USD/JPY & GBP/USD UpdateUSD/JPY
The secondary trend on the USD/JPY has printed a trend-changing pattern after breaking above the pullback structure.
This move gives us a piece of crucial information, that we can buy at the low after the current wave structure is complete.
Currently, our high probability trade is selling now to buy later.
GBP/USD
The Cable is bearish because we have seen three trend-changing patterns that constitute a downtrend in the GBPUSD.
Overall the major trend is now resuming to the downside and we want to sell every rally that failed to make a Higher high.
Gbpusdshort
💡 GBPUSD: BOE reduced interest rates at the May policy meetingMUFG predicts that the Bank of England (BoE) may signal its readiness to lower interest rates soon, potentially starting as soon as the upcoming meeting. Recent statements from MPC members and upcoming inflation forecasts support a shift towards a more dovish policy stance. Key points:
Policy rate expectations: BoE will likely maintain the current policy rate at 5.25% in its next meeting. However, recent dovish changes in the rhetoric of MPC members, especially from Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, indicate a growing trend towards interest rate cuts.
Inflation and economic outlook: The BoE's quarterly inflation report is expected to reflect an updated economic outlook, suggesting the risk of inflation overshooting target is receding. This change could confirm a softer approach to monetary policy.
MPC voting pattern: Many MPC members may be influenced by Lieutenant Governor Ramsden's views and moderate in the upcoming vote. This change in voting dynamics could pave the way for interest rate cuts in the next meetings.
Wave structure Multi timeframe analysis - CAD/JPY & GBP/USDCAD/JPY
The outlook of the CADJPY is very bearish, based on the Multi-timeframe waves structure count we should be expecting more downside in the pair. The bearish wave structure (4) on the H4 timeframe is not complete yet, we have seen a bearish 0, 1, 2, and 3 wave structures on the M15 timeframe. Having seen the 3 waves, we now have a more than 70% probability that the trend will complete the cycle which means we will see the momentum low 5.
GBP/USD
We have seen two trend-changing patterns in the GBP/USD. On Friday we have also seen a strong rejection from the high and this move down has created a potential 3rd structural failure, this means the current secondary trend is about to change to the downside.
Our short will be valid when the price trades below 1.2538; this will be a final confirmation of the trend change
GBPUSD possible short for 1.235536K long removed by last 4 weeks & 20K shorts increased.
Net position 57k shorts increase by last 4 weeks.
longer term view by 10 weeks 48k long removed, 27k shorts increased.
Net position changed by last 10 weeks increased 75k shorts.
23% shorts increased by last 4 weeks while 29% shorts increased by last 10 weeks.
Net impact is bearish by Non-Commercials.
supply zone for short 1.2645-2700. stop loss: 1.2720, target: 1.2355
Coming up: BOE's rate decision week Coming up: BOE's rate decision week
Morgan Stanley has asserted that the Bank of England might still opt for an interest rate cut in the coming week, a stance that stands out amidst dwindling market confidence in such a move. Morgan Stanley’s opinion diverges notably from the consensus, which suggests an initial rate cut by the BOE in September.
Backing Morgan Stanley's perspective is the decline in U.K. inflation to 3.2% in March from the previous month's 3.4%, although it fell short of analysts' projections of 3.1%.
Jens Eisenschmidt, Morgan Stanley’s chief economist, is adamant that rate reductions are on the horizon for both the U.K. and the ECB, while the Fed might adopt a more cautious approach for now.
Meanwhile, the European Central Bank, which hinted at an impending rate adjustment last week, has cited escalating tensions in the Middle East as potential obstacles to these plans. Perhaps these same concerns weigh on the BOE?
Technically, buyers of GBP/USD struggled to maintain levels above the resistance at the 200-day moving average, approximately at 1.2550. This scenario could potentially lead to a test of the recent cycle low observed at 1.2299. Conversely, if buyers manage to reclaim the 1.2500 level, they may challenge the 50-day moving average at 1.2612, followed by the April high at 1.2708.
GBPUSD to see a temporary move higher?GBPUSD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bearish.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.2560.
We look to Sell at 1.2560 (stop at 1.2596)
Our profit targets will be 1.2470 and 1.2430
Resistance: 1.2560 / 1.2590 / 1.2630
Support: 1.2500 / 1.2460 / 1.2420
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Gbpusd confirm signalGBP/USD is the forex ticker that shows the value of the British Pound against the US Dollar. It tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a British Pound. The Pound-Dollar is one of the oldest and most widely traded currency pairs in the world. Follow the live GBP/USD rate with the chart and keep up to date with Pound-Dollar news and analysis. Plan your trades with the GBP/USD forecast and key pivot points data and support and resistance levels.
GBP USD confirm signal
GBPUSD is Ready to Go Down(➡️RR=2.58)🏃♂️ GBPUSD is moving in the 🔴 Resistance zone($1.256-$1.250) 🔴and near the Yearly Pivot Point and 200_EMA(Daily) .
💡According to the theory of Elliott waves , GBPUSD seems to have completed five impulse waves . And now we have to wait for correction waves .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
🔔I expect GBPUSD to continue falling at least to the 🎯Target🎯 I have specified on the chart.
