GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe British Pound gains significant traction as the UK Office for National Statistics reports a rebound in Retail Sales for July, with monthly and annual figures rising by 0.5% and 1.4% respectively. This momentum comes ahead of the Bank of England’s (BoE) crucial September monetary policy meeting, where decisions could hinge on the sharp decline in service sector inflation and a surprising drop in the Unemployment Rate, signalling an expanding economy.
On the US front, jobless claims continue to fall for the second consecutive week, challenging the earlier Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data that suggested a weaker labor market. Market speculation for large rate cuts has eased, yet expectations for a dovish Federal Reserve decision in September remain strong, with policymakers signalling comfort with upcoming interest-rate cuts.
With these recent developments, the GBPUSD remains in a volatile state. The rebound in UK retail sales and the positive signals from the US labor market suggests that there is potential for further gains for the British pound. However, the BoE's policy decision and the Fed's stance on interest rates will be key factors to watch in the coming weeks.
How will buyers and sellers position themselves in the coming week?
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will buyers break above $1.29500 next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gbpusdsetup
Is the Rally Over? GBPUSD Peaking Is a Major Reversal Imminent?Is GBPUSD setting up for a massive reversal, or are we on the brink of one final explosive push above 1.31?
We've seen quite a rally this month with GBPUSD, as it cleanly broke through the 1.30 level this week, climbing above 1.31 yesterday and hitting a 2023 high, which is now acting as resistance.
So, what's next?
At 1.313, we've reached last year’s high, where we previously witnessed a massive 1100-pip drop down to 1.20 in just a few months. If you look at the daily chart below, you’ll notice a rising wedge pattern has formed over the past few months.
Is a SELL-OFF imminent? The current bullish move is highly overextended and extremely overbought on the higher timeframes. Zooming into the 4-hour charts, we can see clear signs of momentum slowing down as we approach this key resistance zone.
In the 4-hour chart below, the highlighted area shows how momentum is fading as we near the SELL Zone, with each new push higher being sharply sold off before one final surge into the resistance area.
This is a classic indication that a reversal is likely on the horizon. If you compare it to the 4-hour chart from last year’s sell-off, you’ll see the same pattern: a huge surge followed by a couple of brief pauses, then one last push into the resistance zone before selling off.
Given all this, the next likely move for this pair is to the downside over the coming days or weeks. We might see one final push above 1.31, but I expect the market to sell off toward the wedge trendline around 1.28. If that level breaks, a move down toward 1.25 could be on the cards.
This setup has a high probability, given the overextended upward move, extreme overbought conditions on the higher timeframes, and slowing momentum on the 4-hour charts—all occurring as we approach a significant Weekly SELL ZONE where we saw a 1100-pip move last year.
I’ll be looking to sell this pair on a move above 1.31 again or on the first 4-hour signal from my TRFX indicator.
Let me know what you think in the comments below :)
GBPUSD: A Swing Buy Opportunity! DXY will be plummeted soon.FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD is far over from swing selling yet, our previous idea closed on breakeven, we now expect price to grow and grow big in soon time. However, we do not expect price to rise in days but in weeks or months we can see price to growing to newest higher high of the year. We ask all of you to maintain utmost risk management.
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Team SetupsFX_
#GBPUSD: 500+ PIPS Buying Opportunity! FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD, price has been bullish since last two weeks since DXY is dropping. We had expected price to drop and reject at our demand zone, however, as usd started weakening our plan did not work out as we planned. Wait, for price to fall to our area of entry and then enter with the price rejection at the demand zone.
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GBPUSD... Most expensive area of the month? Next??#GBPUSD... Market just reached at his most expensive area of the month and that is 1.2960
It's the area that is holding so many times in history you can check in week and day chart as well.
Keep close that level guys because it can change the pound next price action and overall chart point of view.
Don't hold your short above that area.
Good luck
Trade wisely
GBPUSD - Look for Continuation Short (SWING) 1:5!The price has clearly broken the HTF trendline and is making a significant correction towards the highest supply zone, taking orders before continuing the bearish trend.
