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GC1! (Gold Futures)

XAUUSD: Last push before major correction.Gold is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.610, MACD = 34.740, ADX = 32.308) as the recent geopolitics and tariff fundamentals are strengthening it as a safe haven. Fundamentals aside, the price is also being guided higher by the technical similarities with the October 2024 pattern. As you can see, it was after an identical Cup and Handle pattern that bottomed on the 4H MA200 that initiated a Channel Up to the 2.0 Fib extension that completed a +18.50% rise. Long, TP = 3,050. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by InvestingScope
2
GOLD recovers, fueled by trade risks as key support Influenced by US President Trump's imposition of new tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico and the doubling of tariffs on Chinese goods, the situation has raised fears of a global trade war. OANDA:XAUUSD found support after fresh tariff concerns and rebounded to target $2,900 and above it the momentum is waning. Trump's tariff policy continues to boost inflation expectations while weakening economic growth expectations, and real yields continue to decline. The upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports will have an important impact on the market. If data shows rising inflation, gold prices could fall as the market may reduce expectations for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Recently, the market expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 75 basis points by the end of the year, up from 44 basis points last week. Trump's tariff action, which could affect nearly $2.2 trillion in annual US two-way trade with China, takes effect at 12:00 Hanoi time on Tuesday. China responded immediately by imposing additional tariffs of 10%-15% on certain US imports effective March 10 and imposing a series of new export restrictions on certain designated US entities, according to Bloomberg. Meanwhile, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said Ottawa will immediately apply a 25% tariff on $20.7 billion worth of US goods. JPMorgan said it has a structurally long-term bullish view on gold and expects gold prices to reach $3,000 by the fourth quarter of 2025. Trump's tariffs are considered inflationary and have prompted many investors to move money into the safe-haven gold, which has risen more than 10% this year. However, higher inflation in the United States could force the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates for longer, which could reduce the appeal of non-yielding bullion. Markets await the ADP jobs report on Wednesday and the US nonfarm payrolls report on Friday for more information on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has achieved the $2,900 target gain readers noticed in previous editions since it reached support at $2,835. Temporarily, the recovery momentum is weakening but maintaining price activity above the original price level of $2,900 is considered a positive signal for continued upside, and the next target is $2,942 in the short term, more than the all-time high of $2,956. The interim relative strength index is also showing signs of reacting to the 61 resistance level, a continued break towards the overbought area would be a positive signal for bullish expectations in terms of momentum. During the day, gold's price recovery prospects and notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 2,900 – 2,880 – 2,868USD Resistance: 2,942 – 2,956USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2941 - 2939⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2945 →Take Profit 1 2933 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2927 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2884 - 2886⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2880 →Take Profit 1 2892 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2898
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD Resistance rejection expected.Gold (XAUUSD) is rising after an exact rebound on its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). Every time the 17-month Channel Up posted a similar 4H MA200 rebound, Gold got rejected on the upper Resistance and re-tested one more time the 4H MA200. A trading plan involving a buy targeting 2960 (Resistance) and then reversing to a sell targeting 2880 (4H MA200) is technically viable based on those occurrences. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
Gold Futures - Potential Springtime ReversalGold futures have been on a rally, but recent price action suggests a potential shift. Could we be witnessing a Wyckoff distribution forming? Understanding Wyckoff Distribution The Wyckoff distribution pattern occurs when large institutions begin selling off their positions to retail traders before a downtrend begins. This phase is often characterized by sideways price movement, false breakouts, and key "Signs of Weakness" (SOW) that hint at an impending sell-off. A Recent Sign of Weakness in Gold Futures A possible sign of weakness in gold futures was observed recently when prices gave a false break out at what retail traders would label "key levels". Historical Seasonal Trends: Spring Reversals Looking at historical data, Moore Research Center, Inc. (MRCI.com) has tracked seasonal gold price patterns for over 40 years. Their findings indicate that gold often experiences price reversals during the spring months. This aligns with the idea that we could be heading into a seasonally weak period, increasing the likelihood of a distribution phase playing out. What Traders Should Watch For As Gold rallies back towards a new all time high we should be aware that it may be just a false break to form the final phases of a distribution schematic. This would form an upthrust, and upthrust after distribution, followed by a sharp retracement back into the range and ultimately leading to a sell off and market reversal. Final Thoughts While nothing is certain, the combination of the financial institutions footprint and historical seasonal data suggests gold traders should proceed with caution. Whether you’re trading futures or investing in physical gold, staying aware of these patterns can help you make informed decisions. Do you think a Wyckoff distribution is playing out in gold? Share your thoughts in the comments!
