GOLD → Can the XAU stop falling? OANDA:XAUUSD is declining amid the strengthening of the dollar index. The latter in its turn broke a strong resistance, and XAU continues to update the lows
There is a possibility that the decline in gold may stop, but only if the trend resistance is broken. The price will go into a sideways flat condition, which will force the price to trade in the 1900 - 1800 range.
At the moment, the XAUUSD pair is within the boundaries of the bearish price channel. A resistance retest is being formed, which could push the price beyond 1890 and trigger another drop to 1880.
On the global chart on Sunday, we saw the current bullish trend where I described the potential for the medium-term outlook of the XAU. The market is bearish and we should prioritise looking for resistance levels for selling
Support levels: 1890, 1884
Resistance levels: 1894, 1900
I expect a bearish scenario to form in the market, but gold may try to break the trend resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
Gc1!!
GOLD → Prerequisites that the price will continue to fall OANDA:XAUUSD finally breaks the medium-term support line and updates the low to 1885. The trading week closes near the local support level, which indicates that the market is ready to continue the trend
This week ended positively for the dollar, the metallo reacted as expected.
There are several important news items to watch out for in the coming week:
1) Building Permits
2) SP Global US Services PMI
3) Core Durable Goods Orders
4) Initial Jobless Claims
5) Fed Chair Powell Speaks
There is talk within the FED that the market is not ready to weaken yet as inflation is still at a high level, but again, rumours and facts affect the market in categorically different ways
From a technical analysis point of view the market is preparing to decline further as the global upward price channel was broken earlier, price breaks strong support and also breaks MA200, at the end of last trading session price closes very close to the risk zone, breaking through which will form a downward momentum.
Support levels: 1885
Resistance levels: 1902.9
The market is weak, the dollar index continues to strengthen actively, which may continue to negatively affect gold.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The bears are taking the gold to the den OANDA:XAUUSD amid numerous resistance retests is not yet able to break it. Fundamental data is still on the side of the dollar. The gold price continues to fall and update the lows
The price bounces off the channel resistance and falls, testing 1890. A false breakout is formed against the mentioned support and the price starts a local rebound. Most likely, gold may test 1900 in the near future before falling further. There is still a strong bearish trend in the market.
Yesterday's fundamental data is positive for USD. As the dollar index strengthens, we see the gold price falling. In the medium term, we should expect the metal price to continue falling.
Support levels: 1890
Resistance levels: 1900
I expect a retest of the resistance area before a further fall.
Regards R. Linda!
Gold showing a big bearish pattern brewing Inverse Cup and Handle seems to be forming on the daily chart for gold.
This does not give safe-haven vibes. Unless it's for a short.
If the price breaks below the brim level (support), we could see downside to come for the metal.
Other indicators confirm downside.
21>7
We just need the price to break below 200MA and it's all down from here.
RSI<50
Target 1 will be at $1,710, around where the recent support levels were.
GOLD → Bearish trend resistance breakout. realistic? OANDA:XAUUSD makes a false breakout amid the news. The price is testing the 1900 liquidity area. The chart set-up and pin-bar form a bullish potential
On the chart we also see the strengthening of the price. Gold makes an attempt to break the bearish resistance and for a few hours the price forms a consolidation above the previously broken line.
On the chart I have indicated the upper boundary at 1912.7. I think there is a chance that after a strong fall, the price may go into a consolidation or flat format. 1912 is a strong and liquid resistance and is likely to push the price back to the support, which will only confirm the flat. Our task after the breakout of trend resistance is to pay attention to strong levels to open positions for breakout, rebound or false breakout. It is too early to talk about the trend change. We are watching the price.
The price is testing MA-50 for a breakout. If it happens, gold will strengthen to MA-200.
Support levels: 1902, 1900
Resistance levels: 1906.5, 1911.5, 1912.7
I expect a correction to the resistance. From 1912 a pullback and retest of support is possible.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD hit the 1D MA200 for the first time in 8 months.Gold (XAUUSD) easily hit our 1913 short-term target within the narrow Channel Down, as presented on our last idea (see chart below):
As the price hit yesterday the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since December 20 2022, it is time we look again at the long-term charts in an attempt to identify potential Support/ Pivot levels.
