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Gbpusdprediction

GBPUSD → Two Sell Signal Bars! Time to Short? Let's Answer.GBPUSD gave us more upward price action to finish last week and thus far has failed to break the neckline. The Weekly chart shows two wicks over the 200EMA, but not a clean break. Should we short here? How do we trade this?  🤔 We do not yet have the justification to short for several reasons. Most important, we're lacking a confirmation bar below the 200EMA. We have the two sell bars, but notice the last Daily candle from last week, it's a strong buy bar near a resistance line. A buy bar at a resistance line is not a buy signal because the context doesn't support a buy here. Buy bars this late in the game are often indicative of a potential reversal. The bulls tried to buy after a quick dip in price but failed to close above the 200EMA. This is a sign of potential weakness, key word: *potential*. That weakness needs to be confirmed with a strong bear bar closing on or near its low. Such a dip will likely bring us to the 30EMA where I would expect some support. My preference would be to wait for that price action to either close below the 30EMA, or come back up to the Resistance Zone (as depicted) and fail again to confirm the short entry. Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for the required price action. 💡  Trade Idea  💡 Short Entry: $2,225 🟥 Stop Loss: $2,510 ✅ Take Profit: $1,940 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1 🔑  Key Takeaways  🔑 1. Two Sell Signals at Resistance Zone 2. Failed to break 200EMA 3. Watch for Bear Close Below 200EMA and a re-test of Resistance Zone. 4. Look for Strong Bear Signal at Resistance to Short. 5. RSI near 58.00 above Moving Average, Contradicts Short Bias. 💰  Trading Tip  💰 A buy bar in isolation (bull candle with a large wick on the bottom) is a bullish bar. But bars in isolation are irrelevant when it comes to addressing a chart. Context is everything and when a buy bar appears near a Resistance Zone at what is possibly the end of a trend, it should not be considered a buy signal, but potentially a sign of weakness before the bears take over. ⚠️  Risk Warning!  ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Short
by TraderEngineering
GBPUSD Shorts from 1.28000 down towards demand This pair continues to grab my attention, particularly as it approaches my 10-hour supply zone. I anticipate a redistribution and subsequent sell-off targeting the equal lows. It's important to note that this is a counter-trend trade aimed at capturing a temporary downward movement to a more favourable demand. Given the substantial liquidity at the newly identified 4-hourly demand zone, my strategy involves patiently waiting for the equal lows to be swept, filling the imbalance, and eventually triggering a reaction off the prominent 11-hour demand zone. However, I will assess price behaviour within the 4-hour zone, considering it as the closest opportunity for potential buys. Confluences for GBPUSD Sells are as follows: - Price has swept liquidity to the upside and now price is slowing down - Bullish pressure is now getting exhausted as you can see from the candlesticks. - Price has filled in an imbalance just below our 10-hour supply zone. - There is lots of liquidity to the downside that needs to get taken like equal lows. - Price is due for a pullback to enter a level of demand if price wants to keep pushing higher. - Overall on the higher time frame the market is bearish and I do see the dollar rising just a little more. P.S. As price steadily advances, this serves as additional confirmation that it is likely to react off the nearby supply zone. Consequently, I anticipate a Wyckoff distribution to unfold. Have a great week ahead traders!
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD Longs from 1.25400 back up!GBPUSD once again is in a very good place right now and opportunities are looking very good. even though I have marked out two scenarios I will focus on the buy opportunity that could potentially play out. For this i'm expecting price to descend to take out the equal lows and fill in the imbalance. From there I will be expecting a wyckoff accumulation to present itself within my 11hr demand zone. Once price changes character and leaves a clean entry point I will be looking to buy back up to the supply zone which sits above the equal highs and imbalance. From there I will be anticipating a good bearish reaction from as price would have swept lots of liquidity. Confluences for GBPUSD Longs are as follows: - Bullish pressure weakens, evident in a CHOCH and confirmed by a BOS - A 11hr demand zone below triggered a break of structure to the upside. - The market trend is bullish, aligning with this idea. - Imbalance above the demand signals favourable reaction at my POI. - Abundant liquidity above, including trend lines and untouched Asian highs. - Price needs to dip to a significant demand level for an upward rally to persist. - Triple Equal lows above my zone, once liquidity is swept we can expect a nice reaction. P.S. I do see a close 4hr demand but the reason why I didn't highlight that one in this post is because I expect it to fail. The relative triple equal lows below it makes this POI not a good one so I will rather wait for the most extreme lying at the more discounted area.
