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GOLD | $1980 Support Break Eyed, Do Bears Have the Momentum?PRICE FORECAST OANDA:XAUUSD : - Gold consolidates above key support as yields rise and psychological limit gains improve. - DXY is trying to recover from Friday's sell-off. Gold prices are consolidating after another attempt at $2000/oz on Friday. Despite the weaker US dollar, we are seeing a slight recovery in US bond yields and an improvement in risk appetite, which will certainly limit gains in the precious commodity. The $2000/oz level remains a challenge for Gold, despite the weakening Dollar. Gold's safe-haven appeal may be fading. There is growing optimism that conflict in the Middle East can be avoided. Last week, the Fear and Greed index started at 30 and is now at 42. Gold may be supported by the appeal of holding precious metals and a weaker US dollar. However, to sustain a break above $2000, continued weakness in US data is needed to confirm that the Fed has made up its mind. USD weakness and weaker US fundamentals could push Gold higher. Improved sentiment and risk appetite could push Gold prices down to $1,950. There is also a $1,843/oz price gap that still needs to be closed, but it could take a long time to do so. RISK EVENTS AHEAD Over the next 48 hours, several Federal Reserve policymakers will speak. Fed Chairman Powell will close with comments on both Wednesday and Thursday. It will be interesting to see if there are any efforts to dampen market optimism that the Fed will raise interest rates. It is worth noting the comments of Fed policymaker Thomas Barkin, as he stated that it is too early to make assumptions about the Fed's outlook in December. Two more inflation reports are expected ahead of the Fed meeting, this will be very important. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK OANDA:XAUUSD From a technical perspective, Gold needs to maintain support above the $1977-1980 level on the daily timeframe to continue its upward momentum. However, there is notable selling pressure around the $2000/oz mark, as multiple attempts to push prices higher have failed. Friday's daily candle also showed a significant increase in wick, suggesting ongoing selling pressure above and around the $2000/oz mark. The bullish structure remains intact as long as the daily candle does not close below the $1,968 support zone. It is possible that we could dip slightly below the $1,980 support level before bouncing back from the $1,968 area and towards the psychological level of $2,000/oz. The mixed signals are due to the uncertain macro and geopolitical situation, causing volatility and instability in 2023. Key Levels to Keep an Eye On: Resistance levels: 1992.89 - 2000.00 - 2008.00 Support levels: 1977.00 - 1968.00 - 1953.00
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TVS-Trader
GOLD prices on the world market suddenly plummetedThe world gold spot price on the Asian market is around 1,977 USD/ounce, down more than 12 USD/ounce compared to trading at the same time yesterday morning. The price of gold delivered according to the contract also decreased sharply by over 12 USD to 1,984 USD/ounce. The market welcomes more positive economic information. Specifically, the Japanese economy showed that the October PMI index increased well above the expansion level, reaching 51.6 points, higher than forecast and September's 51.1 points. Along with that, in Europe, the region's largest economy, Germany, said that factory orders in September increased again, after a decline in August. The increase in September was 0.2%. , much higher than the forecast of minus 1%. Germany's October composite PMI index increased slightly by 45.9 points, higher than the forecast 45.8 points. Germany's October services PMI also increased to 48.2 points, higher than the forecast 48 points. Investor confidence in the Eurozone market increased from minus 21.9 in October to minus 18.6 this November, higher than the forecast of minus 22.2. From the above economic information, experts believe that major economies in Europe and Asia continue to show positive signs of recovery as new orders increase. The increase in investor confidence will also help them return to investing in the European economy, helping this region escape the economic downturn as previously forecast. Experts say that the economy is recovering and the European Central Bank recently signaled that it will increase interest rates one more time to lower the inflation rate to the target level of 2%. The Fed decided to keep interest rates stable last week. This has caused investors to reduce gold speculation and instead buy profitable assets such as stocks and bonds.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD: Head and Shoulders targeting the 4H MA200Gold is forming a Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4H timeframe, which is turning bearish (RSI = 44.053, MACD = 0.190, ADX = 23.859) as the price can't stay over the 4H MA50, which has turned flat. If the price closes under the neckline of the pattern, we will short and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1,935.50), which is slightly over the 4H MA200. See how well our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope
1
GOLD | Investors Capitalize on Weak NFPsANALYSIS & OUTLOOK OANDA:XAUUSD - Weaker US labor data and safe-haven demand boosted gold prices. - All eyes are on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and Michigan consumer sentiment. - XAUUSD may experience some downsides. OANDA:XAUUSD BASIC CONTEXT Gold prices rose on the back of a weaker-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls report, which showed higher unemployment and lower wage growth. This could signal a weaker job market in the region. The Federal Reserve will welcome the data as it addresses concerns about a recession and stagflation. As a result, US Treasury yields and real interest rates fell, making gold more attractive to investors. The Israel-Hamas war was volatile and supported gold prices as a safe haven. Escalation could increase gold prices. Next week will be quieter but Fed guidance will cause volatility. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and other officials will speak. Michigan consumer sentiment could impact the US dollar. Price action OANDA:XAUUSD the daily is currently trading within a rising wedge pattern that typically appears after a previous downtrend. In this case, the uptrend negates much of the validity of the pattern but with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in overbought territory, a pullback may not be out of the question. A longer-term view could see the gold pair pull back after which a potential golden crossover could form, allowing XAUUSD to rally once more. Resistance levels: 2048.79 - 2000.00 - 1987.42 Support levels: Wedge support - 1950.00
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD This makes all the difference between bearish and bullishGold has taken a pause on October's enormous rise that was backed by the geopolitical tension in Israel, and formed a Bullish Flag pattern. The whole pattern from October's low until now looks very much like March 2023. A Bullish Megaphone with Higher Lows to buy and Higher Highs to sell, led the market to the eventual 2080 peak. Trading Plan: 1. Sell as long as the (1d) candle closes under Resistance (1). 2. Buy if it closes over it. Targets: 1. 1955 (Rising Support of a symmetrical to March Bullish Megaphone and over MA50 (1d)). 2. 2049 (Resistance 2). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) got overbought and pulled back. The last two times it did a similar structure was on March 17th and January 13rd. The former extended the rise while the latter had a strong decline to the 1805 level that formed Support (1). Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingBrokersView
1
XAUUSD Channel Up into Head and Shoulders? Which will prevail?Gold (XAUUSD) is heading into today's Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report trading on a Head and Shoulders (H&S) within a Channel Up pattern. Even though the volatility will be great coming into the report, we should trade this on a candle closing approach. A 4H candle closing above the 1993.50 Symmetrical Resistance, will be a bullish signal, targeting 2020, which will be a typical +2.70% rise as the previous two bullish legs of the Channel Up. A 4H candle closing below the 1970 neckline and more importantly the 4H MA100 (green trend-line), will be a bearish signal for us and we will target the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) at 1930. Note that the 4H MACD just formed a Bullish Cross. However the previous one on October 27 failed to turn the trend bullish and instead formed the (so far) top of the Channel Up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
2
XAUUSD Best and worst case scenarios but both are bearish.Gold / XAUUSD is about to form a Bearish Cross on the 1day RSI. All previous 1day RSI Bearish Cross formations in the last 12 months have either pulled back near the 0.382 or 0.618 Fibonacci levels. With the market showing clear signs of exhaustion from the overbought valuation that is caused by the Israel-Palestine war, we have most likely seen the short term top and a correction is much needed technically. Sell now and target at least 1935, which besides the 0.382 Fibonacci, will test the 1day MA50. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TheCryptagon
