Get started

Gbpusdforecast

GBPUSD Analysis 1Sep2023From the perspective of the market structure analysis that occurs to this day, I still see GBPUSD in the bearish structure. Where after the last boss occurs, the price is still unable to bullish more than the highest peak. Valid analysis as long as prices do not rise more than invalid areas. If you see from the existing Fibo Retracement, the price has been retrace almost to the area of 0.236 or 76% discounted from the swing that occurs. There is a good prospect for the current short with a fairly small risk.
by Hokusai_FX
GBPUSD: A Tale of Two Currencies in Turbulent TimesIn a year fraught with geopolitical tensions and policy shifts, the GBPUSD pair presents a conundrum that encapsulates the intricacies of modern forex trading. From Brexit negotiations that seem to never end to the hawkish stance of the U.S Federal Reserve, this currency pair is caught in a maelstrom of fundamental and technical forces. Allow me to unpack the details that are impacting its dynamics. Technical Overview: Breaching the Dam Technically speaking, the GBPUSD has been on a downward spiral, falling from a monthly high of 1.3141 to its current level of 1.2725. The pair has broken through what was perceived as a robust support level at 1.2825, which many market analysts view as a sign of further downside risk. Key to the technical landscape is the 61.8% Fibonacci projection level, situated at 1.2476. Should the pair break below this threshold, it would not be unreasonable to expect an accelerated downside momentum, targeting the ominous 100% Fibonacci level at 1.2276. In layman's terms, breaking this level could potentially open the floodgates, giving way to a steeper decline. Fundamental Backdrop: A Balancing Act On the fundamental front, things are rather mixed, almost schizophrenic. The UK economy shows promise of outpacing the U.S. economy in the upcoming quarters, partly buoyed by lower interest rates. This divergence in growth rate could serve as a lifeline for the beleaguered pound. Moreover, the Bank of England is touted to raise interest rates next week, a move that traditionally boosts the domestic currency. However, these potential gains could easily be wiped out by the ever-looming Brexit negotiations. The indecisive nature of these talks has become a millstone around the pound's neck, contributing to its volatility. An uncertain Brexit landscape makes it tough to predict how the pound will behave, overshadowing economic indicators that might otherwise offer a more optimistic outlook. The Confluence of Forces: What’s on the Horizon? It's not just the monetary policies of the Bank of England and the U.S. Federal Reserve that will influence the currency pair; external factors are equally poised to cause ripples. UK General Election: Scheduled for December 12, 2023, the results could serve as a significant catalyst for the GBP. A government favourable to quick and smooth Brexit negotiations might bolster the pound, whereas a hung parliament or indecisive result could have the opposite effect. Economic Data: The constant influx of economic data, such as employment numbers, inflation rates, and GDP growth, will keep traders on their toes. Both countries are set to release key figures in the coming weeks, and surprises on either end could induce significant volatility. Geopolitical and Economic Outlook: Any sudden changes in the political or economic landscape—like a breakthrough in Brexit talks or unexpected actions from the U.S. in the international arena—can drastically shift market sentiment. Conclusion: The Road Ahead Is Foggy The GBPUSD pair is at a crucial juncture, teetering on the brink of multiple possible outcomes. Both technical and fundamental indicators suggest that a turbulent period lies ahead. The confluence of multiple factors, both internal and external, makes it a challenging task to predict the pair's trajectory with high certainty. With interest rates expected to rise on both sides of the Atlantic, and a slew of other decisive events lined up, the only certainty for the GBPUSD seems to be uncertainty itself. So, if you're planning to trade this pair, strap yourself in: it promises to be a bumpy ride.
by TFLOfficial
Exploring the bullish case scenario in GBP/USDPreviously in my Monday's trade idea, I recommended buying GBP/USD @1.2560. As expected, we are currently up 70 pips from our buy area. 📌If you look at the daily chart in GBP/USD, you will notice that the downtrend seems to have lost momentum in the 100-day moving average region . This area is crucial as it can lead to a bullish reversal. 📌 My recommendation is to buy the dips in GBP/USD@1.2570-1.2620 with Stop Loss below 1.25. 📌TPs can be placed at 1.28 which is the minor resistance. Once it is broken, bulls can target 1.2980 and 1.3120 as TP.
