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Gbpusdforecast

GBP/USD outlook: Pre-BOE decision time The British Pound has seen a partial retreat against the USD ahead of the Bank of England's interest rate announcement. It's widely anticipated that rates will remain steady at 5.25%. Consequently, attention is likely to be directed towards the voting split among the nine-member Monetary Policy Committee and the accompanying commentary, as these factors could influence market sentiment. How this split lands could affect the present futures markets predictions that the first UK rate cut will come in September. If the forecast is pushed back, we could see the 1.2500 psychological level provide support potential for the GBP/USD. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recently declined below the 50 level, highlighting a lack of bullish momentum, so we might like to see this pick up also. Moreover, the GBP/USD has dipped below the 200-day moving average. This could be the first level of resistance to take note of that could impede any upward trend. After this, levels of resistance the GBP/USD pair could face include the 50-day moving average (DMA) close to 1.2600.
by BlackBull_Markets
💡 GBPUSD: BOE reduced interest rates at the May policy meetingMUFG predicts that the Bank of England (BoE) may signal its readiness to lower interest rates soon, potentially starting as soon as the upcoming meeting. Recent statements from MPC members and upcoming inflation forecasts support a shift towards a more dovish policy stance. Key points: Policy rate expectations: BoE will likely maintain the current policy rate at 5.25% in its next meeting. However, recent dovish changes in the rhetoric of MPC members, especially from Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, indicate a growing trend towards interest rate cuts. Inflation and economic outlook: The BoE's quarterly inflation report is expected to reflect an updated economic outlook, suggesting the risk of inflation overshooting target is receding. This change could confirm a softer approach to monetary policy. MPC voting pattern: Many MPC members may be influenced by Lieutenant Governor Ramsden's views and moderate in the upcoming vote. This change in voting dynamics could pave the way for interest rate cuts in the next meetings.
Long
by Stone_Haven
GBP/USD BUY TO SELL (up towards 1.26500)This week's analysis for GBPUSD presents promising opportunities based on anticipated price movements. Near current price levels, there's a nearby 4-hour demand zone that could potentially trigger a bullish reaction, although I'm cautious about its strength. However, my primary focus is on the daily supply zone. If price fails to reach the daily supply, it might delve deeper to interact with a stronger demand area, possibly sparking another bullish rally. In such a scenario, I'll align my trades with the prevailing uptrend, considering the recent pattern of higher highs and higher lows. Once price reaches the daily supply zone, I'll be prepared to enter significant sell positions. Confluences for buys are as follows: - Price has recently been in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows. - Daily supply zone that needs to get mitigated eventually. - Good demand zones left that price might pick up another bullish rally from. - Liquidity to the upside as well as substantial imbalances that need mitigation. - price has also recently broke structure to the upside once again to confirm the trend. P.S. If price reaches the supply zone without eliciting a reaction from any of my demand points of interest (POIs), I'll patiently wait for a wyckoff distribution to develop on lower time frames before initiating my short positions. Have a great trading week guys!
