Gbpusdtrade
GBPUSD H1 / LONG ENTRY IDEA $$$Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to GBPUSD H1. I will wait for a confirmation for a long entry after the chart will touch the OB level. I expect a bullish move until the resistance level mentioned on the chart.
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Gbpusd sell now today confirm analysis don't miss this chartGBP/USD holds above 1.2700, where the 50-, 100- and 200-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA) on the 4-hour chart are located. In case this level stays intact as support, 1.2760 (static level) could be seen as next resistance before 1.2780 (static level) and 1.2820 (end-point of the latest uptrend).
If 1.2700 fails, technical sellers could take action and open the door for an extended decline toward 1.2650 (50-day SMA, Fibonacci 23.6% retracement of the latest uptrend) and 1.2600 (psychological level, static level).
GBPUSD SELL NOW 1.27286
CONFIRM TARGET. 1.26511
GBPUSD: Asian forex bears strengthen as US interest rate cut hop
In recent developments, bearish bets on several emerging Asian currencies have increased as traders readjust their expectations for an early interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve. This change has prompted investors to seek refuge in the US dollar. A reassessment of the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy trajectory has led to a stronger USD, derailing most Asian currencies since the start of the year.
The odds of the Fed lowering interest rates in March have dropped significantly to 41.5%, down sharply from more than 75% just a month earlier, according to NASDAQ:CME's FedWatch Tool. This change in sentiment comes ahead of the expected initial estimate for fourth-quarter U.S. GDP, which is expected to show a 2% annual growth rate.
GBPUSD | H1 | Trade IdeaLooking into GBPUSD from an overall structural perspective we can see that we’re currently trading within a consolidation forming on our higher timeframes so currently our trading is focused more around the key areas within the consolidation while we wait for the market to choose an overall direction on a larger scale.
Now taking from the above statement we can see that as we further breakdown GBPUSD going into smaller timeframes we can see that the market has broken out of our rising wedge formed on our H1/H4 timeframes and also through our minor 1D uptrend, now given that breakout we can further take note of the potential QML forming on our H1 which would further add as confirming our potential sell order.
I’ll be looking to sell GBPUSD from 1.27273 upon the retest of our diagonal Support from the breakout of our lower timeframe rising wedge which will also be the completion of our “Right Shoulder” on our potential QML formation. Stops will be placed at 1.27677 (-40 pips) and my final Take Profit level being 1.25361(+191 pips) giving us a potential 1 : 4.7 risk reward ratio.
We should also take note of the potential Fundamental announcements that will be released throughout the course of this week which will have an impact on the overall USD value and also those that’ll be impacting the overall GBP value as there are some important announcements that’ll be made I.e interest rates.
NB: This analysis is comprised solely of my own personal opinions and my own person outlook/overview of the market and should not be taken as direct advice to either enter a buy/sell position within the outlined market, please confirm with your own analysis prior to taking any trading decisions based on the outlined analysis.
Potential Daily Head & Shoulders IDEAHere I present my daily idea for GBPUSD which could provide us with some nice short and long opportunities. I feel that if we break the current trendline to the downside, we will see a drop to the 1.25 region. From here, we can take a long trade during the retrace. When the head and shoulder structure looks mature, we can look at taking a second short towards the 1.23 region ;)
GBPUSD: Sterling speculators are more focused on inflation than Traders in the pound market are betting on continued inflation due to a slowdown in retail sales as the Bank of England nears its next interest rate decision. The pound has recently strengthened against the euro for four consecutive weeks, and has strengthened against all G10 currencies this year except for the stronger US dollar.
Investors have increased their bullish bets on the pound for the third consecutive week. This is reflected in an increase in net long positions in the pound, suggesting that the pound is likely to appreciate against the dollar. Net long positions increased by nearly $800 million, or 48%, to $2.24 billion, the biggest selloff in four months. This is in contrast to about $2.166 billion in short positions held by speculators just two months ago.
