Gc!1
GBPCAD - SELL Nowyes correct Sell it now and it will drop massively and see the description in the image. GC is in overbought situation and price has retraced from the 0.382 fibo level.
Note: Trade at your own risk.
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Gold holding Trend. Up then down againGC still holding the trendline pretty well with a "zone" to match. Could be an easy entry. Loking for this to rise maybe overnight up into the trendline/zone with a drop to follow. Could see good prices on PUTs if this happens and catch it off the rise. Any positions held nust be patient. Trend is your friend "until the end"
Gold - Buying dips to the cloudTrade Idea
3 consecutive negative sessions have been posted.
The medium term bias remains bullish.
Current prices have reacted from a high of 1555, however, we expect further gains to follow.
Sentiment remains positive despite the pull-back lower in prices.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
We look to Buy at 1510
Stop: 1500
Target 1: 1540
Target 2: 1555
Gap Fill HypothesisSince gold likes to fill all the gaps before breaking out. That's what happened for the previous breakouts too. White Circle on the Charts, would be the gaps that I'm talking about.
Gap Fill Hypothesis: 1454 ---> 1449.3 ---> 1435.2 ---> 1423 ---> 1418.9 ---> 1416.7 ---> 1460; Look on 5 minutes chart. Couldn't post a 5 min chart on tradingview. Gold gapped filled 1454 today = making a double top at 1460 resistance.
~
{ Short Entry }
Entry: Sunday's Opening, Short ( 1452.5 )
Stop Loss: 1460, Risk: $750
PT: 1416.7, Reward: 3600$ | 1:5 |
~
{ Long Entry }
Entry: Gap Fill, Long ( 1416.7 )
Stop Loss: 1393, Risk: $2370
PT: 1460-1480, Reward: $4330-6330 | 1:2 or 1:3 |
Overall Trend is Bullish since it's above 1400.
GC Outlook After reviewing the chart for GC Futures, I believe there is prospect to the long-side. Based on the way I frame the markets, I would need to see a break (failure) of the opposing 61.8% level at around 1600 and then see a measured move long at a 50% level. Obviously smaller time-frames would need to confirm this at the time to be able to enter into any trade. Targets are denoted on the chart if the conditions become true.
I do not post entries, exits etc on my charts because I believe each and every one of you will have a different way of entering into a market and exiting or managing positions. I have my own way of entering into trades and managing trades, and my techniques are rather different to most.
Anyway, I have a long bias for Gold based on the longer-term outlook. That is not to say there will not be day-trading opportunities on either direction in the mean time. If the longer-term conditions do play out, Gold could be seeing a break of all time highs in time :).
Pennant - Thoughts on road ahead for gold?Possible long trade to 1478-1523 area.
We seem to currently be at the pivotal moment for gold.
Either a breakdown or continuation will happen, depending on market sentiment, inflation and the Fed's decisions.
My thoughts:
If inflation picks up, gold is a popular hedge against it. This could mean gold prices move up.
However, higher inflation lowers expectations of a rate cut. If there is no rate cut, gold is less attractive.
Gold performs well if there is fears of a recession and a stock market crash. Fed chair Powell is hinting that a preventative rate cut could be on the table in July, lowering fears of a recession.
I think expectations about the Fed's decision are more important for gold than inflation itself, meaning if inflation picks up the lowered expectations for a cut would outweigh the inflation hedge argument, sending gold lower.
Since the Fed is hinting at a rate cut, I favor the bullish argument in the shorter term.
In the longer term, stronger economic growth and a rising stock market following the cut could encourage risk-on sentiment, sending gold lower again.
What do you guys think?
I would love to hear your thoughts on gold going forward, so please leave a comment and contribute to the discussion!