COMEX:GC1!
by renegadeforex
GOLD approaching 2,900USD, conditions for correction endOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery remains high after yesterday's strong increase and the current gold price is at about 2,887 USD ounce, equivalent to a decrease of 0.20% on the day, limited by the lower edge of the technical price channel and the EMA21. Geopolitical tensions and impending tariffs have boosted gold prices. Gold prices continue to rise again, but no other price increases have been confirmed yet. Spot gold prices rose more than 1% on Monday, recovering from a three-week low hit in last week's final trading session, as a weaker U.S. dollar and U.S. President Trump's tariff policies spurred safe-haven buying. On Monday local time, US President Trump said at a press conference that the US would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico on March 4 and said there was no room for negotiations with these two US allies. Additionally, the US government announced it will impose an additional 10% tariff on Chinese products exported to the US starting March 4, citing fentanyl and other issues. Mr. Trump also said on Monday that the United States would impose "reciprocal tariffs" starting April 2 and would impose tariffs on countries that devalue their currencies as sanctions. In addition, Trump said on social networks that the United States will impose tariffs on "foreign" agricultural products from April 2. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After recovering from the support area noticed by readers in the previous issue at the area of ​​2,850 - 2,835 USD, gold has achieved the first target level at 2,880 USD and then approached the next target level at the original price point of 2,900 USD. It is also limited by the original price point of 2,900 USD when this is also the confluence of the lower edge of the price channel and EMA21. Once gold breaks the $2,900 level and trades above it, it will be primed to continue rising, marking the end of the downward correction with a target then $2,942 in the short term, more than the location of the all-time peak. The relative strength index is also receiving support from the 50 level, if bullish momentum takes it back above the 60 level, this will be a positive signal for gold price upside on the technical chart. During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices is recovery with the condition of ending the above adjustment cycle, notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: 2,880 – 2,868USD Resistance: 2,900 – 2,942USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2921 - 2919⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2925 →Take Profit 1 2913 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2907 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2858 - 2860⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2854 →Take Profit 1 2866 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2872
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2
GOLD suffered a fierce sell-off, the US Dollar was strongerOANDA:XAUUSD Continuing to endure a fierce sell-off fueled by market profit-taking and a stronger US dollar, the US Dollar Index rose to a 10-day high on Friday of 107.66 amid concerns about US trade policy and data that raised fears of a recession. US President Trump confirmed 25% tariffs will be imposed on Mexican and Canadian products next week, March 4. This increases market uncertainty. Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau said Canada does not want to get into a trade war with the United States, but if the United States imposes tariffs on Canadian goods on March 4, Canada "will immediately have an extremely strong response." Bloomberg said currency traders bought the dollar after US President Trump confirmed he would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico next week. On Friday, the Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model predicted that U.S. GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 would be -1.5%, compared with a previous forecast of 2.3%. The US Dollar was boosted after the data was released due to concerns about an economic recession. OANDA:XAUUSD fell to lows in early New York trading on Friday as Wall Street's major indexes opened weak as investors remained cautious about the potential for price pressure from President Trump's policies. As US PCE inflation data was in line with expectations, the data suggested the Federal Reserve may be more cautious in cutting interest rates, which helped the dollar remain at a two-week high. The US core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.3% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year in January, in line with expectations. The overall PCE price index in the United States increased 0.3% month-on-month and 2.5% year-over-year in January, also in line with expectations. However, “personally” believes that PCE data does not significantly change Fed price expectations, so it essentially has a small impact on gold prices. Spot gold prices fell 2.7% in the past trading week, the largest weekly decline since November last year. Next, the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP), (ADP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports will become important market data. If inflation data rises too high, it could trigger a sharp sell-off in gold, and the opposite effect if slowing inflation data stimulates market bets on the Fed's ability to cut interest rates. Of course, further analysis of the above data will be sent to readers in daily publications. Economic data to watch next week Monday: Euro Flash CPI Estimates, US ISM Manufacturing PMI Wednesday: ADP jobs report; ISM US Services PMI Thursday: European Central Bank Monetary Policy Decision, US Weekly Jobless Claims Friday: US nonfarm payrolls. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week. With its current position, gold does not have enough conditions to continue falling in price as long as gold maintains price activity above 2,835 USD and Fibonacci retracement of 0.382%, along with the Relative Strength Index above 50. On the other hand, a confirmation signal for gold price to end the downward correction cycle is price activity returning to the price channel. However, traders also need to be careful as a new bearish cycle will open up once RSI goes below 50, the price chart is sold below 2,814 USD, so protective positions should be placed behind 2,814 USD. In the short term, gold is still in a downward correction cycle and the notable points will be listed as follows. As for "personally", I continue to defend the view that declines are only short-term corrections and not a sustainable trend, declines can also be considered an opportunity to buy. Support: 2,835 – 2,814USD Resistance: 2,868 – 2,900USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2896 - 2894⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2900 →Take Profit 1 2888 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2882 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2819 - 2821⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2815 →Take Profit 1 2827 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2833
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 03 - March 07]OANDA:XAUUSD this week were under pressure to take profits. After opening this week at 2,934 USD/oz, gold prices rose to 2,956 USD/oz, but then continuously dropped to 2,832 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,858 USD/oz. Thus, gold prices this week dropped sharply after 8 consecutive weeks of increases. The reason why gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the USD continued to increase strongly compared to many other major currencies. Market sentiment changed slightly after the US announced the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) for January 2025. Accordingly, PCE increased by 2.5% over the same period last year, thus down from 2.6% in December 2024 and in line with market expectations. Meanwhile, core PCE, excluding fluctuating food and energy prices, also increased 2.6% year-on-year, but down from 2.9% in December 2024 and in line with forecasts. Notably, in the recent meeting, US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had many disagreements and could not reach any agreement to contribute to an early end to the war between Russia and Ukraine. This is a factor that may increase gold's role as a haven, but it is unlikely to push gold prices up sharply next week, perhaps just a slight recovery before adjusting again. There will be a lot of data released next week, but the US February non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will be of particular interest to investors. According to forecasts, NFP is expected to reach 156,000 jobs, compared to 143,000 jobs in January. If NFP reaches the forecast level, it will not affect the Fed's interest rate policy direction, unless NFP increases far beyond the threshold of 200,000 jobs. Therefore, NFP news is likely to have little impact on gold prices next week. In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week. 🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Next week, the market will focus on jobs data, with the US February non-farm payrolls report released on Friday morning. Other key economic events include the Eurozone FMCG and US ISM manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP jobs report and US ISM services PMI on Wednesday, and weekly unemployment data on Thursday. The other big event of the week is the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday, with many experts expecting the ECB to make another interest rate cut. 📌Technically, gold prices next week may continue to adjust, with the level of 2,790 USD/oz being an important support level. If next week's gold price stays above this level, it will increase slightly to 2,900 USD/oz. On the contrary, if gold prices fall below 2,790 USD/oz next week, there is a risk of a deeper correction. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,814 – 2,835USD Resistance: 2,900 – 2,868USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2955 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2739 - 2741⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2735