The latest economic data paints a mixed picture. Wage growth slowed, inflation rose to a surprising 4.0% in December from 3.9% the previous month, and retail sales fell sharply. These factors are contributing to expectations that the BoE may be slower to cut interest rates than the Fed or the European Central Bank (ECB). Market expectations suggest there is a roughly 50% chance that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in May, with a full rate cut expected in August. By contrast, traders expect the ECB to start cutting rates as early as April, and there is almost a 50% chance that the U.S. will cut rates in March. Lee Hardman, senior currency analyst at MUFG, said the BoE needed evidence that inflation risks were easing to give it confidence to start cutting interest rates to support UK growth. Weak retail sales have slightly reduced the attractiveness of the pound, but it remains the second-best performing G10 currency at the start of the year.
Compared to other currencies, the pound has appreciated 4.7% against the Japanese yen and 3% against the Australian dollar so far this year. It also rose 2.8% against the Swiss franc, and Nomura analysts expect it to rise another 3%.
GBPUSD M15 / Short Trade Opportunity ✅Hello Traders!
This is my perspective for GBPUSD M15. I see a new BOSS, and FVG is fully closed. I expect a bearish move until the price of 1.26620.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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GBPUSD I Bearish flag and potential downside Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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GBPUSD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL . GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPUSD
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GBPUSD: The dollar hit a one-month high amid interest rate cut sThe US dollar rose to a one-month high on Wednesday on shifting market expectations for interest rate cuts and weak economic data from China. The dollar index, which measures the dollar's value against a basket of currencies, rose to 103.58, its highest since December 13th. This increase follows Tuesday's 0.67% rise.
The dollar's rise was fueled in part by comments from U.S. Federal Reserve official Christopher Waller. He noted that the U.S. is close to the Fed's 2% inflation target, but advised against cutting rates early until he is confident that the decline in inflation is sustainable. Following Waller's comments, the probability of a rate cut in March, as measured by CME's FedWatch tool, fell from 75% to about 60%. At the same time, yields on U.S. government bonds rose.
In contrast to other currencies, the pound rose 0.1% against the dollar to $1.2646, supported by rising UK inflation data. This has fueled expectations that the Bank of England may cut interest rates more slowly than other central banks.
GBPUSD M30 / LOND TRADE OPPORUNITY 💲Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to GBOUSD M30. I see a small retracement and I expect an increase until the OB marked above.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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GBPUSD Trade IdeaThe GBPUSD daily chart suggests a confirmed downside break of market structure. While a healthy retracement is ongoing, the 50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone offers a possible shorting opportunity if price action confirms on a lower timeframe (e.g., 15m / 5m). Targets lie at the current candle low and prior daily lows (refer to snapshot).
Please note: This is an informative analysis, not a trade recommendation. Conduct your own due diligence and risk management before taking any trading decisions.
GBPUSD: Dollar slides lower after CPI data; Sterling is supporteThe dollar steadied in early European trade on Friday as investors focused on mixed U.S. consumer inflation data and the potential impact of the FBI's interest rate cut. Future Federal Reserve System.
As of 4:25 p.m. ET (9:25 p.m. Japan time), the dollar index against a basket of six other currencies was trading steady at 102.022, down from Thursday's high of 102.76 (a five-month low). Although it has fallen from a certain point of 100.61, it is still above it.
U.S. consumer prices rose 0.3% in December, according to data released Thursday. The annual rate of increase was 3.4%, exceeding expectations of 0.2% and 3.2% increases, respectively. increase. However, the dollar received little support from this, as the "core" CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, fell again, suggesting underlying inflation remained subdued.
Federal Reserve officials have sought to downplay the possibility of early rate cuts, with Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester saying Thursday that the latest CPI numbers indicate it may be too early for the central bank to cut rates. Major interest rate cuts in March.
But most traders still expect the Fed to start cutting rates as early as March.
