GOLD FUTURES GC1 (Swing)The market in a slow uptrend
You can find everything about my prediction on the CHART, good probability the market will follow the Arrow.
My First Target (Short)
A: 1708.8
and then when the market will start keep going up, Long
The second Target (Long)
B: 1721.9
IF you have any questions related to my trade. leave it in the comment section.
Gc!1
GC current states of affairsI’m still bullish for GC. So far plan is being executed but I be hoping for more true breakout by now.
My options are
= end trade
And no loss, but no potential profit
=Stay in trade
Risk bigger loss
Potential gain
Exit and re enter on test of wedge
Better RR ratio
Risk no entry
At this time I stay in trade and watch. Why? So far acting the way I predict. When no longer following plan then I exit and try for re entry if still valid trade setup.
Reversal trades have lower success rates but higher profits.
Please comment your thoughts and ideas. Please support with thumbs up if you like this post.
Long term perspective on GOLD / Cup and Handle Pattern Today we will share our view about the long-term opportunities we think gold is about to offer. First, we will start with the Weekly chart you can see on this post:
What is a Cup and Handle Pattern?
-Cup and handle pattern is the name that someone really creative gave to a market situation in which we have an ATH followed by a big Dip, in this case, a major correction between 40% to 70%. Then the price is able to recover the whole drawdown, and we have a fresh ATH (this can be above the previous one or a small breakout above). Finally, we have a corrective pattern, typically a ZIG-ZAG structure or an ABC structure. After the ZIG-ZAG / Flag Pattern breakout, we have the confirmation signal of a new Bull run about to come.
-To better understand this example, you can see the next picture, and also you can see the situation from 1978 to 2009 (cup and handle pattern) / 2009 to 2011 the resolution of the structure.
-Please understand that this type of pattern is useful on high timeframes like Daily and Weekly charts, its pretty similar to the situation we had on BTC/USD several times after huge corrections
-With that explained, we think GOLD is about to complete the pattern. Right now, our objective is not to find the bottom of the movement but to be ready to execute positions if the breakout of the structure is confirmed.
Lets take a better look to the current situation on the Daily Chart:
This chart shows that the 1680 - 1700 area is a major zone for bullish pressure to start coming. Why? From a technical perspective, we can observe a huge support zone that + Ascending trendline + the channel's cloned trendline. Remember that using different tools that converge on a specific area is a strong signal in technical analysis.
Our Strategy right now is:
Wait for the price to reach the expected area 1680 -1700. Once that happens, we want to see the first bearish trendline's breakout and look for a corrective structure. That would be the first position we can develop on the yellow lines, this would be a risky setup because we are not waiting for the absolute confirmation of the cup and handle pattern (breakout above B), but if we are right, we can have a huge risk-reward ratio trading waiting patiently for the Cup and handle target.
The second position we want to develop is the safer one, which is waiting for the ZIG-ZAG pattern breakout and looking for a corrective structure on the next resistance zone. If that happens, we will develop long setups, as you can see on the yellow lines towards the final Cup and Handle Target.
We hope the information is useful. Thanks for reading!
GC possible long opportunity on reversal.I don’t know if I am to take this trade but I am thinking about it in my mind.
These be reason for possible reversal.
- downward wedge
- approaching intersection of wedge mean squeeze, mean price soon break
- RSI in oversold territory. As price approach intersection of wedge will be even more oversold.
- pice target top of parallel channel line. Also target could be when RSI approaches overbought territory.
- with indexes pulling back gold prime for up move.
Let me know what you think. Please give thumb up if you find this thought provoking. Thank you!
Gold GC is moving between static levels, in its progress the 1760 level has been recognized on several occasions but broken with an important candle, only the return above this level with force can make me think of a reversal of this descending trend, otherwise if it resumes the downtrend is the next level where I expect a test at around 1675 level
Gold- short working so far.GC is moving in direction of my trade. I will take at least half profit at where my target zone is. I have tightening my stop to my entry now. So this now be like a free trade. Yellow line channel being followed nicely. The bottom yellow line is weaker support then upper yellow line give resistance. Also pivot at target is weak. These 2 confluent things mean GC may continue lower than my target. Depending on how chart looking at target I might stay in short and make a trailing stop.
GOLD FUTURES GC1 (Swing)We have a Down trend, the market may follow my arrow, The Yellow Line is the resistance = Then a Pull Back
if the market achieve the Yellow line and keep going down = short and use the TP & SL
Target: 1782.2
Stop loss and take profit mentioned on the chart
if you have any questions leave it in the comment box below the chart.
GOLD- I am going short. While Markets run.I have decided to take position in Gold (GC).
Reasons:
- following nicely down channel (Yellow lines)
- Indexes are running hot!!
- top yellow trendline show very good resistant properties. Down channel show okay support, not great. this means well that it could continue below this support.
- 0.50 fib is show resistance and 0.50 is important fib line.
- decent profit to risk ratio.
- my target is pivot as seen on chart. But this is weak pivot because it already respond to even early pivot. So this means I can stay in trade if I want when target is close depending on situation. This also go along with weaker bottom channel support.
I am always transparent with my trading. I show losses and wins no matter what. I always be honest and show you what I do. I do not put all my trades up on TradingView because I would be a lot of work!
so let's see how we do. If you find this idea interesting then please like and follow.
GOLD LongI will be entering a swing long in Gold here.
It is somewhat risky given the downward pressure on Gold and the current correlation with equities but I believe the R/R to be very favorable here.
This is also based on my fundamental view of future monetary and fiscal policy.