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Feb 24 - Feb 28]OANDA:XAUUSD continued to increase for the 8th consecutive week, marking the longest increasing streak in many years. Opening the week at 2,886 USD/oz, gold price peaked at 2,955 USD/oz and closed at 2,936 USD/oz. The main reason is concern about US tariff policy causing economic instability, increasing global gold demand. In addition, many central banks, especially in the BRICS bloc, are also actively buying gold. Gold prices will have more room to rise higher due to the ongoing geopolitical and geo-economic instability, including the Trump administration's tariff policy and the risk of political instability in Europe. Additionally, demand for investing in gold-backed exchange-traded funds is also growing. The US PCE inflation report, released next Friday, may affect gold prices through FED interest rate adjustments. If PCE increases, the FED may delay cutting interest rates, which is detrimental to gold prices. On the contrary, if PCE drops sharply, the gold price could exceed 3,000 USD/oz. SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Tuesday morning will see the February US Consumer Confidence report, followed by January New Home Sales data on Wednesday. On Thursday, markets will receive preliminary reports on US fourth-quarter GDP, January Durable Goods Orders and weekly jobless claims, followed by US pending housing contract data later in the morning. However, the most important event of the week will be the US core PCE index on Friday, along with the January personal income and personal spending reports. This is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, helping gold traders gauge the outlook for interest rates in the near term. 📌Technically, although the gold price is still maintaining an uptrend, however, on the Weekly and Daily charts, some technical indicators such as MACD show signs that the price has diverged, the moving average lines (EMA34,89) are quite far from the price line, this shows that the gold price next week may face adjustment pressure before continuing to increase again, unless there are fundamental factors that have a strong impact on the gold price. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD Resistance: 2,946USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3001 - 2999⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3005 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2834 - 2836⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2830
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD is under great pressure by the US DollarThe US Dollar Index soared again, which put pressure on OANDA:XAUUSD adding momentum to the adjustment momentum taking place in recent days. Bloomberg said that after US President Donald Trump confirmed he would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico next week, currency traders bought the US Dollar, while currencies other than the USD were negatively affected, with the Canadian Dollar and Mexican Peso being hit the hardest. The soaring US Dollar is also detrimental to precious metals, commodities and digital currencies. Trump said 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico would take effect on March 4. He stated on his "Truth Social" account: "Drugs are still flowing into our country from Mexico and Canada in unacceptable quantities. We cannot let this scourge continue to hurt the United States, so until it stops or is tightly controlled, tariffs are proposed." with Canada and Mexico) scheduled to take effect on March 4 will actually take effect as planned." Trump also said he would impose "reciprocity" tariffs of 25% on cars and other European goods. OANDA:XAUUSD In recent times, it has still been going fast and strong, although fundamentally there are still many existing support risks, mainly due to profit-taking activities after a long period of price increases and the strong increase in the price of the US Dollar. Thanks to the influx of money into safe havens, gold prices hit an all-time high of $2,956.15 an ounce on Monday after a rapid downward correction. Gold prices are clearly fluctuating, short-term fluctuations and some profit-taking are just a normal part of the cycle Since the presidential election on November 5 of last year, the Dollar Spot Index has gained 6.62%. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD The medium-term uptrend of gold price is threatened when the sell-off momentum brings gold price below the price channel and EMA21, these are negative signals with the next support level being noticed at the price point of 2,835USD, more likely is the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level. Currently, the $2,880 level is the previous support turned resistance with the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement becoming the nearest resistance. On the other hand, the RSI tests the 50 mark. Once the RSI passes the 50 mark, this will be a warning of continued price decline because there is still room to fall with the RSI quite far from the oversold level. As noted to readers in previous publications and short comments during the day, the downward correction will not stop easily before the original price point of 2,900 USD, so you must always be ready for stronger corrections when gold has had a very long period of technical increase. Although gold has not yet formed a clear downtrend in the medium term, there is still room to fall ahead and notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 2,850 – 2,835 – 2,814USD Resistance: 2,868 – 2,880 – 2,900USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2911 - 2909⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2915 →Take Profit 1 2903 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2897 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2849 - 2851⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2845 →Take Profit 1 2857 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2863
