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Gbpusdlong

#GBPUSD: Smaller Time-Frame Tells A Different Story! GBPUSD has exhibited strong bullish sentiment in shorter timeframes. However, an analysis of shorter timeframes reveals a different picture. The current price trend is upward, and it is anticipated to continue. Nevertheless, we anticipate a price correction around 1.3470, followed by a continuation of the bullish move. We strongly recommend conducting your own analysis before making any investment decisions. Best of luck in your trading endeavours, and please remember to prioritise safety. Kindly consider liking, commenting, and sharing this analysis for further insights. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
7
Can it break through 1.36?The GBP/USD exchange rate continued to trade in a high-range consolidation during the North American session, currently hovering near the 1.353 level with a slight intraday rebound. The US Dollar Index turned lower following the release of weak ADP employment data, providing some support for the British Pound. The US added only 37,000 jobs in the private sector in May, far below the market expectation of 115,000, reinforcing market bets on future Federal Reserve rate cuts. In the short term, the exchange rate may continue to consolidate within the range of 1.3450 to 1.3600. If the US non-farm payroll data remains weak, the exchange rate is expected to break above the 1.3600 level, opening up further upside potential. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Long
by Ashbur
GBPUSD Trading Analysis ### 1. Overall Trend & Market Context - Bullish Momentum: GBPUSD is in a strong bullish trend, driven by DXY weakness (U.S. Dollar Index declining) and GBP strength. Key factors include: - Fundamental Drivers: - UK manufacturing contraction (less severe than expected) and rising housing prices. - U.S. dollar weakness due to manufacturing slowdown (ISM PMI at 48.5), trade tensions, and fiscal concerns. - Fed policy uncertainty (rates likely to remain unchanged post-May cut). - Technical Drivers: Higher lows and higher highs on the 4-hour chart, indicating trend continuation. ### 2. Key Technical Levels & Patterns - Support Zones: - 1.3490–1.3500: A critical support area (pullback retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci level). - 1.34420: Stop-loss level for long positions (below the liquidity pocket). - Resistance Levels: - 1.3580: Target for bullish breakout. - 1.37370: Next major resistance (1:2 risk-reward setup). - Patterns: - Bullish Flag: Breakout above key resistance (1.3430) followed by consolidation. - Broadening Wedge: High volatility pattern with widening highs/lows; potential for breakout (bullish or bearish). - Bullish Engulfing: Confirmed entry after breaking key support/resistance. ### 3. Trading Opportunities - Buy Zones: - 1.3490–1.3500: Entry on breakout from consolidation range (1.3500). - 1.35260: Buy limit for a liquidity hunt below minor intraday lows. - Take Profit: - 1.3580 (first resistance) and 1.37370 (measured move target). - Risk Management: - Stop-loss at 1.34420 (below support). - 1:2 risk-reward ratio for long positions. ### 4. Key Risks & Considerations - Bearish Scenarios: - Failure to hold above the breakout zone (1.3500). - Pressure from resistance at 1.3580. - Return to consolidation range, delaying the upside move. - Volatility: Broadening wedge patterns may fake out traders, emphasizing the need for strict risk management. ### 5. Fundamental Outlook - GBP Strength: UK economic data (housing, manufacturing) supports GBP. - USD Weakness: U.S. manufacturing slowdown, trade tensions, and fiscal concerns weigh on the dollar. - Fed Policy: Markets expect rate cuts to continue, further pressuring USD. ### 6. Final Notes & Disclaimers Stay disciplined, manage risk, and let the market confirm your trades. 📈 *Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk; ensure you understand the risks before trading.*
Long
by teconlab
2
Consolidation ahead of the next bullish rallyThe GBP/USD exchange rate has edged lower below the three-year high of 1.3592 set in May. To sustain the upward momentum, prices need to decisively close above the resistance line of 1.3597 since July 2023 (which capped gains last week). A breakthrough above the key resistance zone of 1.3658 could trigger a stronger rally, targeting the 2022 high of 1.3747. Further breakthroughs may shift market focus to the upward trendline (around 1.3865). Technically, short-term risks remain biased to the upside, supported by the rebound of the stochastic oscillator. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: buy@1.3490-1.3500 TP:1.3550-1.3600
Long
by Ashbur
GBPUSD Trending Higher – Can Buyers Push Toward 1.3880?OANDA:GBPUSD is showing a positive technical picture as it continues to move within a clearly defined ascending channel, reinforcing a solid bullish structure. Recently, the price broke out of a key resistance zone, which has now turned into support, indicating that buyers are still holding the upper hand and the uptrend may continue. With bullish momentum being maintained, the next target I am watching is the 1.3880 USD area, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. However, if the price fails to hold this level and shows signs of weakening, it could be a signal that market momentum is shifting. I will wait for clear confirmation signals such as a bullish engulfing candle, strong rejection wicks at the support zone, or a surge in buying volume before considering a trend-following long position. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Long
by LucasMgoldview
