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Gbpusdlong

GBP/USD Nears Monthly Low as Fed Maintain Interest Rate FirmnessThe Pound Sterling (GBP) continued its decline against the US Dollar (USD) for the third consecutive trading day on Monday. The GBP/USD pair is currently hovering near its monthly low, around 1.2660, as the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish stance on interest rates maintains the US Dollar's strength. Fundamental Analysis Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Outlook The Fed's current position is to reduce interest rates only once this year. However, financial markets are speculating that the Fed might implement two rate cuts and begin unwinding its restrictive policy framework starting from the September meeting, with potential subsequent cuts in November or December. This speculation is driven by the soft US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports for May, which have increased expectations for early rate cuts. Impact on GBP/USD The Fed’s firm stance on maintaining higher interest rates supports the US Dollar's appeal, exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair. Despite the market's expectations for rate cuts, the immediate outlook for the USD remains strong, making it difficult for the GBP to gain ground. Technical Analysis Divergence and Support Levels Despite the bearish trend, technical analysis reveals that the GBP/USD pair is showing a divergence on the H4 timeframe. Divergence occurs when the price movement contradicts the signal from technical indicators, often suggesting a potential reversal or slowdown in the current trend. The current price action is also situated in a demand area of support, which aligns with the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. These Fibonacci levels are commonly used to identify potential support and resistance zones where price reversals might occur. Trading Strategy Given the technical setup, we have identified a range area where the price is currently trading. Although the pair has seen a significant drop, the divergence and support confluence suggest a potential for a reversal or at least a temporary stabilization. To manage risk effectively, a stop loss is placed just below the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci support levels. This ensures that if the price breaks through these key support areas, it signals a clear change in the main trend, and the trade can be exited with minimal losses.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
GBPUSD - Short from bearish order block !!Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD. Technical analysis: As we can see here price broke the structure and now I will look for short position. If price continues the retracement and fills the imbalance higher, then rejects from bearish order block, I will open a short. Fundamental analysis: This week on Wednesday (GMT+3) we will see results of CPI on GBP and on Thursday - Interest rate, news with high impact on currency. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
2
GBP/USD: Assessing Momentum and Pullback OpportunitiesGBP/USD gained significant bullish momentum on Wednesday, reaching its highest level since early March, climbing above 1.2850. The pair managed to sustain most of its gains throughout the day, closing in positive territory for the third consecutive session. However, in the late American session, some of these gains were pared back. Early Thursday, GBP/USD is struggling to preserve its bullish momentum and is trading below 1.2800, around 1.2785 as I write this article. This recent upward movement is attributed to a combination of factors. Firstly, the broader market sentiment has been relatively positive, providing support to the GBP/USD pair. Secondly, the British Pound has benefited from the recent economic data, which has been relatively strong, suggesting that the UK economy is recovering at a steady pace. On the other hand, the US Dollar has been under pressure due to expectations that the Federal Reserve might adopt a more cautious approach to future interest rate hikes, especially after recent comments from Fed officials and economic data pointing towards a potential slowdown in the US economy. From a technical perspective, the Pound is in a clear uptrend against the USD. The price is positioned above the major moving averages, indicating strong bullish sentiment. Additionally, the Stochastic indicator has moved out of the oversold condition, signaling that there might be more room for the pair to rise. The recent price action has created a bullish structure, with higher highs and higher lows being formed on the chart. We are currently looking for a potential pullback to the Fibonacci retracement area, which could provide a new buying opportunity for traders. This pullback could help consolidate recent gains and provide a base for the next bullish impulse. The key levels to watch on the downside include the 1.2750 and 1.2700 support areas, which could act as a strong barrier against further declines. On the upside, if the pair can break above the recent high of 1.2850, it could open the door for further gains towards 1.2900 and beyond. In summary, while GBP/USD has shown strong bullish momentum recently, it is currently facing some resistance around the 1.2800 level. However, from a technical standpoint, the uptrend remains intact, and a pullback to the Fibonacci area could offer a good buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the ongoing bullish trend. The overall market sentiment, economic data, and central bank policies will continue to play a crucial role in determining the future direction of the pair.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
GBPUSD - Look for Continuation Long (SWING) 1:2!The price is forming a symmetrical triangle on the higher time frame with strong bullish momentum. This could be boosted by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) USD news once the US market opens. As we can see, the final wave is almost complete and reaching the top descending line. If this line breaks due to the news, we may see a strong continuation to the next valid Resistance level. Disclaimer: This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
Long
by S-Fx_
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThis video dissects the recent market trends and economic data that have been impacting the Pound Sterling and the US Dollar. Last Friday, data revealed a positive turn in UK house prices for May, following a couple of months of decline. However, all eyes were on the report on US inflation, which significantly influenced price movements. The Pound Sterling (GBP) demonstrated signs of recovery, particularly after the monthly United States core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data for April fell short of expectations. With underlying inflation growing at a slower rate than anticipated. Additionally, the downwardly revised GDP estimates have weighed on the US Dollar and increased the speculation on the likelihood of the Fed reducing interest rates in September, with estimates surpassing the 50% mark. Shifting focus to the United Kingdom, the survey of economic outlook conducted by Lloyds Bank highlighted easing price pressures and strong expectations surrounding the Bank of England (BoE) potentially initiating interest rate reductions earlier than anticipated hereby bolstering business optimism. In this video, we navigated the current market dynamic to unravel the potential direction of price action in the coming week as market participants digest the implications of the economic data from both economies GBPUSD Technical Analysis: Will the pound hold above $1.27000? Watch this video for key trades this week. We analyze trends and levels for market insights. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading! Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
Buy GBP/USD Triangle Breakout The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2796. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.2835 2nd Resistance – 1.2858 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.2750. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Opportunity Breakdown: Triangle Breakout: Price action recently broke above a bullish triangle, a continuation pattern suggesting further upside potential. Retest Confirmation: The price has retested the broken resistance line of the triangle and held, indicating strong buying pressure. This retest adds confidence to the breakout. Ichimoku Cloud Support: The current price sits comfortably above the Ichimoku cloud, a technical indicator that often signals bullish momentum when the price is above the cloud. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9
GBPUSD Bullish on a broader view1.5 years ago FX:GBPUSD Took a hit and dropped to its All time low at around 1.03 then it turned back around after that hit and since then it has been on a bullish run. On 6M 12M and 1M frames I can say that the bullish trend for the pair is still intact with targets at TP1 - 1.28800 TP2- 1.31100 TP3 - 1.36800 On the downside the exchange rate will stop at SL1- 1.23198 SL2- 1.21021 SL3 -1.18000 *******************************************************************************88 Do your own analysis and use hardstop order
Long
by alonso780
dollar Index to fall towards 101, 100Dollar index has been weak on recent weeks and this move is likely to continue. I expect XETR:DAX to continue falling towards it's previous support and resistance levels at around 102, 101 then 100 If this move happens then it is good news for pairs like FX:EURUSD and FX:GBPUSD as they are all set to drift north. Fundamentally news have been against the dollar recently. On monday 3rd we had US ISM Manufacturing figures which came lower than expected. Today 4thmay24 their is JOLTS Job opening report which is also expected to be lower and this will be a negative driver for $dax. Always do your own research before pulling and shots . Use a hard stop loss and good luck. Check my socials and follow for updates
TVC:DXYShort
by alonso780