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
Qualified for increases, but be careful with adjustmentsOANDA:XAUUSD remains in the rising channel after a significant downward correction since the recent record price rally and investors are focused on inflation data due out later this week and the latest developments on US President Donald Trump's tax plans. OANDA:XAUUSD was trading at nearly $2,905/oz as of press time, about 60Dollar below the all-time high reached on Monday after Trump announced his administration would impose 25% tariffs on the European Union without clarifying whether the tariffs would affect all EU exports or be limited to certain products or industries. At the same time, Trump also announced US tariffs on Mexico and Canada would take effect on April 2, delaying the original March 4 effective date. Late Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump reaffirmed he will maintain 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico and added the European Union to the list of countries he will punish American consumers for importing goods from. Trump added that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect on April 2. Market participants will closely monitor developments surrounding Trump's next tariff policy. Tariff uncertainty could spur flows into safe assets, benefiting precious metals. Since Trump returned to power, his comments on the timing, scale and targeting of tariffs have often confused global markets and raised questions about his policies. This instability, coupled with geopolitical changes, highlights gold's role as a store of value in times of uncertainty. Gold prices have also been supported in recent days by weak U.S. economic data, which has traders expecting the Federal Reserve to make just two 25 basis point interest rate cuts this year. Lower borrowing costs typically favor gold because the metal doesn't pay interest. On the other hand, Trump's plan to raise tariffs could raise the Federal Reserve's concerns about inflation, which could convince the Fed to keep interest rates high for longer. This may limit gold's rise. Looking ahead, investors will analyze Friday's core personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favored measure of inflation, for more reading and anticipation of the direction of monetary policy. Basically, gold still has a lot of potential support as the recent decline was mainly due to profit-taking and partly affected by the cooling situation in Ukraine, which was brought to the attention of readers through daily publications and short comments. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold continues to decline as the recovery fails to take gold price above the POC Volume Profile and the Fibonacci point extends 0.236%. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also pointing down with a significant slope, showing that the price momentum is overwhelming because profit-taking activities in the market are overwhelming. It is very likely that gold will continue to decline more with a target of around 2,865 USD, this is also the confluence position of the lower edge of the price channel with EMA21, this support position is very important for the uptrend of gold prices in the medium term. Once gold is sold below $2,865, further downside will be noticed at $2,835 – $2,790 in the short term, so long protection levels should be placed behind this price point. Regarding the current position, gold still has enough upside conditions and notable levels will be listed again as follows. Support: 2,900 – 2,880 – 2,865USD Resistance: 2,933 – 2,946USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2941 - 2939⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2945 →Take Profit 1 2933 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2927 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2869 - 2871⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2865 →Take Profit 1 2877 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2883
