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GBPUSD – Rejected at Multi-Month Resistance Amid Weak UK DataGBPUSD has clearly rejected the 1.3413–1.3443 resistance zone—a key area that previously acted as strong supply in September 2024. The pair has formed a bearish rejection candle and is now showing signs of downward momentum. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.3413 – 1.3443 (major rejection zone) TP1: 1.3176 (minor structure) TP2: 1.3014 (key demand zone) TP3: 1.2890 (deeper support target) Bearish Confluences: Price rejected from major resistance Bearish candle formation Previous similar reaction from the same level Momentum indicators favor downside 📰 Fundamental Analysis: 🔻 UK Data Weakens Further: According to the latest S&P Global Flash UK PMI (Apr 23): Composite Output Index: 48.2 (vs 51.5 in March) – 29-month low Services PMI: 48.9 – 27-month low Manufacturing PMI: 44.0 – 20-month low This shows UK private sector activity contracting, led by a steep fall in new export orders, the worst since May 2020. 🔺 Inflation Still High: Despite falling activity, input and output prices surged, driven by National Insurance hikes and wage growth. This makes it harder for the BoE to justify a cut, despite recession signs. 📌 Conclusion: The bearish rejection at 1.3413 resistance, combined with deteriorating UK fundamentals, suggests a strong downside setup for GBPUSD. A break below 1.3176 would confirm the bearish move, targeting 1.3014 and potentially 1.2890.
Short
by ultreosforex
2
Analysis of GBPUSD 4 - hour ChartAnalysis of GBPUSD 4H Chart Trend Analysis From the 4 - hour chart, GBPUSD is generally in an uptrend. The price fluctuations have formed a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that the bulls are in control 🐂. Key Levels Support Area: The range of 1.3200 - 1.3240 is clearly marked as an important support area in the chart. Previously, the price has rebounded near this area multiple times, suggesting that there is strong buying pressure in this area. If the price retraces to this area again, it may present a potential opportunity to go long 💰. Target Area: 1.3420 is marked as the target area. If the price breaks through the current consolidation range and continues its upward trend, it is expected to move towards this target price level 🎯. Trading Strategy Long - position Strategy: When the price retraces to the 1.3200 - 1.3240 support area and a bullish candlestick pattern appears, one may consider entering a long position. Set the stop - loss just below the support area, and target the 1.3420 target area 📈. ⚡⚡⚡ GBPUSD ⚡⚡⚡ 🚀 Buy@1.32000 - 1.32400 🚀 TP 1.33500 - 1.34000 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Long
by Sovereign-
1
As the dollar's weak trend signals an endTrump's remarks and attitudes in trade negotiations have had a significant impact on the market 📈💥 His change in attitude towards the Federal Reserve Chairman first triggered investors' concerns about the Fed's policy, leading them to seek refuge in gold and causing the price of gold to rise 🏆🚀. Later, his remarks alleviated those concerns, prompting funds to flow back into dollar-denominated assets and causing the price of gold to decline from its peak levels 📉💔 In terms of trade negotiations, potential easing measures may reduce the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset ⏳ Taken together, these factors may imply that market confidence in the dollar has been somewhat restored 🌟. When signs of the end of the dollar's weak trend emerge 📊, more funds flow into dollar assets 💸. Against the backdrop of this change in the direction of capital flows, the GBPUSD has declined 😔 ⚡⚡⚡ GBPUSD ⚡⚡⚡ 🚀 Sell@1.32800 - 1.32600 🚀 TP 1.32200 - 1.32000 The market has been extremely volatile lately 📈📉 If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others 💰
Short
by Sovereign-
1
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅15’ order block created ✅15’ wick rejections via order block ✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅1’ break of structure ✅1’ bearish engulfing candle fill ✅Sell limit order on the 1’ candle fill 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD trade setup.This chart shows a GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar) trading setup on the 1-hour timeframe, with a bearish outlook. 📊 Chart Analysis Trend: Recently bearish after a previous uptrend. Entry Zone: Area between approximately 1.33233 and 1.33317. Setup Type: Sell/Short Trade Setup 🔍 Key Zones Entry Zone (Supply/Resistance Area): Marked as "entry zone". This is the expected area where price might retrace to before dropping again. Target Zone: Arrow points down towards 1.32377, suggesting this is the Take Profit (TP) level. Stop Loss (SL): Slightly above the entry zone, near 1.33476, indicating risk management in case price continues upward. 🧠 Trade Idea Summary Type: Short/Sell Entry: Wait for price to re-enter the marked "entry zone" (~1.33233 - 1.33317). Stop Loss: Above 1.33476. Take Profit: Around 1.32377. Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the potential profit zone (green area) is larger than the risk (red area).
