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GC1! (Gold Futures)

GOLD recovers to trade around $2,900, still has a lot of supportOANDA:XAUUSD has stabilized and recovered after falling more than $20 yesterday and is now trading around $2,900. Earlier, investor concerns about a US economic slowdown caused a broad decline in stocks and commodities, dragging down precious metals, especially gold. OANDA:XAUUSD held above $2,880 after falling nearly 1% on Monday. US President Donald Trump said over the weekend that the US economy could get worse before it gets better and that he was adjusting trade policy through tariffs, fueling market concerns about a possible economic recession. When broader financial markets take a hit, investors may sell gold to cover losses in other assets, causing the price of gold to fall in the short term. Gold prices have rallied 10% so far this year, hitting a new high. The rally has been fueled by uncertainty surrounding the Trump administration’s policies, central bank purchases of gold, and expectations that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates further. Lower borrowing costs typically benefit non-yielding assets like gold. While rising gold prices have dented physical demand in some major Asian economies, inflows into gold ETFs have remained steady. Holdings of gold ETFs hit their highest level since December 2023 as of last week, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Investors had begun to reduce their exposure to gold ahead of Monday’s sharp market sell-off. Hedge funds’ long gold positions fell to their lowest in nine weeks, according to the latest data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). While this correction appears to be broad-based, the underlying forces will still be a solid support for gold's upside potential, from the geopolitical landscape to Trump's policies creating global trade conflicts to expectations of Fed rate cuts. Overall, gold still has a lot of support. Markets focus on US inflation data and Fed policy expectations Investors are now focused on upcoming US inflation data to gauge whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates further: US Consumer Price Index (CPI) – due on Wednesday US Producer Price Index (PPI) – due on Thursday Traders are now fully pricing in the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate cut in June. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said on Friday that it is not yet known whether the Trump administration’s tariff policies will lead to higher inflation. In general, lower interest rates increase the appeal of gold because it is a non-interest-bearing asset, making it cheaper to hold than other assets. OANDA:XAUUSD Technical Outlook Analysis On the daily chart, after gold fell to the support level noted by readers in the previous issue at 2,880 USD, it received support to recover, currently trading around 2,900 USD. A break above the 2,900 USD price level would be considered a positive signal with the next target being the EMA21 area, followed by 2,929 USD rather than 2,942 USD. In the short term, gold has not yet shown a specific trend when entering the accumulation phase, which is described by 2 green trend lines. But in the medium and long term, the possibility of price increase is still very good when in terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index RSI is still above 50. During the day, gold is in the accumulation phase with the main trend leaning towards price increase, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 2,880 - 2,868 USD Resistance: 2,900 - 2,929 - 2,942 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2908 - 2906⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2912 →Take Profit 1 2900 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2894 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2857 - 2859⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2853 →Take Profit 1 2865 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2871
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD One more push to 3100 to price the Top.Gold (XAUUSD) continues to trade within its 2025 Channel Up, in fact the uptrend started a little bit sooner on the November 14 2024 bottom. As we've mentioned before and you can see again today, this is a recurring pattern which has been in effect since October 2022, the bottom of the Inflation Crisis. This involves the market forming Channel Up patterns of around +20% price increase, which are supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and when that breaks, they bottom around the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and then turn into a buy opportunity for the next Channel Up. The 1D RSI Double Tops and signals the price (Channel Up) High. It's first Top is where Gold is right now, typically within the 0.5 - 0.382 Fib Zone. The only time it was above the 0.382 Fib, was when it rose by +22%. As a result, we expect a similar course and a price peak around $3100 but the most effective sell signal remains when the 1D RSI Double Tops. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
GOLD falls slightly as Dollar recovers, news, main trendsOANDA:XAUUSD has just dropped to around $2,912/ounce, down nearly $10 from the intraday high of $2,918/ounce reached earlier in the session. The recovery of the US Dollar can be seen as the current pressure causing gold prices to slightly decline from the intraday high. Overview of data and event news The Labor Department report showed the U.S. economy added 151,000 jobs in February, compared with economists polled by Reuters who expected a gain of 160,000, and the unemployment rate was 4.1%, compared with expectations of 4%. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said early Friday that the Fed would take a cautious approach to easing monetary policy, adding that the economy “remains in good shape.” While gold is a hedge against inflation, rising interest rates could reduce the appeal of non-yielding bullion. The market is now expecting the Fed to continue cutting interest rates starting in June, with a total of 76 basis points of interest rate cuts over the rest of the year. Market attention is focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. In addition, inflation reports and retail sales data will also provide additional guidance for market trends in general and the gold market in particular. On the daily chart, gold is generally still in the accumulation phase with the positioning conditions tilted towards the upside. The short-term trend is highlighted by the price channel, while the nearest support is the EMA21 and the technical level of 2,900 USD. At the raw price point of 2,900 USD, it also created significant price increases in the last 2 days of the weekend. The relative strength index is facing some resistance from the 61 level noted in the previous issue, where once the RSI breaks this level it will continue to head towards the oversold zone which is a signal that will facilitate the possibility of gold price increasing in terms of momentum. In the coming time, as long as gold remains above 2,900 USD, it will still tend to be bullish in the short term, and the target continues to be the all-time high or higher. The notable technical price points will be listed as follows. Support: 2,900 – 2,880 – 2,868 USD Resistance: 2,929 – 2,942 – 2,956 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2956 - 2954⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2960 →Take Profit 1 2948 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2942 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2877 - 2879⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2873 →Take Profit 1 2885 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2891
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD | XAUUSD Weekly Market Forecast: Mar 10-14 In this video, we will analyze the GOLD Futures. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups. Gold has consolidated for the last half of the previous week. Trading in a ranging market is not recommended! But waiting until there is an obvious sweep of the high or low liquidity pools can give us an indication which side the market will break the consolidation. Patience and a watchful eye will allow us to take advantage of the momentous opportunity. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 10 - March 14]OANDA:XAUUSD have recovered strongly this week, rising from $2,858/oz to $2,930/oz before adjusting to $2,910/oz. The main reason is political tension when US President Donald Trump stopped military aid to Ukraine and threatened to sanction Russia if it did not negotiate a ceasefire. This increased instability, supporting gold prices. However, if Russia and Ukraine move towards peace negotiations, gold prices may face downward pressure in the short term, although the possibility is still low. Furthermore, Mr. Trump’s move forced the European Union (EU) to launch a spending package of nearly 1 trillion euros to strengthen the defense of EU member states. This means that the EU’s budget deficit will become larger, leading to higher inflation and lower growth, thereby increasing the role of gold as a safe haven. The US non-farm payrolls (NFP) figure for February came in at 151,000, slightly below the forecast of 159,000. The unemployment rate edged up slightly to 4.1% from 4% in January, but the labor market remains untroubled. As a result, the Fed may maintain its current interest rate. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell also stressed that the central bank is in no hurry to cut interest rates as the labor market remains strong and inflation risks remain high. Rising inflation while the Fed maintains stable interest rates has caused real interest rates to fall, supporting gold prices. In addition, economic instability due to US tariff policies and the complicated developments of the Russia-Ukraine war have also increased the demand for safe haven gold. However, since most of the risks have been reflected in prices, gold may not increase sharply next week and there is a risk of correction due to short-term profit-taking pressure. 🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Inflation will be in focus next week as markets digest a number of key data on US prices and consumer spending. The most notable is the February CPI report on Wednesday, followed by the PPI on Thursday, and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey on Friday. Other key events include the US JOLTS jobs report on Tuesday, the Bank of Canada interest rate decision on Wednesday morning, and the US weekly jobless claims report on Thursday. 📌Technically, gold prices will fluctuate in a relatively narrow daily range next week with support at $2,890/oz and resistance at $2,930/oz. If gold prices rise above $2,930/oz next week, they could rise to $2,950/oz, followed by strong resistance at $3,000/oz. However, if gold prices are pushed below $2,890/oz next week, they could fall to the $2,835-$2,860/oz range. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,900 – 2,880 – 2,868USD Resistance: 2,929 – 2,942 – 2,956USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2976 - 2974⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2980 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2809 - 2811⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2805
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Market Forecast UPDATES! Monday, Mar 3rdIn this video, we will update the forecasts posted last March 2nd for the following markets: ES \ S&P 500 NQ | NASDAQ 100 YM | Dow Jones 30 GC |Gold SiI | Silver PL | Platinum HG | Copper Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by RT_Money