The Fed has painted themselves into a corner where they are forced to employ ever more accomodating monetary policy.
This is unlikely to change given that they choose to ignore the obvious signs of inflation, pointing to the CPI which is clearly an inaccurate measure of actual inflation.
Furthermore, they have expressed that they are not really concerned about inflation anyways, and that maximum employment is their primary objective even if it comes with the cost of higher inflation.
The market seems to be pricing in a surprise increase in interest rates, but that's highly unlikely to happen given the reasons above and the fact that the Fed has said they will warn the markets before any rate hike is implemented.
What's more likely is that the Fed will continue their accomodative policy and buy bonds to force yields back down.
On the fiscal side, ever larger stimulus bills continue to be passed, primarily stimulating the demand side while the supply side is still shut down.
Even if we start opening up, it will take some time for the supply side to increase production sufficiently to cover the pent-up demand in the economy.
Based on these reasons I'm entering a swing long position with a wide stop in case there's a spike down to hunt stops.
Trade at you own risk.
Another gold shortSo I enter gold again after stop out thi morning for nice money. Now I enter again because
Fast Hull cross down over slow hull.
gold pull back to resistant line make good entry point
rsi still making lower low with price
price below center regresssioin line
descended triangle which usually meaning reversal, but see price still at top of wedge so still good profiting potential even if reversal at bottom line of wedge. Here I take half profit then watching how price reacts.
also pivot is weak that I show because this weak pivot reacting to prior pivot. So this weakens it.
Gold Futures +900 Tick BullishGC Daily time frame is approaching the up trend line that has history of pushing the market bullish. If support holds, the technical analysis shows a potential +900 Tick bullish push towards resistance can take place. Looking for a bullish trend to form on the one hour time should be a really good idea.
GOLD TRIANGLE REVEALED - OVERALL SHORT - KEY POINT- GC1! - DAILYThanks for the likes and shares. I really appreciated it, hope to help you the best to have another vision of the market acting as a support idea.
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Can you see how overall trend reveals what is probably going on.
As I like to make it simple for you, there is no hazardous moves.
See how the bleu up trending line and the red down trending one are meeting each other perfectly on the horizontal orange line.
-The blue up trending support line is the most important line in this graph. Probably the best area the enter long from that point.
-The red down trending resistance line is maybe the strongest ceiling on the gold price right now. The price has failed with very important and violent decrease in price following right after the failure to break. It is probably the best place to sell from.
- The orange line is likely to act like a gravity center until the end of the triangle, or, even little bit before the end. From that that point you will probably use your own judgement in how to follow the trend. The orange line could be called "the pullback zone" for the moment but it could become "the breaking point" that will lead to a clear run to the bottom blue up trending support line.
Hope that gave you a bit of insight on what I am thinking about the gold at the moment. Any link with the pandemic? Maybe, but I prefer to look only at the charts. For the moment, I would probably be waiting for best moment to sell it.
If gold is going to push bullish... Now is the timeGold Futures on the one hour time frame broke below the most recent support. The market looks like it is about to hit the down one hour fib extension near a known level of U-turn. If buyers are to take control. Now is the time. I am looking for a counter trend line break bullish and a bullish trend to present itself around the current level.
Gold Futures, Short scenario inside the channelToday, we will show a short term analysis we have on Gold Futures:
-It's important to say that in the long term, we have a bullish perspective on GOLD; check the Weekly chart, we think we are on a Cup and Handle pattern, and this type of assets tend to be bullish on uncertainty times (safe heaven assets) with its aligned with the current situation.
-Now, we will focus on the 4HS chart and a possible short setup. The main structure is a descending channel. Currently, we observe a corrective pattern (ABC) supported on the descending channel. If the price breaks below "B," we expect a continuation of the bearish movement towards the 1700 zone. There we expect to find the bottom of the bearish movement.
Thanks for reading!
ridethepig | Gold for ECB📌 ridethepig | Gold for ECB
This leg is a demonstration of how and where an advance on the right break should be punished.
Buyers reclaiming $1.860 yesterday while the inauguration/coachella took place and now $1,875 for the European open is sending last minute ⚠️ signal of ECB preparations. The technical breach illustrates the lust to expand, the momentum has been bottled up for a while.
The swing chain demands a test of $2,015, play with the break because we are now into a very usable ECB territory. Global inflation is starting to show signs of creeping higher ( see the explanation ) so expecting Lagarde to be slightly bullish on inflation, neutral on growth, no changes in rates and the usual bs 'watching the currency closely'.
All in all the valid plan here is for Gold higher via inflation. Buyers are already trying the attack, it is quick to set in motion an impulse and buyers have formed a very strong defence at $1,803. Therefore remain long and play the continuation.
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
We are back inside the Descending Channel / Bearish Pressure A lot of attention on Gold since we observed the bullish breakout of the descending channel. However, the excitement didn't last long when we had an aggressive bearish movement making the price go again the bearish structure. What now?
Let's start with the Weekly chart:
Here we can observe a Huge bearish engulfing candlestick (Bullish FakeOut of the descending channel). The movement happened on the Previous All-time High zone (working as a resistance zone)
From a Weekly perspective, we can define a target of 1700 if the bearish pressure keeps coming.
Now we will pay attention to the 4HS chart
-Our main structure is the descending channel; the bearish movement found support on the previous support zone (1840).
-We expect the price to correct on this level with similar proportions to the one that happened before (check the green arrow)
-If that happens and we can define a clear ABC pattern, we think that the breakout of it will mean a confirmation for the bearish movement towards the Weekly Target at 1700
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Thanks for reading!