Long
by Hassan_fx
2
GBPUSD → Falling From Resistance! Should We Long or Short??GBPUSD touched the Resistance Zone and fell into the 30EMA ribbon, putting a slight pause on the fall. Will the price fall further or are we about to make contact with the Resistance Zone again? How do we trade this? 🤔 I do not believe a short is reasonable here because we don't have enough bear strength on the chart. Wait for another rejection at Resistance or wait for the price to fall and find support to enter a long. There are two potential long entries, at the Support Zone around 1.21150 and above the current Resistance Zone around 1.29. Both zones need to establish support and show confirmation to justify a long entry. This includes a bull signal bar closing on or near its high followed by a strong bull candle closing on or near its high. Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for a better opportunity! 💡 Trade Ideas 💡 Long Entry: 1.21150 🟥 Stop Loss: 1.18650 ✅ Take Profit: 1.26150 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 Long Entry: 1.29000 🟥 Stop Loss: 1.26450 ✅ Take Profit: 1.34100 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long. 2. Macro Trend is Bearish, Use Caution at Weekly 200EMA. 3. If in Short Position, hold until Support Zone. 4. If not in a Position, Wait until Support to Long. 5. RSI near 53.00 under Moving Average, Bias to Short. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Long
by TraderEngineering
GBPUSD Longs from 1.26500 Up towards 1.28000This GBPUSD scenario catches my attention due to the intriguing structure that price has formed. Presently, my strategy involves waiting for a slight dip in price to reach the Asian low and touch my 10hr demand zone. Following this, I anticipate a Wyckoff accumulation process, providing an opportunity for a buy position targeting the 10hr supply zone located within the psychological level of 1.28000. In the event that price decides to rise first, my inclination would be toward short-term sells initiated from the same 10hr supply zone, with the aim of guiding it down toward the demand. Additionally, my interest is piqued by the backup zones, where substantial liquidity is visible near my Points of Interest (POIs), offering reliable areas for potential trading opportunities. Confluences for GBPUSD Buys are as follows: - Unmitigated 10hr Demand zone has been left which caused a major BOS to the upside. - Temporary trend is also bullish as price has broken structure once again. - DXY is still looking bearish meaning that GBPUSD is expected to rise. - Asian low on top of demand is a good sign as price will sweep liquidity before entering. - In order for price to continue in its bullish course, it must ideally react off a demand level. P.S. As the current market conditions remain in equilibrium, my approach is to wait for price to reach either a discounted or premium level. Given the ongoing short retracement and the presence of liquidity below, I anticipate the demand to be mitigated first at the discounted price. However, I acknowledge the possibility of price reaching my 10hr supply, in which case, I would opt for selling positions to capture a downward movement. HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
Long
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD Longs from 1.26500 or 1.25500This week's forecast for GBPUSD involves waiting for additional selling pressure to occur before considering buys around the two nearby demand zones I've identified (10-hour and 11-hour). Following the recent reaction from a 7-hour supply, as the price is currently descending, I am anticipating the exhaustion of selling pressure and the accumulation of price. Upon confirmation of a Wyckoff accumulation, validated by a CHOCH within my demand zone, I will be prompted to initiate buy positions aligned with the prevailing bullish trend in GBPUSD. Additionally, there is notable liquidity to the upside, including engineered liquidity and untouched Asian highs. Confluences for GBPUSD Buys are as follows: - There are two demand zones (the 10hr and the 11hr) that price could react off. - Lots of liquidity in the form of engineering liquidity and asian highs. - This idea aligns with the temporary bullish trend that GU has generated. - Selling pressure is slowly getting exhausted and is pending an accumulation. - For price to continue going higher and create a new leg it must react off a near demand. P.S. While acknowledging the temporary bullish trend in place, it's important to recognize the overall bearish trend for this pair. This implies that eventually, the price will reach a certain supply level, triggering a significant bearish movement. However, for the present moment, it's crucial to adapt and align with the current bullish trend.
