Gbpusdidea
BluetonaFX - GBPUSD TRIANGLE BREAK IDEAHi Traders!
We have a simple triangle setup here on the GBPUSD 4H chart. There is a *Vector* level (our unique way of highlighting key and important levels in our FX charts) at 1.22746.
The last time we were below 1.22746 was over two months ago around the end of March 2023, so there is bound to be some support if we approach that level again for the first time since April.
We are now waiting for a possible break and close to the downside to target 1.22746.
If we fail the break to the downside, we have a Vector level to the upside of the break and close of the triangle at 1.25467.
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BluetonaFX
GBPUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD Heading downhello, according to my analysis of gbpusd pair. The pair is still in a negative position, with breaking the strong support at 1.24000. With a negative candle on the daily frame. The pair is heading to the 1.2200 area. good luck for everbody. Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be happy to share ideas. Like and click to get free content. Thank you
GBPUSD - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective with clear lower lows and lower highs, so I am looking for short position from premium zone. I see price to continue the retracement and then to reject from bearish order block.
Fundamental analysis: This week on Friday we have news on USD, will be released monthly NFP and Unemployment Rate. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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GBPUSD: Bears are still too strong!TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
If GBP/USD climbs above 1.2380, which is the 20-period SMA and the upper limit of the descending channel, and utilizes it as support, it may face temporary resistance at 1.2400 and 1.2420 before aiming for 1.2450, which is the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement of the latest uptrend.
If it goes downwards, the first support is at 1.2330, the midpoint of the descending channel, followed by 1.2300 and 1.2240, which are the psychological level and Fibonacci 50% retracement respectively.
GBPUSD LONGGU has been falling down and closing low for 4 consecutive days.
probability of having a 5th red day is ~4.86 %
with that on our side and PD buyers gaining control over sellers
with sentiment line rising towards buy zone,
we have good EV to go long as the price clears and opens above PD POC.
not tagged in the position. will wait for confirmation first.
will update once tagged in.
GBPUSD BEAR CHANNEL CONTINUES Hi Traders!
The bear channel on GBPUSD continues. We have a very simple regression channel here on 1H chart to show this. The market has been hitting the support of the channel and coming off the resistance of the channel almost perfectly.
A set up like this gives numerous opportunities for entries and exits and also very good risk-reward opportunities by trading within the range of the channel.
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BluetonaFX
GBPUSD: The influence of USDGloomy forecast point to ongoing pressure on the Pound
The UK economy is facing several challenges such as strikes, unresolved Brexit issues, low productivity, and negative forecasts from the International Monetary Fund. The Bank of England (BOE) has acknowledged these issues, adding to the gloomy outlook. This will likely continue to weaken the Pound for a longer period.
Plan trade in the intro
GBPUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD Flat miexd bagLONG TERM BEARISH
DAILY BEARISH
4H Bearish
2 H Bearish
2H Momentum BEARISH
BoE raises rates by 25 bp, revises inflation, GDP forecasts
here was no surprise as the Bank of England raised rates by 25 basis points, bringing the cash rate to 4.50%, its highest since 2008. This marked the twelfth consecutive hike in the current rate-tightening cycle, underscoring the BoE’s pledge to curb hot inflation. Governor Bailey said after the rate announcement that Bank would “stay the course to make sure that inflation falls all the way back to the 2% target”.
Nobody is expecting that the road to 2% will be easy, with inflation currently in double digits. The BoE remains optimistic that inflation will fall rapidly during the year and will fall to 5% by the end of the year. In February, the BOE predicted 4% inflation by the end of the year. This seems like a tall order but is certainly possible if the rate hikes make themselves felt and cool the economy.
GBP/USD is putting pressure on support at 1.2495. The next support level is 1.2366.
1.2573 and 1.2676 are the next resistance lines.
The GBP/USD pair might then aim to reclaim the 1.2600 round figure and test the 1.2635-1.2640 supply zone. The upward trajectory has the potential to push spot prices towards the 1.2700 mark, which coincides with the top end of the ascending channel.
GBP/USD Alert: Unrealistic Forecast for UK Inflation? Tomorrow, the latest inflation rate for the UK will be released, which will be significant for traders dealing with GBP/USD due to the perhaps unrealistic forecast for a 2-percentage point drop.
It is expected that the inflation rate for April will have significantly dropped to 8.2%. Are markets overly optimist with this forecast? In March, the consumer price inflation rate in the United Kingdom eased to 10.1% on a year-on-year basis, slightly lower than the 10.4% recorded in February but higher than the market's expectation of 9.8%.
The British pound has remained strong, with a value around $1.2435, staying close to its 12-month high of $1.2679 reached on May 10th. Currently, money markets predict an 80% chance of the Bank of England raising interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75% in June, and a 79% chance of a 5% Bank Rate by September. Recently, the BoE increased rates to 4.5%, the highest level since 2008.
On the other hand, some expect the US Federal Reserve to pause its current tightening cycle as policymakers carefully consider concerns about inflation's impact on economic growth. There have been positive developments regarding discussions about the US debt ceiling, according to US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who mentioned the possibility of a deal being reached tonight or tomorrow.
When examining the 4-hour chart, the pair tested an important 50-bar moving average (MA) and attracted buyers on Friday. This MA will continue to be a significant level leading up to the inflation rate data drop. If the GBP/USD pair maintains its upward bias, it will need to contend with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, which recently dipped below the 50-midline. Should the 50-day MA be breached, the expected trading range for today could be between support at 1.2350 and resistance at 1.2400.
gpbusd my ideaGBPUSD possible short scenarion for me .it tested resistance as i marked up as resistance area conflunce with ema.it got tested and got rejected multiple times on 1H TF.1h stracture has not been broken yet i am waiting for it to break so i could have another entry.
i always have two entries.
my second entry has not been confirmed yet.
fisrt entry :
Entry - 1.24585
Tp - 1.23963
Sl - 1.25031
RR - 1:1.39
BLACKBULL:GBPUSD
GBPUSD Bear Channel IdeaHi Traders!
We have a bear channel setup here. The market has been slowly drifting down. We can see this with the price action showing lower highs and lower lows, resistance swings have been getting lower.
We are looking for a momentum break and close of the 1.24145 level. If this happens, the psychological level of 1.24000 is the next level to watch out for.
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We appreciate your support.
BluetonaFX
GBPUSD 18May2023According to the previous analysis, when the price drops more than the red line, there is a high probability of a reversal. I readjusted wave analysis notation. Corrections that occur can occur simply by looking at the current bullish DXY analysis conditions. I am looking for an area to sell with the upper limit of the invalid area, when the price suddenly rises and penetrates the invalid area then this analysis will be invalidated