GBPUSD(20250604)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Logan: We should focus on achieving the 2% inflation target rather than trying to make up for past inflation shortfalls; Bostic: We still think there may be a rate cut this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3521 Support and resistance levels: 1.3588 1.3563 1.3547 1.3496 1.3480 1.3455 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3547, consider buying, with the first target price at 1.3563 If the price breaks through 1.3521, consider selling, with the first target price at 1.3496
Long
by NuggetsWarriors
The current trend of the US dollar remains bullish.During the European session, the US Dollar Index extended its weakness, falling 0.67% intraday to 98.7731, approaching the low seen on April 22nd. GBP/USD rose synchronously by 0.61% to 1.3538. Key Drivers： Tariff rhetoric reignites market concerns Potential impact of the S899 clause Diverging expectations on Federal Reserve policy ING analyst Chris Turner noted: "The risk of early termination of the trade agreement and the S899 clause have created dual pressures, causing the US dollar to continue weakening. GBP/USD is likely to remain bullish-dominated." Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: buy@1.13400-1.13450 TP:1.13550-1.13600
Long
by Ashbur
GBP/USD Bullish Channel Holding–Pullback Before the Next Leg Up?This is a 4-hour chart of the British Pound vs US Dollar (GBP/USD) from FXCM, showing a strong bullish market structure within a rising parallel channel. 🔍 Key Technical Insights: Uptrend Channel: Price has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows within a well-defined ascending channel. Support Zones: Three horizontal levels are marked at 1.348, 1.333, and 1.326 — likely acting as short-term demand zones or reaction points. Projection Path (Red Line): A pullback into the lower part of the channel (likely near 1.333–1.326 zone) is anticipated, followed by a bullish continuation toward the upper channel resistance. 🧭 Market Outlook: Bias: Bullish while above channel support. Buy Area: Ideal long setup may develop around the 1.333–1.326 support region. Target Zone: Potential continuation toward 1.410+ if the structure holds. This chart favors trend continuation after a correction, aligning with smart money accumulation and institutional flow behavior within a bullish channel.
Long
by Ttrade-With-Logic
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 29, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention today: 15:30 EET. USD - Initial jobless claims 22:00 EET. USD - Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will deliver a speech. GBPUSD: GBP/USD pared further gains on Wednesday, stumbling for the second session in a row and falling below 1.3500 after failing to regain 1.3600 earlier this week. Sterling markets are retreating from the upper limit of the bullish trend that lifted GBPUSD to multi-year highs, but the momentum remains favourable for sterling buyers. The latest minutes of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate meeting held on 6-7 May showed that the Fed's wait-and-see stance has deep roots. At the last Fed meeting, policymakers noted that the US dollar's (USD) status as a safe haven has suffered recently. They warned that a more ‘durable change’ in the dollar's status could have long-term consequences for the US economy. Almost all FOMC members at the May rate meeting agreed that inflation risks could prove to be more ‘persistent than expected.’ Fed officials directly pointed to tariffs as a key factor in the FOMC's downgrade of its outlook for the US economy, and the FOMC blamed the Trump administration and its inconsistent tariff policy for the deterioration in the US economic situation and uncertain outlook for inflation and growth. The rest of the trading week remains tense for the US. On Thursday, US gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the first quarter will be released. On Friday, the trading week will end with the release of US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation data for April. Markets are hoping for a continued easing of key inflation indicators before the effects of the Trump administration's tariff policy begin to be reflected in the core data. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3450, SL 1.3430, TP 1.3540
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
LONG GBP/USD — Trade IdeaLONG GBP/USD — Three Talking Points Macro & Central-Bank Divergence UK growth beats, retail sales jump and service-CPI re-accelerates to 5.4 % y/y. Markets have pushed BoE-cut odds to near-zero for June and just one 25 bp trim by year-end, while the Fed is still priced for two cuts in 2025. IMF nudges 2025 UK GDP up to 1.2 %. In contrast, the dollar narrative is hampered by ballooning U.S. deficit worries and tariff-policy whiplash. Net policy path favours sterling over the dollar. Technical Structure Remains Bullish Price action is riding a January-origin ascending channel; Monday’s spike to 1.3600 set a new three-year high, but the pull-back stalled exactly where the 21-DMA, prior breakout shelf and channel floor cluster (mid-1.34s). 14-day RSI ≥ 60 yet still shy of overbought, signalling bullish momentum with room to run. Holding the 1.3440/70 zone keeps the next leg toward 1.3600/1.3750 in play; only a daily close below 1.3370 would break the channel and negate the setup. Event Risk Favouring Upside Skew BoE speakers (Pill today, Bailey tomorrow) are likely to echo the “cautious & gradual” line—supportive, not dovish. FOMC minutes may sound hawkish, but the market has largely heard it; any dovish nuance quickly re-ignites dollar selling. Friday’s PCE vs. Tokyo CPI: a soft U.S. core PCE print alongside sticky Japan inflation would weigh on USDJPY and bleed into broader USD softness, lifting cable toward our T1/T2 objectives.