Long
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD Longs from 1.25500 up towards 1.28500The current bias for GBPUSD this week is interesting, particularly as it has once again broken structure to the upside, enhancing the favourability of a bullish bias. At the current price, our focus as traders should revolve around how to capitalise on this development. Notably, there are two demand zones (11-hour and 3-hour) that triggered this impulsive upward movement. Identifying these zones as my Points of Interest (POIs) for potential buys, I plan to wait for a pullback, influenced by its interaction with the previous 4-hour supply zone. Given the respectable reaction observed on Friday, I now anticipate a bearish push downward to address any imbalances left from the previous week. Subsequently, I expect a Wyckoff accumulation to unfold within our POIs, providing the opportunity to enter our buy positions. Confluences for GBPUSD Buys are as follows: - Price has just recently broke structure to the upside again validating a bullish bias. - Lots of liquidity of still left above in the form of asian highs and trend line liquidity. - Nice unmitigated demand zones left on the 11hr and 3hr (TF) that have caused the BOS. - Dollar index is still very much so bearish as well and I'm expecting more downside. - The price also responded to my 4-hour supply zone last week, and this event could serve as the catalyst for a retracement, paving the way for a new upward movement. P.S. While the general bias for GBPUSD leans bearish, the consistent Breaks of Structure (BOS) strongly support the overarching downward trend of the dollar index. Presently, my focus is on identifying optimal bullish setups. However, if the price enters a significant supply level, I won't rule out the possibility of considering short-term sell positions. Let me know what you guys think of your GBPUSD overview, don't hesitate to drop a comment below !
Long
by Hassan_fx
2
GBP/USD Longs from 1.25000 up to 1.26200GU exhibits an overall bearish trend on the higher time frame (HTF) but has recently shown a bullish uptrend in the past weeks. Consequently, my strategy involves seeking buying opportunities leading up to the next marked supply zone, followed by potential selling positions as the price retraces. I anticipate a potential dip, possibly reaching 50% of the 16-hour demand or even entering the 10-hour zone below it. However, these zones are expected to prompt an impulsive upward movement that will extend into our 4-hour supply level. Observing the current setup, there's notable liquidity situated above the present price, and it is likely that the price will sweep through this area before initiating a bearish reaction. Given the temporary bullish trend, it wouldn't be surprising if the price surpasses the 4-hour demand zone, considering the strong bullish momentum evident in the candlestick anatomy. Confluences for GBPUSD buys are as follows: - Price has tapped into 16hr demand zone and has caused an initial reaction upwards. - Wyckoff accumulation has already been forming and just needs the Asian lows to be swept. - POI has caused a break of structure to the upside and has also swept liquidity. - Dollar is also looking bearish still so I'm still bullish for this pair at the moment. - Liquidity lying above in the form of Asian lows and trendline liquidity. P.S Ideally, I prefer the price to retest the 16-hour demand, eliminating the remaining Asian low within that zone and triggering the 0.78 Fibonacci range associated with the "Break Of Structure." This sequence would enhance the buying scenario by nullifying any potential reversal influences and positioning the price within a more refined and respected zone, as emphasized by the 16-hour demand.