Short
by m_zeeshan3644
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 1' ENTRY MODEL EDUCATIONGBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 1' ENTRY MODEL EDUCATION Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅15’ order block created ✅15’ wick rejections via order block ✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅1’ break of structure ✅1’ bearish engulfing candle fill ✅Sell limit order on the 1’ candle fill ✅Sell limit order via 1' order block created upon 1' break of structure 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
by JCFRGNT
1
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Let’s see if sellers step in.GBP/USD Trade Update: Holding My Sell at 1.32480 I entered a sell trade at 1.32480, expecting a reversal based on key technical and fundamental setups. But with GBP/USD now sitting at 1.33814, I have to reassess market conditions while still staying true to my trading approach. Fundamental Overview – Why I Still Favor Downside This week’s economic events could create volatility, and I’m paying close attention to: UK PMI (April 23): Expected declines in Manufacturing (44.1) and Services (51.0) suggest economic weakness, which could weigh on GBP. US Durable Goods Orders (April 24): Mixed expectations—headline at +1.8%, but ex-defense and transportation are negative, meaning uncertainty in USD strength. UK Retail Sales (April 25): Forecasted at -0.3%, signaling weaker consumer spending. This aligns with my sell bias, as slowing UK economic data could trigger renewed selling pressure. If the UK data disappoints, GBP/USD could struggle to hold higher levels, reinforcing my trade. Technical & Price Action Analysis Resistance Holding at 1.342–1.345: Strong resistance is forming here. If bulls fail to push past this zone, my sell trade could still play out. Wick formations near this level suggest some rejection, but confirmation is needed. Key Support Levels for a Potential Drop: 1.330–1.331 (Flipped Resistance, Now Support) – Watching if price retests this zone. 1.326–1.327 (Major Support) – If momentum shifts, price could revisit this area. 1.321 (Stronger Support) – If price weakens further, this becomes my downside target. Momentum is slowing, but the bullish trend is still intact unless price rejects at 1.342–1.345. Volume Profile & Institutional Behavior – Are Big Players Selling? Signs of Institutional Unloading: Buy-side orders appear strong, but price is not breaking higher with conviction. This could mean large traders are selling into the rally. Watching for a delta imbalance where buyers dominate order flow, but price fails to rise. This is a classic distribution sign. Why This Matters: If institutions are offloading positions near 1.342–1.345, we could see price stall and reverse. My focus is on whether this resistance holds or breaks. That will define whether my sell trade remains valid. My Trade Management Plan – Staying Patient As a daily trader, I wait for the daily candle close before making adjustments. If price rejects 1.342–1.345, I’ll hold my position with targets back toward 1.330–1.327. If price breaks above resistance and holds, I may need to reevaluate my stop-loss placement. Final Thoughts – Trusting My Process I’m still holding my sell at 1.32480, but I recognize that buyers are testing key resistance. If institutions are quietly distributing, we could see a shift back to the bearish side, but I’m waiting for confirmation at the daily close. I’ll update once the daily candle closes. Let’s see if sellers step in.
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD Happy Easter Traders! 4/20 6:33pm. I’m currently holding a sell position on GBP/USD at 1.32480, and despite price climbing to 1.32942, I see several technical and fundamental factors that support my trade idea. Fundamental Perspective Looking ahead, this week presents major economic events that could drive volatility in GBP/USD. UK PMI (April 23): Manufacturing PMI is expected to drop to 44.1, while Services PMI may soften to 51.0—both indicators suggest economic slowdown, potentially putting downward pressure on GBP. US Durable Goods (April 24): Forecasts show mixed numbers—headline durable goods is projected at +1.8%, but ex-transportation and ex-defense figures are negative, meaning uncertainty surrounding USD demand. UK Retail Sales (April 25): The monthly figure is expected at -0.3%, signaling weaker consumer spending. This aligns with my sell bias, as deteriorating UK economic conditions could contribute to pound weakness. If the UK data disappoints while US figures remain mixed or slightly stronger, GBP/USD could face renewed selling pressure, validating my position. Technical Analysis - Historical & Indicator Confirmation Looking at the daily chart, there’s strong alignment between price action and indicator readings that suggest a potential reversal: Resistance Holding at 1.330–1.331: The Stochastic at 74.88 suggests GBP/USD is nearing overbought conditions. The Williams %R at -22.24 reinforces the idea that price is pushing into exhaustion territory. Support Structure (Where Downside Pressure Could Build): Immediate Support at 1.326–1.327: Previous lows from April 20 confirm this zone as a critical level for sellers. Secondary Support at 1.321: Multiple recent price reactions suggest this area could serve as a strong downside target. Deeper Support at 1.316–1.318: If bearish momentum strengthens, this area represents a key swing low. Additionally, while price is pushing higher in the short term, it’s trading well above long-term daily EMAs, suggesting the rally is a temporary overextension rather than a sustained breakout. If GBP/USD fails to break above 1.330–1.331, momentum could shift in favor of my sell trade. Trade Management & Outlook Despite the recent push higher, I remain confident in my sell position as long as GBP/USD does not break and hold above 1.330–1.331. If price starts rejecting this level, the next downside target could be 1.326, followed by 1.321, where I’d consider taking partial profits. With fundamental catalysts ahead, volatility will likely increase. If bullish momentum persists beyond 1.331, I may need to re-evaluate my position, but until that happens, my trade setup remains valid. Final Thoughts My sell at 1.32480 is built on strong reasoning—key fundamental risks, extended technical levels, and a solid structure of resistance all favor a potential reversal. If sellers step in soon, I’ll have the opportunity to secure profits on a well-planned move. Now, it’s a waiting game to see how price reacts to resistance and upcoming data.