Long
by TerraBullMarkets
GBP/USD Correction Potentially Complete – Key Breakout LevelsHi everyone, GBP/USD has been undergoing a short-term correction since the start of the week. Our view is that this correction may now be complete, with the bullish trend potentially resuming. For confirmation, we’re watching for a break above the 1.35195 level, followed by a move through 1.35934. If these levels are cleared, we anticipate further upside. We’ll continue to share updates on the projected path for GBP/USD should price action reach our key zone. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to extend further from the 1.20991 January low. We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
GBPUSD potential longMulti-Timeframe Market Outlook 3-Month (3M) Timeframe • Price broke below key psychological/liquidity level at 1.2100 in Q3 2022, reaching 1.0500, where significant bullish order flow was triggered. • Bullish momentum brought price back above 1.2100, but lacked strength to reach next liquidity zone at 1.3900. • After retracing to collect orders at 1.2100 again, price advanced to 1.3400, met resistance, and returned to 1.2100. • Recent price action shows a break above 1.3400, signaling renewed bullish intent and momentum toward higher targets. Monthly Timeframe • Fully aligned with the 3M structure; no additional significant divergences to note. • Continuation of higher timeframe bullish structure remains intact. Weekly Timeframe • Last week, price broke and closed above major resistance at 1.3400 with strong bullish momentum. • Next liquidity target: 1.3650. • Price consolidated below 1.3400 for 4 weeks, suggesting accumulation of bullish orders. • Current retracement likely a pause to collect more orders before resuming towards 1.3650. Daily Timeframe • Strong order flow observed at 1.3150, followed by consolidation between 1.3250 – 1.3300 before breaking 1.3400. • Price has retraced ~100 pips since yesterday, likely seeking a liquidity zone. • 1.3400 remains the key level to monitor for renewed bullish interest and continuation toward 1.3650. 4H Timeframe • Notable bullish order block formed at 1.3400, resulting in nearly 200-pip upside. • Price appears to be retracing to this region, likely to collect more buy-side liquidity before another leg up. • Confluence across timeframes suggests strong bullish bias if price holds above or reclaims 1.3400. My thesis is long but I am very mindful of FOMC minutes today and I am waiting to see the impact that it will have on price action.
Long
by allan_mwenja2000
GBPUSD Near Key Resistance – Watching for PullbackGBPUSD has surged to test the 1.3538 resistance, forming a strong impulsive rally supported by higher lows and tight bullish consolidation patterns. However, price is now pressing into a major horizontal resistance and rising trendline, setting up for either continuation or correction. Key Levels: Major Resistance: 1.35389 (previous high, potential double top) Trendline Support: ~1.3440 (ascending structure) Downside Target (if break occurs): 1.3140 (range floor) Scenarios to Watch: 🔹 Bearish Scenario (Primary Watch) Price reacts to 1.3538 and forms a rejection candle Break of the ascending trendline may trigger a retracement Downside target zones: 1.3440 (initial structure) 1.3140 (major support zone) 🔹 Bullish Breakout (Alternate Scenario) Clean break and close above 1.3538 Would invalidate short-term correction and open path to new highs Momentum continuation possible toward 1.3600–1.3700 Pattern Notes: Bullish structure with minor flags and wedges in the uptrend But rally is extended and hitting overbought territory near resistance RSI divergence or reversal patterns around this level would strengthen short case Conclusion: 📌 GBPUSD is at a major resistance. Watch for rejection or breakout. 📌 If it holds below 1.3538 and breaks trendline, short setup is favored. 📌 If it breaks out above 1.3538 with volume, stay out of shorts and wait for retest.