Long
by Hassan_fx
2
GBPUSD → Will We Reject Here!? A Potential Drop to 1.21!GBPUSD has made contact with the resistance zone, as predicted from last week's analysis. We're now faced with a decision to short or wait on the sidelines for more price action. How do we trade this? 🤔 It is not reasonable to short just yet because we do not have a sell signal! We're currently at the resistance level but without a confirmation of rejection, there is no justification to short without imposing too much risk. Enter after another sell signal, then 1:2 risk ratio down to the bottom of the trading range around 1.22000. If the price breaks resistance, wait for it to confirm support on the resistance zone then look for a long entry off of a bull signal and confirmation bar. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Short Entry: 1.26670 🟥 Stop Loss: 1.29000 ✅ Take Profit: 1.22000 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long. 2. Price Currently at Resistance Zone, Look for a Reversal Signal. 3. If Shorting, Watch the 200EMA for Support. 4. If Break Resistance, wait for New Support Confirmation. 5. RSI near 70.00, Bias to Short. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Short
by TraderEngineering
GBPUSD Imminent sells towards 1.225500GBPUSD Is still bullish due to the continuous break of structures to the upside however, It has tapped into a nice supply which I expect to cause a correction back down to a demand level at 1.225500. This is an opportunity I will be looking to take soon as market opens therefore, I will be waiting for a CHOCH to validate my Wyckoff distrubution and I will be waiting for a sweep of the asian high before I consider imminent sell positions. As price is currently In a clean 15hr supply that has caused a BOS to the downside, I would be expecting price to have some sort of reaction, hence why I am anticipating a pull back so we can end up continuing our bullish bias upwards. My confluences for GBPUSD shorts are as follows: - Price tapped into 15hr supply zone that broke structure to the downside. - Overall trend of the market on the higher time Frame like (monthly) is still bearish. - Price distributing currently pending a CHOCH to validate our sell position bias. - Price requires a pullback of some sort due to the recent impulsive moves to the upside. - For price to continue in its bullish trend it will need to form a correction and tap in demand. - Price has swept lots of liquidity to the upside, enough to move the markets back down. P.S. Even though price has entered a supply, this is just a short term trade idea in order to sell down towards a demand. This is where we will be looking to buy the market back up again in order to catch a pro trend trade. Hope you guys found this post insightful, HAPPY TRADING!
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSD → Reverse to the Downside This Week!? Or Blast Upward?GBPUSD is flirting with the resistance zone, leaving the bulls wondering if another fall in this trading range is upon us this week. But is the dollar strong enough to take the British Pound into the ground? How do we trade this? The price is currently in a trading range between 1.20000 and 1.28000 and we're getting close to the resistance zone where the Weekly 200EMA resides. If you're not already in a trade, it's worth waiting to see what happens at the resistance zone. A bear signal bar closing on or near its low below the resistance line is a good indicator that the price will fail to rise above again and would be a reasonable short. Stop loss above the resistance zone top and take profit just above the Support Zone around 1.21000. If the price finds its way above the resistance lines and closes a bull candle on or near its high, it would be reasonable to long with a protective stop just below the resistance zone. Target prices as high as 1.33000 and 1.40000. Key Takeaways 1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long. 2. Near the Resistance Zone, Look for a Reversal Signal. 3. If Shorting, Watch the 200EMA for Support. 4. The Dollar Index may fall more, wait for the bottom. 5. RSI near 70.00, Bias to Short. You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk! If you found this analysis helpful, click the Boost button and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Short
by TraderEngineering
GBPUSD Shorts from 1.25500 down towards 1.24000This bias for GBPUSD this week is not as clean in terms of price entering an ideal zone however, it's still a possibility that could happen so let's look at how we could sell GU. As we know this market has been in a small uptrend recently but, I am still overall bearish (looking at the HTFs) Therefore, I would be waiting for price to enter a near by supply so we can at least sell down towards a demand zone to continue the temporary bullish trend. Currently, it is approaching a 9hr supply that has caused a small BOS to the downside and price will require some sort of pull back to continue going upwards, hence why this is a counter trend idea. We are also reaching a psychological level of 1.25500 which is another good sign to anticipate a reaction, as this would tell us if price would want to retrace or keep pushing higher. Confluences for GBPUSD shorts are as follows: - Price approaching 9hr supply zone that has caused a BOS to the downside. - The zone also lies between a psychological key figure of 1.25500. - Pending correction is likely to happen due to the impulse move that has been taken place. - Lots of liquidity left below in the form of asian lows and there is huge imbalances as well. - Overall market trend for GU is bearish according to the monthly/weekly time frame. - Price has swept lots of liquidity already to the upside and momentum is dying down slowly. P.S. As price still looks pretty bullish I won't be surprised if this zone doesn't hold however, there is also better supply zones above like the 15hr which looks more probable. For now we will wait for our Wyckoff distribution to play out & see if price gives us an entry model for sells.