Long
by MarcellusLUX
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upExplore the GBPUSD landscape as it maintains its optimistic stance above $1.2710 market, driven by robust UK inflation data. The Pound Sterling gains strength from this report and the potential for further interest rate adjustments by the Bank of England (BoE). With core CPI data raising inflation concerns within the UK economy, the BoE might opt for more interest rate hikes, adding more fuel to the fire of the Pound Sterling's rise. The stage is set for the GBPUSD pair to reap the benefits of this pivotal scenario. Across the Atlantic, declining US unemployment claims for the week ending August 12 underscore the tightness of the labor market, potentially paving the way for another Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate rise. Fresh FOMC Minutes emphasized the challenge of high inflation and the need for possible monetary policy tightening. In the upcoming week, eyes will turn to key macroeconomic events from both economies, including the Jackson Hole Symposium and PMI data releases from the UK and US. These data points will shape market sentiment and drive opportunities for the GBPUSD pair. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound find solid support at the $1.27000/$1.26700 zone, or are we heading towards a potential breakdown and a possible sell-off? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats! The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the UK and US dockets for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities. In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure. Keep a close eye on that critical confluence at $1.27000, where an ascending trendline intersects in the Daily timeframe. It's a decisive moment where both sellers and buyers are vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days. Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading! Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results
by darcsherry
1
GBPUSDPrice seems to be stuck in a consolidation phase ranging between the 1.27873 and the 1.26639 zones. Although on the higher time frame (weekly) price seems to be making higher highs I would rather wait to see a breakout of the consolidation range before taking any position. Waiting is good trading strategy Disclaimer: All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
by Mbjoey
GbpUsd- Break of range for 200 pips tradeSince the beginning of August, GbpUsd has been trading in a tight 150 pips range (a narrow range for a pair like GbpUsd). Yesterday's price action left a nice bullish Pin Bar on our chart which could indicate gains going further. However, for this we need confirmation and this comes with a break above 1.28. In such an instance, the pair could test the important 1.3 figure. On the other hand, a break under 1.26 would expose 1.24. I usually don't write analyses like this: "if it breaks resistance is going up, if it breaks support is going down". I made one in the GbpUsd case because, after one month of consolidation, the break of the range could set the direction for the next period and this pair is, for sure, one to keep a close eye on at this moment.
by Mihai_Iacob
9
GU - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)There is nothing too significant based on last week's candle. My only observation is that it created equal lows and ended with a green candle. Based on my analysis on the DXY, I could see that weekly candle being a catalyst to induce the bulls into the market. The only concerning thing is the Commitment of Trader report with large specs still being heavily long. My experience is limited observing the report week by week, but one thing I've learned is that regardless of the report, bias can change on a dime.
by Road_2_Funded
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upAmidst Uncertainties, Cable Market Grapples Despite U.K. Economy's 0.2% Growth In a twist against expectations for a flat reading, the U.K. economy witnessed a 0.2% growth in the second quarter, bolstered by a 0.5% monthly increase in June. However, lingering inflation concerns loom, potentially restraining future growth with the looming possibility of further interest rate hikes. Shifting gears, the U.S. Dollar held steady on Friday, its value scarcely wavering as traders absorbed the latest inflation data. The U.S. consumer price index matched predictions, showing growth in July compared to the previous month. This outcome prompted speculation that the Fed might maintain current interest rates in September, while also prompting a reduction in expectations for a rate cut this year, maintaining rates near 22-year highs. At this pivotal juncture, the market's focus tightens on impending economic indicators from both economies in the upcoming week. All eyes are on the 1.27000 level; any failure to defend it could usher in a deeper downtrend movement. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound find solid support at $1.27000, or are we heading towards a potential breakdown and a possible sell-off? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats! The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the UK and US dockets, including the Claimant Count Change, ILO Unemployment Rate, Retail Sales, Consumer Price Index, and FOMC Minutes. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities. In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure. Keep a close eye on that critical confluence at $1.27000, where an ascending trendline intersects in the Daily timeframe. It's a decisive moment where both sellers and buyers are vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days. Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading! Disclaimer: Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it. Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results
by darcsherry