Markets hesitant, GOLD sideways on NFP data dayIn the Asian trading session on Friday (March 7), the spot OANDA:XAUUSD maintained a very slight decline during the day and the current gold price is around 2,911 USD/ounce. On this trading day, investors will pay attention to the US non-farm payrolls report, which is expected to impact the main trends in the gold market. The US non-farm payrolls are expected to increase by 160,000 in February. Gold is likely to react more strongly to disappointing employment data than to an optimistic non-farm payrolls report because this will push gold prices higher, ending the period of downward adjustment and subsequent recovery and accumulation in the past. The US will release its February non-farm payrolls report at 20:30 Hanoi time on Friday. Surveys show that the number of non-farm payrolls in the US will increase by 160,000 in February, after increasing by 143,000 in January. The US unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.0% in February. Surveys also show that the monthly increase in average wages in the US is expected to slow to 0.3% in February, after increasing by 0.5% in January. Average hourly earnings are likely to increase at an annual rate of 4.1% in February. The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring signs of weakness in the labor market as it tries to balance supporting the labor market and controlling inflation. The slowdown in employment data certainly adds complexity to the Fed’s decision-making process. Review of expected data: A large negative surprise in non-farm payrolls, at 100,000 or lower, could put significant pressure on the dollar and open the door for a move higher in gold to help it end the week on the positive side. On the other hand, if the non-farm payrolls figure reaches or exceeds 180k, the dollar could remain firm and limit the upside potential for gold. Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is still in the process of accumulation before receiving a strong impact of structural change from NFP data released today. Up to now, the upward momentum is limited but short-term price declines are supported from the base price area of ​​2,900 USD, this is considered the closest support to pay attention to readers in the previous publication. Technically, the short-term trend is currently unclear as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also moving sideways in the 60-50 range, indicating that market sentiment is still hesitant. However, considering the overall fundamental and technical picture, my personal opinion is to defend the bullish view, with each decline only being considered a short-term correction or a buying opportunity. During the day, the technical outlook for gold continues to target the technical level of 2,942 USD in the short term, more than the all-time high. Notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: 2,900 - 2,880 USD Resistance: 2,942 - 2,956 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2976 - 2974⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2980 →Take Profit 1 2968 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2962 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2877 - 2879⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2873 →Take Profit 1 2885 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2891
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD fluctuates strongly, affected by ADP and Trump's policiesOANDA:XAUUSD Spot trading fluctuated strongly due to the impact of US jobs data and news of Trump's tariffs. ADP's national jobs report, also known as the "small nonfarm" report, showed that private-sector job growth in the United States slowed in February, with just 77,000 jobs created, well below the expected 140,000 jobs. "Policy uncertainty and slowing consumer spending may have contributed to a slowdown in layoffs or hiring last month." ADP chief economist Nela Richardson said in a statement. "Our data, combined with other recent indicators, shows that employers are hesitant to hire as they assess the future economic environment." After the ADP data was released, the US Dollar index fell sharply, and spot gold prices recovered strongly from the lowest level in Wednesday's trading session of 2,894.27 USD/ounce. As of the time this article was completed, spot gold was trading at 2,923USD/oz, an increase equivalent to 0.15% on the day. WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump will waive tariffs on Mexico and Canada for one month for automakers, responding to calls from industry leaders, the White House said on Wednesday. "We will give a one-month exemption to any imported cars that come in through USMCA," White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said. "The tariffs will still be in effect on April 2, but at the request of the USMCA companies, the president will give them a one-month exemption so they are not financially disadvantaged." According to Bloomberg, US President Trump is considering reducing tariffs on some agricultural products from Canada and Mexico. On Wednesday local time, US Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins said "everything is on the table" and hoped the government would decide to provide relief to the agricultural sector. Specific waivers and exceptions for the agriculture industry, which could include potash and fertilizers, have not yet been determined, Rollins said at the White House. “We believe that the President (Trump) cares very much about these communities,” Rollins said at the White House. On the geopolitical front, aides to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky discussed steps toward peace with the U.S. national security adviser, and Ukraine and the United States agreed to meet soon. The cooling geopolitical situation in Ukraine can be seen as a pressure on gold prices in the short term. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Concerns about Trump's tariffs have pushed safe-haven gold prices to an all-time high 11 times this year, peaking at $2,956 an ounce on February 24 and rising 11% this year. On the daily chart, gold is currently trading with a newly formed price channel, and the next notable target level at $2,942 is more of an all-time high. However, in terms of momentum, it is facing some obstacles due to the 61 level of the RSI Relative Strength Index. If RSI breaks above this level, this will be a positive signal for price momentum. Even if gold falls below the price channel, it still has a bullish outlook, the current declines should still only be seen as a short-term correction or a buying opportunity. Some notable locations of the day will be listed as follows. Support: 2,900 – 2,880USD Resistance: 2,942 – 2,956USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2943 - 2941⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2947 →Take Profit 1 2935 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2929 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2877 - 2879⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2873 →Take Profit 1 2885 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2891
