Gbpusdidea
GBPUSD BEAR CHANNEL CONTINUES Hi Traders!
The bear channel on GBPUSD continues. We have a very simple regression channel here on 1H chart to show this. The market has been hitting the support of the channel and coming off the resistance of the channel almost perfectly.
A set up like this gives numerous opportunities for entries and exits and also very good risk-reward opportunities by trading within the range of the channel.
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BluetonaFX
GBPUSD: The influence of USDGloomy forecast point to ongoing pressure on the Pound
The UK economy is facing several challenges such as strikes, unresolved Brexit issues, low productivity, and negative forecasts from the International Monetary Fund. The Bank of England (BOE) has acknowledged these issues, adding to the gloomy outlook. This will likely continue to weaken the Pound for a longer period.
Plan trade in the intro
GBPUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD Flat miexd bagLONG TERM BEARISH
DAILY BEARISH
4H Bearish
2 H Bearish
2H Momentum BEARISH
BoE raises rates by 25 bp, revises inflation, GDP forecasts
here was no surprise as the Bank of England raised rates by 25 basis points, bringing the cash rate to 4.50%, its highest since 2008. This marked the twelfth consecutive hike in the current rate-tightening cycle, underscoring the BoE’s pledge to curb hot inflation. Governor Bailey said after the rate announcement that Bank would “stay the course to make sure that inflation falls all the way back to the 2% target”.
Nobody is expecting that the road to 2% will be easy, with inflation currently in double digits. The BoE remains optimistic that inflation will fall rapidly during the year and will fall to 5% by the end of the year. In February, the BOE predicted 4% inflation by the end of the year. This seems like a tall order but is certainly possible if the rate hikes make themselves felt and cool the economy.
GBP/USD is putting pressure on support at 1.2495. The next support level is 1.2366.
1.2573 and 1.2676 are the next resistance lines.
The GBP/USD pair might then aim to reclaim the 1.2600 round figure and test the 1.2635-1.2640 supply zone. The upward trajectory has the potential to push spot prices towards the 1.2700 mark, which coincides with the top end of the ascending channel.
GBP/USD Alert: Unrealistic Forecast for UK Inflation? Tomorrow, the latest inflation rate for the UK will be released, which will be significant for traders dealing with GBP/USD due to the perhaps unrealistic forecast for a 2-percentage point drop.
It is expected that the inflation rate for April will have significantly dropped to 8.2%. Are markets overly optimist with this forecast? In March, the consumer price inflation rate in the United Kingdom eased to 10.1% on a year-on-year basis, slightly lower than the 10.4% recorded in February but higher than the market's expectation of 9.8%.
The British pound has remained strong, with a value around $1.2435, staying close to its 12-month high of $1.2679 reached on May 10th. Currently, money markets predict an 80% chance of the Bank of England raising interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75% in June, and a 79% chance of a 5% Bank Rate by September. Recently, the BoE increased rates to 4.5%, the highest level since 2008.
On the other hand, some expect the US Federal Reserve to pause its current tightening cycle as policymakers carefully consider concerns about inflation's impact on economic growth. There have been positive developments regarding discussions about the US debt ceiling, according to US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who mentioned the possibility of a deal being reached tonight or tomorrow.
When examining the 4-hour chart, the pair tested an important 50-bar moving average (MA) and attracted buyers on Friday. This MA will continue to be a significant level leading up to the inflation rate data drop. If the GBP/USD pair maintains its upward bias, it will need to contend with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, which recently dipped below the 50-midline. Should the 50-day MA be breached, the expected trading range for today could be between support at 1.2350 and resistance at 1.2400.
gpbusd my ideaGBPUSD possible short scenarion for me .it tested resistance as i marked up as resistance area conflunce with ema.it got tested and got rejected multiple times on 1H TF.1h stracture has not been broken yet i am waiting for it to break so i could have another entry.
i always have two entries.
my second entry has not been confirmed yet.
fisrt entry :
Entry - 1.24585
Tp - 1.23963
Sl - 1.25031
RR - 1:1.39
BLACKBULL:GBPUSD
GBPUSD Bear Channel IdeaHi Traders!
We have a bear channel setup here. The market has been slowly drifting down. We can see this with the price action showing lower highs and lower lows, resistance swings have been getting lower.
We are looking for a momentum break and close of the 1.24145 level. If this happens, the psychological level of 1.24000 is the next level to watch out for.
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BluetonaFX
GBPUSD 18May2023According to the previous analysis, when the price drops more than the red line, there is a high probability of a reversal. I readjusted wave analysis notation. Corrections that occur can occur simply by looking at the current bullish DXY analysis conditions. I am looking for an area to sell with the upper limit of the invalid area, when the price suddenly rises and penetrates the invalid area then this analysis will be invalidated
GBPUSD: The influence of the dollar!Fundamental Overview of me
Last week, GBP/USD suffered a loss of almost 200 pips. However, the new week has started on a positive note for the pair as it has made a recovery towards 1.2500. As there are no major data releases planned, the pair's movement for the day will depend on the risk perception.
During the second half of the previous week, GBP/USD was continuously under bearish pressure, as USD gained strength from safe-haven flows. Additionally, the cautious approach of the Bank of England towards further rate hikes and Governor Andrew Bailey's positive outlook on inflation added to the burden on Pound Sterling.
Plan trade in the intro
GBPUSD Signal 16May2023after today GBPUSD experienced a period of consolidation in the Asian session, and in the European session the price moved down and then rose again more than the Asian session, there seems to be manipulation here, most likely the distribution period will occur in the NY session,
GBPUSD - Long from bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs from discount zone. My point of interest if price take sell stop liquidity and rejects from bullish order block.
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GBPUSD daily chart analysis, Where can you sell now?Taking a look at the GBP/USD daily chart, it seems the price has reversed. At present price has
dropped more than 250 pips from its high of 1.2677. It seems all set to drop further to 1.2280
which is the first area of support.
However, at the current price level, I would not recommend opening fresh sell trades.
Instead, it would be safer, if we wait for a pullback to the 1.2550-1.26 level from where we can sell
it again.