"A rate cut in March is still priced in by more than 60%, and we still see near-term vulnerability in risk assets from this move," ING analysts said in a note. The new decision is too restrictive. ”
All eyes are now on the US producer price index, which will be released in late trading, with the index expected to rise 0.1% in December, bringing the annual rate of increase to just 1.3%.
In Europe, the pound/dollar pair rose 0.1% to 1.2775 after data released on Friday showed the British economy grew slightly more than expected in November. The country's GDP rose 0.3% this month, beating expectations for a 0.2% increase.
GBPUSD → Two Sell Signal Bars! Time to Short? Let's Answer.GBPUSD gave us more upward price action to finish last week and thus far has failed to break the neckline. The Weekly chart shows two wicks over the 200EMA, but not a clean break. Should we short here?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We do not yet have the justification to short for several reasons. Most important, we're lacking a confirmation bar below the 200EMA. We have the two sell bars, but notice the last Daily candle from last week, it's a strong buy bar near a resistance line. A buy bar at a resistance line is not a buy signal because the context doesn't support a buy here. Buy bars this late in the game are often indicative of a potential reversal. The bulls tried to buy after a quick dip in price but failed to close above the 200EMA. This is a sign of potential weakness, key word: *potential*. That weakness needs to be confirmed with a strong bear bar closing on or near its low.
Such a dip will likely bring us to the 30EMA where I would expect some support. My preference would be to wait for that price action to either close below the 30EMA, or come back up to the Resistance Zone (as depicted) and fail again to confirm the short entry.
Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for the required price action.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $2,225
🟥 Stop Loss: $2,510
✅ Take Profit: $1,940
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Two Sell Signals at Resistance Zone
2. Failed to break 200EMA
3. Watch for Bear Close Below 200EMA and a re-test of Resistance Zone.
4. Look for Strong Bear Signal at Resistance to Short.
5. RSI near 58.00 above Moving Average, Contradicts Short Bias.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
A buy bar in isolation (bull candle with a large wick on the bottom) is a bullish bar. But bars in isolation are irrelevant when it comes to addressing a chart. Context is everything and when a buy bar appears near a Resistance Zone at what is possibly the end of a trend, it should not be considered a buy signal, but potentially a sign of weakness before the bears take over.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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GBPUSD I Detailed Trading Plan & How to ExecuteWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
GBPUSD END-WEEK ANALYSIS 2 UPDATE 08/10/2023📈🌟 GBP/USD Market Analysis: A Potential Shift in Sentiment
GBP/USD has exhibited a bearish trend in recent times. However, an interesting development to note is the shift in the US Dollar Index (DXY). The DXY broke its previous structure to the downside and re-entered a range dating back to August 30, 2023. This change could impact GBP/USD sentiment. Be on the lookout for potential retracement or trend reversal opportunities in the coming sessions. Stay adaptable and prioritize risk management. 📉📊 #GBPUSD #Forex #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
Same for AUDUSD and NZDUSD
GBPUSD M30 / RETRACEMENT CONFIRMED / LONG TRADE ACTIVATED✅Hello Traders!
As you can see, we have a confirmation of the retracement from the level marked in the previous analysis. Congrats to those who executed the trade!
Wish you a nice weekend!
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GbpUsd- Rise above 1.3? Nice 1:3.5 R:R trade spottedIn early October, FX:GBPUSD bottomed out in the 1.2 zone and entered a consolidation phase that persisted throughout the month. November marked a positive shift as the pair embarked on a robust uptrend, driving it approximately 800 pips higher.
Come December, the pair transitioned into another consolidation phase, establishing a clear support base at 1.26 and a resistance ceiling around the 1.28 zone. Recent price movements indicate the potential for a breakout, hinting at a prospective rise beyond the significant psychological figure of 1.3.
In the medium term, my target is set at the 1.3150 zone, aligning with the vicinity of the recent high resistance level.