GBPUSD - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we have the same scenario as on EURUSD, we are bearish, but for now I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance. My target is bearish order block around 1.27500.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow we will see results of monthly and yearly CPI on USD. On Wednesday we'll see results of yearly CPI on GBP and on Thursday we'll have Retail Sales on USD.
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Gbpusdshort
GBP/ USD EntriesLooking for a break out of the Rising wedge pattern, at this precise moment I am leaning towards shorts. However in order to get a valid Entry I would need to see a 4h close below the blue zone with a retest and a lower low close on the 30 min back to the bottom of structure / or trendline.
Alternatively for a long I would need to see the opposite with the 4h close being above structure and blue zone. Probably no entries until after tomorrows CPI.
SELL TRADE SETUP ON GBPUSDHey Traders,
Check this analysis out on GBPUSD. The pair had been ranging for quite some time before it broke below the support, followed by an actual smooth pullback.
Provided that the price remains below the support, I will look for a nice short trade.
Keep a close tab on this one.
GBPUSD I Potential bearish continuation Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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GBPUSD Sell IdeaThe price has gracefully descended from 1.27700 to 1.25200, and retraced to the 0.5 Fib level, thereby presenting a potential profit avenue.
Here's the plan: SELL GBPUSD
Consider entering the trade with caution as the stop loss should be strategically placed above 1.26750. The take profit level is set at 1.24650, aiming to capture gains during this downward movement.
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27400 pro trend idea.My previous scenario (A) for GU unfolded precisely as expected, with the bullish reaction aligning perfectly with the marked demand zone. This week, I anticipate further upward movement towards my supply zone (A) near 1.2400. My reasoning is that price will likely seek to address the significant imbalance in that area before initiating a downward move.
Although not the closest point of interest, I also consider scenario (B), wherein price mitigates my 17-hour demand zone. This could trigger a temporary bullish reaction, potentially driving price to reach the marked supply level (A).
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Price has broken structure to the downside.
- Major imbalance left below the supply level which needs to be filled.
- Market trend is overall bearish on the higher time frame.
- Aligns with the dollar (DXY) as that's moving bullish currently.
- A clear 20-hour supply zone where I anticipate a Wyckoff distribution to take place.
- Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of equal lows and Asia lows.
P.S. This idea is in line with the prevailing bearish trend, as price has broken structure to the downside, confirming its direction. Additionally, it aligns with the strengthening dollar (DXY), which I perceive to be on a bullish trajectory.
Have a great week ahead guys and happy trading!
GBPUSD Potentially bearishFX:GBPUSD broke out on the downside of the range market on H4. We are currently seeing a retest of the consolidation, a close below 1.25963 would be a good point to get into the market for a sell. A close above the 1.26606 would mean the bulls getting back into the market at which point I will rather stay out to see what the market will tell us. For the now, I'm favoring the bearish move and will wait for market to cross the 125963 mark.
Short Scralp Trade for GBP USD Success rate 85%Opportunity for Short scalp trade with a success rate of over 85%
The price is likely to hit TP 1 with a 85% chance, You can manage your position
Please note that all the information provided is based on personal opinion, and no responsibility is assumed for any outcomes."
GBPUSD SELL IDEAFX:GBPUSD
The weekly, daily and 4h are overall bearish, with price having retraced to the Daily key resistance area in confluence with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. entry is based on the 1h bearish engulfing candlestick at daily resistance and also a break of bullish countertrend, retest and bearish engulfing candlestick structure on the 15 min and 30 min timeframes
GBP/USD Alert: Next Week's Inflation Forecast GBP/USD Alert: Next Week's Inflation Forecast
The week is relatively quiet, so we are looking ahead to next week’s major events. With UK and US inflation released one day apart, perhaps the GBP/USD is the pair to watch.
On February 14, U.S. inflation rate data is set to be released. Despite the diminishing market expectations for a Fed rate cut in March, if U.S. inflation falls below 3.0% this month, there might be renewed hopes for some rate relief. With expectations still hovering around 20% for a March rate hike, market participants may grasp onto any positive news to maintain the possibility of such a move. The question arises: what is the threshold for rate-cut enthusiasts? Perhaps 2.8% or below?
Moving on to February 15, UK inflation rate data will be released.