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD: Last push before major correction.Gold is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.610, MACD = 34.740, ADX = 32.308) as the recent geopolitics and tariff fundamentals are strengthening it as a safe haven. Fundamentals aside, the price is also being guided higher by the technical similarities with the October 2024 pattern. As you can see, it was after an identical Cup and Handle pattern that bottomed on the 4H MA200 that initiated a Channel Up to the 2.0 Fib extension that completed a +18.50% rise. Long, TP = 3,050. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by InvestingScope
2
GOLD recovers, fueled by trade risks as key support Influenced by US President Trump's imposition of new tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico and the doubling of tariffs on Chinese goods, the situation has raised fears of a global trade war. OANDA:XAUUSD found support after fresh tariff concerns and rebounded to target $2,900 and above it the momentum is waning. Trump's tariff policy continues to boost inflation expectations while weakening economic growth expectations, and real yields continue to decline. The upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports will have an important impact on the market. If data shows rising inflation, gold prices could fall as the market may reduce expectations for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Recently, the market expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 75 basis points by the end of the year, up from 44 basis points last week. Trump's tariff action, which could affect nearly $2.2 trillion in annual US two-way trade with China, takes effect at 12:00 Hanoi time on Tuesday. China responded immediately by imposing additional tariffs of 10%-15% on certain US imports effective March 10 and imposing a series of new export restrictions on certain designated US entities, according to Bloomberg. Meanwhile, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said Ottawa will immediately apply a 25% tariff on $20.7 billion worth of US goods. JPMorgan said it has a structurally long-term bullish view on gold and expects gold prices to reach $3,000 by the fourth quarter of 2025. Trump's tariffs are considered inflationary and have prompted many investors to move money into the safe-haven gold, which has risen more than 10% this year. However, higher inflation in the United States could force the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates for longer, which could reduce the appeal of non-yielding bullion. Markets await the ADP jobs report on Wednesday and the US nonfarm payrolls report on Friday for more information on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has achieved the $2,900 target gain readers noticed in previous editions since it reached support at $2,835. Temporarily, the recovery momentum is weakening but maintaining price activity above the original price level of $2,900 is considered a positive signal for continued upside, and the next target is $2,942 in the short term, more than the all-time high of $2,956. The interim relative strength index is also showing signs of reacting to the 61 resistance level, a continued break towards the overbought area would be a positive signal for bullish expectations in terms of momentum. During the day, gold's price recovery prospects and notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 2,900 – 2,880 – 2,868USD Resistance: 2,942 – 2,956USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2941 - 2939⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2945 →Take Profit 1 2933 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2927 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2884 - 2886⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2880 →Take Profit 1 2892 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2898
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD Resistance rejection expected.Gold (XAUUSD) is rising after an exact rebound on its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). Every time the 17-month Channel Up posted a similar 4H MA200 rebound, Gold got rejected on the upper Resistance and re-tested one more time the 4H MA200. A trading plan involving a buy targeting 2960 (Resistance) and then reversing to a sell targeting 2880 (4H MA200) is technically viable based on those occurrences. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
Gold Futures - Potential Springtime ReversalGold futures have been on a rally, but recent price action suggests a potential shift. Could we be witnessing a Wyckoff distribution forming? Understanding Wyckoff Distribution The Wyckoff distribution pattern occurs when large institutions begin selling off their positions to retail traders before a downtrend begins. This phase is often characterized by sideways price movement, false breakouts, and key "Signs of Weakness" (SOW) that hint at an impending sell-off. A Recent Sign of Weakness in Gold Futures A possible sign of weakness in gold futures was observed recently when prices gave a false break out at what retail traders would label "key levels". Historical Seasonal Trends: Spring Reversals Looking at historical data, Moore Research Center, Inc. (MRCI.com) has tracked seasonal gold price patterns for over 40 years. Their findings indicate that gold often experiences price reversals during the spring months. This aligns with the idea that we could be heading into a seasonally weak period, increasing the likelihood of a distribution phase playing out. What Traders Should Watch For As Gold rallies back towards a new all time high we should be aware that it may be just a false break to form the final phases of a distribution schematic. This would form an upthrust, and upthrust after distribution, followed by a sharp retracement back into the range and ultimately leading to a sell off and market reversal. Final Thoughts While nothing is certain, the combination of the financial institutions footprint and historical seasonal data suggests gold traders should proceed with caution. Whether you’re trading futures or investing in physical gold, staying aware of these patterns can help you make informed decisions. Do you think a Wyckoff distribution is playing out in gold? Share your thoughts in the comments!