Expect slower market movement as most orders have been closed for profit-taking, and no major impact news remains except on the CAD pair, which may slightly affect the USD. Regardless of the situation, proper risk management is essential!
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD: +1000 PIPS Swing Sell Entry! OANDA:GBPUSD
First expect price to rise towards the previous high, once price reach to that level we can expect it reverse as DXY will likely to bounce back from it's current bearish trend. The full trade can be divided into three phrases first 300 pips and as it follows by setting two another take profit. In total we will aim 1000 pips in long term view.
good luck.
British Pound (GBPUSD) is getting close to 2007 crash!!!
CoT index shows Commercials(blue line) are in 3-year extreme low AND Retailers(green line) are in extreme high. Almost every time we are in this situation the asset goes down. The last time was May 2021 you can see what happened afterwards.
This is the CoT indicator of commercials net positions. Commercials net position is getting close to 2007 level where the big sell off took place.
Here is the 5, 10, and 15-year seasonality trends indicating that the market typically reaches a peak around August first. Therefore, it is expected to decline from that point onward.
GBP USD Trade Setup on 30-Minute TimeframeOn the 30-minute timeframe, GBP USD has formed a bearish break and retest pattern.
Currently, there is no entry candlestick confirmation. We need to see at least a Doji and close below, a Bearish Engulfing, a Pin Bar, or a Hammer candlestick confirmation at this level before we can execute this SELL trade.
GBPUSD - Look for Continuation Long (SWING) 1:3.5!GBPUSD is closely related to XAUUSD and the DXY basket of six pairs, providing excellent confluence and confirmation opportunities for trading pairs against USD. Currently, GBPUSD has created a new high and is correcting to the nearest RBS Zone, a demand zone, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish momentum in the higher timeframe. The price doesn't seem likely to yield to sellers soon, especially considering the FED's recent decision to freeze interest rates. This suggests a forecast of continued upward movement supported by strong bearish signals and a few high-impact USD news events this week.
We'll need to observe how the market reacts to these sentiments and news impacts. Regardless, it's crucial to manage your risk wisely and wait for a clear market structure before making any moves.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe Pound Sterling (GBP) extends its correction against the US Dollar following the release of weaker-than-expected UK Retail Sales data for June, showing a monthly contraction of 1.2% against the expected 0.4% decline and the previous month's growth of 2.9%.
🔍 Key Highlights:
📉 Retail Sales Data: A significant indicator of consumer spending, the sharp decline suggests households are struggling with higher interest rates from the Bank of England (BoE).
💼 Economic Conditions: The rise in claimant count claims may indicate worsening economic conditions, favoring inflation doves on the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee.
💸 Inflation and Interest Rates: Annual inflation in the UK remained stable in June compared to May. However, the BoE points to persistently high service inflation at 5.7% and strong wage growth as barriers to cutting interest rates.
📉 BoE Rate Cuts: The probability of a rate cut by the BoE next month has declined, despite positive sentiment towards the new British government.
📊 Technical Analysis:
In this video, I illustrate the technical aspects to watch out for to navigate the current market dynamics effectively. I also discuss key levels and potential scenarios for the GBPUSD in the coming days.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain buying pressure above $1.29000? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
#GBPUSD #Forex #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #UKEconomy #BankofEngland #Inflation #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategies
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GBPUSD I Price in correction and headed for support buy zoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Strong drop possible on GBPUSDAfter a strong rejection from monthly resistance GBPUSD has changed it's local uptrend to downtrend. The price has grabbed liquidity multiple times and started to drop to order block.
as currently the price is breaking below the support, on a retest a short trade is high probable.
GBPUSD:300+ Pips A Great Buying Opportunity!Dear Traders,
GBPUSD has recently completed its corrective phase and is currently poised to establish a new yearly high. The overall bullish trend remains intact, and we anticipate further price appreciation in the coming days. However, it is important to note that several significant news events are scheduled for this week and next, which could introduce volatility into the market. Therefore, we recommend employing prudent risk management strategies when trading this pair.
Good luck and trade safe!