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GBPUSD
🔴Position: Short
✅Entry Point: 1.2555 USD (Limit Order)
⛔️Stop Loss: 1.2600 USD
💰Take Profit: 1.2439 USD👉Risk-To-Reward: 2.58
⚠️Please don't forget to follow capital management.
⚠️Please pay attention to the style of opening the position.
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GBPUSD
🔴Position: Short
✅Entry Point: 1.2504 USD (Stop Limit Order)
⛔️Stop Loss: 1.2552 USD
💰Take Profit: 1.2439 USD👉Risk-To-Reward: 1.35
⚠️Please don't forget to follow capital management.
⚠️Please pay attention to the style of opening the position.
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British Pound/ U.S.Dollar Analyze ( GBPUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
gbpusd sellThe Pound Sterling reverses its course against the US Dollar, after extending its gains past the 200-day moving average (DMA). However, data from the United States (US), showing that inflation could be picking up, as shown by the Employment Cost Index (ECI), bolstered the Greenback. Therefore, the GBP/USD trades at 1.2517 down by some 0.36%, after hitting a daily high of 1.2563.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart declined below 60 after coming within a touching distance of 70 on Tuesday, pointing to a loss of bullish momentum. Additionally, GBP/USD turned south after reaching the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2560, reaffirming the strength of this resistance.
GBPUSDGBPUSD is in strong bearish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new LLs and LHs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last LL, which is 50% Fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this selling confluence the next leg lower could go for new LL.
What you guys think of this idea?
GBPUSD POTENTIAL SHORTHi Traders, Looking on a GBPUSD we can see price respects our monthly IRL, then shoots down leaving an imbalance on our daily time frame, as it takes out our ERL and giving us a clear MSS, so we will look for entry properties on our H1 time frame on the daily FVG/IRL.
Best Of Luck
CharlesFX
GBPUSD I Swing short opportunity from the weeklyWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
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GBPUSD - Confluence for sell ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect we can see here bearish price action after a rejection from trendline + liquidity zone + FIBO 0.618.
Fundamental news: This week is full of news in USA, on Wednesday (GMT+3) we have Funds Rate + FOMC and of Friday (GMT+3) Unemployment Rate + NFP. All these news have high impact on USD, so pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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GBPUSD Short planGBPUSD bounce from support as i was expecting. Price finally reached the first reversal area were we could look for short. I have another good level to add shorts, that is 1.26. This is a another resistance level on higher timeframe. First target area 1.2425, i will share my entry on my page
GBPUSD
Based on the daily timeframe, GBP/USD appears to be exhibiting a bearish trend as indicated by a shift in market structure (ChoCh) and adherence to Elliott Wave theory with a completed 12345 pattern. The recent touch of the descending trendline coupled with the completion of the 4th wave suggests potential downward movement. With selling orders likely to be activated, the trajectory for GBP/USD seems inclined towards a sustained downtrend for the long term.
GBPUSDWeekly:
1. Direction:
Bearish
2. Reasons:
1. Price respected the newly formed FVG
2. BOS with massive displacement
3. price is moving from IRL to ERL
3. Trading Range Box:
1.25403 to 1.23032
Daily:
1. Direction:
Bearish
2. Reasons:
1. Respecting the weekly FVG
2. Good reversal candle
3. Good OB reaction
4H:
1. Direction:
Bearish
2. Reasons:
1. BOS with displacement
2. Wait for the FVG formation
3. Wait for MMSM
Rising channel on GBPUSD A potential rising channel might form within the bigger descending channels (pattern within a pattern), the potential rising channel if completed to a touch by the top trendline will confirm a signal of price moving lower towards the 90% Rule. Price from there on might shoot upwards or continue to move lower.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upAmidst the uncertainty characterized by global events, last week witnessed the GBP/USD pair caught in the crosscurrents of rising geopolitical tensions and pivotal central bank pronouncements. Bank of England's Deputy Governor, Dave Ramsden, took centre stage with remarks on inflation risks, yet failed to provide the anticipated support for Sterling as it plunged to new depths.
The UK's economic landscape presented a mixed picture, with March's retail sales stagnating while annual growth maintained a modest trajectory. Against this backdrop, the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve emerged as key players, wielding their influence to shape market sentiment.
The journey across the pond unveiled a contrasting narrative, with robust US Retail Sales figures sparking a reassessment of interest rate projections and propelling the US 10-year note yield to unprecedented heights.
While Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic cautioned against persistent inflation, New York Fed President John Williams struck a more measured chord, emphasizing the Fed's data-driven approach and its nuanced stance on monetary policy.
In this video, we dissect the implications of these developments and chart our course for the new week in GBP/USD trading.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain its momentum below the critical $1.24200 zone?
In this video, we've examined both the daily and 4-hour timeframes, dissecting bullish and bearish sentiments to unearth the most promising trades for the week ahead. Our analysis dives deep into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, providing invaluable insights into the prevailing market structure.
Our focus remains fixed on the pivotal level at $1.24200, where the direction of price action could herald the onset of significant market shifts. How the market responds here will chart the course for GBP/USD in the days to come.
Stay engaged and join the discourse in the comment section to stay abreast of the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and brace yourselves for further illuminating insights into GBP/USD in our upcoming content. Get ready for an exhilarating journey ahead! Happy trading!
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