On the 1D time-frame, we have Support 1 at 1893 which along with Resistance 1 (1987.50) form the most noticeable pattern on the 1D time-frame, a 3 month Rectangle. As long as the 1D candle closes above the 1D MA200, we may see a bounce without a Support 1 test. In either case, we will buy and target 1980 (just below Resistance 1). If however a 1D candle closes below Support 1, we will take the loss and sell instead targeting the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) at 1870.
Amidst the above, once/ if the 1D RSI breaks below its 30.00 barrier, Gold will start turning into a solid long-term buy opportunity, so regardless of having hit the 1870 target or not, we will close the sell and turn bullish again, targeting initially the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
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GOLD → The Bears continue to dominate. Ahead of CRS, RSOANDA:XAUUSD continues to update the lows. The price bounces from the local liquidity area of 1903 and forms a correction, making another attempt to retest the trend resistance
The upper boundary of the descending channel does not let the price yet, most likely targets below the most important. Reports released today are:
1) Core Retail Sales (no data, the previous ones were bearish)
2) Retail Sales (expected to strengthen)
After retesting the support, it is likely that the price may head up to retest the trend resistance, there is a possibility that the price may break the line and start to form a flat (consolidation) before moving further to one side or the other. A global bearish trend dominates the market. I still expect a retest of 1900 as a priority (a false breakout is possible)
Moving averages act as resistance
Support levels: 1905, 1903, 1900
Resistance levels: 1908.3, 1912.7
In priority, I expect the price to fall from the channel resistance to 1900 with the subsequent rebound and the formation of a flat on the background of the bear market.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - The price is getting ready to drop. False breakout Gold is testing trend resistance again, Price is forming a strong consolidation and there is a noticeable lull in the market, most likely before the storm
TA on the high Timeframe:
1) Local support is forming at 1912, and consolidation near the level
2) There is still a potential for a decline to 1902.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price is forming a bounce from trend resistance after a false breakdown
2) If the price can break the support of 1912, 1910 then it will head down to 1900.
3) The trend is bearish and I expect the price to decline in priority.
Key resistance📈: 1915
Key support📉: 1912, 1910
Choppiness to translate into weakness?The gold market has been volatile in the past few days, prompting us to maintain a neutral stance in the short term. However, what caught our interest during this time was MACD trying to cross through the midpoint on the daily chart. If successful, this event will likely coincide with more weakness in gold, potentially dragging it toward the area between $1,900 and 1,910 (and eventually, maybe even lower). Besides concerning MACD, indicators like RSI and Stochastic also show bearish signs. As a result, we are growing a bit bearish on gold in the short term (though we remain bullish in the long term). It would not surprise us to see investors take profits from gold if the selloff in stocks continues. We saw this occurrence in 2022 on multiple occasions, and we think it is also a real possibility in the future. Therefore, we continue to wait for a better bargain before adding more gold to our portfolio.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily MACD approaching the midpoint.
Technical analysis
Daily = Slightly bearish
Weekly = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
GOLD → The price may form a Flat. What does that mean? OANDA:XAUUSD is in a local bearish trend. Within the current trend, the price is testing resistance. Two scenarios are possible: either a breakout or a rebound. What to expect?
The price tests the trend resistance and goes beyond it. If the price can consolidate above the level of 1914 after the channel breakout, the price may form a potential upside to 1924.8
But again, the price may form a false break of the trend resistance, in this case the price return to the channel boundaries will confirm the bearish potential, the price will head down to break 1912.7 and continue its fall to 1900.
Break of resistance and growth to 1924 may form consolidation or flat 1924.8 - 1912. If the upper boundary of the future flat is retested, we can look for sell signals
Support levels: 1912
Resistance levels: 1915, 1924.8
I expect one of the scenarios to develop, it is important for us to wait for confirmation. Most likely a flat formation may follow and in this case the price will initially head towards 1924.8.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD: Forecast for the next week!Gold prices have weakened and dropped below 1920 on Friday. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond remains above 4.1% after data on the Producer Price Index (PPI) for July came in higher than expected, making it difficult for XAU/USD to maintain its position.