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD recovered after a 1.3% correction, paying attention to PCEOANDA:XAUUSD rose slightly on Wednesday (February 26), after a sharp 1.3% drop in the previous trading day, as traders took profits from a new record high set by gold. Spot gold prices fell to their lowest level in more than a week yesterday as investors took profits after a period of gold prices reaching record highs amid ongoing concerns about instability caused by US President Trump's tax imposition plan. OANDA:XAUUSD traded at nearly 2,915Dollar.oz, about $40 below the all-time high set on Monday. Gold prices have been supported in recent days by weak U.S. economic data that raised expectations the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in July, while President Donald Trump's growing tariff threats have increased safe-haven demand. In addition, gold is also receiving renewed attention from gold ETFs. Last week ETFs saw their largest net inflows since 2022, according to Bloomberg data. - The world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased its gold holdings by 0.29 tons compared to the previous day and the current gold holdings are 907.82 tons. - The world's largest silver ETF - iShares Silver Trust reduced its holdings by 73.62 tons compared to the previous day and its current holdings are 13,655.67 tons. Meanwhile, investors and economists expect the Fed to respond “robustly and systematically” to changes in inflation and the labor market, according to research released Monday by the San Francisco Federal Reserve. Rising inflation could force the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates, reducing the appeal of non-yielding gold. Uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's use of tariffs as a negotiating tool has caused traders to become risk-averse. On Monday, Trump hinted that tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada would take effect next week, even as both countries work to combat fentanyl and illegal immigration. This week, key US data also includes durable goods orders, revised fourth-quarter GDP and the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After a shock correction in yesterday's trading session, gold recovered to maintain price activity above the original price level of 2,900 USD, which can be considered a positive signal when the downward momentum is limited. Downside corrections can occur at “shock” levels, which have come to the attention of readers in many publications whenever the market has been up for a long period of time and the Relative Strength Index enters the overbought area. This can be considered normal market activity, because any type of asset that increases or decreases in price does not move in a straight line. On the current daily chart, Gold still has bullish conditions with support from the trend channel and EMA21 as key support, on the other hand price activity above the $2,900 level also plays a positive role. As long as gold remains in the price channel, above EMA21, its main prospective trend is still bullish, price drops should only be considered short-term corrections. During the day, important positions will be highlighted as follows. Support: 2,900 – 2,880USD Resistance: 2,938 – 2,946USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2941 - 2939⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2945 →Take Profit 1 2933 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2927 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2876 - 2878⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2872 →Take Profit 1 2884 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2890
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
XAUUSD Still bearish on a Channel Down.Gold / XAUUSD entered a Channel Down on the 1hour timeframe forming today a Death Cross. This is the first 1hour Death Cross since December 16th when Gold was again inside a Channel Down. That Channel Down had symmetrical bearish waves of -3.00% each. We expect the current one to show the same attributes, thus the bearish wave that just started on the Death Cross should be -2.30%. Sell and target 2865. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TheCryptagon
Gold's Crossroads – Dip Before the $3K Breakout? ⚖️ Gold's Crossroads – Dip Before the $3K Breakout? 🤔📉 Gold has almost hit the $3,000 mark—but not quite. 🚀 While many are ultra-bullish, let’s take a step back and consider the potential for a pullback before any new highs. Gold is expensive, and even my jeweler friend admits it’s becoming more of a store of value than a commodity for luxury. That brings us to a key question: Is a drop coming first? 🔄 Two Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ Pullback First (More Likely) – Gold could drop toward $2,794, or even deeper to $2,575, where the all-time trendline support sits. A cooling-off period makes sense, especially after such an extended rally. 📉 2️⃣ Breakout to New Highs – If buying pressure holds, a clean push above $3K could send gold toward $3,294 - $3,600, and even EUROTLX:4K later in the cycle. 🚀 🔍 The Fort Knox Question 🤯 There’s growing speculation about the $400 billion in gold reserves at Fort Knox. If something unexpected is uncovered, could that fuel a major gold rally? Or will Bitcoin, the digital gold, start to steal some of its shine? It’s a fascinating time for gold traders. While the long-term outlook remains bullish, a dip before liftoff seems like the logical play. Let’s stay sharp. ⚡📊 P.S. Gold has risen even with the USD remaining expensive and interest rates still high—which is not the norm. Could it be that we see gold detach from its historical correlations and trade in a completely new paradigm? 🤔 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
COMEX:GC1!