COMEX:GC1!
by renegadeforex
GOLD approaching 2,900USD, conditions for correction endOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery remains high after yesterday's strong increase and the current gold price is at about 2,887 USD ounce, equivalent to a decrease of 0.20% on the day, limited by the lower edge of the technical price channel and the EMA21. Geopolitical tensions and impending tariffs have boosted gold prices. Gold prices continue to rise again, but no other price increases have been confirmed yet. Spot gold prices rose more than 1% on Monday, recovering from a three-week low hit in last week's final trading session, as a weaker U.S. dollar and U.S. President Trump's tariff policies spurred safe-haven buying. On Monday local time, US President Trump said at a press conference that the US would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico on March 4 and said there was no room for negotiations with these two US allies. Additionally, the US government announced it will impose an additional 10% tariff on Chinese products exported to the US starting March 4, citing fentanyl and other issues. Mr. Trump also said on Monday that the United States would impose "reciprocal tariffs" starting April 2 and would impose tariffs on countries that devalue their currencies as sanctions. In addition, Trump said on social networks that the United States will impose tariffs on "foreign" agricultural products from April 2. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After recovering from the support area noticed by readers in the previous issue at the area of ​​2,850 - 2,835 USD, gold has achieved the first target level at 2,880 USD and then approached the next target level at the original price point of 2,900 USD. It is also limited by the original price point of 2,900 USD when this is also the confluence of the lower edge of the price channel and EMA21. Once gold breaks the $2,900 level and trades above it, it will be primed to continue rising, marking the end of the downward correction with a target then $2,942 in the short term, more than the location of the all-time peak. The relative strength index is also receiving support from the 50 level, if bullish momentum takes it back above the 60 level, this will be a positive signal for gold price upside on the technical chart. During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices is recovery with the condition of ending the above adjustment cycle, notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: 2,880 – 2,868USD Resistance: 2,900 – 2,942USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2921 - 2919⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2925 →Take Profit 1 2913 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2907 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2858 - 2860⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2854 →Take Profit 1 2866 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2872
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2
GOLD suffered a fierce sell-off, the US Dollar was strongerOANDA:XAUUSD Continuing to endure a fierce sell-off fueled by market profit-taking and a stronger US dollar, the US Dollar Index rose to a 10-day high on Friday of 107.66 amid concerns about US trade policy and data that raised fears of a recession. US President Trump confirmed 25% tariffs will be imposed on Mexican and Canadian products next week, March 4. This increases market uncertainty. Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau said Canada does not want to get into a trade war with the United States, but if the United States imposes tariffs on Canadian goods on March 4, Canada "will immediately have an extremely strong response." Bloomberg said currency traders bought the dollar after US President Trump confirmed he would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico next week. On Friday, the Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model predicted that U.S. GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 would be -1.5%, compared with a previous forecast of 2.3%. The US Dollar was boosted after the data was released due to concerns about an economic recession. OANDA:XAUUSD fell to lows in early New York trading on Friday as Wall Street's major indexes opened weak as investors remained cautious about the potential for price pressure from President Trump's policies. As US PCE inflation data was in line with expectations, the data suggested the Federal Reserve may be more cautious in cutting interest rates, which helped the dollar remain at a two-week high. The US core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.3% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year in January, in line with expectations. The overall PCE price index in the United States increased 0.3% month-on-month and 2.5% year-over-year in January, also in line with expectations. However, “personally” believes that PCE data does not significantly change Fed price expectations, so it essentially has a small impact on gold prices. Spot gold prices fell 2.7% in the past trading week, the largest weekly decline since November last year. Next, the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP), (ADP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports will become important market data. If inflation data rises too high, it could trigger a sharp sell-off in gold, and the opposite effect if slowing inflation data stimulates market bets on the Fed's ability to cut interest rates. Of course, further analysis of the above data will be sent to readers in daily publications. Economic data to watch next week Monday: Euro Flash CPI Estimates, US ISM Manufacturing PMI Wednesday: ADP jobs report; ISM US Services PMI Thursday: European Central Bank Monetary Policy Decision, US Weekly Jobless Claims Friday: US nonfarm payrolls. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week. With its current position, gold does not have enough conditions to continue falling in price as long as gold maintains price activity above 2,835 USD and Fibonacci retracement of 0.382%, along with the Relative Strength Index above 50. On the other hand, a confirmation signal for gold price to end the downward correction cycle is price activity returning to the price channel. However, traders also need to be careful as a new bearish cycle will open up once RSI goes below 50, the price chart is sold below 2,814 USD, so protective positions should be placed behind 2,814 USD. In the short term, gold is still in a downward correction cycle and the notable points will be listed as follows. As for "personally", I continue to defend the view that declines are only short-term corrections and not a sustainable trend, declines can also be considered an opportunity to buy. Support: 2,835 – 2,814USD Resistance: 2,868 – 2,900USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2896 - 2894⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2900 →Take Profit 1 2888 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2882 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2819 - 2821⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2815 →Take Profit 1 2827 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2833
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 03 - March 07]OANDA:XAUUSD this week were under pressure to take profits. After opening this week at 2,934 USD/oz, gold prices rose to 2,956 USD/oz, but then continuously dropped to 2,832 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,858 USD/oz. Thus, gold prices this week dropped sharply after 8 consecutive weeks of increases. The reason why gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the USD continued to increase strongly compared to many other major currencies. Market sentiment changed slightly after the US announced the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) for January 2025. Accordingly, PCE increased by 2.5% over the same period last year, thus down from 2.6% in December 2024 and in line with market expectations. Meanwhile, core PCE, excluding fluctuating food and energy prices, also increased 2.6% year-on-year, but down from 2.9% in December 2024 and in line with forecasts. Notably, in the recent meeting, US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had many disagreements and could not reach any agreement to contribute to an early end to the war between Russia and Ukraine. This is a factor that may increase gold's role as a haven, but it is unlikely to push gold prices up sharply next week, perhaps just a slight recovery before adjusting again. There will be a lot of data released next week, but the US February non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will be of particular interest to investors. According to forecasts, NFP is expected to reach 156,000 jobs, compared to 143,000 jobs in January. If NFP reaches the forecast level, it will not affect the Fed's interest rate policy direction, unless NFP increases far beyond the threshold of 200,000 jobs. Therefore, NFP news is likely to have little impact on gold prices next week. In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week. 🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Next week, the market will focus on jobs data, with the US February non-farm payrolls report released on Friday morning. Other key economic events include the Eurozone FMCG and US ISM manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP jobs report and US ISM services PMI on Wednesday, and weekly unemployment data on Thursday. The other big event of the week is the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday, with many experts expecting the ECB to make another interest rate cut. 📌Technically, gold prices next week may continue to adjust, with the level of 2,790 USD/oz being an important support level. If next week's gold price stays above this level, it will increase slightly to 2,900 USD/oz. On the contrary, if gold prices fall below 2,790 USD/oz next week, there is a risk of a deeper correction. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,814 – 2,835USD Resistance: 2,900 – 2,868USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2955 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2739 - 2741⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2735
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Feb 24 - Feb 28]OANDA:XAUUSD continued to increase for the 8th consecutive week, marking the longest increasing streak in many years. Opening the week at 2,886 USD/oz, gold price peaked at 2,955 USD/oz and closed at 2,936 USD/oz. The main reason is concern about US tariff policy causing economic instability, increasing global gold demand. In addition, many central banks, especially in the BRICS bloc, are also actively buying gold. Gold prices will have more room to rise higher due to the ongoing geopolitical and geo-economic instability, including the Trump administration's tariff policy and the risk of political instability in Europe. Additionally, demand for investing in gold-backed exchange-traded funds is also growing. The US PCE inflation report, released next Friday, may affect gold prices through FED interest rate adjustments. If PCE increases, the FED may delay cutting interest rates, which is detrimental to gold prices. On the contrary, if PCE drops sharply, the gold price could exceed 3,000 USD/oz. SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Tuesday morning will see the February US Consumer Confidence report, followed by January New Home Sales data on Wednesday. On Thursday, markets will receive preliminary reports on US fourth-quarter GDP, January Durable Goods Orders and weekly jobless claims, followed by US pending housing contract data later in the morning. However, the most important event of the week will be the US core PCE index on Friday, along with the January personal income and personal spending reports. This is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, helping gold traders gauge the outlook for interest rates in the near term. 📌Technically, although the gold price is still maintaining an uptrend, however, on the Weekly and Daily charts, some technical indicators such as MACD show signs that the price has diverged, the moving average lines (EMA34,89) are quite far from the price line, this shows that the gold price next week may face adjustment pressure before continuing to increase again, unless there are fundamental factors that have a strong impact on the gold price. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD Resistance: 2,946USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3001 - 2999⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3005 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2834 - 2836⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2830
