GBPUSD – retesting the 200dma from below .. the week of 09 DecAfter being in bullish territory (above the 200dma) for over 6 months, this pair has broken below and on Fri, it retested (bounced off) the moving average. That is my reason #1 for a bearish bias.
#2 – The area around 1.2750 is a significant s/r & price has met with resistance here.
#3 – The bullish move we saw over the last 2 weeks was a retracement of the down move that began on 06 Nov.
#4 – This retracement of 50% coincides with the 1.2750 s/r level.
#5 – The weekly and daily chart are in complete alignment with this analysis.
#6 – The H4 chart shows how price has been moving in an equidistant channel during the retracement phase. Like most retracements, this move has been weak and shallow.
I believe that price will break out of this channel to the downside and the bearish move will soon continue. If this happens, price will also move below the 20sma. This will complete the picture I want to see for bearish price action.
I will place my stop above today’s daily pin bar and will initially target the 1.2340 region. My expectation is that this has the potential to be a prolonged bearish trend.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. If you decide to trade this, you should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster.
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Gbpusdshort
GBPUSD Sell AnalysisAs we didn't see a sharp bearish move to create a bearish OB, So I think the price will go higher to touch the supply area and then starts to go down sharply.
We have to wait for more confirmation...
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Navid Nazarian
GBPUSD Sell Limit OrderHi everyone.
I think with this bearish engulfing candle we have an area with a good potential to go short.
Lets see what happens...
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Navid Nazarian
GBPUSD Sell Limit OrderHi everyone.
I think with this bearish engulfing candle we have an area with a good potential to go short.
Lets see what happens...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
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Navid Nazarian
Sell GBP/USD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2668
2nd Support – 1.2620
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GBPUSD SELL The US Dollar (USD) fell following the release of the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, pushing GBP/USD to a fresh one-month high of 1.2810. According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the country added 227,000 new job positions in November, beating the 200,000 expectedAdditionally, the Unemployment Rate ticked up to 4.2% in November from 4.1%, meeting expectations. The Labor Force Participation Rate edged lower to 62.5%, while the annual wage inflation, as measured by the change in the Average Hourly Earnings, held steady at 4%, coming in above the market forecast of 3.9%.The US Dollar, however, trimmed losses and gained momentum after the release of the preliminary estimate of the December US Consumer Sentiment Index, which jumped to 74 from the previous 71.8 while beating the expected 73The British Pound turned negative against the USD on a daily basis, with the pair hovering around 1.2700. The 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) attracted sellers, currently standing at around 1.2820. The 20-day SMA, on the other hand, maintains its bearish slope below the current level at 1.2690, the immediate support en route to the 1.2650 price zone
GBPUSD to find bears at current market price?GBPUSD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bearish.
The rally is close to a correction count on the intraday chart.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.2735.
We look to Sell at 1.2735 (stop at 1.2765)
Our profit targets will be 1.2645 and 1.2620
Resistance: 1.2750 / 1.2780 / 1.2800
Support: 1.2660 / 1.2630 / 1.2600
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GBPUSD Analysis - Bearish - Trade 031. Seasonality
The GBP is range-bound during the first week of December, while the USD exhibits bearish momentum. This suggests a neutral to slightly bullish outlook for GBPUSD based on seasonality.
2. COT Report
The GBP's COT RSI is also range-bound, indicating no strong directional bias.
3. Fundamental Analysis
LEI
The GBP Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) is decreasing, while the USD LEI is increasing. Global LEI is also rising, favoring USD strength and suggesting bearish pressure on GBPUSD.
Endogenous Factors
GBP endogenous factors are signaling a sell, adding to the bearish sentiment for GBPUSD.
Exogenous Factors
Exogenous indicators for GBPUSD are also showing a decrease, further supporting a bearish outlook.
4. Technical Analysis
GBPUSD is forming an ABCD pattern and is currently moving toward point D. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at point C is also coinciding with a 4-hour resistance, suggesting a potential reversal or slowdown at that level.
Bias
The combined analysis suggests a bearish bias for GBPUSD, with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and 4-hour resistance offering a critical point to consider for potential short entry.
Trade Plan:
Entry: 1.26520
SL: 1.27273
TP: 1.25769
Gbpusd setup GBP/USD trades with a positive bias for the third straight day and rises further above the 1.2700 mark in the European session on Thursday. The pair takes advantage of the sustained US Dollar weakness and mild risk appetite heading into the US data releases later in the day The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart holds slightly above 50 and GBP/USD managed to hold above the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) after testing this level several times since Tuesday, highlighting sellers' hesitancy.
Looking north, resistances could be spotted at 1.2700 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of the latest downtrend), 1.2750 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) and 1.2810-1.2800 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement, 200-period SMA). On the downside, immediate support is located at 1.2650 (100-period SMA) before 1.2630-1.2620 (50-period SMA, Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) and 1.2600 (round level, static level)
GBP/USD Analysis: Key Levels in Focus Amid Mixed TrendsHello Traders,
Trust you are great.
Below is my perspective on the probable direction of GBPUSD in the coming days.
Overview
On the H4 timeframe, GBP/USD remains in a bullish trend. However, on the H1 chart, the pair is consolidating within a bearish structure. Key resistance levels are observed at 1.27219 and 1.27026, with the recent high at 1.27496 marking a critical threshold for further upside movement.
Idea
There is potential for a short-term rise in price, but the advance is likely to remain capped below 1.27496. The overall expectation is for the pair to break below the trendline after this upward movement. A confirmed close beneath the trendline could lead to a decline toward the 1.25400 price region, where strong support might trigger a bounce.
Additionally, earlier unusual volatility caused a sharp downward spike, but this has since eased, and momentum has weakened significantly.
Conclusion
While a downward move appears probable, a break above the Friday high of 1.27496 would invalidate this bearish outlook and signal a continuation of the bullish trend.
Do let me have you thoughts.
Cheers and happy trading!
Sell GBP/USD Triangle PatternThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2650
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2585
2nd Support – 1.2550
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
GBP/USD: The Bearish Setup You Can’t Ignore Ladies and gents, let’s talk about the British Pound vs. the almighty Dollar—the drama never ends. 🎭 Right now, the charts are shouting louder than a reality TV fight: “Short me!” If you’re not seeing it, don’t worry—I’ll spell it out for you, sarcasm included. 😏
From Wedge to Woe: What the Chart Screams
1️⃣ The Big Downtrend 📉
Look at that drop—GBP/USD has been falling faster than your New Year’s resolutions. 🥲 A strong downtrend brought us to a cute little descending wedge, a classic pattern that screams, “I might bounce… but only to crush your hopes later.”
2️⃣ The "Fake Recovery" 🪤
Post-breakout, we saw a weak rally—let’s call it what it is: a dead cat bounce 🐱. Bulls are trying, but it’s like slapping duct tape on a sinking ship. The price is now flirting with resistance around 1.2775. Spoiler: It doesn’t look good for the bulls.
3️⃣ The Trap is Set 🪤
There’s a clear bearish trade setup here. A red zone for the stop-loss (thank you, risk management gods 🙌) and a juicy green target zone for profits. If you’re thinking of longing this setup, please—just don’t. Save yourself the heartbreak.
How This Plays Out: Two Scenarios 🎢
🔥 Bearish Dominance
This is the most likely play. Price respects resistance, drops out of the consolidating triangle, and continues its nosedive to 1.2500—or lower if the bears are feeling extra spicy. 🐻💣
🎩 Bullish Fantasy (Unlikely)
The only hope for bulls? A breakout above 1.2775. But even then, it needs real momentum, not the half-hearted attempts we’re seeing now. So unless you’re the kind of person who bets on lottery tickets for a living, stick with the short. 🎟️
George’s Take: Don’t Be a Chart Clown 🤡
Look, trading isn’t about being right—it’s about making money. If you’re seeing anything bullish here, you’re either blind or overly optimistic. This setup is bearish AF, and the risk/reward ratio is screaming SHORT.
Pro Tips for the Brave (or Smart):
Entry: Around resistance at 1.2775.
Stop-Loss: Tight above the red zone—don’t go broke proving a point.
Target: Scale out near 1.2500, or ride it lower if the bears take over completely.
Final Word: Trade Smart, Not Emotional 💼
Want to keep buying hope and dreams? Go ahead, but don’t blame the chart when it dumps on you. For the rest of you who actually care about strategy, setups like these are where profits are born. 🤑
Join the Road to a Million Club 🌟 if you’re done playing guessing games and want to trade like a pro. We don’t mess around—just clean setups, hard truths, and real results. 🚀
#TradeSmart #GBPUSD #BearishSetup 🐻💸
Scenario on GBPUSDWe have created a higher low on the market, which will ultimately mean for me that I will wait to see how the situation develops regarding the marked point. If the price breaks below, it still won't matter because the support is set below which the price would have to fall to start considering a short position. From this perspective, I rather like to return to the creation of a double bottom or some other formation for establishing an SFP because around the price of 1.274 - 1.2867 we don't have selected liquidity and from this price the resistance at the price of 1.3 is very close. This is just my view of the entire situation around this market.
GBPUSD DOWN The Pound Sterling clings to earlier gains yet trades off the weekly highs, which reached around 1.2749 during the European session. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.2684, virtually unchanged.GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
Although the GBP/USD is set for weekly gains of over 1.2%, price action suggests Cable didn’t find acceptance above 1.2700, which could exacerbate a pullback toward the 1.2600 figure. In that outcome, the pair’s next support would be the November 27 daily low of 1.2564, followed by the November 26 low of 1.2506. On further weakness, the November 22 pivot low of 1.2486 is on the cards.
Conversely, if GBP/USD finishes the week above 1.2700, this could pave the way for testing the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2818. However, buyers must clear the current week’s peak of 1.2749.
Oscillators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hint that buyers are gathering momentum, even though the RSI remains below its neutral line.
GBPUSD I Possible retest and decline within the channel.Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
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GBPUSD setup GBP/USD recorded the eighth straight negative week after the pullback from the 1.3433 level, losing more than 7%. The price posted a fresh six-month low of 1.2486 on Friday, meeting the long-term ascending trend line.
More aggressive selling interest would switch the broader outlook to a bearish one, resting near the 1.2445 support, taken from the lows on May 9. Even lower, the bears would gain control, pushing the pair towards the psychological mark of 1.2300.In case of a bounce off the uptrend line, then the price may test the 1.2715 resistance area, ahead of the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.2770 and, more importantly, the 200-day SMA at 1.2820.The momentum oscillators are confirming a bearish structure as the RSI is pointing down near the oversold zone, while the MACD is still extending its negative steam below its trigger and zero lines. The 20- and 200-day SMAs created a death cross, confirming the falling movement.
GBP/USD - H1 - Broadening Wedge The GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent formation of well-defined Broadening Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2532, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2442
2nd Support – 1.2375
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
GBPUSD is in the Selling Direction after breaking suPportHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gbpusd up signal GBP/USD extends its losses for the third successive session and trades at a fresh fix-month low below 1.2550 on Friday. Disappointing PMI data from the UK weigh on Pound Sterling as market focus shift to US PMI data releases.The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart stays slightly below 30. In case the pair stages a technical correction, 1.2600 (former support, static level) could be seen as immediate resistance before 1.2670 (50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), upper limit of the descending regression channel) and 1.2700 (round level, static level).
On the downside, 1.2550 (mid-point of the descending channel) aligns as first support ahead of 1.2500 (round level, static level) and 1.2440 (lower limit of the descending channel).After losing 0.5% on Thursday, GBP/USD continued to push lower in the Asian session on Friday and touched its lowest level since May near 1.2550. The pair seems to have turned technically oversold but recovery attempts could remain short-lived in the near term.