Gbpusdtrade
A Cautious Trend Continuation Idea Bullish Indications
• As per DOW’s theory Price action is registering Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
• Candle Stick pattern show Inverted Hammer is followed by Bullish Engulfing candle which indicates Bulls are in control.
• Support zone is at 1.23386 which can help price bounce up to continue bullish trend.
• Linear Regression Channel with standard deviation 2 is used as trend line Support and Resistance. It is evident Price has respected
median line and moved back up.
• Support Zone confluences with Fib Level 78.6% and price has respected it.
• Formation of Bullish Pennant , which indicates continuation of current trend.
• As per Seasonal Analysis, BXY remain Bullish until closing of 2nd week of January 2023 with an increment of
2.35% from December 2022. It is
safe to say it can sustain to close bullish for January Month.
• On the other hand, as per last 10 years seasonal BXY remain slightly bearish in January month.
• Macro Analysis on 1 Day Time-Frame trend is Bullish.
• Micro analysis on 15 Minutes Time-Frame Trend remains Bullish.
• Hidden Bullish Divergence spotted on RSI oscillator.
• Average Directional Index , which measures the trend direction strength and its value is at 31.96 which indicates trend is strong.
Bearish Indications
• Price action is approaching Resistance zone at 1.24103 which can bounce back.
• DXY index analysis shows it to be testing a major support area which can provide a cushion for a bounce back which can result in trend
reversal upon confirmation.
• AB=CD Harmonic Pattern indicates a reversal in trend is possible in area of 1.24526. But we can be only sure of reversal of trend if DOW’s
theory is valid for the trend.
• 10 years Seasonal analysis of DXY show it remain Bullish in January.
• BXY index analysis shows it to be approaching a major resistance zone which can bounce back the trend.
Analysis Takeaways:
As per facts available to us and projections we can assume that it is quite possible that trend will continue to be bullish with a short-term bounce back from resistance area and again will continue as biased. However, we can’t reject the possibility of trend reversal into a bearish trend as per market sentiments so we need to be cautious and safely take what we can until that happens.
Bias : Long
Plan (Long)
Entry Long: 1.23677 (Fib Lvl 88.6%)
TP: 1.24543 (Fib Lvl 100%)
TP2 : 1.25936 (Fib Lvl 1.27%)
Stop Loss: 123.066 (Fib level of 78.6%)
Risk/Reward: 1:3.94
Manage your Risk Accordingly and Remember Stop Loss is your friend.
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GBPUSD Short RecapIdentified an opportunity during London Session.
Price was looking to take out an old high
Identified the legs of an ABC structure
As it did we looked for a creation of structure before the liquidity grab
Moved to 15 Min
After the Liquidity grab, we looked for price to break past the creation of structure for a market structure shift MSS or CHoCH
Moved to 5 Min to ID FVG
Wait for price to enter FVG and set SL above recent High
Set TP at or near point B of wave
Targeting 1:2.5 RR risking 1(or 2) percent of account
Emotion:
Groggy as I randomly woke up between 1:30-2 am
ID Session Time and likely pair
Confident in what looked to be forming
Surprised that I woke up to what looks to be a perfect set up
Frustrated due to sleep time, and inability to understand/read to FXBook calculator
Trade MGMT:
Entered minutes later than expected due to calculator difficulties
Added the wrong lot size by a few as I was unfamiliar with mobile MT5
Created feelings of FOMO that I was missing money or wouldn't get an accurate reading with what looked to be a perfect setup
Finally figured out the correct lot size and that I added 1.00 lot initially, and only needed .13 more to risk the %1/2 intended
Was tired and didn't remember if I risked 1 or 2 percent
Added and additional .13 position far past the initial trade,
Looked at the additional .13 as a scale in opportunity, which is something I'd like to be apart of my overall plan
GBP/USD :: Continue the process .GBP/USD :::
The price has some good support.
1- Trend line.
2- The bottom of the purple channel.
3- The middle line of the Orange channel.
Due to the presence of these supports, there is a possibility of price return, but the possibility of breaking the support range is low and it is expected that the price will increase after that .
GBPUSD : Current Situation & Technical , Fundamental View#GBPUSD
- At present the MARKET SENTIMENT for GBPUSD is slightly on the DOWN SIDE. All MARKETS including STOCKS and STOCKS may be UP due to MARKET RISK being ON in the past days. It affects the POUND greatly. GBPUSD may be slightly UP this week. Anyway, because the FED is a bit HAWKISH, the XXXUSD PAIRS are getting slightly downward PRESSURE.
- The price can definitely move up to the SUPPORT LEVEL below the GBPUSD. The reason for that is because there is a bit of a DOWNSIDE BIAS in the MARKET for USD. But after that GBPUSD can BUY until 1.2900 LEVEL. Before that, you can SELL at 1.2148 LEVEL. So go for GBPUSD LONG ENTRIES.
Be sure to pay attention to the UK GEOPOLITICAL STATUS.
If that MARKET SENTIMENT changes and STOCKS and COMMODITIES start to DOWN, it is risky to BUY GBPUSD. So keep an eye on the MARKET SENTIMENT.
GBPUSD top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD - Bearish price action ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD .
Here I expect bearish price action, as price filled the imbalance and took out buy side liquidity. We could see here a drop to 1.19500 as we have a huge imbalance that has to be filled.
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20 Reasons for buy GBPUSD 🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️
1 ✨Eagle eye: bearish trape at yearly time frame at 38 years support level with a long wick
2 📆Monthly: Multi-month a strong downtrend with a lot of momentum, and currently, the market is in a corrective phase and also has some open area for upside continuation
3 📅Weekly: with a panic bottom break, previous resistance also retested the 38 fib level last week, indicating another strong upside move. Weekly structures also change in character
4 🕛Daily: Daily, a clean uptrend about to start their 3rd impulse move so that we can have an edge ride with it but with proper Risk to reward a 50% chance to win
😇7 Dimension analysis
🟢 analysis time frame: Daily
5: 1 Price Structure: Bullish
6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: rounding and a classic flag pattern
7: 3 Volume: high volume at every bullish candle, so bulls are in full control this time in the market
8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: Momentum is sideways, yet as the previous momentum is bullish
9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: middle band support also in the bullish phase
10: 6 Strength ADX: total sideways
11: 7 Sentiment ROC: GBP beats USD since 2 month
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4
12: Entry TF Structure: bullish
13: entry move: right corrective
14: Support resistance base: previous wick order block
15: FIB: wait, yet
☑️ final comments: we can buy
16: 💡decision: Buy
17: 🚀Entry: 1.2180
18: ✋Stop losel: 1.2085
19: 🎯Take profit: 1.2837
20: 😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 1:7
🕛 Excepted Duration: 1 month
GBPUSD top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPUSD is preparing for a rise!Currency Pair : GBPUSD
Possible direction : Bullish
Technical Analysis : Price has formed a bull flag after strong impulse to the upside. Currently after grabbing liquidity from support price is preparing to breakout from the bull flag. Upon breakout of the bull flag, on the retest of the previous resistance as support. A bullish trade is high probable.
Possible trade recommendation : Bullish as per chart sketch
Press like button if you enjoy.
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