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 1.33Hello traders. On GBPUSD, I'm watching this 1.33 zone closely. It's where I'll be looking for a reaction. It can be a solid bounce spot if it shows signs. Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure. There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you. At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
Short
by davidavasalcai
29
#GBPUSD: Massive Swing Sell Is In Making 1200+ Pips Worth? **FX:GBPUSD Price Analysis** GBPUSD price has recently experienced an overbought condition, primarily due to the significant decline of the DXY index. This decline can be attributed to the ongoing trade dispute between China and the United States, which has resulted in a drop in the DXY index to its lowest point in the past eighteen months. Conversely, the GBP has gained strength due to positive economic indicators indicating robust growth in the United Kingdom. This has made the GBP more attractive to investors. The FX:GBPUSD price is expected to continue its upward trend and potentially reach the 1.35 level. However, it is also possible for the price to reverse its direction from this point. **Targets:** If the trade is activated, three targets have been set for the FX:GBPUSD price. These targets can be adjusted based on your own analysis and trading strategy. We extend our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support and well wishes. Best regards, Team Setupsfx_
Short
by Setupsfx_
21
GBPUSD Analysis 4/18 11:13amI've been analyzing GBP/USD closely over the past few days, and here's where I stand. The daily historical data shows an overall uptrend from around 1.278 on April 9 to roughly 1.328 on April 18. Although the price has been climbing, I've noticed that momentum is starting to taper off, which makes me question whether this rally might be overextended. On the fundamentals side, a series of high-impact events are coming up. For example, recent UK PMI readings have come in slightly weaker—manufacturing at 44.1 and services at 51—while US indicators like PMIs and housing data have shown mixed results, such as an unusually sharp drop in New Home Sales MoM. These data points suggest both the dollar and the pound are facing headwinds, and they add a layer of uncertainty over the near-term direction. Technically, I've set up a sell trade at 1.32480 with the current price now at 1.32830. My chart tells me that if the market dives further. Overall, while the short-term setup shows some bullish energy, the divergence with longer-term daily averages and the mixed fundamental data make me cautious. I'll be watching for a pullback toward those support levels that might validate my bearish stance. That's it for me for today.. unless something unexpected happens .. Have a great weekend! BTW im looking for another pair to trade comment below your recommendations and why! Thanks!
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBP/USD: The Bear's Ride Down the TrendAs I assess the GBP/USD market today, I see that the current price is 1.32466, and I’ve taken a sell position at 1.32480, which is moving well. Based on recent fundamentals, technical indicators, and historical weekly data, here’s my full market breakdown: Fundamentals & Economic Outlook Recent US economic data has provided mixed signals for the dollar: Initial & 4-Week Jobless Claims: Came in lower than expected, signaling a stronger labor market, which supports USD strength. Continuing Jobless Claims: Higher than expected, showing some lingering unemployment pressure. Housing Starts: Significantly below expectations, hinting at weakness in real estate. Building Permits: Surpassed expectations, suggesting future construction remains strong. Looking ahead to next week, key events will shape price action: UK S&P Global PMIs: If manufacturing and services figures improve, GBP may gain traction. US PMIs & Home Sales: Expected to trend lower, possibly weakening USD momentum. UK Retail Sales (Friday): Anticipated to drop significantly, which could weigh on GBP. US Michigan Consumer Sentiment: Forecasted to decline, potentially putting USD under pressure. With these fundamental factors, GBP/USD faces mixed conditions—potential volatility ahead. Momentum readings show caution for bulls: Short-term (1-minute to 15-minute) indicators suggest mild consolidation. The 1-hour and daily charts indicate GBP/USD is overextended compared to historical averages. Weekly and monthly averages are much lower (~1.27047 and 1.23141), signaling the risk of mean reversion. Trading Strategy & Considerations Since I’m already in a sell position, I’m watching support levels closely for profit-taking zones. If price dips near 1.3100, I might secure partial profits before assessing further downside potential. I’ll keep an eye on daily EMA (~1.25176) as a deeper support that might act as a turning point. Technical divergences (such as the Accumulation Distribution Oscillator) hint at distribution pressure, reinforcing my bearish bias. With all this being said, i'm looking for a new pair to dive deep into. What do you recommend and why? Im all ears! also dont hesitate to reach out id love to talk about forex! :) im in the works of creating a youtube page and maybe a X account. Hope to reach some of you there as well. p.s i love this shit!
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD at Key Resistance - Time to Sell?OANDA:GBPUSD has reached a key resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 1.30950 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by DanieIM
66