The road higher will be bumpyWhile bullish in the long term, we are still awaiting further pullback in the price of gold after its impressive run above $2,000. Right now, we are paying close attention to support and resistance levels near $2,009, $1,985, and $1,959. If the price of gold manages to hold above $1,985, it will be positive; the same applies to the breakout above $2,000 and resistance near $2,009. However, if the price fails to stay above the mentioned level, and we see more decline in RSI and Stochastic on the daily chart, it will alert us to more downside; in such a case, we would expect gold to drop below $1,960 (and maybe even to as low as $1,925). Yet, regardless of our opinions, it is important to note that there is a FOMC meeting scheduled for today, which can have a volatile impact (to either side) on the price depending on the FED’s decision and the chairman's tone during the press conference. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 portrays the daily chart of XAUUSD and simple support/resistance levels derived from particular peaks and troughs. Illustration 1.02 The image above shows the daily chart of RSI. The yellow arrow indicates a bearish crossover below 70 points, which raises our suspicion (though it still could be just a fakeout). Technical analysis Daily = Bullish Weekly = Neutral Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Editors' picks
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tradersweekly
27
XAUUSD Megaphone bottom buy but sell if it breaks.Gold is trading on a Rising Megaphone inside a Channel Up, both powerful bullish patterns. All 3 Lows prior have been priced under the MA50 (1h) and on the Rising Support. The MA200 (1h) has been supporting all the way back since the October 8th breakout due to the war. Trading Plan: 1. Buy when the price crosses under the MA50 (1h). 2. Sell if it crosses under the MA200 (1h). Targets: 1. 2030 (Rising Resistance). 2. 1955 (slighty over Support 1, which is the level that showed the strongest buying strength recently). Tips: 1. The RSI (1h) has its own Buy Zone to consider where the Megaphone bottoms where priced. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingBrokersView
XAUUSD: Bullish inside Channel Up. Bearish under it.Gold turned again marginally overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 70.196, MACD = 25.640, ADX = 45.356) as it managed to stay supported inside the Channel Up pattern of October, over the 4H MA50 as well. Even though Gold's price action this past month took many traders by surprise, its price action is really that simple, a technical Channel Up, which keeps the trend bullish inside it (TP = 2,055) targeting the 3.5 Fibonacci extension (like the October 13th HH) or if it crosses under the 4H MA50, bearish targeting the 4h MA200 and 0.5 Fibonacci global retracement level (TP = 1,922.50). See how well our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by InvestingScope
2
XAUUSD High chances for a short-term pull-back.Gold (XAUUSD) is having an remarkable 3 week rally after a technically flawless hit-and-rebound on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) on the week of October 02. Obviously, this rally has been stretched by the geopolitical unrest in Middle East and isn't purely technical on its full range, but besides the small fundamental correction we should see once peace is restored, there are a few important conclusions we can make from similar technical situations in the recent past. For the past +3 years (since the August 2020 High), Gold has seen another 6 similar rallies (+10.53% to +14.12%). Of those 6 only 2 formed a 1W MACD Bullish Cross, such as the rally we are currently at. Even the 3 rallies after the September 26 2022 bottom that were on an uptrend, delivered short-term corrections to at lest the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This time the 0.382 Fibonacci level is marginally below 1940 and can be your target. If the current rally is indeed the start of a new multi-month bullish sequence to new All Time Highs (ATH), then a hit-and-rebound at 1940 would be ideal technically, as it will test successfully the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the standard Support level during long-term uptrends. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
gold 4hour = if last high break, gold will go upper I think gold is sell now , see daily chart AC indicator , it is red = down trend will come if high not break if you have open sell , 100% put SL or hedge buystop on high ( if buystop never close it, gold main trend is up, if you close it and gold go upper,you will 0.00 ...) my orders = I have sell (I open after pinbar with SL in pinbar high + buystop in last high + I will buy gold in 2 place 1925 after buy pinbar I want you win,profit
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ramin_trader2006
GOLD 2 POSSIBLE BULLISH TRADESHello traders here are 2 scenarios that i will be watching for tomorrow the bias for gold is still bullish due to middle east situation , and the trend is bullish so you should be looking for buys. the question is where ? : zone 1 Trendline + green area we might see a bullish continuation from there . zone 2 : the golden zone which is also a key level that turned from resistance to support (Most Trusted then zone 1 ) other bullish clues : Daily candle closed as A Hammer . the news tommorow can effect the situation stay vigilant
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by xAB777