Short
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSD Long towards 1.22800 (possibly higher)For today's GU breakdown I will be looking for buys from current price as it has tapped in a nice 6hr demand zone that has caused a BOS to the upside. As we have seen from last week's GU analysis we did anticipate scenario (A) to play out and it did so perfectly. Now, we are looking for buys back up as it has filled in the major imbalances left from before. On Monday I will be looking for a clean entry where I can continue this trend that GU has set to the upside, possibly causing another rally to the upside and a new BOS. In addition to this, the zone also lies between the 0.78 fib range which is a good confluence that price will respect this AOI. As this is an uptrend I can also expect price to push past the 11hr supply (where the take profit target is) and mitigate the extreme supply above it. Confluences for GBPUSD Longs are as follows: - 6hr demand zone lies between the 0.78 range on the fib tool. - Demand zone has also broken structure to the upside following short term bullish trend. - Price has completed a wyckoff accumulation schematic and CHOCH'd to the upside. - Lots of liquidity lying above i.e. asian highs and imbalances that need to be filled. - Dollar index also looking bearish as well good confluence for GU to then push upwards. - A lot of rejection candles inside zone as well as a consolidation (good sign that price is going to respect that POI.) P.S. I am still temporarily bullish, but my overall bias is bearish (looking at the monthly/weekly time frames.) Price has also slowed down and sells are getting exhausted hence the consolidation In our POI. I would be looking to see how this plays out on Monday before CPI, then re assess my next potential trading setups for the rest of the week.
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
GBPUSD short term Shorts to 1.22000GBPUSD has a similar bias to EU so im also currently looking for a sell setup to form to take price down towards an area of demand. This counter trend trade will allow us to catch a move before we end up buying alongside the bullish order flow at around the 1.22000 mark. Scenario (A) - Price is currently reacting off our 6hr supply zone that we have marked out, this is were im expecting for price to fully complete a wyckoff distribution schematic and change character. As there has been an impulsive move to the upside it has left imbalances that im expecting to get filled. This will be a retracement as price has already expanded to the upside. Scenario (B) - Is that price will continue to push higher and fail this zone to then mitigate the imbalance that is sitting just below the 9hr supply. From there, my next AOI will be at that level of supply to sell at a more premium price. My confluences for GBPUSD shorts are as follows: - Overall trend on the HTF (weekly/monthly) is bearish. - Price tapped in to a 6hr supply zone and there is a daily supply just above. - Momentum is slowing down expecting price to distribute and choch to the downside. - Imbalances were left below due to NFP news so im expecting it to get filled via a pullback. - For price to continue in its recent bullish trend im expecting price to come back to those demand levels below at 1.22000. P.S. Either way the purporse behind these short term sells is to ride price back down towards areas of demand like the 6hr or the 1hr and then buy from there. This bias is also backed by the dollar index as you can see in that analysis post.
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD LONG TERM BUY IDEAAug 28 Hello Traders In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today GBPUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the ChartS
Long
by ForexPlanet20
GBPUSD forming H&S in Daily Timeframe.GBPUSD is now heading towards an important level after breaking the recent small head and shoulders support/neckline around 1.25900, we expect the price to fall at the market open to this level at $1.23250, basically the market has already had broken the ascending channel at $1.27900 due to the head and shoulders formation. The "Head" - @1.31280 and shoulders price level can be seen at @$1.28050. This pattern is clearly seen on the lower time frames - 4H and H1 and the market appears to be making another head and shoulders formation and this tells us that more bearish market is on the way. 🔥: GBPUSD SETUP: NEUTRAL 🔥BUY ZONE: $1.23180 🔴SL: - $1.2285 🟢TP - $1.2601 Next 🔥SELL Zone: $1.2678 🔴SL: - Open 🟢TP - $1.2340 🟢TP - $1.1992
Long
by FKW-Millions
GBPUSDPrice have been in a bearish momentum for a while now. Although it is too early to say, price looks like it is forming a double bottom at this time and if that holds, we just might see a push up towards the 1.27500 area. But then again, it is too early to decide that as price could continue to push lower. Before I make a trading decision, either bullish or bearish, here is what I would love to see: I will go long IF AND ONLY IF Price breaks above the immediate resistance around the 1.25003 area and retests same zone. I will short the market IF AND ONLY IF Price breaks below the immediate support around the 1.24507 and retests same zone Until either one happens, we keep the fingers crossed and wait for the move. Disclaimer: All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
by Mbjoey