Short
by ultreosforex
5
GBPUSD Trade IdeaThe GBPUSD pair is showing a strong bullish trend on the 4-hour chart. However, the price currently looks overextended. This suggests the market may be due for a corrective pullback. I’m watching for a pullback into a discounted zone near the fair value gap. If the price moves back into this zone, I’ll look for a bullish break of market structure as a signal to enter long. This plan emphasizes patience and the importance of waiting for a favorable entry rather than chasing an extended move. As always, this is my personal strategy and not financial advice. Proper risk management and discretion are essential.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
3
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 26, 2025 GBPUSDGBPUSD: The GBP/USD pair is building on last week's strong upward movement and gaining positive momentum during Monday's Asian session. This momentum is lifting spot prices above the 1.3550 level, to the highest level since February 2022, and is supported by a combination of factors. The British Pound (GBP) continues to show relative outperformance on the back of Friday's favourable UK retail sales data, which showed that consumer spending remains a bright spot despite the gloomy economic outlook. This, along with higher-than-expected inflation in April, fuelled speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) will take a pause at its next meeting on 18 June and will not be in a rush to reduce borrowing costs further. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, continues to struggle to attract meaningful buyers amid concerns that the tax and spending bill will increase the US budget deficit at a faster pace than previously expected. Furthermore, growing confidence that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will further cut interest rates in 2025 has driven the Dollar to near one-month lows and is fuelling positive movement in GBP/USD. This week, investors will face the release of important US macroeconomic data, with the release of Durable Goods Orders data on Tuesday and preliminary GDP data on Thursday. These data, as well as the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday and the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index on Friday, may provide insight into the prospects of a Fed rate cut, which will have an impact on the USD and GBP/USD. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3590, SL 1.3570, TP 1.3690
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
PERHAPS IT'S TIME TO STOP SHORTING GBPUSD LONG FORECAST W22 Y25PERHAPS IT'S TIME TO STOP SHORTING GBPUSD LONG FORECAST W22 Y25 Hey traders ✌️ welcome to your market analysis by FRGNT! 🙌 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 💡Trade confluences provided during the week 📝 ✅Bullish weekly close above recent highs & Orderblock ✅ Within Weekly Orderblock. Potential shorts after bearish price action. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
by JCFRGNT
GBP/USD bullish run still going?This week’s analysis for GU is centred around the current pro-trend momentum and where we could see potential entries to continue riding it. To begin with, there’s a refined 3D supply zone located at a premium level which could cause a short-term bearish reaction. I’ll be monitoring this area for any possible short setups — but only with strong confirmation. However, the overall structure remains predominantly bullish, as shown by a series of higher highs and higher lows, along with significant breaks of structure. The most relevant point of interest for a bullish continuation sits around the 1.34200 level, where a clean 9H demand zone resides. This is where I’ll be looking to enter long positions if price retraces to that area. Confluences for GU Buys: - Clear formation of higher highs and higher lows, confirming bullish structure - Strong 9H demand zone that initiated the recent break of structure - Liquidity above still yet to be cleared - DXY remains bearish, supporting continued bullish momentum on GBP/USD P.S. Don’t get too caught up chasing countertrend moves. The real edge lies in identifying the nearest POI that aligns with the overall trend and waiting for your setup to unfold there.
Long
by Hassan_fx
4
GBPUSD Trend Analysis On The 4H Chart Profit SurgingThe GBPUSD currency pair, as observed on the 4-hour timeframe, is currently exhibiting signs of a potential bullish reversal, with a suggested entry near the 1.32696 price level. This analysis outlines retracement considerations, key target levels, and invalidation criteria based on technical structure and price behavior. ✦ Current Market Overview As of May 18, 2025, GBPUSD is priced at 1.32696. The market has formed a recent consolidation structure, showing attempts to hold above key support. The setup presented encourages buying opportunities based on the expectation of a bullish continuation or breakout from the current price zone. ✦ Retracement Zone and Entry Strategy The green highlighted area on the chart represents the **retracement or demand zone**. If price dips into this area, it is seen as a potential accumulation point for buyers. Key takeaways include: • **Retracement Zone Range**: Approximated between **1.31394** (low) and the lower edge of the green zone. • **Candle Close Below Green Zone**: If price closes below this zone, the bullish setup becomes invalid. • **Stop Loss (SL)**: Set at 20 pips below entry to minimize downside risk.
Long
by MYWORLD115
GBP/USD - Triangle Breakout (23.05.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3502 2nd Resistance – 1.3534 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
64