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD is under great pressure by the US DollarThe US Dollar Index soared again, which put pressure on OANDA:XAUUSD adding momentum to the adjustment momentum taking place in recent days. Bloomberg said that after US President Donald Trump confirmed he would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico next week, currency traders bought the US Dollar, while currencies other than the USD were negatively affected, with the Canadian Dollar and Mexican Peso being hit the hardest. The soaring US Dollar is also detrimental to precious metals, commodities and digital currencies. Trump said 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico would take effect on March 4. He stated on his "Truth Social" account: "Drugs are still flowing into our country from Mexico and Canada in unacceptable quantities. We cannot let this scourge continue to hurt the United States, so until it stops or is tightly controlled, tariffs are proposed." with Canada and Mexico) scheduled to take effect on March 4 will actually take effect as planned." Trump also said he would impose "reciprocity" tariffs of 25% on cars and other European goods. OANDA:XAUUSD In recent times, it has still been going fast and strong, although fundamentally there are still many existing support risks, mainly due to profit-taking activities after a long period of price increases and the strong increase in the price of the US Dollar. Thanks to the influx of money into safe havens, gold prices hit an all-time high of $2,956.15 an ounce on Monday after a rapid downward correction. Gold prices are clearly fluctuating, short-term fluctuations and some profit-taking are just a normal part of the cycle Since the presidential election on November 5 of last year, the Dollar Spot Index has gained 6.62%. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD The medium-term uptrend of gold price is threatened when the sell-off momentum brings gold price below the price channel and EMA21, these are negative signals with the next support level being noticed at the price point of 2,835USD, more likely is the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level. Currently, the $2,880 level is the previous support turned resistance with the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement becoming the nearest resistance. On the other hand, the RSI tests the 50 mark. Once the RSI passes the 50 mark, this will be a warning of continued price decline because there is still room to fall with the RSI quite far from the oversold level. As noted to readers in previous publications and short comments during the day, the downward correction will not stop easily before the original price point of 2,900 USD, so you must always be ready for stronger corrections when gold has had a very long period of technical increase. Although gold has not yet formed a clear downtrend in the medium term, there is still room to fall ahead and notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 2,850 – 2,835 – 2,814USD Resistance: 2,868 – 2,880 – 2,900USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2911 - 2909⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2915 →Take Profit 1 2903 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2897 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2849 - 2851⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2845 →Take Profit 1 2857 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2863
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
Qualified for increases, but be careful with adjustmentsOANDA:XAUUSD remains in the rising channel after a significant downward correction since the recent record price rally and investors are focused on inflation data due out later this week and the latest developments on US President Donald Trump's tax plans. OANDA:XAUUSD was trading at nearly $2,905/oz as of press time, about 60Dollar below the all-time high reached on Monday after Trump announced his administration would impose 25% tariffs on the European Union without clarifying whether the tariffs would affect all EU exports or be limited to certain products or industries. At the same time, Trump also announced US tariffs on Mexico and Canada would take effect on April 2, delaying the original March 4 effective date. Late Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump reaffirmed he will maintain 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico and added the European Union to the list of countries he will punish American consumers for importing goods from. Trump added that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect on April 2. Market participants will closely monitor developments surrounding Trump's next tariff policy. Tariff uncertainty could spur flows into safe assets, benefiting precious metals. Since Trump returned to power, his comments on the timing, scale and targeting of tariffs have often confused global markets and raised questions about his policies. This instability, coupled with geopolitical changes, highlights gold's role as a store of value in times of uncertainty. Gold prices have also been supported in recent days by weak U.S. economic data, which has traders expecting the Federal Reserve to make just two 25 basis point interest rate cuts this year. Lower borrowing costs typically favor gold because the metal doesn't pay interest. On the other hand, Trump's plan to raise tariffs could raise the Federal Reserve's concerns about inflation, which could convince the Fed to keep interest rates high for longer. This may limit gold's rise. Looking ahead, investors will analyze Friday's core personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favored measure of inflation, for more reading and anticipation of the direction of monetary policy. Basically, gold still has a lot of potential support as the recent decline was mainly due to profit-taking and partly affected by the cooling situation in Ukraine, which was brought to the attention of readers through daily publications and short comments. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold continues to decline as the recovery fails to take gold price above the POC Volume Profile and the Fibonacci point extends 0.236%. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also pointing down with a significant slope, showing that the price momentum is overwhelming because profit-taking activities in the market are overwhelming. It is very likely that gold will continue to decline more with a target of around 2,865 USD, this is also the confluence position of the lower edge of the price channel with EMA21, this support position is very important for the uptrend of gold prices in the medium term. Once gold is sold below $2,865, further downside will be noticed at $2,835 – $2,790 in the short term, so long protection levels should be placed behind this price point. Regarding the current position, gold still has enough upside conditions and notable levels will be listed again as follows. Support: 2,900 – 2,880 – 2,865USD Resistance: 2,933 – 2,946USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2941 - 2939⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2945 →Take Profit 1 2933 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2927 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2869 - 2871⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2865 →Take Profit 1 2877 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2883
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD recovered after a 1.3% correction, paying attention to PCEOANDA:XAUUSD rose slightly on Wednesday (February 26), after a sharp 1.3% drop in the previous trading day, as traders took profits from a new record high set by gold. Spot gold prices fell to their lowest level in more than a week yesterday as investors took profits after a period of gold prices reaching record highs amid ongoing concerns about instability caused by US President Trump's tax imposition plan. OANDA:XAUUSD traded at nearly 2,915Dollar.oz, about $40 below the all-time high set on Monday. Gold prices have been supported in recent days by weak U.S. economic data that raised expectations the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in July, while President Donald Trump's growing tariff threats have increased safe-haven demand. In addition, gold is also receiving renewed attention from gold ETFs. Last week ETFs saw their largest net inflows since 2022, according to Bloomberg data. - The world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased its gold holdings by 0.29 tons compared to the previous day and the current gold holdings are 907.82 tons. - The world's largest silver ETF - iShares Silver Trust reduced its holdings by 73.62 tons compared to the previous day and its current holdings are 13,655.67 tons. Meanwhile, investors and economists expect the Fed to respond “robustly and systematically” to changes in inflation and the labor market, according to research released Monday by the San Francisco Federal Reserve. Rising inflation could force the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates, reducing the appeal of non-yielding gold. Uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's use of tariffs as a negotiating tool has caused traders to become risk-averse. On Monday, Trump hinted that tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada would take effect next week, even as both countries work to combat fentanyl and illegal immigration. This week, key US data also includes durable goods orders, revised fourth-quarter GDP and the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After a shock correction in yesterday's trading session, gold recovered to maintain price activity above the original price level of 2,900 USD, which can be considered a positive signal when the downward momentum is limited. Downside corrections can occur at “shock” levels, which have come to the attention of readers in many publications whenever the market has been up for a long period of time and the Relative Strength Index enters the overbought area. This can be considered normal market activity, because any type of asset that increases or decreases in price does not move in a straight line. On the current daily chart, Gold still has bullish conditions with support from the trend channel and EMA21 as key support, on the other hand price activity above the $2,900 level also plays a positive role. As long as gold remains in the price channel, above EMA21, its main prospective trend is still bullish, price drops should only be considered short-term corrections. During the day, important positions will be highlighted as follows. Support: 2,900 – 2,880USD Resistance: 2,938 – 2,946USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2941 - 2939⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2945 →Take Profit 1 2933 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2927 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2876 - 2878⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2872 →Take Profit 1 2884 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2890
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
XAUUSD Still bearish on a Channel Down.Gold / XAUUSD entered a Channel Down on the 1hour timeframe forming today a Death Cross. This is the first 1hour Death Cross since December 16th when Gold was again inside a Channel Down. That Channel Down had symmetrical bearish waves of -3.00% each. We expect the current one to show the same attributes, thus the bearish wave that just started on the Death Cross should be -2.30%. Sell and target 2865. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TheCryptagon