Long
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upAmidst the uncertainty characterized by global events, last week witnessed the GBP/USD pair caught in the crosscurrents of rising geopolitical tensions and pivotal central bank pronouncements. Bank of England's Deputy Governor, Dave Ramsden, took centre stage with remarks on inflation risks, yet failed to provide the anticipated support for Sterling as it plunged to new depths. The UK's economic landscape presented a mixed picture, with March's retail sales stagnating while annual growth maintained a modest trajectory. Against this backdrop, the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve emerged as key players, wielding their influence to shape market sentiment. The journey across the pond unveiled a contrasting narrative, with robust US Retail Sales figures sparking a reassessment of interest rate projections and propelling the US 10-year note yield to unprecedented heights. While Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic cautioned against persistent inflation, New York Fed President John Williams struck a more measured chord, emphasizing the Fed's data-driven approach and its nuanced stance on monetary policy. In this video, we dissect the implications of these developments and chart our course for the new week in GBP/USD trading. GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound maintain its momentum below the critical $1.24200 zone? In this video, we've examined both the daily and 4-hour timeframes, dissecting bullish and bearish sentiments to unearth the most promising trades for the week ahead. Our analysis dives deep into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, providing invaluable insights into the prevailing market structure. Our focus remains fixed on the pivotal level at $1.24200, where the direction of price action could herald the onset of significant market shifts. How the market responds here will chart the course for GBP/USD in the days to come. Stay engaged and join the discourse in the comment section to stay abreast of the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and brace yourselves for further illuminating insights into GBP/USD in our upcoming content. Get ready for an exhilarating journey ahead! Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
GBP/USD Sells down towards a long opportunityThis pair is currently in a bearish trend, but I anticipate a potential reversal near a major demand zone around 1.23000. While we wait for price to reach this level, I'll be monitoring for a minor retracement back to the recently formed 4-hour supply zone. Once the retracement occurs, I'll be looking for selling opportunities in line with the prevailing trend until price reaches the 3hr demand level. Upon reaching this level, I'll anticipate a liquidity sweep of the Asian low and a possible Wyckoff accumulation phase, expecting price to then rise. Confluences for GU Sells are as follows: - Price has been very bearish recently and confirms this via continuous break of structures. - Good 4hr supply that has recently been created which also caused a BOS. - Theres an imbalance below that needs to get filled as well as lots of liquidity to be taken. - The overall trend of the market on the higher time frame is bearish as well. - DXY also looking bullish as well and it's aligning very well with GU's Zones. P.S. This demand zone is particularly strong because it aligns with a strengthening dollar entering a robust supply zone. This could lead to a significant drop in the dollar and consequently a rise in GU. However, given the overall bearish trend of GU, selling positions remain valid. Have a good trading week!
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBP/USD Reversal Analysis: Potential Reversal at Near-Term SuppoThe GBP/USD currency pair has shown signs of potential reversal as it approaches a critical support level. A detailed analysis suggests that a bullish reversal may be imminent. Technical Analysis: Support Level: The pair is currently approaching a significant support level, indicating a potential area for a reversal. This support level has historically shown resilience and could act as a launching pad for a bullish movement. Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands indicator also suggests a potential reversal, with the price approaching the lower band. This could indicate oversold conditions and a possible bounce back towards the upper band. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is showing signs of divergence, with the price making lower lows while the RSI is making higher lows. This divergence often precedes a reversal in price direction, adding weight to the bullish case. Trade Recommendation: Entry: Consider entering a long position near the support level, ideally after confirmation of a bullish reversal pattern such as a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern or a bullish divergence on lower time frames. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the support level to manage risk in case of a breakdown. Target: The initial target could be set at a resistance level or a previous swing high, with potential for further upside if the bullish momentum strengthens. Disclaimer: Trading forex involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. The analysis provided here is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to trade. Always perform your own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Trading carries risks, and it's essential to only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
Long
by Maven_Trader24
GBPUSD Longs from 1.24000 up towards 1.25500This week, my bias for GBPUSD is to pursue buying opportunities to address significant imbalances above and to target the recent supply zone. Given the proximity of price to my 10-hour demand zone, I anticipate a temporary bullish move toward the supply area. With price currently exhibiting slower movement, I'll wait for an accumulation phase to develop before entering buy positions. Once in buys, I aim to drive price up toward the 18-hour supply zone, where I'll consider selling positions to capitalize on the pronounced bearish trend. While the trend is strongly bearish at present, I expect a pullback to occur before initiating any actions in line with this strategy. Confluences for GU Buys are as follows: - Price left so many imbalances above that need to be filled. - In order for price to continue the bearish trend price must pullback up - Approaching a really nice 10hr demand that has caused a BOS to the upside. - DXY is also near a good supply zone so could expect the dollar to drop a bit this week. P.S. If price breaks below the 10-hour demand zone, which I anticipate holding, there is a robust daily demand level below that. However, if this scenario does not materialize, I will simply wait for a pullback to consider potential selling opportunities. Have a great trading week ahead guys!
Long
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD: UPDATE 11/04/2024Dear Traders, Hope you are doing great, we have an excellent buying opportunity. Yesterday price fell significantly mainly due to news came out in favour of USD, making usd the strongest currency against others. This brought huge selling volume in the market, leading our last GBPUSD idea to fail badly. The reason why we think price may rise due to so many gaps price has left behind. In our view price is likely to fill the liquidity void area before its next big move. If you like our idea then do consider liking and commenting.