Predict that gold price will continue to increase in the trend of USD recovering. Downtrend continues.
GOLD → The market is ready to continue its declineOANDA:XAUUSD continues to form a descending price channel. On Thursday a candlestick pattern is formed indicating the imbalance of forces in favor of sellers.
This week is published quite a lot of interesting news. It is worth paying attention to:
15.08
1) Core Retail Sales (no data, the previous ones were bearish)
2) Retail Sales (expected to strengthen)
16.08
1) CPI (expected to decline)
2) FOMC Meeting Minutes
17.08
1) Initial Jobless Claims (no data, previous ones were bearish)
2) Fed MI
In general, bad indicators for the dollar may strengthen the interest in gold, but again, we should not forget that news is a complex trading instrument.
From a technical analysis perspective, gold is approaching the strong 1902-1900 liquidity area.
Last week's session is closing very close to local lows, which can be interpreted as the market's willingness to continue to gain momentum for further declines. A strong bearish trend dominates the market.
Local support: 1912.5, if this line is broken, an impulse to 1900 is possible, but a rebound should be expected from the mentioned support, most likely a rebound may follow during the news.
Support levels: 1912, 1902, 1900
Resistance levels: 1915, 1920, 1935
Gold continues to decline, and most likely, from the opening of the new week the price may continue to fall, but in the second half there may be a rebound and local contrend strengthening.
Regards R. Linda!
#Gold Update In the chart below I am making the case that we are in the 3 of (3) of wave and that means the downtrend should accelerate any moment and go straight down without much bounce. All the bouncing was presumably done during the last week on the CPI news. The channel provided for indicative purposes. Its recline will to be set by wave bottom.
GOLD → Resistance retest and false breakout of MA-50OANDA:XAUUSD is testing the indicated target support at 1912.7. A false breakout is formed and the market reacts with a rebound to the false breakout of the liquidity area
The price is testing the resistance of the next bearish channel. There is a possible reaction in the form of a fall from the resistance and at the same time, the price may test the resistance area above, there is no sense to talk about a change of trend and global growth now, I stick to the fact that the fall in the medium term will continue.
For us an important resistance area, in a bear market, will be the zone: 1919.6, 1924.8, 1930.2.
Moving averages act as resistance, the price is already testing MA-50 in the format of a false breakout.
Resistance levels: 1919.6, 1924.8, 1930.2.
Support levels: 1912.7, 1900
I expect the price to fall along the trend from the resistance areas. Strong bearish trend dominates the market.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Counter-trend correction before further decline OANDA:XAUUSD is testing a key liquidity area after breaking triangle support. The price updates the global lows and confirms the presence of an ongoing bearish trend
The price fails to reach the support at 1912.7 and forms a rebound. Most likely the target of 1912.7 is still valid, but before the support is retested the market needs more liquidity and for this purpose a correction is formed to retest the previously broken level. The price is heading towards the triangle pattern. The line of 1922.5 can be tested, or the price can go a little further, for example to 1927.5 or to 1932. It is impossible to talk about global growth now, the price is in a strong falling movement and continues to update the lows. We are looking for strong resistance areas to sell.
Resistance levels: MA-50, 1922.5, 1927.5.
Support levels: 1915,5, 1912.7
I expect the decline to continue after the retest of these resistance levels. Bearish trend reigns on the market. Take it into account in your trading.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - price corrections before a trend-following decline Gold finally breaks the lower boundary of the bearish channel. The market is forming a 0.6% impulse drop and the price is testing 1914.4. Technical pullback may fix the price in the zone for selling after which the fall will continue
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Breakout of the range support forms a strong impulse. The way is open for a decline to 1892
2) Price forms a retest of the liquidity area. High chance of a rebound
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Channel support is finally broken. Price formed an impulse to 1913 after which we see a correction to retest the previously broken support
2) Most likely the price may test the old flat - 1923.8, form a false breakout and continue its fall in the direction of the trend.
3) It is worth paying attention to the level of 1923.9, 1930.9 to look for sell signals.
Key resistance📈: 1923.9
Key support📉: 1913, 1900