.kets assess the latest US data releases.