Long
by Setupsfx_
7
The GBP didn't short itself. If one would have checked the recent flightlogs of the GBP performance he might have been astounded what he would discover: GBP emerges from the first trading week of the year as the strongest currency and the signs look great for a further rally of the pound: 🟢GBP Positive:🟢 - 🟢 The PMIs in the UK have recently surprised on the upside and so there is light at the end of the tunnel, in contrast to the European counterpart, which has only surprised with more and more negative PMIs - 🟢 Although wage pressure is falling, it remains high by international standards - 🟢 There are signs of a recovery in both retail sales and GDP for 2024 - 📊🇬🇧 Inflation will fall quickly and reach 2% mark as early as Q2 2024🟢 - 🟢 That said given the better economic performance it is doubtful whether the BOE will actually cut interest rates as early as its sister from the ECB -> 🟢 I think May would be a realistic scenario for a 1st rate cut by the BOE ✅️ But as every story that sounds to good to be true, the longterm outlook brings some serious concerns for the so far marvellous UK dream story: 🔴GBP Negative:🔴 - 🔴GDP was recently significantly weaker (-0.3) than expected (0.0) - 🔴Industrial production also surprised negatively in relation to expectations at 0.4 - 🔴However, the significantly weaker labour data recently, in which bonus payments in particular surprised to the downside and raised one question in particular, weighs even more heavily and will bring much more rate cuts forward than the BOE and the market are expecting right now. Conclusion: The outlook for the pound is starting to brighten, but overall the negative factors are likely to outweigh against the USD in the longterm and so I see a promising opportunity to short the GBPUSD (after another rally) from way above. The 1.32 - 1.33 zone would be ideal. (For everyone who made it this far I have an extra for you: A small quiz in the comments ;) If someone wants to buy the GBP now, a long trade in GBPCHF is a good idea, which I explain in my following trade idea here:
Short
by PrimeTrading
5
GBPUSD Weekly Outlook: Analyzing Potential Trends and IdeasIn this video, I'll conduct a comprehensive analysis of GBPUSD , examining it from a High Timeframe (HTF) perspective down to our Low Timeframes (LTF) . This approach will provide insights into what to expect in trading for the upcoming week. Additionally, I'll delve into an analysis of the DXY to further enhance our understanding of market dynamics. Stay tuned for valuable insights and strategies. Kind Regards, The_Architect
by The_Archi-tect
GBPUSD Trade Idea - Important Points To ConsiderIn the video, we analyse a potential trading opportunity for the GBPUSD. We delve into the prevailing trend, examine price movements, evaluate market structure, and pinpoint a potential entry point based on favourable conditions (if they arise), as outlined in the video. Additionally, I discuss my risk management strategy. Traders who lack a robust risk management plan expose themselves to significant risk and often encounter negative trading outcomes. It is crucial to incorporate sound risk management principles into your trading strategy. As always, please be aware that this information is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
GBP/USD short term longs to shorts 1.26000 back up to 1.27200I am currently holding a bearish view on GU, and I'm patiently waiting for a deeper pullback toward the primary supply zone. However, there's a nearby 1hr demand zone where we might witness a bullish reaction. If this zone fails, which is possible given the ample liquidity below, there's also a deeper demand zone just beneath it. We need to wait patiently to see how price behaves. If price continues to rise, reaching the Asian high and trend line, it would strengthen my bearish bias and provide additional confluence for potential sells. Conversely, if price declines further, I'll be on the lookout for Wyckoff accumulation to unfold in either of the demand zones. Confluences for GU short term buys are as follows: - Price left lots of liquidity to the upside as well as an asian high that needs to get taken - There is two 1hr demand zones that could initiate the expected pullback yet to come. - For my sell bias to come into play, price must rally up which hasn't happened yet. - Imbalances are left above that need to get filled. P.S. If price continues to decline, I'll wait for a new supply zone to form and then consider selling from that point. Ultimately, the majority of liquidity remains situated below, influencing this decision.
Long
by Hassan_fx