Some policy makers are already calling for rate cuts from the Bank of England (Board member Swati Dhingra voted for a 25-basis point cut during the last meeting). Will a significant decrease in UK inflation this month guarantee this course of action sooner than previously thought? Dhingra makes a sound argument for loosening monetary policy at this point pointing to weak consumption and the low likelihood that inflation resurges. But will anyone else on the BoE board join her on her dovish stance?
GBPUSD I Retest of previous structure broken I SHORT Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
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GBPUSD: Emerging market currencies see limited gains aheadMost emerging market currencies are not expected to recover this year's losses against the dollar in the coming months, according to a recent poll of foreign exchange strategists. The poll, involving 50 FX strategists, suggests the possibility of aggressive interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve, weighing on the performance of these currencies.
A basket of emerging market currencies, which ended last year at a high, has since lost momentum, falling 1.2% on higher US Treasury yields. This downturn was attributed to better-than-expected US economic data and hawkish statements from Federal Reserve policymakers, leading to reduced interest rate cut expectations. As a result, the dollar index has increased 3% in just a few weeks.
MY Trade Plan: Short/Sell GBPUSDMy Trading plan:
I will short GU around 1.26235
I will trail it to 1.24400 (2nd Target) but will load off some around target 1. Stop loss is around 1.26684.
Reasons for shorting:
1. Retracement
2. Strong Resistance
3. Bearish trend
Disclaimer:
I am just sharing my trading idea. Also do your own analysis before taking any trade. Trading is very risky.
GBPUSD Bearish Momentum (Dow, Divergence & Resistance Broke)GBPUSD shows a bearish momentum on daily TF based on:
Dow Consecutive two LHs and LLs
Daily Divergence
Printed high volume bearish candle yesterday that broke previous resistance and confirms price action in bearish momentum
** Trade Plan**
Placed Sell Stop instead CMP as possible chance-
-price might retraced to previous resistance
Placed TP between 50 to 61.8% Fib Level
Placed Stop Loss at previous LH
GBP/USD H4 Triangle BreakoutGBP/USD H4 Triangle Breakout Hints at Downside: Potential Sell Opportunity Emerges
The GBP/USD pair on the H4 chart exhibits a bearish signal suggestive of a potential decline in the coming hours. A recent downward breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern could offer a shorting opportunity.
Key Points:
Triangle Breakout: The price has been consolidating within a triangle formation, characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This often indicates indecision before a decisive move. However, the recent break below the lower support line at 1.2650 signifies a shift in momentum towards the downside.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2650, offering an entry point close to the breakout level.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.2422 and 1.2317, marking previous support zones within the triangle.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the broken triangle at 1.2800
Fundamental Updates :
January 2024: The NFP report exceeded expectations, showing a gain of 353,000 jobs despite forecasts of 180,000. This robust job growth suggests a strong US labor market and could support the USD by Reinforcing expectations for continued Fed rate hikes: A hawkish Fed stance strengthens the USD against other currencies.
US Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Feb 14): A higher-than-expected inflation reading could strengthen the USD as the Fed might be pressured to raise rates further. Conversely, a lower reading could offer some support to the GBP.
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GBPUSD M30 / OB Taken, Looking for a Long Entry Confirmation 📈Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to GBPUSD M30. I like the reaction from the OB, and I expect another bearish move before going bullish. I expect also that BOSS will be taken and after that, I will look for a long entry.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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GBPUSD CONFIRM BUY TODAY GBP/USD lost nearly 1% on Friday and registered losses for the week as the US Dollar (USD) rallied on the back of the impressive labor market data for January. The pair holds relatively steady slightly above 1.2600 early Monday but the near-term technical outlook highlights a lack of buyer interest.
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in the US increased by 353,000 in January. Additionally, the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that it revised the November and December prints by a total of 126,000. In turn, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield surged above 104.00 and the USD Index, which tracks the USD's performance against a basket of six major currencies, rose more than 0.8% and touched its highest level since early December above 104.00.
GBPUSD: 1000 pips Swing Selling Idea, What do you think? FX:GBPUSD
Dollar influenced in the beginning of the year is extreme probably after the major holidays, market moved back to normal level of volume. DXY is bullish because of news coming ahead in this week and other reason was most of the usd pairs were overbought such as gbpusd and eurusd.
GBPUSD dropped heavily since yesterday and we expect price to continue dropping to level up the market equilibrium. Enter now with your suitable stop loss to get most out of this chart analysis.
Please like the idea if you agree with it.