GBPUSD: Anticipating Bullish Momentum Towards Key ObjectivesGreetings Traders,
Current Market Analysis:
At the moment on GBPUSD, I am anticipating a bullish draw targeting key objectives. The primary focus is on the engineered trendline liquidity, followed by the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Key Observations:
Trendline Liquidity: The first objective is the engineered trendline liquidity, which is expected to contain a significant amount of buy stops. This area provides an opportunity to either scale out of positions or hold them to reach the next target.
Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG): The second objective is the Daily FVG, which serves as a key area of interest for this bullish draw.
Trading Strategy:
Current Position: I am already in a buy position taken earlier.
Potential Entry Point: There is another potential point of interest for considering long positions, as indicated on the chart above. This aligns with one of my entry models.
NOTE: Please ensure to further investigate this information before making any trading decisions.
NOTE: The possibility of price also taking out the sell stops before continuing higher. All of this needs to be consider in your trading, also the possibility of my bias being wrong. Therefore, further investigate this idea.
Refer :https://www.tradingview.com/x/FUE5vKZd/
Target Levels:
Engineered Trendline Liquidity: The primary target to observe for scaling out or holding positions.
Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG): The secondary target, serving as a significant area for the bullish draw.
Conclusion:
By understanding the current bullish institutional order flow and identifying key liquidity zones, we can effectively anticipate and execute trades on GBPUSD. The engineered trendline liquidity and Daily FVG provide strategic targets, guiding our outlook towards continued bullish momentum.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
GBPUSD: Anticipating Continued Bearish Momentum!Greetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At present, I anticipate a continued sell-side draw on GBPUSD, targeting the daily fair value gap, which serves as today's draw on liquidity. This area also contains relatively equal lows, which are known to harbor a significant amount of sell stops.
Key Observations:
Trend Continuation: The trend has predominantly been bearish coming into today's price action. Therefore, we anticipate that bearish arrays will continue to maintain the bearish institutional order flow.
H1 Bearish Order Block: One key array under observation is the H1 bearish order block. I expect this area to hold as a strong resistance zone, guiding the price towards our target area.
Trading Strategy:
Focus on Bearish Momentum: Given the current market structure, I am focusing on bearish momentum. The H1 bearish order block is anticipated to act as a significant resistance level, facilitating a move towards the daily fair value gap.
Target Levels:
Daily Fair Value Gap: The primary target is the daily fair value gap, identified as the current draw on liquidity. The presence of relatively equal lows in this area indicates a high concentration of sell stops, making it a strategic target.
Conclusion:
By understanding the prevailing bearish institutional order flow and identifying key resistance zones, we can effectively anticipate and execute trades on GBPUSD. The H1 bearish order block provides a strategic resistance level, supporting our outlook towards continued bearish momentum.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
GBPUSD: Potential Intraday Sell Opportunity!Greetings Traders,
Current Market Analysis:
At present, I am observing a potential intraday opportunity to sell off into the H1 bullish order block, which is residing in discount prices. I am already in a sell trade on GBPUSD, taken earlier.
Key Observations:
M15 Breaker Block: We have experienced a pullback into an M15 breaker block situated in premium prices. This zone presents a potential area to seek confirmations for selling opportunities, targeting the draw on liquidity, which is the H1 bullish order block.
M15 Bearish Order Block: There is also a possibility of price pushing further into premium prices, reaching the M15 bearish order block. This is another area where we can look for potential selling opportunities.
Trading Strategy:
Selling Opportunities: Focus on seeking confirmations to sell off around the M15 breaker block and the M15 bearish order block, targeting the H1 bullish order block residing in discount prices.
Target Levels:
H1 Bullish Order Block: The primary target is the H1 bullish order block, aligned with the current draw on liquidity. The aim is to see price fill the liquidity void.
Conclusion:
By understanding the current market structure and identifying key areas for potential selling opportunities, we can effectively execute intraday trades on GBPUSD. The pullback into the M15 breaker block and the possibility of reaching the M15 bearish order block provide strategic points for selling, guiding our approach towards capitalizing on intraday opportunities.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect