DeGRAM | GBPUSD psychological level of 1.25000GBPUSD is trading in an ascending channel, and it created a divergence at resistance.
The market is decelerating at the psychological level 1.25000. It closed below the level, which is a sign of weakness.
We expect a bearish move from the resistance; there is a false breakout of the psychological level that might lead to the pullback.
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Gbpusdsignal
GBPUSDThe GBP/USD exchange rate hovered around 1.25300, marking its highest point since early September. Despite gold surpassing the 2000 level, GBPUSD showed minimal fluctuations yesterday. The focus now turns to statements from Bank of England (BoE) policymakers regarding the policy outlook, which may influence the pair's movements in the short term.
In contrast, the UK's FTSE 100 index opened lower, showing a 0.5% decline. Concurrently, US stock futures turned negative during the relatively calm Asian session. Should safe-haven sentiments return later in the day, the US dollar might experience a reprieve from its downward pressure, potentially limiting the upside for GBP/USD.
The dollar's decline persisted on Tuesday, with traders anticipating the release of the Federal Reserve's October meeting minutes and US Existing Home Sales data. This trend follows Monday's market sentiment, where the USD index slipped below August lows, dropping below 104.00. The decline was exacerbated by US Treasury bond yields falling below 4.4%.
GbpUsd- Bulls should be carefulAs you know, I've been bullish on GbpUsd in the past month or so and called for a rise to the 1.26 zone.
Yesterday the pair was very close to my target, with a high of 1.2560, and started to roll down after.
As we can see from the chart, the rise from the past 3 weeks is contained in a steep rising wedge, which should be a warning for the bulls.
In my opinion, a drop will follow for GbpUsd and the pair could visit the 1.23-1.2330 support zone.
I'm looking to sell rallies against 1.26
GBPUSD: The British Conservative Party eyes tax cuts in the budgThe Sunday Times reported:
Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt is considering cutting income tax and national insurance in a bid to improve his standing in the polls.
Jeremy Hunt told Sky News:
“We want to responsibly reduce our tax burden.”
"The only thing we won't do is not give any tax cuts that could cause inflation."
It could allow heirs to defer taxes and consider instead giving tax breaks to low- and middle-income earners.
GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD 4H : Uptrend GBPUSD
New forecast
The GBP/USD pair faced additional negative pressure yesterday to break the 1.2406 level, and begins the day with further decline to reach the end point of the negative correction.
Therefore ,we still prefer the upward trend and still upward scenario will be remain valid supported by moving average 50that is continue to support the price to rise up and our target will be 1.2447 and extend to 1.2508 , taking into account that stabilized under 1.2365 will put the price under sell pressure and postponed the bullish trend .
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.2447 and support line 1.2365.
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
support line : 1.2365 , 1.2321
resistance line : 1.2447 , 1.2508
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GBPUSD - Look for a long position ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: After changed of character here we can see that price started to make higher lows and higher highs, so I am looking for longs. I wait price to make a retracement to fill that huge imbalance lower and then to reject from institutional big figure 1.23000.
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💡 GBPUSD: Bearish Butterfly wing pattern appears➡️ GBPUSD is maintaining its upward momentum, however in the H4 frame it is creating a butterfly pattern
The Bearish Butterfly pattern will start with a XA downtrend, then an AB uptrend, a BC downtrend, and finally a CD uptick again. With this move combined with the corresponding ratios and Fibonacci levels according to the above rules, the market expects a downward trend from point D. The Bearish Butterfly model has a shape similar to the letter W.
- Upcoming economic calendar: BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
GBPUSD on 20-11-23 : BEARISH BIASEDGBPUSD can go Bullish if,
H1/H4 closing happens above 1.2505, it can move bullish upto 1.2600 level.
or it can go Bearish if,
H1/H4 closing happens below 1.2450, it can move bearish upto 1.2350 level
#️⃣ Trend expectations from 8:00AM to 12:30PM USA Time EST.
#️⃣ Trade with 1-2% risk only.
GBPUSDFX:GBPUSD has been making some interesting higher lows over the last few weeks. It has broken the 1.23962 resistance area and currently doing a retest of the same zone. Are we going to see a further push or price will drop and push further down? That remains to be seen, however my bias in this is Bullish.
On H4, a good rejection of the zone just might trigger the momentum need for the uptrend to continue with targets at the next resistance level 1.26325. If price on the other hand breaks down to the short side, we just might see it come back to the 1.22265 area
Disclaimer:
All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
GBPUSD Long idea..GBPUSD is bullish on daily time frame, keeping that in mind we can see that GBP has retraced enough to prove itself going strong bullish and on 1H time frame we can see that price has changed the character to continue it's bullish run, so we can expect the price to come into our 1H level of Demand before it continue its move to the upside.
GBPUSD Ascending Triangle Pattern Breakout. We expect further downside on this pair, signalled by the ascending triangle channel pattern breakout. We can also see the formation of a low high which signals a change in trend from bearish to bullish as well as a breakout of a key level which further supports our directional basis.
GBPUSD: The British Prime Minister plans to release billions of British Prime Minister Jeremy Hunt is expected to announce plans to release billions of GBP from welfare funds to boost economic growth next week:
Hunt is looking to boost UK economic growth by allowing funds to invest more heavily in the UK
Hunt claims that growth will be his top priority
However, the Treasury refused to comment on news of Prime Minister Hunt's plan.
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💡 GBPUSD: Nice scenario for downtrend➡️The latest data indicates a significant decline in the UK's annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) rate, dropping from 6.7% in September to 4.6% in October. This marks the lowest figure in two years, falling below the consensus estimates of 4.8%. The notable decrease in CPI reflects a downward trend in inflation, primarily attributed to the impact compared to the same period last year and a decrease in energy prices.
➡️This development suggests that there is potential for the central bank to initiate interest rate cuts by the end of 2024. However, the decision hinges on various factors, including the strength of the labor market and the overall economic conditions.
➡️In response to the released data indicating a more substantial than expected cooling of UK inflation in October, there is a possibility of a decline in GBP/USD. This further reinforces expectations that the Bank of England may implement interest rate cuts by the middle of the next year. Observations on the H4 chart reveal the GBP/USD price approaching the 48-hour moving average, and the MACD histogram bar contracting, indicating potential market adjustments.
GBPUSD: Dollar rises in European session; Pound depreciatedWeak US CPI weighs on dollar
The dollar took a big hit on Tuesday after data showed U.S. consumer prices were flat in October after rising 3.7% in September, while the dollar rose 3.2% year-on-year. , fell below expectations.
The stability of inflation is the most important factor in predicting the Fed's chances of maintaining its tightening stance, especially after inflation rose more than expected in August and September.
Indeed, Fed officials are keen to maintain tight monetary policy ahead of the latest data release. As a result, slowing inflation is weighing heavily on the dollar as traders assess the likelihood of rate hikes this year and focus on when the Fed will start cutting rates.
"We still think the decisive blow to the dollar will come from a decline in activity data, which could cause the market to calm down," ING analysts said. Further improvement is expected based on an assessment of the trend toward lower interest rates. “That’s why we’re interested in retail sales.”
U.S. retail sales data for October will be released later in the session, but analysts expect retail sales to decline 0.3% from the previous month, when retail sales rose 0.7%.
Pound depreciates as UK inflation rate declines
In Europe, GBP/USD fell 0.2% to 1.2475, below levels last seen in September, after UK inflation slowed more than expected in October, providing some relief. It went below. Support from the Bank of England.
UK CPI rose at an annual rate of 4.6% in October, down sharply from 6.7% in September and the smallest increase in the past two years. The Bank of England recently paused its rate hike cycle, raising the key interest rate to 5.25%, the highest level since the 2008 financial crisis, but officials have consistently said they will continue to cut interest rates despite the weak economy. has emphasized that it is still a long way off. heading towards a recession.
200 Pips Juicy sell set-up in GBP/USD. Who is with me?Hello, Tradingview community and fellow traders! Many traders were probably caught off guard
by yesterday's huge bullish impulse in GBP/USD. If I remember correctly, GBPUSD moved more than 200 pips during the New York session yesterday. The move was fueled by the CPI data release from the US.
Honestly, I was prepared for a move to 1.2420 but I didn't think it would reach 1.25. That being said, I expect a fall pretty soon. You know back during the 2016-2018 period, huge moves of 200 pips in GBPUSD and 300 pips in GBPJPY were pretty common almost every week due to Brexit-related news. However, this has become a rarity now.
So, it was a pleasant surprise yesterday I guess :D Well, based on my 15 years of experience, I can say with up to 90% certainty that GBPUSD would reach at least 1.23 before the end of the week, I hope ;)
I have already sold at 1.2470 and 1.25, no SL yet but TP is at 1.23