XAUUSD Channel Down on (1h). Sell.Gold has converted the formerly strong Support, MA50 (1h), to a Resistance and a Channel Down has emerged. Today it priced first the Lower Low and now the Lower High. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. 2. Buy if the price crosses over Resistance (1). Targets: 1. 1950 (Lower Low on a -1.39% decline, like the previous sell leg). 2. 1997.30 (Resistance 2). Tips: 1. The RSI (1h) is reversing right where the Resistance that priced the previous Lower High was. An additional bearish signal. 2. 1950 is on the path of the MA200 (1h). An important support test for the long term. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingBrokersView
3
Gold's safe-haven behaviorIn the previous idea about gold, we expressed skepticism for overly bullish prospects in the short term (in the long term, we stay bullish). The main idea behind that is gold often reacts (initially) positively to geopolitical tensions, stock market weakness, or any type of disruptive event. Nevertheless, even if persistent, these events (or disruptions) eventually start to be priced in and ignored by market participants. Depending on many external factors, the periods of an initial positive reaction vary in length and strength. Below are charts illustrating this relationship between gold and SPX. Illustration 1.01 - 2021 market peak Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD. The orange line represents the S&P 500 Index. It can be observed that in late 2021 when SPX started to fall, gold reacted positively at first. However, this positive reaction lasted only for about two months. After that, gold started to follow the stock market to the downside. Illustration 1.02 - COVID-19 stock market crash The image above displays the daily chart of XAUUSD. The orange line represents the S&P 500 Index. Again, gold can be seen rising in an initial reaction to the COVID-19 stock market crash but falling later. Illustration 1.03 - 2007/2008 crisis Illustration 1.03 portrays the daily chart of XAUUSD and SPX (orange line). After the stock market peaked in 2007, gold continued to rise. In fact, it managed to go on an approximately 200-day rally before finally reversing to the downside (this is one of the strongest positive reactions in gold to the weakness in stocks). Illustration 1.04 - 1987 crash (Black Monday) Illustration 1.04 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD and SPX (orange line). In response to the 1987 crash, gold rose for 111 days. Interestingly, its peak coincided with the stock market's bottom. Illustration 1.05 - 2010 flash-crash Above is the daily chart of XAUUSD and SPX (orange line). During the May 2010 selloff, gold reacted positively to the weakness in stocks at first. Then, it erased nearly all of its gains, rebounded again, and erased gains for the second time. Technical analysis Daily = Bullish Weekly = Slightly bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tradersweekly
2
XAUUSD: Excellent opportunity to buy the dip this week.Gold is on a fierce rally since the October 6th bottom that has turned the 1D technical outlook overbought (RSI = 71.518, MACD = 17.530, ADX = 38.679). The price crossed over the Fibonacci 0.618 level but Friday's 1D candle closed downwards leaving a big wick above (but still closed green). We may see a Triangle consolidation much like March 20th-April 3rd before a higher price, allowing the 1D RSI to drop under 60.000 again the the 1D MA50 to approach within supporting distance. Technically, the whole pattern since September 20th-now, is indentical with February 2nd-March 20th, as their highs and lows are on symmetric levels. Consequently, this week's pullback can be an excellent opportunity to buy the dip and target the candle body high of May 4th, the All Time High (TP = 2,050). See how well our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by InvestingScope
XAUUSD Is this rally coming to an end?Two weeks ago (October 07) we called for a new Bullish move (see chart below) on Gold (XAUUSD) as the price hit the 1W MA200 and held it The sheer force behind this bullish move has surpassed all technical expectations as it is also fundamentally driven by the Middle East tension. Gold acts as a safe haven in times of market uncertainty. In any case, the rally broke today above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (from the ATH) and entered the 5-month Resistance Zone that is in place since May 18 and has 10 rejections under its belt. The 1D RSI broken yesterday into the +70.00 overbought territory so a technical pull-back isn't at all unrealistic now. It all depends on the 1D candle closing (which will also be the weekly closing). If the candle closes below 1979 (0.618 Fibonacci), it will be an early bearish signal. The target of the first correction of the previous similar bullish leg in March was the 4H MA50 (red trend-line). As a result, if the candle makes that closing, we are willing to take the risk and target the 4H MA50/ 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) Support cluster at 1935. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
1