by FX_Professor
7
XAUUSD: Has peaked if this level breaks.Gold remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.836, MACD = 52.960, ADX = 50.322) despite its oversold status intraday due to the strong selloff. This is because it remains inside the 2month Channel Up. Despite this, the 1D RSI displays LH that in contrast to the HH of Gold, wave a bearish divergence flag. Last time this was observed was on the October 31st 2024 top. The sell trigger was given when the 4H MA100 was crossed, after which the price dipped aggressively to the 1D MA100 and 0.5 Fibonacci level. Consequently we will turn bearish if the price closes under the 4H MA100 and short, aiming at the 0.5 Fib (TP = 2,765). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope
Targeting a new era peak, risks blanket the marketOANDA:XAUUSD hit another all-time high as U.S. President Donald Trump's threat of tariffs increased market fears of a global trade war, boosting safe-haven demand. Trump's tariff policy and global market reaction Trump said on Wednesday that he would announce new tariffs on lumber, autos, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals "next month or sooner." Since taking office on January 20, Trump has imposed a 10% tariff on imports from China and a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum. As trade risks increase, global central banks are likely to continue buying gold, which is one of the key supporting factors for gold prices. Ukraine situation and the possibility of gold correction in the short term Trump also criticized Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy as a "dictator" on Wednesday and warned that Ukraine must quickly reach a peace deal with Russia or lose the country. If a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine is reached, geopolitical tensions could temporarily ease in the short term, which could put pressure on gold prices. However, gold still has enough fundamental support and the long-term uptrend could continue. Fed policy and Swiss gold exports soar Minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting released Wednesday showed that Trump's early economic policies have raised concerns about rising inflation. This reinforces the Fed's stance on maintaining the current interest rate policy. According to foreign media, Swiss customs data showed that Swiss gold exports increased significantly year-on-year in January, with gold exports to the United States reaching their highest level in at least 13 years. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, after gold reached the target level of 2,946 USD, readers noted in the previous issue that the price point of the Fibonacci extension was 0.382%, it broke this level to renew its all-time high. With the current position, if gold takes price action above the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level once again, it will have conditions to continue to increase with a target then around 2,971 USD in the short term, more than 2,996 – 3,000 USD. The relative strength index also does not indicate any possibility of a downward correction in terms of momentum. During the day, the short-term uptrend of gold prices will be noticed by trend, and as long as gold remains in the price channel, it still has a main bullish outlook, declines should only be considered as short-term corrections or a buying opportunity. Notable locations will also be noticed again as follows. Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD Resistance: 2,954 – 2,971 – 2,996USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2975 →Take Profit 1 2963 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2957 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2905 →Take Profit 1 2917 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2923
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Minor correction, GOLD renewed its peakOANDA:XAUUSD spiked to a record high on Monday as concerns about Trump's tax plans fueled safe-haven demand, and inflows into the world's largest gold ETF also provided further support. Although there have been adjustments as of the time this article was completed, this price decrease is insignificant, currently gold is trading around 2,940USD/oz, equivalent to a decrease of 0.41% on the day. OANDA:XAUUSD hit an intraday high of $2,956.29 an ounce on Monday, a record high and the 11th all-time high refresh this year. The US Dollar Index (Dxy) hit its lowest since December 10 last year in intraday trading on Monday, making gold cheaper for buyers using other currencies. Another positive news for gold was that the US 10-year Treasury yield fell 1 basis point to 4.443%. SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, announced its gold holdings rose to 904.38 tons last Friday, the highest level since August 2023. Trump says tariffs on Canada and Mexico will be imposed on time US President Donald Trump said on Monday that comprehensive US tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico will take effect as scheduled after a one-month reprieve ends next week. Trump signed an executive order on February 1 imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada. However, on February 3, Trump announced that new tariffs would be postponed for 30 days as Mexican President Sheinbaum and Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau both pledged to increase border enforcement. According to Trump's announcement, tariffs on Canadian goods will be deferred for 30 days, while tariffs on Mexican imports will be deferred for one month. Markets generally believe that these tariff plans will cause inflation and potentially trigger a trade war, thereby increasing demand for safe-haven assets such as gold and silver. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Although on the daily chart, the RSI shows that the buying force is "exhausted" with price activity in the overbought area, the corrections that have occurred are not significant because the RSI has not yet gone below the 80 level with its steep slope. Looking at the technical chart, staying above $2,940 is a bullish factor and if gold continues to trade above the 0.382% Fibonacci extension it has a bullish outlook and a target then around $2,971 in the short term. The trend will still act as a short-term trend, even in case it breaks below, the main outlook for gold is still bullish with the price channel and EMA21 as main support. However, the market will not move in a straight line, so traders must always be ready for large downward corrections that can occur when RSI operates for a long time in the overbought area. In terms of trading, trades should be trend-based with support and resistance positions noted again as follows. Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD Resistance: 2,946 – 2,956 – 2,971USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2975 →Take Profit 1 2963 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2957 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2905 →Take Profit 1 2917 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2923
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Gold's Resilience: A Bounce Back from Key Support Demand ZoneGold has rallied off a key demand area of support as the US Dollar peaked and then retraced. This precious metal is currently navigating challenges stemming from forecasts regarding US interest rates and ongoing economic policies tied to the Trump administration. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has indicated that the US economy is in "remarkably good" shape, which has bolstered the Dollar while putting downward pressure on Gold. However, analysis of the Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals that smart money remains positioned on the long side, suggesting that there is still potential for upward movement in Gold. Despite its recent performance, Gold appears to be in a relatively oversold position, supported by favorable seasonal trends that could lead to a bullish outlook. The current demand area presents a crucial opportunity for Gold to retrace and gain momentum once again, making it an interesting point of observation for traders looking to capitalize on potential price recovery. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GC1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by FOREXN1
1
XAUUSD The top isn't very far off.Gold (XAUUSD) has been rising non-stop since the November 2024 bottom, which later transitioned into a Channel Up. The market is no stranger at all to such Channel Up patterns, in fact it has been the most dominant rising formation of this Bull Cycle since the September - October 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. The previous 4 completed Channel Up patterns, rose by a minimum of +18.57% and a maximum of +23.48%, so the average rise since a pull-back low has been more than +20%. Those technical pull-backs hit the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level in 3 out of 4 occasions. Base on the above conditions, we believe that Gold will top either by the end of this month (+18.57%) or the next (+23.48%), with the Sell Zone designated within those ranges. Similarly, the Buy Zone can be between the two potential 0.382 Fib levels. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2935.0 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 2820.0 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. 💠 Fundamental Analysis The GC1 contract is influenced by global economic trends, monetary policies, and commodity market fluctuations. Central banks' cautious approach to interest rates and inflation management impacts gold prices. 💠 Macroeconomic Analysis GDP Growth Rate: Global economic growth slows down, with the US GDP growth rate at 3.3% in Q4. Inflation Rate: Inflation trends show moderation, with the US inflation rate at 1.0% annualized. Employment and Labor Market: The US job market remains solid, with 353,000 jobs added in January. 💠 COT Data Analysis Institutional Traders: 55% long, 45% short. Retail Traders: 52% short, 48% long. Large Banks: 57% long, 43% short. 💠 Market Sentimental Analysis Market Sentiment: 40% bullish, 60% bearish. Trader Sentiment: 29% long, 71% short. 💠 Market Sentiment by Trader Type - Institutional Traders: 60% bullish, 40% bearish - Hedge Funds: 55% bearish, 45% bullish - Retail Traders: 55% bullish, 45% bearish 💠 Positioning Data Analysis Bullish Trend: 45% likely. Bearish Trend: 55% likely. 💠 Overall Outlook GC1 prices may fluctuate due to central banks' monetary policies, inflation trends, and geopolitical tensions. Investors are cautiously optimistic, with a focus on technology and innovation-driven sectors. Key Factors Influencing GC1 Prices Monetary Policy Adjustments: Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. Inflation Trends: Global inflation rates. Geopolitical Risks: Middle East tensions and commodity market fluctuations. Technology Sector Resilience: Growth potential in AI and semiconductor fields. Cryptocurrency Market Volatility: Bitcoin's impact on traditional markets. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Thief_Trader
Weekly Market Forecast Feb 24-28: SPX, NAS, DJI, GOLD, ...This is a FUTURES market outlook for the week of Feb 17-21st. In this video, we will analyze the following futures markets: ES | S&P 500 NQ | NASDAQ 100 YM | Dow Jones 30 GC | Gold SIL | Silver PL | Platinum HG | Copper The USD continues its bearish ways this upcoming weak. It's currency counterparts will likely see some upside this week. Especially the JPY. Patience and an ear to the news will be the best way to approach the equity markets. The same would also apply to news sensitive commodity markets like US OIL, Gold and Silver. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by RT_Money